ICLE Comments to CMA on Google Search Conduct Requirements

ICLE Comments to CMA on Google Search Conduct Requirements

Executive Summary The International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE) welcomes the opportunity to submit these comments to the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) regarding the proposed Conduct Requirements (CRs)...

Executive Summary

The International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE) welcomes the opportunity to submit these comments to the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) regarding the proposed Conduct Requirements (CRs) for Google’s general search services. ICLE is a nonprofit, nonpartisan research centre dedicated to promoting economically grounded public policy. Our work applies law & economics analysis to competition policy, including digital markets, artificial intelligence, and platform regulation. We seek to ensure that competition law rests on clear legal standards, established precedent, and robust empirical evidence, and that regulatory interventions protect consumers, rather than particular competitors.

The CMA’s consultation arises at a pivotal moment for the UK digital economy. Google’s designation with Strategic Market Status (SMS) triggers the Digital Markets, Competition and Consumers Act 2024’s ex ante regulatory framework. While the DMCC Act aims to promote competition and innovation, the specific measures proposed here risk producing the opposite effect, if not carefully calibrated. Across the consultations, the central issue is proportionality: whether the proposed interventions address demonstrable consumer harm or instead impose costs on product quality, innovation, and user experience in order to alter competitive relationships among firms.

Our analysis draws on two established competition-law principles. First, the error-cost framework recognises that regulatory decisions under uncertainty can produce harmful false positives, particularly in dynamic markets where innovation is cumulative and path-dependent. Second, competition policy protects competition, rather than competitors. Conduct that disadvantages rivals—such as integrated search features, direct answers, or ranking differentiation—may nonetheless benefit users by reducing search costs and improving relevance. These principles are especially important in digital and AI-enabled markets characterised by rapid technological change, dispersed knowledge, and evolving consumer preferences.

We then evaluate the three proposed CRs.

Publisher Conduct Requirement: The proposed controls on the use of publisher content in generative-AI services risk distorting competition by imposing obligations on a single firm, while other AI developers remain subject only to generally applicable law. The measure also seeks to resolve disputes about the permissible use of copyrighted material—questions more appropriately addressed through intellectual-property law. In addition, the opt-out mechanism may degrade AI-generated search responses and fragment the user experience, while less distortive tools such as transparency and attribution could address many of the CMA’s concerns.

User Choice Conduct Requirement: The proposal for recurring choice screens and complex switching journeys rests on behavioural assumptions that receive limited support from real-world evidence. Empirical studies of prior remedies, including the Microsoft browser ballot and the Android choice screen, show modest and short-lived effects on market outcomes. Repeated prompts may therefore impose recurring time and attention costs on millions of users who already have settled preferences, without materially improving contestability.

Fair Ranking Conduct Requirement: The proposed obligation of ‘objective’ and ‘non-discriminatory’ ranking misunderstands the nature of search, whose value depends on selective curation and integration. The CMA has not identified direct evidence that individual ranking decisions are unfair, yet the CR would impose complex compliance obligations that are difficult to administer in machine-learning systems. Restrictions on integrated features may also eliminate efficiencies that reduce search costs and improve relevance, potentially degrading product quality without clear competitive benefits.

Taken together, the proposals risk substituting regulatory design for market processes, addressing uncertain or indirect harms with measures that impose immediate and durable costs. We therefore encourage the CMA to adopt a proportionate and evidence-based approach, to rely on demonstrable consumer harm rather than changes affecting particular rivals, and to prefer less distortive measures—especially transparency and attribution—over restrictions on product design and innovation.

I. Analytical Framework for Assessing the Proposed Conduct Requirements

The Digital Markets, Competition and Consumers Act 2024 (DMCC Act) marks a structural reorientation of UK competition policy, shifting from primarily ex post enforcement toward an ex ante regulatory regime for firms designated with Strategic Market Status (SMS). Although Parliament has now settled the legislative framework, the CMA retains substantial discretion in designing and implementing Conduct Requirements (CRs). That discretion remains bounded by statutory obligations, including proportionality, evidence-based analysis, and a focus on consumer outcomes, rather than the commercial position of particular competitors.

These consultations therefore raise questions not only about specific remedies, but also about how enforcement should operate in dynamic and technologically complex markets. In such settings, regulatory decisions must be made under persistent uncertainty. The law & economics literature has long recognised that intervention entails a risk of error, and that enforcement policy should account for both the likelihood and the cost of mistaken intervention. Where innovation is cumulative and path-dependent—as in digital and AI-enabled services—the cost of prohibiting beneficial conduct may be durable, while some competitive harms may dissipate through entry and technological change. This asymmetry makes careful calibration of intervention especially important.

A related concern is analytical focus. Competition policy seeks to protect competition, not particular competitors. Conduct that disadvantages rivals—such as integrated features or direct answers in search—may nonetheless benefit users by improving relevance, reducing search costs, and accelerating access to information. Assessing the lawfulness of such practices therefore requires close attention to demonstrable consumer harm, rather than changes in traffic, revenues, or other outcomes affecting rival firms.

The CMA’s proposed CRs should be evaluated against these principles. The central question is whether the proposed measures address clear and substantiated consumer harm in a proportionate manner, or whether they risk restricting product design and innovation in circumstances characterised by technological change, dispersed knowledge, and evidentiary uncertainty.

A. The Error-Cost Framework and Enforcement in Digital Markets

Central to our analysis is the ‘error-cost’ framework, a foundational contribution of law & economics scholarship to the design of competition-law institutions. Developed by Judge Frank Easterbrook and extended by scholars including Geoffrey Manne and Joshua Wright, the framework recognises that regulatory decision-making under uncertainty inevitably produces errors. The appropriate enforcement posture therefore seeks to minimise the total expected cost of those errors.[1] In complex and dynamic markets, authorities must weigh both the probability and the consequences of two distinct categories of error.

In competition enforcement, Type I errors (false positives) arise when authorities condemn conduct that is pro-competitive or benign. The economic consequences of over-enforcement can be durable: prohibitions may eliminate a business practice, chill experimentation, and foreclose associated efficiencies. Type II errors (false negatives), by contrast, occur when authorities fail to sanction anticompetitive conduct, potentially leading to supracompetitive prices or reduced output. As Judge Easterbrook observed, such errors may be partly self-correcting, because the prospect of monopoly profits attracts entry and competitive responses that erode market power over time.[2]

In digital markets, there are strong reasons to expect Type I errors to be particularly costly.[3] As Manne notes, uncertainty is ‘further magnified when antitrust decisions are made in innovative, fast-moving, poorly understood, or novel market settings’.[4] Innovation in these markets is cumulative and path dependent. If a regulator mistakenly proscribes a business model (e.g., integrated product features sometimes described as self-preferencing) or restricts a consumer-valued innovation (e.g., AI-generated overviews in search) the resulting welfare loss may be difficult to reverse. The foreclosed line of development may not re-emerge once firms redirect investment elsewhere. In this way, Type I errors can durably distort innovation incentives in dynamic industries.

The compounding nature of innovation losses reinforces this asymmetry. As John Yun explains, even modest regulatory drag on the rate of technological progress can generate substantial long-term welfare losses.[5] Measures that merely slow innovation—without stopping it—still impose accumulating costs over time. Consumers bear these costs through foregone improvements in quality, functionality, and price.

By contrast, the effects of Type II errors may be moderated in markets characterised by rapid technological change. Supracompetitive returns attract entry and encourage disruptive innovation. The history of the digital economy—including the displacement of AOL by Google, Yahoo by Facebook, and MySpace by later social-media platforms—illustrates that apparently durable positions can erode when confronted by superior technology or business models.[6] This does not suggest that enforcement is unnecessary. Rather, it indicates that dynamic adjustment should inform the calibration of intervention, particularly where evidence of durable consumer harm remains uncertain.

The CMA’s current proposals, particularly those addressing AI-related features and search-ranking conduct, risk underweighting Type I error costs. Several proposed conduct requirements assume that the authority can reliably distinguish between ‘fair’ and ‘unfair’ product-design choices in a setting characterised by emergent algorithmic outputs and rapid technological change. Yet, as F.A. Hayek observed, regulators necessarily lack access to the dispersed and contextual knowledge embedded in market processes.[7] The error-cost framework therefore supports a cautious approach: intervention should focus on clear and demonstrable consumer harm, rather than speculative concerns about potential competitive disadvantage.

B. Competition, Not Competitors

A recurring theme in the CMA’s consultation documents is the attention afforded to ‘publishers’ and ‘rival search engines’—entities that often stand in a partly competitive and partly complementary relationship with the SMS firm. Promoting a contestable market is a legitimate regulatory objective. The analysis must nonetheless avoid drifting toward a ‘competitor-welfare’ approach, in which the practical aim becomes preserving rivals’ revenues, rather than improving consumer outcomes.[8] Competition law has long distinguished between protecting competition and protecting competitors. Even in Brown Shoe Co. v. United States, the U.S. Supreme Court stated that ‘[i]t is competition, not competitors, which the [Sherman] Act protects’.[9]

This distinction has concrete implications. As Manne and Wright explain in the search context, conduct that disadvantages competitors—such as presenting a direct answer or an integrated feature above a link to a third-party website—may benefit consumers by reducing search costs and improving relevance.[10] When a search engine displays a maps result, a knowledge panel, or an AI-generated summary, users obtain information immediately, rather than through additional navigation, delay, and cognitive effort. The resulting reduction in traffic to third-party sites reflects competition on the merits, not necessarily anticompetitive foreclosure.[11]

Restrictions designed to preserve traffic flows or advertising revenues for incumbent publishers would therefore risk prioritising competitor interests over consumer welfare. The empirical literature on self-preferencing remains mixed and context-specific, and vertical integration often produces measurable consumer benefits.[12] The CMA’s assessment should accordingly focus on demonstrable consumer harm, rather than the commercial impact on rival firms.

II. Assessment of the Proposed Publisher Conduct Requirement

The CMA’s proposed Publisher Conduct Requirement (Publisher CR) governs Google’s use of publisher content—crawled for general search—in generative-AI services such as AI Overviews, AI Mode, and the Gemini assistant.[13] The proposal has three components. First, opt-out controls would allow publishers to withhold ‘Search Content’ from grounding in search generative-AI features and from training and grounding in broader AI services. Second, transparency obligations would require disclosure of how content is used and provision of engagement metrics to publishers. Third, attribution requirements would require reasonable steps to identify and credit publisher material in AI-generated responses.[14]

The CMA’s theory of harm rests on a leveraging concern: because Google holds SMS in general search, publishers allegedly have ‘no realistic option but to allow their content to be crawled’, enabling Google to extend that content into AI applications without meaningful choice.[15] Even accepting bargaining asymmetry in search, the proposed CR raises three concerns.

First, it risks distorting competition in generative-AI services by imposing obligations on a single firm while other AI developers relying on similar publicly available content remain outside the regime. Second, it addresses disputes about the use of copyrighted material that are more appropriately resolved through generally applicable intellectual-property law, rather than firm-specific competition rules. Third, the design of the controls may fragment AI-generated search responses and reduce their usefulness to users, undermining features intended to lower search costs.

These issues bear directly on proportionality. Intervention should address demonstrable consumer harm, not redistribute value among market participants or indirectly resolve copyright disputes, and the CMA should consider whether less distortive measures—particularly transparency and attribution—could achieve its objectives without degrading product quality or altering competitive conditions.

A. Regulatory Asymmetry in Generative-AI Markets

The proposed Publisher CR would create a marked regulatory asymmetry in generative-AI services. Google would face legally binding obligations to provide granular opt-out controls for training and grounding, alongside transparency, reporting, and attribution requirements.[16] Competing providers of generative-AI systems—including OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta, and a growing ecosystem of open-source foundation-model developers—would face no equivalent constraints, because they are not designated with SMS in general search and therefore fall outside the DMCC regime.

The competitive implications are significant. Output quality in generative-AI systems depends on the breadth and recency of data used for training and grounding. If publishers exercise opt-out rights at scale—an outcome the low-friction design of the controls may facilitate—Google would either exclude large portions of web content from AI-generated search responses or produce responses with material gaps. Either outcome would reduce the quality of Google’s AI Overviews and AI Mode relative to rival services that may continue to rely on the same publicly available web content without restriction. The proposal would therefore not merely affect product design; it would alter competitive conditions between providers of generative-AI services.[17]

This does not imply that Google lacks competitive advantages in general search, including efficient access to crawled content. It does indicate that proprietary search-index data is not a prerequisite for building competitive generative-AI products. Leading frontier models—ChatGPT, Claude, Llama, and DeepSeek—were developed without access to a dominant search index. Open datasets such as Common Crawl, together with commercial licensing arrangements, supply training material across the industry.[18] As prior ICLE submissions to this Authority and the U.S. Department of Justice note, ‘being the firm with the most data appears to be far less important than having enough data’, a threshold accessible to many firms.[19] Consistent with this, generative-AI markets exhibit rapid entry and substantial investment, and enforcement authorities have not identified concrete anticompetitive harm arising from incumbents’ data holdings in AI markets.[20]

International experience also illustrates the risk of competitive distortion from asymmetric digital-market regulation. Under the EU Digital Markets Act, Google removed certain integrated features, including clickable map modules and embedded previews, from European search results to comply with self-preferencing rules. Reports indicate a slower and more fragmented user experience, without clear competitive gains for rivals.[21]

The proposed Publisher CR could produce similar effects. By introducing gaps in AI-generated search responses where opted-out content would otherwise appear, the measure risks degrading the UK search experience while leaving competing generative-AI providers unaffected.

B. Copyright Issues Are Not Competition Issues

The Publisher CR appears motivated in part by concern that Google uses content crawled for search in AI applications without adequate publisher consent. The underlying issue—whether the use of publicly available web content for AI training and grounding infringes copyright—is, however, a matter of intellectual-property law, rather than competitive conduct.

Whether an AI developer’s use of copyrighted material constitutes ‘fair dealing’ under UK law (or ‘fair use’ under U.S. law) applies uniformly across firms, irrespective of market position.[22] A start-up training a foundation model on publicly available web content confronts the same copyright question as Google. By using the DMCC framework to create what is effectively an opt-out regime applicable only to a designated firm, the CMA risks addressing an intellectual-property dispute through a competition-law instrument.

This approach would produce a two-tier structure of rights and obligations. Google would need to secure effective consent—through opt-out mechanisms—to use publisher content for AI grounding, while other AI developers would remain subject only to generally applicable copyright law. If grounding AI search responses in publicly available web content constitutes fair dealing, Google should be permitted to do so on the same basis as other market participants. If it does not, the appropriate remedy lies in copyright enforcement applied consistently across firms, rather than in an asymmetric competition-law obligation imposed on a single company.

C. Technical Design and Consumer Effects of the Opt-Out Controls

The proposed controls also raise concerns about technical implementation and user impact. The Publisher CR distinguishes among three uses—training foundation models, fine-tuning derivative models, and grounding AI-generated responses—and applies different obligations to each.

The CMA acknowledges Google’s submission that fine-tuning ‘helps the model learn how to process information rather than what current information to display’ and that permitting opt-outs from fine-tuning would ‘raise the risk of downranking or mis-ranking publisher content in organic search results’.[23] The Authority has therefore provisionally excluded fine-tuning of search AI models from the opt-out regime. This reflects a proportionate assessment of product functionality. Similar considerations, though operating differently, arise in relation to grounding.

AI Overviews and AI Mode rely on retrieval-augmented generation, in which responses are corroborated by reference to material retrieved from the search index at query time. Allowing publishers to opt individual pages out of grounding, while remaining indexed for general search, would effectively give them a page-by-page veto over AI-generated responses. The likely consumer effect is a fragmented experience: authoritative information may appear as traditional links but be absent from the AI-generated summary.[24] Because these features are intended to reduce search costs, such fragmentation would reduce their usefulness and quality. The CMA should weigh these foreseeable user costs against the more speculative benefits of the opt-out mechanism.[25]

For these reasons, the Publisher CR would benefit from revision. First, the controls should not extend to AI training. Questions about the use of publisher content for model training are properly addressed through generally applicable intellectual-property law rather than firm-specific competition regulation. Second, the CMA’s proportionality analysis should account for competitive asymmetry. The CR imposes binding obligations on Google alone, while rival AI developers using similar web content remain unconstrained, creating incentives for publishers to withhold content selectively. Third, where intervention is warranted, priority should be given to transparency and attribution. Clear disclosure of how content is used, and proper attribution in AI-generated responses, would address many of the CMA’s concerns, while avoiding the product degradation and competitive distortion associated with the proposed opt-out controls.

III. Assessment of the Proposed User Choice Conduct Requirement

The proposed User Choice CR—including periodic choice screens, information screens, and ‘test-drive’ functionalities—rests on the premise that such interventions reliably promote competition.[26] The CMA identifies two objectives: ‘(i) increasing competition in general search services and (ii) having more people use a general search provider that better matches their preferences’.[27]

The consultation states that the obligations are supported by evidence showing that choice screens increase engagement, improve comprehension, and enable active decision-making in digital markets.[28] This evidence relies substantially on experimental and survey-based studies, including research by Mozilla[29] and recommendations issued by Bureau Européen des Unions de Consommateurs (BEUC),[30] which examine user interaction with designed choice interfaces. By contrast, longitudinal analyses of observed market behaviour receive less weight. Evidence from earlier EU remedies, including the Microsoft browser ballot and the Android choice screen, indicates more limited effects on market shares. These studies generally find modest changes in usage patterns, suggesting that users often continue to select their preferred service when presented with alternatives.

As Omar Vásquez Duque observes in a recent empirical assessment:

[A] key assumption behind choice screens is that consumer inertia sustains market dominance. However, the findings here suggest that consumers may not be as inert as conventionally assumed…This raises questions about the “true” effectiveness of choice screens… If effectiveness is defined as “encouraging users to consider alternative options,” and the browsers’ assessments are accurate, then choice screens have been partially successful. However, if the goal is to increase market contestability, the evidence suggests that choice screens alone are ineffective.[31]

These mixed findings raise proportionality concerns. Requiring recurring prompts imposes certain costs on users, including time and interruption, while the benefits to competition remain uncertain. Behavioural research also indicates that repeated prompts may produce habituation rather than deliberation, and that users with settled preferences may treat such screens as obstacles rather than meaningful opportunities to choose.

The CMA acknowledges that ‘focusing solely on levels of switching to alternative providers may be a misleading measure of a choice screen’s effectiveness’.[32] That observation underscores the central question: if switching is not the relevant metric, it is unclear how the intervention’s benefits should be measured or whether the associated user costs are justified.

A. Empirical Evidence on the Effectiveness of Choice Screens

The CMA’s proposal assumes that presenting users with a choice will materially shift market shares. The empirical record from EU choice-screen remedies suggests otherwise: observed changes in share are typically small and rarely exceed a few percentage points.[33]

A relevant precedent is the Android choice screen introduced following the European Commission’s Google Android decision.[34] An econometric analysis by Francesco Decarolis, Muxin Li, and Filippo Paternollo, using difference-in-differences methods, finds a statistically significant reduction in Google’s mobile search share in the European Economic Area (EEA). The magnitude, however, is modest—less than one percentage point in the headline estimate, with some variation across specifications.[35] Although rivals with greater pre-remedy awareness (proxied by desktop share) benefited somewhat more, the overall effect falls short of materially deconcentrating the market.[36]

Market-share data point in the same direction. Figure 1 reports European search-engine shares from January 2015 to May 2025, based on Statista data derived from the StatCounter tracking environment.[37] Over this period, Google’s share remains relatively stable, generally between roughly 90 and 95 per cent. Competing providers, including Bing, Yandex, and Yahoo!, remain clustered at low levels and rarely exceed a combined 5 to 8 per cent share.

FIGURE 1: Search Engine Market Share in Europe, January 2015 to May 2025

SOURCE: Statista

The CMA has acknowledged similar outcomes in its SMS Decision:

Since August 2019, following the European Commission’s Google Android decision, Google has introduced choice screens for general search providers on all new Android phones in the EEA and UK. However, notwithstanding Google’s submissions that this created opportunities for third-party providers to be set as the default (see paragraph 5.164(c)), data provided by Google shows that in every month since April 2020, a large majority ([redacted]%) of UK users have selected Google Search as their default when presented with the Android choice screen.[38]

These results are consistent with users selecting a preferred service when presented with alternatives. A choice screen that does not materially affect user preferences may therefore add friction without improving contestability.

Evidence from earlier remedies is similar. Retrospective analysis of the 2010 Microsoft browser ballot screen finds that Internet Explorer’s share declined during the remedy period, but comparable declines occurred globally due to the growth of Chrome and Firefox. Using non-EEA countries (the United States, Canada, and Australia) as a control group, Vásquez Duque estimates a causal effect of roughly 1.4 to 2 percentage points.[39]

Overall, the empirical literature does not show that choice screens reliably transform market outcomes. As Vásquez Duque concludes in more recent work, observed effects appear to reach a ceiling, suggesting that ‘choice screens do not meaningfully alter users’ preferences’.[40]

B. Behavioural Economics and Repeated Choice Screens

The CMA proposes requiring choice screens not only at device set-up but ‘at regular points thereafter’. The rationale draws on behavioural economics. But the proposal does not sufficiently consider related concepts, including rational apathy and status-quo efficiency.

Research on behavioural interventions (‘nudges’) indicates that they can influence behaviour in low-stakes or uncertain settings but are less effective where users hold stable preferences for an experience good, such as a search engine.[41] As Vásquez Duque explains:

A rational user would search for an option as long as the alternative’s expected benefit is higher than the search costs, including the user’s time. But for many if not most users, it may make sense to stick to an option that meets a satisfactory level of quality. If this were the case, any option that met such a satisfaction level would become the user’s preferred default. And this choice may form a habit, which is likely to persist until the user experiences negative feedback or a more attractive option is brought to her attention.[42]

For many users, the marginal benefit from switching search providers may be small, while switching costs—learning a new interface or losing personalisation history—remain non-zero. Although the CMA estimates the value of users’ time,[43] the analysis gives limited attention to established research on mandated disclosure, choice fatigue, and banner blindness.[44] The consultation addresses these concerns briefly:

Google has raised a concern that the repeated display of choice screens leads to user fatigue. However, we do not consider that a relatively short prompt to consider their search choice once a year is too onerous for users. [45]

Evidence on habituation suggests that repeated prompts may not prompt careful deliberation. Users frequently respond by selecting the most familiar option simply to remove an interruption.[46] Increasing the frequency of prompts may therefore not expand effective choice but instead increase friction for users who already have settled preferences.

Recent meta-analyses of nudge interventions also indicate that effects observed in controlled or pilot settings often diminish when implemented at scale, partly because of publication bias and contextual variation.[47] Even where behavioural policies appear effective, results require cautious interpretation.

The aggregate burden is also relevant. If the UK has roughly 50 million adult mobile users and approximately 90 per cent are satisfied with Google Search, an annual mandatory choice prompt would interrupt about 45 million users who have no intention of switching, in order to reach a smaller group who might otherwise use existing device settings. This ‘time tax’ should be weighed in the proportionality assessment.

Requiring all users to make an annual active choice would therefore impose recurring costs on many users who are already satisfied with their service. The measure may address a perceived competitive concern without clear evidence of corresponding consumer harm, and its effectiveness as an instrument for altering market outcomes remains uncertain.

IV. Assessment of the Proposed Fair Ranking Conduct Requirement

The proposed Fair Ranking Conduct Requirement (Fair Ranking CR)[48] seeks to ensure that Google’s ranking decisions are ‘objective’, ‘non-discriminatory’, and ‘transparent’, supported by a publisher complaints mechanism and reporting obligations concerning ranking policies that may affect other markets.[49] These objectives are understandable. The design of the intervention, however, raises concerns about its implications for innovation and consumer welfare.

The CMA’s investigation has not identified direct evidence that individual ranking decisions are unfair. As the consultation explains:

We have not seen direct evidence that Google’s individual ranking decisions are unfair. However, taken in the round: the role of Google’s general search as a critically important digital tool for people and businesses; the lack of trust and perception of unfairness in Google’s ranking; the lack of sufficient transparency about how Google implements and operationalises its ranking in practice; and the direct impact this lack of trust has had on publishers, including deterring investment, leads us to consider that there is merit in introducing a formal requirement.[50]

The proposal therefore responds primarily to perceptions of potential unfairness and their effects on publisher behaviour.[51] This context underscores the need for caution in imposing obligations on a product whose core function is selective ranking.

The requirement of ‘objectivity’ risks misunderstanding how search operates. As Manne and Wright explain, the value of a search engine derives from its ability to prioritise some results over others.[52] Search is an exercise in curation: from billions of web pages, the system promotes a small number of results based on predicted relevance. Because ranking is inherently relative—elevating one result necessarily lowers another—differentiation is not itself evidence of anticompetitive conduct, but a necessary feature of the product.[53]

The non-discrimination obligation also presents practical enforcement difficulties. The proposal would prohibit Google from considering, among other things, whether a publisher advertises with Google, enters commercial arrangements, or exercises statutory rights. Modern search ranking, however, depends on the interaction of thousands of signals processed through machine-learning systems. Determining whether any single prohibited factor affected a particular outcome will often be infeasible. A publisher experiencing reduced traffic after a dispute may infer retaliation, but the change may equally reflect an algorithmic update, shifting user behaviour, or changes in content quality. The result could be persistent and difficult-to-resolve disputes.

Related concerns arise from the requirement that Google apply the same criteria to its own services and those of third parties. Research frequently finds that vertical integration on digital platforms produces efficiencies.[54] Integrated features—such as map results or flight modules—can reduce search costs by allowing users to obtain information directly within the search interface. As Robert Bork and Gregory Sidak observe, the consumer-welfare benefits of integration arise precisely from the immediate availability of the integrated result.[55] A categorical restriction on self-preferencing would risk sacrificing these efficiencies in order to preserve competitor distinctiveness.[56] The CMA’s interpretative notes recognise that designing a feature containing only Google inputs is not itself a breach, but its placement in rankings may be.[57] In practice, placement and design are closely connected: the usefulness of an integrated feature depends on where it appears.

The Fair Ranking CR therefore risks constraining product design in ways that reduce functionality. By attempting to mandate neutrality in a process defined by curation, and by treating integration as presumptively problematic, the proposal may degrade the user experience without clear gains in market contestability.

V. Conclusion

The CMA’s proposed Conduct Requirements for Google’s general search services constitute a significant intervention in a rapidly evolving sector. ICLE does not question the Authority’s mandate to promote competitive and contestable digital markets, nor the relevance of Google’s position in general search within the DMCC framework. As currently drafted, however, the three CRs risk imposing durable costs on UK consumers and on innovation in digital and AI services.

Across the proposals, a common concern is calibration. The measures would address uncertain or indirect harms with obligations that carry clear and immediate effects: degraded product functionality, fragmented search results, recurring user friction, and altered competitive conditions between firms subject to the regime and those outside it. The Publisher CR risks creating asymmetric regulation in generative-AI markets and using competition law to resolve copyright disputes. The User Choice CR relies on behavioural assumptions not strongly supported by real-world evidence and may impose recurring time costs on users without materially improving contestability. The Fair Ranking CR seeks to regulate ranking neutrality in a process defined by necessary curation and integration, creating practical enforcement difficulties and potential reductions in product quality.

These concerns reflect the broader insight of the error-cost framework. In dynamic markets characterised by uncertainty, the costs of mistaken intervention may be persistent, while some competitive harms may diminish through entry, innovation, and technological change. Proportionality therefore requires particular caution where conduct may benefit consumers, even if it disadvantages rivals.

ICLE respectfully encourages the CMA to anchor its final measures in demonstrable consumer harm, to rely primarily on real-world evidence, and to prefer less distortive tools—particularly transparency and attribution—over restrictions on product design. A framework that protects competition rather than competitors, and that recognises the limits of regulatory knowledge in complex markets, will better advance the DMCC Act’s objective of improving outcomes for UK consumers.

[1] Frank H. Easterbrook, The Limits of Antitrust, 63 Tex. L. Rev. 1, 14–15 (1984). Easterbrook offers the clearest exposition of the error-cost approach to antitrust, arguing that ‘[t]he economic system corrects monopoly more readily than it corrects judicial errors’.

[2] Id. at 15.

[3] Geoffrey A. Manne & Joshua D. Wright, Innovation and the Limits of Antitrust, 6 J. Competition L. & Econ. 153, 165 (2010) (extending Easterbrook’s error-cost framework to innovative markets and arguing that ‘antitrust scrutiny of innovation and innovative business practices is likely to be biased toward assigning a higher likelihood that a given practice is anticompetitive than later literature and evidence ultimately justify’).

[4] Geoffrey A. Manne, Error Costs in Digital Markets, in The Global Antitrust Institute Report on the Digital Economy 3 (Joshua D. Wright & Douglas H. Ginsburg eds., 2020) (observing that ‘[t]he risk of error is always present given the limits of knowledge, but it is magnified by the precedential nature of judicial decisions’, and that this problem is ‘further magnified when antitrust decisions address innovative, fast-moving, poorly understood, or novel market settings’).

[5] See John M. Yun, The Folly of AI Regulation, in Artificial Intelligence and Competition Policy 247, 252 (Alden Abbott & Thibault Schrepel eds., 2024) (‘Let us start, in period 0, with T = 100 and an annual growth of 30%. Due to compounding, after 10 years T grows to nearly 14× its original size. If the growth rate instead falls marginally to 25%, T grows to slightly over 9× its original size over the same period — still substantial, but about 5× lower than under 30% growth. Even a “modest” reduction in the growth rate of an emerging technology — e.g. 5% in absolute terms — can therefore produce significant long-run social-welfare losses, magnified over longer horizons’).

[6] See Geoffrey A. Manne & Dirk Auer, Antitrust Dystopia and Antitrust Nostalgia: Alarmist Theories of Harm in Digital Markets and Their Origins, 28 Geo. Mason L. Rev. 1281, 1343–45 (2021) (reviewing economic evidence on data-related theories of harm and finding incumbent data advantages far less pronounced than commonly assumed); Geoffrey A. Manne & Dirk Auer, From Data Myths to Data Reality: What Generative AI Can Tell Us About Competition Policy (and Vice Versa), CPI Antitrust Chron. (February 2024), at 12 (arguing that ‘competition or regulatory intervention to “correct” data barriers and data network and scale effects is liable to do more harm than good’).

[7] See F.A. Hayek, The Use of Knowledge in Society, 35 Am. Econ. Rev. 519, 526–27 (1945) (explaining that the price system communicates dispersed information unavailable to any single agent or planner). For an application in the competition-policy context, see Cento Veljanovski, Hayekian Competition Policy: A Historical Perspective, GW Competition & Innovation Lab Working Paper (2024).

[8] See Lazar Radic, Geoffrey A. Manne & Dirk Auer, Digital Competition Regulation: Costs, Tradeoffs, and Consequences, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. (2025) (arguing that digital-competition regulation’s ‘true objectives align more with redistributing economic power, protecting less efficient competitors, and diminishing the competitive advantages of dominant digital platforms’ than with protecting consumer welfare).

[9] Brown Shoe Co. v. United States, 370 U.S. 294, 344 (1962) (‘It is competition, not competitors, which the [Sherman] Act protects’). See also Brunswick Corp. v. Pueblo Bowl-O-Mat, Inc., 429 U.S. 477, 488 (1977) (holding that plaintiffs must prove ‘antitrust injury — injury of the type the antitrust laws were intended to prevent’).

[10] See Geoffrey A. Manne & Joshua D. Wright, Google and the Limits of Antitrust: The Case Against the Case Against Google, 34 Harv. J.L. & Pub. Pol’y 171 (2011) (arguing antitrust should not infer consumer harm from conduct that disadvantages rivals, stressing the risk of false positives and the need for concrete evidence of consumer harm; identifying procompetitive rationales and welfare-enhancing design choices in search, and cautioning against condemning conduct merely because it reallocates traffic among competitors). See also Geoffrey A. Manne & Joshua D. Wright, If Search Neutrality Is the Answer, What’s the Question?, 2012 Colum. Bus. L. Rev. 151, 155 (2012) (arguing that ‘search bias’ or editorial discretion often benefits consumers by reducing users’ search costs and improving the search experience).

[11] See Robert H. Bork & J. Gregory Sidak, What Does the Chicago School Teach About Internet Search and the Antitrust Treatment of Google?, 9 J. Competition L. & Econ. 663, 680 (2013) (discussing consumer-welfare benefits of product integration in search).

[12] See, e.g., Brian Albrecht & Geoffrey A. Manne, Self-Preferencing Isn’t a Sin. It’s Often the Way Competition Works., Truth on the Mkt. (20 August 2025), https://truthonthemarket.com/2025/08/20/self-preferencing-isnt-a-sin-its-often-the-way-competition-works (explaining that self-preferencing often reflects technical or efficiency considerations rather than exclusionary intent); see also Juliette Caminade, Juan Carvajal & Christopher R. Knittel, An Economic Analysis of the Self-Preferencing Debate, 32 Competition 1 (2022) (reviewing theoretical and empirical literature on self-preferencing and dual-mode platforms and concluding the evidence is ‘mixed’, warranting a careful, case-by-case approach); see also Austl. Competition & Consumer Comm’n, Digital Platform Services Inquiry—Interim Report No. 5: Regulatory Reform 94 (September 2022), https://www.accc.gov.au/system/files/Digital%20platform%20services%20inquiry.pdf (‘Although self-preferencing conduct is often benign, conduct that leverages market power over a key online service into a related service, without a procompetitive rationale, can distort competition and decrease consumer welfare’).

[13] Competition & Mkts. Auth. (CMA), Consultation: Publisher Conduct Requirement—Google’s General Search Services (28 January 2026) (UK) [hereinafter Publisher CR Consultation].

 

[14] Id., ¶¶ 1.5, 1.10–1.11.

[15] Id. ¶ 1.5(a) (‘Given Google’s SMS in general search services, publishers have no realistic option but to allow their content to be crawled’).

[16] Id., ¶¶ 4.6–4.12 (describing the covered use cases and distinguishing grounding of search generative-AI features from training or grounding of broader generative-AI services).

[17] See Lazar Radic, Geoffrey A. Manne & Dirk Auer, Digital Competition Regulation: Costs, Tradeoffs, and Consequences, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. (2025) (documenting how asymmetric digital-competition regulation can produce perverse competitive outcomes that harm consumers it aims to protect).

[18] See Manne & Auer, Antitrust Dystopia and Antitrust Nostalgia, supra note 6.

[19] See Geoffrey A. Manne, Dirk Auer, Kristian Stout, Lazar Radic & Mario A. Zúñiga, ICLE Comments to DOJ on Promoting Competition in Artificial Intelligence, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. (15 July 2024), at 5–12. See also Geoffrey A. Manne, Dirk Auer & Mario A. Zúñiga, ICLE Comments to UK Competition and Markets Authority on AI Partnerships, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. (9 May 2024), https://laweconcenter.org/resources/icle-comments-to-uk-competition-and-markets-authority-on-ai-partnerships.

[20] Dirk Auer & Mario A. Zúñiga, AI Partnerships and Competition: Damned if You Buy, Damned if You Don’t, ICLE White Paper 2025-08-19, at 4–5 (2025) (finding that AI partnerships are ‘largely benign from a competition-law perspective’ and that ‘no enforcement body has found concrete evidence of anticompetitive harm’ arising from them).

[21] Written Testimony of Dirk Auer, Director of Competition Policy, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ., Before the Subcomm. on Antitrust, Commercial & Admin. Law of the H. Comm. on the Judiciary, U.S. House of Representatives (16 December 2025) (documenting that DMA compliance forced Google to remove integrated features from European search results, producing ‘a slower, more fragmented experience’ without measurable competitive benefits).

[22] Giuseppe Colangelo, A Competition Policy Analysis of Copyright Protection in Generative AI, Sing. J.L. Stud. 271 (2025). See ICLE Comments on Artificial Intelligence and Copyright, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. (30 October 2023) (analysing fair-use implications of AI training and concluding the issue is better addressed through uniform intellectual-property adjudication than firm-specific competition regulation).

[23] Publisher CR Consultation, supra note 13, ¶¶ 4.10(c)–(d) (summarising Google’s submissions that fine-tuning ‘helps the model learn how to process information rather than what current information to display’ and that allowing publishers to opt out of fine-tuning would ‘raise the risk of downranking or mis-ranking publisher content in organic search results’).

[24] See Manne & Wright, If Search Neutrality Is the Answer, What’s the Question?, supra note 10.

[25] See Manne, supra note 4.

[26] Competition & Mkts. Auth. (CMA), Consultation: User Choice Conduct Requirement—Google’s General Search Services (28 January 2026) (UK) [hereinafter User Choice CR Consultation].

[27] Id. at 52.

[28] Id. ¶ 4.4.

[29] Mozilla, Can Browser Choice Screens Be Effective? Experimental Analysis of the Impact of Their Design, Content and Placement (September 2023), https://research.mozilla.org/files/2023/09/Can-browser-choice-screens-be-effective_-Mozilla-experiment-report.pdf.

[30] Bureau Européen des Unions de Consommateurs (BEUC), An Effective Choice Screen Under the Digital Markets Act: BEUC Recommendations, BEUC-X-2023-131, at 10 (19 October 2023).

[31] Omar Vásquez Duque, The Magical Number 2 (Minus Two): An Empirical Analysis on the Efficacy of Choice Screens to Increase Competition in Digital Markets, at 17 (15 January 2026) (unpublished manuscript), https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5264993.

[32] User Choice CR Consultation, supra note 26, ¶ 4.5 (‘[F]ocusing solely on levels of switching to alternative providers may be a misleading measure of a choice screen’s effectiveness, given that it should allow consumers to find a provider in line with their preferences, which may result in them staying with their existing (or incumbent) provider’).

[33] See Vásquez Duque, The Magical Number 2, supra note 31, at 3 (‘When choice screens have affected a dominant actor’s market share at all, the effect size has been, at most, 2%’).

[34] Comm’n Decision 2019/C 402/08, Case AT.40099—Google Android, 2019 O.J. (C 402) 19.

[35] Francesco Decarolis, Muxin Li & Filippo Paternollo, Competition and Defaults in Online Search, 17 Am. Econ. J.: Microeconomics 369 (2025).

[36] The study found larger market-share shifts in Russia and Turkey (>10%), driven primarily by the presence of a strong local incumbent (Yandex) able to compete on quality, rather than by the choice screen itself. See id. at 389–93.

[37] Statista, Market Share of Leading Search Engines in Europe from January 2015 to May 2025, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1386805/search-engines-market-share-all-devices-europe (last visited 16 February 2026).

[38] Competition & Mkts. Auth., Strategic Market Status Investigation into Google’s General Search Services: Final Decision ¶ 5.173(c) (10 October 2025) (UK).

[39] Omar Vásquez Duque, Active Choice vs. Inertia? An Exploratory Assessment of the European Microsoft Case’s Choice Screen, 19 J. Competition L. & Econ. 60 (2023).

[40] See Vásquez Duque, supra note 31, at 17.

[41] See Vásquez Duque, supra note 39, at 77–78.

[42] Id. at 78.

[43] User Choice CR Consultation, supra note 26, ¶ 5.14 (‘When combined with an estimate of the average value of a UK consumer’s time, this gives an average time cost per showing of the choice screen of a little under 14p’).

[44] Omri Ben-Shahar & Carl E. Schneider, The Failure of Mandated Disclosure, 159 U. Pa. L. Rev. 647, 651 (2011) (arguing that ‘mandated disclosure not only fails to achieve its stated goal but also leads to unintended consequences that often harm the very people it intends to serve’).

[45] User Choice CR Consultation, supra note 26, ¶ 4.34.

[46] Rainer Böhme & Stefan Köpsell, Trained to Accept? A Field Experiment on Consent Dialogs, in Proceedings of the SIGCHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems 2403 (2010) (finding that interruption dialogs foster habituation and heuristic responses, as users are ‘trained’ to dismiss them and consent becomes increasingly ‘blind’).

[47] Bo Hu et al., Assessing Nudge Impact: A Comprehensive Second-Order Meta-Analysis, 38 J. Behav. Decision Making, no. 5, art. e70053 (2025).

[48] Competition & Mkts. Auth. (CMA), Consultation: Fair Ranking Conduct Requirement—Google’s General Search Services (28 January 2026) (UK) [hereinafter Fair Ranking CR Consultation].

[49] Id. ¶ 2.1.

[50] Id. ¶ 1.11.

[51] Id. ¶¶ 1.9–1.10.

[52] See Manne & Wright, If Search Neutrality Is the Answer, What’s the Question, supra note 10.

[53] Id. at 158.

[54] See Manne & Wright, Google and the Limits of Antitrust, supra note 10.

[55] See Bork & Sidak, supra note 11.

[56] Manne & Wright, If Search Neutrality Is the Answer, What’s the Question, supra note 10, at 189.

[57] Fair Ranking CR Consultation, supra note 48, interpretative note 5 (‘[T]he fact that a search feature (e.g. the Flights Module) might be designed and presented to include only Google inputs would not be relevant to paragraph 4.b. of the conduct requirement, but Google’s decision about where that search feature is ranked on the page would be’).

Source: UK Competition and Markets Authority

Regulatory Comments

Feb 13 Ex Parte Letter of ICLE and OTI Re: SB Docket Nos. 25-180, 25-157 & 25-306

Michael Calabrese and Jessica Dine, representing New America’s Open Technology Institute (OTI), and Kristian Stout, representing the International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE), met . . .

Michael Calabrese and Jessica Dine, representing New America’s Open Technology Institute (OTI), and Kristian Stout, representing the International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE), met on February 11, 2026, with Arpan Sura, senior counsel and wireless legal advisor to Chairman Brendan Carr; Will Holloway, wireless legal advisor to Commissioner Olivia Trusty; and Edyael Casaperalta, wireless advisor to Commissioner Anna Gomez, with respect to the above-captioned proceedings.

In each meeting, we summarized at a high level the recommendations in the report of the LEO Satellite Policy Working Group that we jointly convened throughout 2025.[1] The Working Group’s report highlights three salient issues for policymakers: spectrum sharing and coexistence, competition, and advancing the goals of universal and ubiquitous connectivity. The Working Group emphasized that more effective spectrum-sharing and coexistence reforms can greatly expand LEO capacity, performance, and innovation.

With respect to modernizing the rules governing GSO/NGSO spectrum sharing in the Ku and Ka bands, the Working Group strongly supported modernizing EPFD limits and adopting a framework similar to that governing NGSO/NGSO sharing.[2] This framework should require all operators to coordinate in good faith and adopt default interference thresholds that are proxies for actual harmful interference. The Working Group suggested that it would be effective to combine a short-term protection criterion based on an absolute increase in unavailability, such as 0.1% unavailability, with a long-term protection criterion based on 3% degraded throughput for GSO systems using ACM. Finally, the report suggested that the Commission should at least consider sunsets for priority protection, as it did in the NGSO/NGSO sharing framework, at least for ground stations, because these can be upgraded to minimize interference risk more easily and cheaply than GSO satellites in orbit.

Studies have shown that this framework could increase LEO providers’ overall capacity by up to eight times, providing a quality and capacity increase needed as increasing numbers of consumers rely on LEO service to get online. We urged the staff to adopt an order as soon as possible, in part to demonstrate the benefits of a more robust sharing framework well in advance of WRC-27, where this issue is on the tentative agenda. Ahead of WRC-23, OTI and ICLE joined 13 other consumer, school, library, and rural advocacy organizations in a joint letter to the leaders of the U.S. delegation strongly supporting this sharing framework.[3]

With respect to the Spectrum Abundance proceeding, we summarized the Working Group’s support for a robust satellite spectrum pipeline above 12 GHz, including most of the specific bands identified in the Commission’s pending NPRM. In particular, we expressed strong support for opening the 12.7-13.25 GHz band as an extension of the adjacent Ku downlink, as well as the 51.4-52.4 GHz band, which is also adjacent to prime FSS spectrum and unused, for NGSO uplink operations (earth to space). We also described the Working Group’s support for authorizing coordination of FSS earth stations in the 42-42.5 GHz band as part of a light-licensing and automated database coordination process. This automated coordination system could be similar to the proven 70/80/90 GHz framework and could be used to coordinate the siting of earth-station gateways in many other millimeter-wave bands, including the Lower 37 GHz band and the UMFUS bands being considered in a separate proceeding.[4]

Finally, with respect to the Space Modernization proceeding, we provided a brief overview of the comments we filed summarizing the Working Group’s recommendations.[5] The Working Group emphasized the need to replace the current process—characterized by case-by-case, bespoke reviews and tailored conditions—with standardized operational rules (including rules addressing space sustainability) capable of streamlining the application process by serving as presumed acceptable criteria. The Working Group also supported greater latitude for operators to design and modify their systems as technology continues to evolve rapidly. The Working Group recommended a “shot clock” (e.g., one year), but with flexibility for staff to pause the clock as the need for additional information or other special circumstances requires. Finally, while the Working Group did not make a recommendation on the overall timeline for deployment milestones—or whether to level the playing field between U.S. and non-U.S. licensees by mirroring the ITU timeline—it did recommend that deployment milestones be restructured into more graduated, measurable steps (e.g., every two years after an initial period), making forfeiture of larger performance bonds a stronger incentive to deter speculative applications and warehousing.

Pursuant to Section 1.1206(b) of the Commission’s rules, this letter is being filed in the above-captioned proceedings.

[1] See Low Earth Orbit Satellites: Policies to Promote Spectrum Sharing, Foster Competition, and Close Digital Divides, LEO Policy Working Group, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. & New Am. (Oct. 30, 2025), https://www.newamerica.org/oti/wireless-future-project/reports/leo-satellites.

[2] See also Comments of Public Knowledge & Open Tech. Inst., Modernizing Spectrum Sharing for Satellite Broadband, SB Docket No. 25-157 (July 28, 2025).

[3] Letter from 15 Pub. Int. Orgs. to Jessica Rosenworcel, Chairwoman, FCC, Alan Davidson, Assistant Sec’y of Commc’ns & Info., Nat’l Telecomms. & Info. Admin., & Nathan C. Fick, Ambassador at Large, U.S. Dep’t of State (Aug. 28, 2023) (urging the United States to prioritize more efficient and equitable access to shared spectrum resources for both LEO and GSO networks at WRC-23).

[4] We also noted that, when considering proposals such as light licensing in the UMFUS bands, it is important to consider the reasonable investment-backed expectations of existing license holders.

[5] See Comments of Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. & Open Tech. Inst. at New Am., Space Modernization for the 21st Century, SB Docket No. 25-306 (Jan. 20, 2026).

 

Source: Federal Communications Commission

Regulatory Comments

ICLE Comments to the FCC on the Upper C-Band (3.98-4.2 GHz)

I. Introduction and Overview The International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE) submits these comments in response to the Federal Communications Commission’s (FCC) notice of . . .

I. Introduction and Overview

The International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE) submits these comments in response to the Federal Communications Commission’s (FCC) notice of proposed rulemaking (NPRM) on the Upper C-Band (3.98–4.2 GHz).[1] ICLE is a nonprofit, nonpartisan research center that promotes law & economics approaches to public policy. Its work seeks to ensure that regulation rests on sound economic analysis and promotes consumer welfare, particularly in dynamic communications markets.

As the FCC evaluates the record, ICLE offers an economic framework for decision-making. Broadband deployment involves substantial sunk costs and operational risks that can deter investment and leave consumers worse off. Spectrum policy should therefore reduce transaction costs, clarify operating rights, and rely on market mechanisms to allocate spectrum efficiently.

Consistent rules across the C-band are central to that objective. Aligning upper and lower C-band service rules will create scale economies in equipment; support wide, contiguous channels; and allow providers to leverage existing infrastructure investments. The Commission should also apply its emerging-technologies framework to reimburse incumbents and incentivize timely relocation, so that new licensees can deploy service quickly.

The FCC must also address harmful-interference concerns. A risk-based interference assessment—evaluating both the probability and severity of interference—will better support coexistence than worst-case assumptions that unnecessarily foreclose productive uses. That framework can accommodate flexible-use licensing while allowing compatible satellite, aviation, and shared-use operations where risk remains acceptable.

Auction design should reinforce, not undermine, these goals. The Commission should emphasize rapid clearing and post-auction flexibility in secondary markets rather than regulatory preferences embedded in expanded bidding credits, allowing price discovery to identify the highest-valued uses.

Finally, close coordination with the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and other federal agencies is essential to avoid the delays experienced in the lower C-band transition. Transparent, predictable interagency processes will reduce regulatory uncertainty, support investment, and enable timely deployment of advanced wireless services.

II. Auction Design and Transition Policy for the Upper C-Band

The record supports the FCC’s proposal to adopt the same service rules for the upper C-band as for the lower C-band. The lower C-band framework generated substantial value for licensees and sufficient auction revenues to fund incumbent relocation, while a unified C-band approach increases technical efficiency, lowers deployment costs, and improves investment certainty.

The Commission can also apply its existing emerging-technologies framework to the upper C-band transition. Using auction proceeds and relocation incentives aligns incumbent behavior with rapid clearing and reduces coordination delays, enabling new licensees to deploy service sooner and capture the broader social value of the spectrum.

Consistent rules and timely clearing further support wide, contiguous channels, equipment standardization, and economies of scale, all of which strengthen network performance and accelerate deployment. The Commission should therefore prioritize rapid relocation, predictable operating rules, and post-auction flexibility in secondary markets, while avoiding auction design choices—such as expanded bidding credits—that substitute regulatory preferences for market-based price discovery.

A. Harmonizing Upper and Lower C-Band Rules to Reduce Risk and Deployment Costs

The Commission’s spectrum policy should maximize social welfare by putting radio spectrum to its highest-valued use. Doing so requires more than successful auctions. Licensees must make large, forward-looking investments to deploy service, and those investments carry substantial risk.[2]

Wireless deployment is capital-intensive. Providers must obtain construction permits and zoning approvals, secure access to public rights-of-way, install backhaul, and satisfy environmental and historic-preservation review before earning any return on the spectrum asset.[3] These sunk and uncertain costs shape expected returns. Because the upper C-band will largely support 5G networks, providers also face intense competition from rival networks, which constrains margins and limits upside.

As deployment costs and risks rise, the expected value of licenses falls. That reduces both bidders’ willingness to pay at auction and their incentives to deploy quickly and broadly after the auction. One way to mitigate these effects is to lower transaction costs. The Commission has pursued multiple proceedings aimed at doing so, but it cannot eliminate them entirely.

At its core, spectrum management minimizes the transaction costs of radio coordination. Harmful interference threatens service quality, customer relationships, and brand reputation. As interference risk rises, so does the risk to network investment. Identifying and resolving interference, though, also imposes transaction costs.

The FCC reduces these costs by defining license rights clearly and by providing information about who operates where. Still, it cannot eliminate interference risk. Residual risk increases uncertainty about reliability, service quality, and returns on invested capital. Spectrum policy therefore should provide clear, predictable operating rules and enable scale efficiencies that improve risk-adjusted returns for large sunk investments.

For this reason, the Commission should adopt the same service rules and band plan in the upper C-band as in the lower C-band. Power levels, guard-band alignment, emission masks, and antenna rules should match so that 3.7–4.2 GHz functions as a single, continuous operating environment using the same network equipment.[4]

First, harmonized rules allow wide, contiguous 100 MHz channels. One 100 MHz channel is more spectrally efficient than five 20 MHz channels, because each channel requires guard bands and control signaling that does not carry user traffic.[5] Combining fragmented spectrum eliminates these duplicative inefficiencies.

Carrier aggregation can combine nonadjacent bands, but it does not deliver the same benefits as contiguous spectrum.[6] Aggregation requires smartphones to monitor multiple frequencies and process simultaneous data streams, increasing power consumption and battery drain.[7] Not all devices support complex aggregation combinations, so lower-cost devices cannot realize wider bandwidth benefits without contiguous spectrum. Multiple signals also introduce small scheduling delays that increase latency and can limit ultra-low-latency applications.[8]

Second, harmonization lets providers reuse lower C-band equipment and reduce deployment costs. Carriers have already upgraded thousands of towers with lower C-band radios, which required tower reinforcement, new fiber and power runs, and installation of massive-MIMO equipment. Modern radios often support wide frequency ranges, typically 3.7–4.2 GHz and sometimes 3.3–4.2 GHz.[9] If the rules match, providers can activate upper C-band service through software updates at near-zero incremental installation cost.

Even where new radios are required, carriers can deploy a single wideband unit covering both bands, instead of leasing tower space for separate equipment. Divergent rules—such as different power limits—would force installation of additional radios and create direct and indirect costs.

Harmonization reduces duplicative expenses and deployment risk. That produces direct effects (greater deployment), indirect effects (earlier and more efficient use of construction, engineering, and integration supply chains), and induced effects (productivity gains from faster, lower-latency connectivity). One study estimates each additional 100 MHz of spectrum contributes $264 billion in GDP, 1.55 million jobs, and $388 billion in consumer surplus.[10]

Some commenters urge the Commission to auction smaller channels or narrower geographic licenses to give smaller bidders more opportunity to compete with nationwide providers.[11] Larger licenses can leave some areas initially underutilized, but that critique overlooks their transaction-cost advantages at initial assignment. Efficient allocation often fails when parties must assemble rights across many licenses, markets, and channels.

By assigning broader, clearly defined rights at the outset, the Commission reduces assembly costs and increases auction value. After assignment, licensees can partition, disaggregate, lease, or sell spectrum access where efficient. Secondary markets then allocate spectrum to higher-valued uses over time.

Accordingly, the Commission should not attempt to optimize spectrum use by fragmenting licenses ex ante. Instead, it should maximize post-auction flexibility.[12] The FCC can do so by revisiting partitioning and disaggregation rules and lowering transaction costs for licensees that transfer rights across markets or channels. Secondary markets, rather than regulatory fragmentation, provide the most efficient mechanism to allocate operating rights.

B. Incentivizing Rapid Incumbent Relocation Through the Emerging-Technologies Framework

Wireless providers have strong incentives to deploy service in the upper C-band. Still, reallocation and deployment risks can materially reduce license values relative to the broader economic gains deployment creates. FCC policy therefore should prioritize clearing existing operations quickly, rather than maximizing net auction revenue. The social value of a rapid transition likely exceeds the Treasury’s share of auction proceeds.

The Commission’s emerging-technologies framework, applied in the lower C-band, sought to maximize the value of reallocation by using auction proceeds to incentivize incumbents to relocate. The framework reimbursed necessary relocation costs and offered accelerated-relocation payments before new licensees could begin operations, while also providing time for incumbents to move their services.[13]

Relocation carries operational risk. Incumbents will not accelerate when the risk of service disruption exceeds the compensation offered. Mandatory deadlines alone invite delay, extension requests, and resistance when incentives misalign with rapid clearing. Incentive payments instead align private incentives with the Commission’s objective of timely relocation, reducing delay and coordination costs.

The framework also supports full clearing of the band. Complete clearing both increases auction value and provides technical flexibility for new licensees, creating a greenfield environment for new services. It also aligns the U.S. band plan with the International Mobile Telecommunications (IMT) standards issued globally by the International Telecommunication Union’s (ITU) ITU Radiocommunication Sector (ITU-R), enabling equipment scale economies and lowering deployment costs.

Applying the framework to the upper C-band may require adjustments. Some commenters note that relocation may require alternative transmission approaches. For example, NCTA argues reimbursement should cover not only capital expenditures, but also new operating expenses,[14] and that incumbents need adequate time to maintain service quality and reliability.[15] If incumbents face higher operating costs after transition, relocation will slow unless those costs are addressed. To promote speed, the FCC should allow compensation beyond capital investment where necessary.

The Commission’s objective should be rapid relocation, not Treasury revenue. When applying the emerging-technologies framework to the upper C-band, the FCC should provide sufficient transition funding to reduce relocation risk and enable efficient migration to alternative technologies or frequency bands. Although this approach may reduce net auction proceeds, it will shorten deployment timelines, reduce coordination costs, and allow consumers and communities to realize the benefits of high-speed connectivity sooner.

C. Limiting Bidding Credits to Preserve Market-Based Price Discovery

Some commenters urge the Commission to expand bidding credits beyond those in 47 C.F.R. § 1.2110(f)(2)(i)(B)–(C). Most notably, WISPA seeks a 35% credit for businesses with average gross revenues of $4 million or less over the preceding five years.[16] The argument is that smaller bidders lack the financial resources to compete with nationwide 5G providers but could deliver greater consumer value.

As discussed above, the social value of spectrum auctions often exceeds auction proceeds. Incentivizing incumbents to relocate does not require the Commission to determine which service is more valuable. Relocation payments instead facilitate market price discovery by allowing bidders to reveal how much they value the spectrum.

Bidding credits are different. They require the Commission to favor certain bidders or business models over others. History shows the difficulty of such determinations.[17] Regulators face limited information, potential capture, and incentive misalignment. For these reasons, the FCC has increasingly relied on market mechanisms to determine which users and services value spectrum most highly.

Although the Commission proposes 15% and 25% bidding credits, it should eliminate bidding credits to the extent the Communications Act permits.[18] Removing them would avoid regulatory value judgments and allow the market to determine the highest-valued use of the licenses.

If the Commission retains credits, it should limit them to the proposed 15% and 25% levels and align the auction design with the lower C-band auction.[19]

III. Risk-Based Interference Management and Spectrum Sharing

As a threshold matter, the Commission should maximize concurrent operations in the upper C-band so long as those operations do not cause harmful interference to neighboring services. Historically, interference analysis relied on worst-case assumptions.[20] Regulators evaluated whether interference was physically possible under extreme operating parameters.[21] This approach effectively prevents harmful interference, but it also imposes significant opportunity costs by excluding many otherwise compatible uses.

A risk-based interference assessment takes a more economically grounded approach. Instead of asking whether interference could ever occur, the regulator evaluates how likely it is and how severe the consequences would be.[22] Using probabilistic methods, including Monte Carlo simulations, the analysis categorizes potential harms along a likelihood distribution. The regulator then determines what level of risk is acceptable, given the severity of the harm. A rare but catastrophic outcome would be unacceptable, while a more common event causing only minor service degradation may be tolerable. The key is balancing probability against consequence.

Introducing flexible-use licenses in the upper C-band will increase interference concerns, particularly regarding radio altimeters operating in the 4.2–4.4 GHz band. As the Commission evaluates the technical record and coordinates with other federal agencies, it should assess these concerns through a risk-based framework.

Several commenters also propose productive uses for portions of the band not auctioned for exclusive licenses. SpaceX asks the Commission to authorize supplemental coverage from space in the remaining spectrum.[23] It contends next-generation satellite systems could use the band for downlink and provide direct-to-device service without interfering with radio altimeters.

Similarly, Monisha Ghosh and co-authors propose allocating remaining spectrum to a shared-access regime similar to the CBRS band (3.55–3.7 GHz).[24] They explain:

[T]his left-over spectrum could be utilized in terrestrial wireless deployments by leveraging the successful sharing mechanism used in the CBRS band (3.55 – 3.7 GHz). The Spectrum Access System (SAS) developed for CBRS can be easily extended to determine appropriate power levels for new devices in this band such that no harmful interference occurs to both in-band (FSS) and adjacent band (altimeters) incumbents.[25]

Such an approach could expand use of the band and enable participation by smaller providers unable to obtain nationwide exclusive licenses.

As with terrestrial flexible-use operations, the Commission should evaluate both proposals using risk-based interference analysis. Each could be viable if operations can coexist with incumbents and new terrestrial services at acceptable risk levels. The same analytical framework should govern full-power licenses and shared or satellite operations alike.

IV. Interagency Coordination and Aviation-Sector Certainty

The record supports continued FCC coordination with the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and other federal agencies as the Commission evaluates terrestrial use of the upper C-band. AT&T notes that “[m]aking this spectrum available within the congressionally mandated timeframe will be challenging, and as Chairman Carr notes, will require ‘extensive cooperation and information sharing between the wireless and aviation sectors.’”[26]

If the Commission seeks to maximize the value of upper C-band reallocation, additional deployment delays will undermine that objective. Delays create uncertainty about the scope of license rights. Without clear and reliable rights, bidders cannot value spectrum accurately, resources are misallocated, and licenses may not go to their highest-valued uses.

Delays also impose indirect costs. The lower C-band coordination process has already introduced uncertainty into spectrum planning. Repeating that experience in this proceeding would discourage investment and slow deployment even before operations begin.

Effective coordination with the FAA and other federal agencies is therefore essential to mitigate risk and establish predictable operating conditions. Successful coordination would also signal that prior interagency failures have been resolved and reduce future concerns about regulatory disruption of licensed spectrum use.

The process will also require substantial aviation-industry participation, which has already begun in this proceeding. Sustained collaboration will help establish clear operating expectations and provide the certainty necessary for both wireless and aviation stakeholders.

V. Conclusion

Making the upper C-band available for flexible use presents a significant opportunity to expand U.S. leadership in 5G and next-generation wireless services. To capture the full social and economic value of this spectrum, the Commission should prioritize efficiency, certainty, and rapid deployment over short-term revenue maximization or regulatory micromanagement.

The record points to a clear path. Harmonizing the upper and lower C-band service rules will reduce transaction costs, support wide, contiguous channels, and allow providers to leverage existing infrastructure investments and standardized equipment. Applying the emerging-technologies framework to reimburse incumbents and incentivize timely relocation will accelerate clearing and enable licensees to deploy service sooner. The Commission should likewise rely on market-based auction design and post-auction flexibility, rather than expanded bidding credits, to ensure spectrum flows to its highest-valued use.

Risk-based interference assessments and sustained coordination with the FAA and other stakeholders will further provide the regulatory certainty needed for investment, while allowing compatible uses to coexist. Taken together, these policies will create a predictable, high-capacity mid-band environment that speeds deployment, lowers costs, and enables the productivity gains and innovation that widespread advanced wireless connectivity makes possible.

[1] In the Matter of Upper C-band (3.98–4.2 GHz), Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 47 C.F.R. pts. 1, 2, 25 & 27, GN Docket No. 25-59, FCC 25-78, 90 Fed. Reg. ___ (Dec. 5, 2025), https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/12/05/2025-22020/in-the-matter-of-upper-c-band-398-42-ghz [hereinafter NPRM].

[2] See Reply Comments of the International Center for Law & Economics, Build America: Eliminating Barriers to Wireless Deployment, WT Docket No. 25-276 (Jan. 12, 2026), https://laweconcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Build-America-Wireless-infrastructure-Comments.pdf.

[3] See Comments of the International Center for Law & Economics, CTIA Petition for Rulemaking, RM-12003 (Apr. 30, 2025).

[4] Comments of Ericsson, Upper C-band (3.98 to 4.2 GHz), GN Docket No. 25-59, at 13 (Jan. 20, 2026), https://www.fcc.gov/ecfs/document/1012043306275/1; Comments of AT&T Services, Inc., Upper C-band (3.98 to 4.2 GHz), GN Docket No. 25-59 (Jan. 20, 2026), https://www.fcc.gov/ecfs/document/101201785127405/1.

[5] CTIA, Smarter and More Efficient: How America’s Wireless Industry Maximizes Its Spectrum 7 (2019), https://api.ctia.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Spectrum_Efficiency.pdf.

[6] Haythem Banu Salameh, Marwan Krunz, & David Manzi, Spectrum Bonding and Aggregation with Guard-Band Awareness in Cognitive Radio Networks, 13 IEEE Trans. Mobile Comput. 569 (2014), https://doi.org/10.1109/tmc.2013.11.

[7] Signals Research Group, Paving the Way to 5G SA with Carrier Aggregation (Feb. 2023), https://www.nokia.com/asset/f/213121 (carrier aggregation can reduce device battery use in some cases by completing downloads faster despite higher current draw).

[8] Ericsson, What, Why and How: the Power of 5G Carrier Aggregation (2021), https://www.ericsson.com/en/blog/2021/6/what-why-how-5g-carrier-aggregation.

[9] Press Release, Samsung, Samsung Introduces Complete C-band Network Solutions Portfolio (Apr. 20, 2021), https://news.samsung.com/global/samsung-introduces-complete-C-band-network-solutions-portfolio.

[10] Hector Lopez & Julien Martin, The Economic Impact of Each Additional 100 MHz of Mid-band Spectrum for Mobile (prepared for CTIA, Jan. 22, 2025), https://api.ctia.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/The-economic-impact-of-allocating-mid-band-spectrum-to-mobile.pdf.

[11] Comments of WISPA, Upper C-band (3.98–4.2 GHz), GN Docket No. 25-59, at 5 (Jan. 20, 2026), https://www.fcc.gov/ecfs/document/101201162526102/1.

[12] See 47 C.F.R. § 101.1111.

[13] NPRM, supra note 1 at n. 2.

[14] Comments of NCTA – The Internet & Television Association, Upper C-band (3.98–4.2 GHz), GN Docket No. 25-59 (Jan. 20, 2026), https://www.fcc.gov/ecfs/document/10121058788895/1.

[15] Id. at 18–19. (transition requires planning, satellite construction and launch, technical upgrades, relocation, alternative-path deployment, testing, and decommissioning).

[16] WISPA, supra note 11, at 3.

[17] See Use of the 5.850–5.925 GHz Band, Report and Order, Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, and Order of Proposed Modification, 35 FCC Rcd. 13440, ET Docket No. 19-138 (Nov. 20, 2020), https://docs.fcc.gov/public/attachments/FCC-20-164A1.pdf (the Commission originally allocated the 5.9 GHz band to dedicated short-range communications (DSRC) for vehicle safety, expecting deployment, but the technology did not develop and the band was later repurposed in part for unlicensed use and in part for another standard).

[18] 47 U.S.C. § 309(j).

[19] 47 C.F.R. § 1.2110(f)(2)(i)(B)–(C).

[20] Spectrum and Receiver Performance Working Group of the Federal Communications Commission’s Technological Advisory Council, A Quick Introduction to Risk-Informed Interference Assessment (Apr. 1, 2015), https://transition.fcc.gov/bureaus/oet/tac/tacdocs/meeting4115/Intro-to-RIA-v100.pdf.

[21] Jean Pierre De Vries, Risk-Informed Interference Assessment: A Quantitative Basis for Spectrum Allocation Decisions, 41 Telecomm. Pol’y 434 (2017), https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2792395.

[22] Id.

[23] Comments of Space Exploration Holdings, LLC, Upper C-band (3.98–4.2 GHz), GN Docket No. 25-59 (Jan. 20, 2026), https://www.fcc.gov/ecfs/document/10121052152521/1.

[24] Comments of Monisha Ghosh, Joshua Roy Palathinkal, Muhammad Rochman, & S. M. Haider Ali Shuvo, Upper C-band (3.98–4.2 GHz), GN Docket No. 25-59 (Jan. 21, 2026), https://www.fcc.gov/ecfs/document/10121176025934/1.

[25] Id. at 1-2.

[26] AT&T Services, Inc., supra note 4, at 9.

Source: Federal Communications Commission

Regulatory Comments

ICLE Comments to Competition Bureau Canada on Draft Merger Enforcement Guidelines

Executive Summary The International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE) submits these comments on the Competition Bureau’s Draft Merger Enforcement Guidelines. The Draft Merger Guidelines consolidate the Bureau’s merger-review approach...

Executive Summary

The International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE) submits these comments on the Competition Bureau’s Draft Merger Enforcement Guidelines. The Draft Merger Guidelines consolidate the Bureau’s merger-review approach following amendments to the Competition Act enacted through Bill C-56 (2023) and Bill C-59 (2024). Those amendments removed the efficiencies defence, introduced structural presumptions based on concentration and market share, authorised consideration of labour-market effects, and expanded private access to the Competition Tribunal.

These comments identify three principal concerns and propose targeted revisions.

The Draft Guidelines presume a substantial lessening or prevention of competition where the post-merger HHI exceeds 1,800 (with an increase of 100 or more) or the parties’ combined market share exceeds 30%. These thresholds track the 2023 U.S. Merger Guidelines, which were criticised by the competition-enforcement agencies’ own economists as lacking empirical support. Decades of industrial-organization research—including surveys by Steven Berry, Fiona Scott Morton, and Martin Gaynor, and work by former chief economists at both U.S. enforcement agencies—show that concentration measures correlate poorly with competitive harm across industries and market conditions.

Concentration often reflects competitive success. Firms with lower costs or better products gain share as higher-cost rivals lose sales, increasing concentration even as margins decline. The Draft Guidelines also leave unclear how parties may rebut the presumption and how it applies to primarily vertical or conglomerate transactions.

The Bureau should treat structural presumptions as preliminary screens, not near-determinative findings of harm. Below a 30% combined market share, enforcement should be exceptional. Below an HHI of 2,500, presumptions should be readily rebutted. The guidelines should identify rebuttal evidence—entry conditions, rival expansion, switching costs, multi-homing, innovation, merger-specific efficiencies, and direct competitive-effects evidence—and clarify application to non-horizontal transactions.

Following repeal of the former s. 96 efficiencies defence, the Draft Guidelines state efficiencies are “unlikely to change” the Bureau’s conclusions when a merger raises significant concerns. This framing treats efficiencies as peripheral, rather than central to competitive effects. Standard price theory predicts the opposite: marginal-cost reductions directly affect pricing and output. A merger that sufficiently reduces marginal cost may lower post-merger prices even if concentration increases. Dynamic efficiencies—innovation, product quality, and faster commercialisation—often generate substantial consumer benefits in research-intensive sectors.

The issue is particularly important for vertical mergers. The elimination of double marginalisation—the pricing distortion that occurs when firms with pricing power operate at successive levels of a supply chain—is an inherent consequence of vertical integration, not a speculative synergy. Empirical literature consistently finds vertical mergers benefit consumers; a survey of 31 studies found consumer benefit in all but one. Yet the Draft Guidelines apply horizontal structural thresholds to vertical transactions, assert without citation that vertical integration increases coordination risk, and subject double marginalisation elimination to demanding evidentiary requirements. The draft also applies inconsistent reasoning to contractual alternatives, treating contracts as insufficient to prevent foreclosure but sufficient to replicate integration benefits.

The Bureau should integrate efficiencies directly into competitive-effects analysis, apply a realistic merger-specificity standard that accounts for timing and execution costs, and recognise that substantial efficiencies can rebut structural presumptions. For vertical mergers, the Guidelines should establish a safe harbour where shares remain below 40% at each level, recognise elimination of double marginalisation where both levels exercise pricing power, remove the unsupported coordination-risk claim, apply consistent treatment of contracts, and intervene only where foreclosure would harm consumers and impair rivals’ ability to compete.

Several provisions extend enforcement theories into areas where economic evidence is thinner and conventional tools are less reliable. In platform markets, the Draft Guidelines risk treating network effects as a presumption of market power. Network effects vary in strength and scope and must be assessed alongside entry conditions, switching costs, innovation, and multi-homing. Platform markets frequently experience rapid displacement by new entrants.

The Bureau should specify that widespread multi-homing and low switching costs ordinarily weigh against a finding of substantial lessening of competition, require concrete evidence that a target is a likely and substantial future competitive constraint before concluding a merger prevents dynamic competition, and evaluate platform-participant mergers under the vertical-effects framework.

The labour-market provisions raise similar concerns. The Draft Guidelines apply a product-market analytical framework to labour markets, even though labour-market definition is more uncertain and the economic literature remains unsettled. Reductions in labour demand can reflect efficiency gains rather than monopsony power, and the two cannot be distinguished without examining downstream output and prices.

The Bureau should require evidence of downstream output effects in labour-market analysis, apply a demanding evidentiary standard, and define labour markets to reflect realistic worker alternatives, including cross-industry substitution and remote-work opportunities.

An error-cost framework links these recommendations. False positives—blocking mergers that would benefit consumers—impose durable costs: forgone efficiencies, deterred transactions, and reduced investment and innovation. False negatives are more likely to self-correct through entry, expansion, and technological change. The Guidelines should therefore direct enforcement toward mergers supported by substantial evidence of harm and exercise restraint where evidence is ambiguous or offsetting benefits are likely. The proposed revisions would reduce false positives while preserving strong enforcement against mergers that demonstrably harm competition and consumers.

I. Introduction and Overview

The International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE) submits these comments on the Competition Bureau’s Proposed Merger Enforcement Guidelines.[1] ICLE is a non-profit research centre that applies economic analysis to legal and regulatory questions, with a particular focus on competition policy and market institutions. ICLE scholars previously submitted comments to the Bureau on the Future of Competition Policy in Canada,[2] on Canada’s Anti-Competitive Conduct and Agreements Enforcement Guidelines (attached as Appendix AA),[3] and on the Bureau’s prior merger-enforcement guidelines (attached as Appendix BB).[4]

The Draft Merger Guidelines aim to consolidate the Bureau’s merger-review approach following significant amendments to the Competition Act enacted through Bill C-56 (2023) and Bill C-59 (2024).[5] Those amendments materially expanded the Bureau’s enforcement authority. Among other changes, Parliament:

  • removed the efficiency defence in merger review (Bill C-56);
  • introduced a presumption that a merger is anti-competitive if it significantly increases concentration or market share (Bill C-59);
  • strengthened remedies by directing that they preserve or restore the level of competition that would have existed absent the merger (Bill C-59);
  • clarified that the Competition Tribunal may consider competitive harm in labour markets when deciding whether to allow a merger or part of a merger (Bill C-59); and
  • clarified that the Tribunal may consider coordination risk among competitors (Bill C-59).

Bill C-56 also added “excessive and unfair selling prices” as an anti-competitive act under s. 78, extended s. 90.1’s civil-agreements provisions to non-competitors, and increased maximum administrative monetary penalties to the greater of $10 million for individuals or $25 million for corporations, or up to three times the benefit derived from the conduct. Bill C-59 expanded private access to the Competition Tribunal. ICLE addressed those issues in the ACCA Comments submitted in January 2026 (Appendix AA).

Although Parliament broadened the statutory language, the Bureau retains substantial discretion in setting enforcement priorities and interpretive standards. These comments address how the Bureau can exercise that discretion to protect competition without discouraging mergers that benefit consumers.

A. Structural Presumptions

The Draft Merger Guidelines place substantial weight on structural presumptions that economic research shows are unreliable predictors of competitive harm. The proposed thresholds—a Herfindahl–Hirschman index (HHI) of 1,800 with an increase of 100, or a combined market share exceeding 30%—lack empirical support.

Decades of industrial-organization research, including work by economists who have served in U.S. enforcement agencies, show that concentration measures cannot substitute for analysis of entry conditions, firm conduct, and competitive dynamics. The proposed thresholds closely track the controversial 2023 U.S. Merger Guidelines, which agency economists themselves criticised as unsupported by the empirical literature.

The draft further leaves unclear how merging parties may rebut the presumption and how the presumption applies to primarily vertical or conglomerate transactions.

B. Efficiencies

The Guidelines marginalise efficiencies in a manner inconsistent with standard price theory and likely to generate systematic false positives. After Parliament repealed the s. 96 efficiency defence, the Guidelines treat efficiencies as unlikely to affect the Bureau’s conclusions whenever a merger raises structural concerns.

This approach disregards the role of cost reductions in shaping firms’ pricing and output decisions. The problem is particularly acute for vertical mergers. Eliminating double marginalisation is a direct consequence of integration, not a speculative synergy, and empirical literature consistently finds consumer benefits.

The Guidelines also adopt internally inconsistent assumptions about contracts. They treat contracts as insufficient to prevent foreclosure harms, yet sufficient to replicate the benefits of integration.

C. Expanding Theories of Harm

Several provisions extend enforcement theories into areas where economic evidence is limited or the analytical framework fits poorly. The claim that vertical integration increases coordination risk appears without citation or economic reasoning. The treatment of platform mergers risks turning network effects into a presumption of market power, rather than evaluating them alongside entry, switching costs, and multi-homing.

The labour-market provisions apply a product-market framework to settings where market definition is more difficult and the literature less developed. They also risk misidentifying efficiency-enhancing reductions in labour demand as monopsony power, unless downstream output effects are examined.

D. Organisation of These Comments

These comments proceed as follows. Section II explains the error-cost framework and its implications for the Bureau’s exercise of enforcement discretion. Section III examines the structural presumptions and concentration thresholds, including the limited predictive value of HHI measures, the specific numerical thresholds adopted, and the unclear rebuttal standards. Section IV addresses market definition and its proper analytical role. Section V discusses efficiencies and the failing-firm defence. Section VI analyses vertical mergers, including empirical evidence on competitive effects, the unsupported coordination-risk claim, foreclosure theories and their limits, and the mischaracterisation of double marginalisation as a speculative efficiency. Section VII examines platforms and multi-sided markets, including multi-homing, dynamic competition, and self-preferencing. Section VIII addresses labour-market analysis and the gap between the economic literature and the proposed framework. Section IX sets out specific recommendations for revision.

II. The Error-Cost Framework and Effects-Based Merger Analysis

As noted in ICLE’s ACCA Comments, competition enforcement necessarily operates under uncertainty and therefore carries a risk of error. The error-cost framework developed by U.S. Judge Frank Easterbrook and subsequent scholarship recognises that enforcement rules must account for both over- and under-deterrence.

Under that framework, the social costs of false positives (Type I errors) generally exceed those of false negatives (Type II errors). Erroneous intervention can chill pro-competitive conduct, deter innovation, and create lasting legal and economic distortions that market forces cannot readily correct. By contrast, under-enforcement is more often temporary, as entry and competitive pressure tend to erode supra-competitive outcomes over time.

These considerations favour clear limiting principles, rigorous evidence, and interpretive restraint in the Bureau’s enforcement approach, particularly in dynamic or innovation-driven markets, where over-enforcement produces the greatest harm.

III. Structural Presumptions and Concentration Thresholds

The Guidelines adopt the structural presumptions in s. 92(2) of the Competition Act. A merger that significantly increases market share or concentration is presumed to substantially lessen or prevent competition unless the parties rebut the presumption. Under s. 92(3), a “significant increase” occurs when:

  • the post-merger HHI rises, or is likely to rise, by more than 100; and
  • either the concentration index exceeds, or is likely to exceed, 1,800, or the parties’ combined post-merger market share exceeds, or is likely to exceed, 30%.

The Guidelines state that mergers meeting these thresholds are “presumed to substantially harm competition.” Section 92(2) allows the parties to rebut the presumption on a balance of probabilities.

Market-share measures can appropriately serve as an initial screening tool in merger review. The proposed approach, however, raises several concerns.

First, decades of economic research show that market shares and concentration ratios do not reliably predict competitive harm. The structural presumptions therefore place excessive weight on concentration measures.

Second, the numerical thresholds are too low and lack a sound empirical basis across diverse markets, particularly where the Guidelines attach a presumption of competitive harm.

Third, the Guidelines do not clearly specify the evidentiary standard required to rebut the presumption.

Fourth, the Guidelines do not explain how the presumptions apply to primarily vertical or conglomerate transactions that include limited horizontal overlap.

A. The Limited Predictive Value of Concentration Measures

Concentration measures, and market-share thresholds in particular, have limited value in predicting competitive effects. They may serve as preliminary screening tools and, in some markets, they may signal competitive concerns. Decades of economic research nonetheless show that market shares and concentration ratios do not reliably predict competitive harm across industries or sectors. A market with many small firms is not necessarily more competitive than one with fewer large firms. The proposed structural presumptions therefore place excessive weight on concentration measures.

Indeed, concentration often reflects competitive success, rather than market failure.[6] Firms with lower costs or better products expand, while higher-cost rivals lose sales.[7] As Chad Syverson observes, “many empirical studies in varied settings have found that greater substitutability/competition—resulting from, say, reductions in trade, transport, or search costs—shifts activity away from smaller, higher-cost producers and toward larger, lower-cost producers,” increasing concentration even as margins decline.[8]

Treating “too much” concentration as inherently harmful assumes both that market structure determines economic outcomes and that a correct level of concentration can be identified. Economists have rejected that premise since at least the 1970s. As one classic formulation explains:[9]

Once perfect knowledge of technology and price is abandoned, [competitive intensity] may increase, decrease, or remain unchanged as the number of firms in the market is increased.… [I]t is presumptuous to conclude… that markets populated by fewer firms perform less well or offer competition that is less intense.[10]

Harold Demsetz’s critique of the “market concentration doctrine” likewise showed that correlations between concentration and profits often reflect efficiency, rather than market power.[11] A recent survey of the industrial-organization literature by Steven Berry, Fiona Scott Morton, and Martin Gaynor reached a similar conclusion:

In short, there is no well-defined “causal effect of concentration on price,” but rather a set of hypotheses that can explain observed correlations of the joint outcomes of price, measured markups, market share . . .

Our own view, based on the well-established mainstream wisdom in the field of industrial organization for several decades, is that regressions of market outcomes on measures of industry structure like the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index should be given little weight in policy debates.[12]

Concentration measures therefore provide, at most, rough starting points for analysis. Dennis Carlton describes market shares and concentration as “at best crude first steps,” noting a weak empirical link between changes in market share and competitive performance, and observing that no model shows market share alone reliably predicts prices or welfare effects.[13]

Experience in health-care merger enforcement illustrates the point. U.S. enforcement agencies have relied on applied industrial-organization research to challenge anticompetitive hospital mergers successfully in court, while moving beyond traditional structure-conduct-performance (SCP) assumptions. Agency research finds that newer screening tools—particularly willingness-to-pay (WTP) and upward pricing pressure (UPP)—more accurately identify problematic hospital mergers than traditional concentration measures.[14]

Static market-share data cannot substitute for analysis of firm conduct and market conditions. Modern competition analysis instead emphasises entry conditions and potential competition. The contestable-markets framework developed by William Baumol, John Panzar, and Robert Willig shows that industry outcomes depend primarily on entry and exit costs, particularly sunk costs, rather than on the number or size of incumbent firms. Even concentrated markets can remain competitive where entry is feasible, because “potential competition enforces cost-minimization regardless of the nature of the industry structure.”[15] David Teece extends this insight to innovation-driven sectors, arguing that market share poorly captures market power when technological change and “unseen” competition constrain incumbents.[16] OECD methodological reviews likewise emphasise contestability, entry barriers, and switching costs—factors not reflected in standard concentration metrics.[17]

Evidence from productivity[18] and innovation[19] studies reinforces this conclusion. Competitive pressure tied to entry and policy changes correlates more strongly with performance than market structure alone. Authorities should therefore treat market shares as incomplete and potentially misleading screens, supplemented—and, where appropriate, displaced—by analysis of entry, expansion, switching costs, innovation, and the durability of any competitive advantage.

Digital markets illustrate these dynamics. Firms such as Facebook, Google, and Amazon achieved large market shares by offering valuable services at low or zero prices and improving user experience. Their positions remain contestable through innovation, as reflected in TikTok’s rapid growth in social media and continued competition in e-commerce from Shopify, Walmart, and specialised retailers.

The final Guidelines should clarify that market-share thresholds function only as initial screens, not presumptions of market power. Below 30%, the Bureau should decline enforcement absent exceptional circumstances. Above 30%, the Guidelines should identify factors—such as entry conditions, rival expansion, customer switching, and innovation—that can rebut any inference of market power drawn solely from market-share data.

B. Structural Presumptions Require Clear Rebuttal Standards

Section 92(2) creates a structural presumption that shifts the burden to the merging parties to show the transaction is unlikely to substantially lessen or prevent competition. The Guidelines add that “the more the thresholds are exceeded, the greater the need for persuasive evidence to refute the presumption.”

As explained in ICLE’s ACCA Comments, the Bureau should clarify that structural presumptions function only as initial screens, not prima facie—and potentially determinative—evidence of competitive harm to Canadian consumers. Market definition, market shares, and concentration measures are analytical tools, not conclusions. The Bureau should evaluate them alongside:

  • entry conditions and the likelihood of timely, likely, and sufficient entry;
  • expansion by existing rivals;
  • customer switching costs and multi-homing behaviour;
  • innovation dynamics and the pace of technological change; and
  • direct competitive-effects evidence, including customer testimony, internal documents, and economic analysis.

The proposed Guidelines also do not specify the evidentiary standard required to rebut a structural presumption. That omission is particularly concerning, given the limited empirical support for the presumptions themselves. Without clear standards, parties cannot predict what evidence will suffice, and enforcement risks becoming discretionary rather than evidence-based.

C. The Proposed HHI Thresholds Lack Empirical Support

The Guidelines adopt an HHI threshold of 1,800, with an increase of 100 or more, to trigger the structural presumption. This threshold appears drawn from the U.S. agencies’ 2023 Merger Guidelines,[20] which departed from prior enforcement practice.

The U.S. agencies’ 2010 Horizontal Merger Guidelines identified three concentration ranges: “unconcentrated markets” (HHI below 1,500), “moderately concentrated markets” (HHI between 1,500 and 2,500), and “highly concentrated markets” (HHI above 2,500). Mergers producing a moderately concentrated market with an HHI increase above 100 were deemed to “potentially raise significant competitive concerns” and “often warrant scrutiny.”[21] Even mergers producing a highly concentrated market were not presumed unlawful. Instead, mergers that increased HHI by 100–200 points were likewise said to “potentially raise significant competitive concerns and often warrant scrutiny.”[22]

The 2023 U.S. revisions proved controversial and departed from both historical agency practice and mainstream economic literature.[23] Agency economists themselves recognised longstanding concerns about overreliance on concentration metrics such as HHIs. In 2022, Steven Berry, Fiona Scott Morton, and Martin Gaynor joined numerous former chief economists from both U.S. competition agencies, as well as Aviv Nevo (soon to become director of the FTC’s Bureau of Economics), in cautioning that “regressions of price on the HHI do not predict the competitive effects of mergers and should not be used in merger review.”[24]

The point was not that increasing concentration can never justify scrutiny or that HHI lacks screening value. Rather, relative HHI changes do not reliably predict competitive harm—or benefit—and therefore should not be embedded in legal presumptions.

The specific numerical revisions adopted in 2023 also lacked support. In comments submitted to the U.S. agencies before adoption of the guidelines, Aviv Nevo and other prominent economists warned:

Our view is that this would not be the most productive route for the agencies to pursue to successfully prevent harmful mergers, and could backfire by putting even further emphasis on market definition and structural presumptions.

If the agencies were to substantially change the presumption thresholds, they would also need to persuade courts that the new thresholds were at the right level. Is the evidence there to do so? . . . Our reading of the literature is that it is not clear and persuasive enough . . . to support a substantially different threshold that will be applied across the board to all industries and market conditions.[25]

ICLE scholars and others likewise criticised the U.S. revisions in comments to the U.S. Justice Department (DOJ) and Federal Trade Commission (FTC).[26] The lower thresholds lack empirical support and risk capturing many mergers that pose no competitive threat. As Nevo, John Asker, and other co-authors observed, the evidence supporting structuralist revisions was “thin.”[27] Economic evidence provides no reliable basis to treat an HHI of 1,800 or a 30% market share as a dependable indicator of market power or likely competitive harm.

The Competition Bureau should therefore avoid importing and extending these unsupported presumptions. Under an error-cost framework, the relevant choice is not between more and less aggressive enforcement, but between evidence-based and presumption-based enforcement. Poorly justified presumptions risk increased false positives without offsetting benefits, harming competition in Canada and Canadian consumers.

The Guidelines should clarify three points.

First, HHI calculations depend on market definition, which is itself an analytical construct subject to uncertainty and judgement. Where market boundaries are contested or unclear, structural presumptions based on HHI should carry less weight.

Second, HHI measures static market structure. It does not capture dynamic competition, innovation, potential entry, or competitive self-correction. High HHIs in rapidly changing markets may reflect temporary leadership rather than durable market power.

Third, below an HHI of 2,500, structural presumptions should apply cautiously and should be readily rebutted by evidence of entry, expansion, innovation, or efficiencies.

IV. Market Definition and Competitive-Effects Analysis

Market definition is a central analytical tool in merger review, but it presents significant conceptual and practical challenges. This section evaluates the Guidelines’ approach to defining relevant product and geographic markets and treats market definition as a flexible method for assessing competitive effects, not a rigid requirement.

The discussion reviews the strengths and limits of the hypothetical monopolist (SSNIP) test, including the Cellophane fallacy, critical-loss circularity, non-price competition, and product differentiation. It also addresses the factors that shape geographic market boundaries. The section concludes with recommendations to better align the Guidelines with economic principles and the practical realities of competitive analysis.

A. Market Definition as an Analytical Tool

The Guidelines correctly recognise that market definition is an analytical tool, not an end in itself. As the Guidelines state, “in some reviews, we may not precisely define markets, because we are able to assess the merger’s effects on competition without doing so.”

This flexibility reflects sound economic principles. Market definition draws a boundary between closer and more distant substitutes. In many cases, precise boundaries are unnecessary and sometimes unattainable. Buyers’ close substitutes will not always fall neatly inside a single market, and competitive constraints may arise from both inside and outside any defined boundary.

The Guidelines should emphasise this point more clearly. Market definition serves one purpose: assessing competitive effects. Where the Bureau can evaluate competitive effects directly, market definition becomes less important. Where merging firms compete across multiple overlapping markets with similar competitive conditions, aggregating those markets may simplify analysis without affecting the result.

B. The Hypothetical Monopolist (SSNIP) Test and Its Limits

The Guidelines describe the hypothetical monopolist test—also known as the SSNIP test (a “small but significant and non-transitory increase in price”)—as a tool for defining markets. The test asks whether a hypothetical monopolist controlling all products in a candidate market would profitably impose a price increase. The Guidelines specify a 5% increase lasting one year.

The SSNIP framework offers useful conceptual guidance but presents well-known implementation challenges.

1. The Cellophane Fallacy

If current prices already reflect market power, using them as the SSNIP baseline will overstate the relevant market. A monopolist already charging supra-competitive prices would lose substantial sales from an additional 5% increase, incorrectly suggesting a broader market. The Guidelines recognise this concern, noting that “we may use a different base price when market conditions absent the merger would likely result in a lower or higher price in the future.”

2. Critical-loss analysis

Applying the SSNIP test often requires estimating “critical loss”—the maximum quantity loss a hypothetical monopolist could sustain while still finding a price increase profitable. Critical loss depends on margins, which themselves depend on market definition. This creates circularity. High observed margins may indicate market power, implying narrow markets, or efficiency, which does not.

3. Non-price competition

The SSNIP test focuses on price, yet many mergers affect quality, variety, innovation, privacy, or other non-price dimensions. The Guidelines acknowledge this, stating that “depending on the nature of competition, we may assess whether a different exercise of market power would be profit-maximizing, such as a change in product quality, variety, privacy, or any other dimension of competition.” The final Guidelines should provide more specific guidance on applying the hypothetical monopolist framework to non-price competition.

4. Product differentiation

In differentiated-product markets, the SSNIP test may produce very narrow markets, potentially as narrow as a single product. Competitive effects instead depend on substitution patterns and the degree of differentiation. The Guidelines should clarify that diversion ratios, customer-switching evidence, and other direct competitive-effects evidence often provide more reliable guidance than formal market definition in such settings.

C. Defining Geographic Markets Based on Competitive Constraints

The Guidelines apply the hypothetical monopolist test to geographic markets. If buyers would shift purchases to sellers in more distant locations in quantities sufficient to make a price increase unprofitable, those locations become part of the candidate market. The approach is sound in principle but often difficult to implement.

Several factors are particularly important.

  • Transportation Costs: High transportation costs limit the geographic scope of competition. Bulk commodities and heavy products typically compete in regional, not national, markets.
  • Regulatory Barriers: Provincial or national regulations may restrict out-of-market suppliers. Licensing requirements, product-approval processes, and language requirements can define practical geographic boundaries.
  • Customer Behaviour: Actual purchasing patterns, customer location, and willingness to travel or source from distant suppliers provide direct evidence of geographic market scope.

The Guidelines should emphasise that geographic markets must reflect real competitive constraints, not administrative or political borders. Where customers regularly source from multiple provinces or countries, those areas should fall within the geographic market even if suppliers maintain separate regional pricing policies.

V. Countervailing Considerations: Efficiencies and Failing Firms

This section addresses two countervailing considerations identified in the Guidelines: efficiencies (Part 4.7) and failing firms and exiting assets (Part 4.6). Both bear directly on whether a merger causes a substantial lessening or prevention of competition and both warrant clearer, more economically grounded treatment in the final Guidelines.

First, although Parliament repealed the former s. 96 efficiency defence, efficiencies remain central to competitive-effects analysis. Cost reductions, innovation gains, and other merger-specific efficiencies shape firms’ pricing, output, and investment decisions and may offset, or more than offset, any increase in concentration. The Guidelines should therefore integrate substantiated efficiencies into the SLOC analysis, rather than treat them as peripheral or unlikely to affect the Bureau’s conclusions.

Second, the failing-firm and exiting-assets framework properly focuses on causation. Where, absent the merger, assets would leave the relevant market or cease to impose a meaningful competitive constraint, the merger does not worsen competitive outcomes. The analysis should therefore emphasise realistic counterfactuals, commercially reasonable searches for alternatives, and the likelihood of asset exit, including the failure of a part of a business, rather than formal insolvency alone.

Taken together, these considerations ensure merger review evaluates actual competitive effects. The Bureau should intervene where a transaction causes a material loss of competition, not where efficiencies benefit consumers or where assets would otherwise exit the market.

A. Efficiencies as a Component of Competitive-Effects Analysis

The Draft Merger Guidelines reflect the Bureau’s interpretation of Parliament’s repeal of the efficiency defence, formerly codified in s. 96 of the Competition Act. That repeal marks a significant shift in Canadian merger policy. Under the prior provision, a merger that increased prices could still proceed if efficiency gains outweighed the associated deadweight loss. The statutory balancing test has disappeared, but the economic logic underlying it has not.

In Canada (Commissioner of Competition) v. Superior Propane Inc.,[28] the Federal Court of Appeal explained that a merger producing a substantial lessening of competition could be permitted where efficiency gains exceeded and offset the anti-competitive effects. The Court discussed the “total surplus standard,” which focuses on deadweight loss, while also directing the Tribunal to consider the Act’s broader purposes, including competitive prices for consumers.

Under the amended Act, efficiencies appear only as one factor in the non-exhaustive list relevant to a substantial lessening or prevention of competition (SLOC).[29] The Draft Guidelines state the Bureau will consider efficiencies “as part of our overall analysis of harm to competition only where they are clearly merger-specific, substantiated with rigorous and independent evidence, and demonstrably likely to enhance competitive outcomes in a way that benefits Canadians.”[30] The Guidelines also state efficiencies are “unlikely to change” the Bureau’s conclusion where a merger raises significant competition concerns.[31]

Taken literally, this approach risks treating efficiencies as peripheral, rather than central, to competitive effects. Standard price theory places cost conditions at the core of pricing incentives, output decisions, and responses to entry.[32] As ICLE explained in its earlier comments:

And yet it, is not entirely clear—in the aftermath of Bill C-59, and especially following the elimination of the efficiencies defense—how defendants could rebut the structural presumption laid down in s.92, other than by refuting the market-concentration calculus put forward by the Bureau. This essentially turns merger review under the Competition Act into a formalistic exercise where—despite assurances to the contrary—market structure is outcome-determinative. It also jars with the logic that applies to conduct under s. 90.1, thereby rendering the Competition Act conceptually rudderless.[33]

1. The economic role of efficiencies

Discounting efficiencies risks systematic error. Enforcement that prioritises structural indicators while downplaying cost reductions invites false positives by condemning transactions that may reduce prices or expand output. The Draft Guidelines move policy in that direction by suggesting efficiencies rarely affect the SLOC determination once market-power concerns arise.

The relevant question is not whether efficiencies “preserve or restore competition to a level that would exist without the merger,” but whether they improve consumer welfare despite any reduction in rivalry. A merger may eliminate a competitor yet still benefit consumers if cost savings outweigh any price effects.

Efficiencies also matter at the macroeconomic level. Mergers that eliminate duplicative fixed costs, rationalise production, or achieve economies of scale or scope free resources for use elsewhere in the economy. For a small, open economy such as Canada’s, scale efficiencies may enable domestic firms to compete against larger foreign rivals.

The Guidelines should integrate efficiencies directly into competitive-effects analysis, rather than treat them as a secondary step after identifying an SLOC. Marginal-cost reductions are central to unilateral-effects analysis. If a merger lowers marginal costs sufficiently, the profit-maximising post-merger price may fall relative to pre-merger prices, even when concentration increases.

Joseph Farrell and Carl Shapiro show that whether efficiencies lower prices will depend on the merging firms’ market shares and demand elasticity.[34] A merger that lowers marginal costs will often lead the merged firm to reduce prices and expand output. The Guidelines should therefore evaluate efficiency claims carefully, not discount them based on structural indicators alone.

2. Dynamic and fixed-cost efficiencies

Dynamic efficiencies warrant similar attention. Improvements in innovation, product quality, and speed of commercialisation often generate large consumer benefits, especially in research-intensive industries. Merger review focused narrowly on short-run price effects risks overstating competitive harm and understating these gains. A merger that accelerates innovation or combines complementary assets can intensify competition over time, even if concentration increases in the short run. Gregory Sidak and David Teece argue that a “neo-Schumpeterian” approach places less weight on market share and more on potential competition and firm capabilities.[35]

Fixed-cost savings may not immediately reduce prices, but they affect investment incentives, risk tolerance, and capacity expansion. Ignoring fixed-cost efficiencies biases analysis toward static price effects and away from long-run competition. Oliver Williamson demonstrated that merger analysis should weigh scale economies against deadweight loss to avoid significant economic waste.[36]

3. Buyer-power efficiencies

The categorical exclusion of cost savings from stronger bargaining with suppliers lacks economic support. Lower input prices obtained through negotiation constitute an efficiency unless they reflect monopsony power that reduces output below competitive levels. The OECD notes that monopsony depresses output and prices below competitive levels, while bargaining power can countervail seller market power and move prices toward competitive levels.[37]

Economic theory distinguishes between redistributive transfers and true cost reductions that affect downstream pricing incentives.[38] Before Bill C-56, the Bureau recognised this distinction in reporting to the OECD, noting that it assessed whether claimed efficiencies merely redistributed income between parties.[39]

4. Merger specificity

The Guidelines require efficiencies to be “merger-specific.” The economic literature shows that the choice between building and buying capabilities is not costless.[40] Peter Klein and João Mazzoni find firms vertically integrate to protect relationship-specific investments and resolve conflicts arising from incomplete contracts. Integration may therefore create efficiencies—such as protecting specific assets—that arm’s-length contracts cannot replicate.

Organic expansion takes time, requires capital, and involves execution risk. A merger may enable faster integration, avoid duplication, and transfer tacit knowledge that internal development cannot easily reproduce.

Assuming contracts can replicate integration efficiencies lacks theoretical[41] and empirical support.[42] If a firm could easily replicate a target’s capabilities internally, it would not pay an acquisition premium. The transaction itself provides market-based evidence that the merger creates value not achievable at comparable cost or speed. The Guidelines should compare realistic alternatives, not a hypothetical first-best scenario that ignores timing, risk, and implementation costs.

5. Interaction with structural presumptions

The Guidelines do not explain how efficiencies interact with the structural presumption under s. 92(2). If a merger exceeds concentration thresholds, can substantial efficiencies rebut the presumption, or must parties still prove on a balance of probabilities that no SLOC will occur?

The Guidelines should clarify:

  • Efficiencies are directly relevant to whether a merger substantially lessens or prevents competition.
  • Parties may rebut the structural presumption by demonstrating that efficiencies offset potential harm.
  • Where efficiencies are large and merger-specific, the Bureau should not require unattainable precision in quantification. Merger analysis is inherently predictive, and the same uncertainty affecting competitive-effects analysis affects efficiency measurement.

The repeal of s. 96 changed the legal framework, not the economics of competition. The Guidelines should treat substantiated efficiencies as integral to the SLOC analysis under s. 93, rather than as a rare exception to structural concerns. Efficiencies benefit consumers, not “competition” in the abstract. A merger that eliminates duplication, integrates complementary assets, or achieves scale can benefit consumers even if it reduces the number of firms in a narrowly defined market.

B. Failing Firms, Exiting Assets, and the Counterfactual

Section 4.6 of the Draft Merger Guidelines addresses failing firms and exiting assets. It reflects a basic economic principle: if, absent the merger, a firm’s assets would leave the relevant market and cease to impose a material competitive constraint, the merger does not cause any incremental loss of competition. The draft recognises this point, stating that parties may show “the merger is not the cause of the loss of a competitor” where, without the transaction, “imminent failure is probable and the assets of the firm are likely to exit the relevant market and no longer materially impact competition in that market.”[43] This causation focus accords with s. 93(b) of the Competition Act, which asks whether “the business, or a part of the business, of a party to the merger or proposed merger has failed or is likely to fail.”

The Draft Guidelines emphasise that “probable business failure does not provide a defence for a merger that is likely to prevent or lessen competition substantially.”[44] Instead, financial distress and asset exit function as rebuttal evidence on causation. A categorical defence could immunise harmful mergers where less harmful alternatives exist. At the same time, if the counterfactual is asset exit and loss of competitive constraint, blocking the merger would not improve competitive outcomes.

1. Insolvency requirements versus asset exit

The draft defines a “failing firm” narrowly: a firm that is insolvent or likely to become insolvent, has initiated or is likely to initiate bankruptcy proceedings, or faces receivership.[45] It also requires proof the firm cannot reorganise successfully under insolvency regimes or voluntary arrangements.[46]

This approach may be too restrictive. Section 93(b) refers to “the business, or a part of the business.” Many transactions involve business units, facilities, or product lines that would exit the relevant market even if the corporate parent remains solvent.

Economically, the relevant question is whether the assets that constrain competition would continue to do so absent the merger. A plant, network, or product line likely to shut down or redeploy outside the relevant market no longer disciplines rivals, even if the firm as a whole remains financially viable.[47] The Guidelines should clarify that failure or exit of a “part of the business”—such as a division, line of business, or local operation—can satisfy this element, provided the parties show those assets would cease materially affecting competition.

2. Alternative purchasers and commercial reality

The Draft Guidelines require “reliable and objective evidence” of financial distress and state that “subjective expectations or unsupported projections will not be considered credible.”[48] That standard is appropriate. Parties hold superior information and may have strategic incentives.

Predicting exit nonetheless involves uncertainty. The Guidelines should not require certainty. A workable standard is whether contemporaneous financial information, internal documents, and third-party evidence show exit is more likely than continued operation at the current competitive level absent the merger.

Section 4.6 also requires proof that “no alternative to the merger [is] likely to result in a materially greater level of competition.”[49] It identifies three alternatives: acquisition by a competitively preferable purchaser (CPP), retrenchment or restructuring, and liquidation.[50] The draft asks whether another purchaser could produce a materially higher level of competition and pay more than liquidation value plus transaction costs. It also contemplates requiring an independent third party to search for buyers.[51]

Focusing on counterfactual competitive effects is appropriate. The CPP requirement, though, risks favouring smaller but less efficient firms. As Lars Persson explains, interpreting “competitively preferable” to mean a lower market-share buyer would advantage smaller bidders even when larger firms would generate greater producer and consumer surplus.[52] Smaller firms may also use the condition to block acquisitions that would otherwise increase total surplus.

A stringent “no alternative” requirement combined with mandatory independent searches could impose delay and cost on financially distressed firms. Distressed sellers often retain advisors, canvass strategic and financial buyers, and explore restructuring. The Bureau should evaluate whether the parties conducted a commercially reasonable search given their financial condition, timing constraints, market conditions, and the business’s scale. Presuming unspecified additional searches would uncover a superior buyer risks converting an economic inquiry into a procedural hurdle.

3. Retrenchment, restructuring, and liquidation

The Draft Guidelines recognise that retrenchment—downsizing or withdrawing from certain products or regions—may allow a firm to survive as a competitor.[53] The key question is whether such a strategy would preserve materially greater rivalry in the relevant market than the proposed merger. The Guidelines should focus on whether retrenchment maintains effective competitive constraints, not whether it preserves the firm as a legal entity or employer.

The discussion of liquidation notes that it may “facilitate entry into a market” by allowing competitors to acquire customers or assets.[54] The effect depends on asset characteristics and market structure. Where assets are fungible and easily redeployed—such as standardised equipment—liquidation may support competition. Where assets are highly specific, capable buyers are few, or local demand is weak, liquidation may remove them from the market entirely. The Guidelines should recognise liquidation as superior only when redeployment is reasonably likely to preserve or enhance competition.

4. Clarifying the framework

The Guidelines would be clearer if they explicitly stated that s. 4.6 applies to both firm-wide failure and the failure or exit of a “part of the business” within the meaning of s. 93(b). That clarification would align the Guidelines with the statute and the economic focus on whether specific assets continue to constrain rivals.

Coupled with a likelihood-based evidentiary standard and a commercially realistic assessment of alternatives, this approach preserves the central insight of the failing-firm and exiting-assets analysis: the Bureau should intervene when a merger causes a meaningful loss of competition, not when it merely changes the owner of assets that would otherwise leave the market.

VI. Vertical Mergers and Competitive Effects

A vertical merger joins firms at different levels of a supply chain—for example, a manufacturer acquiring a distributor or a content producer acquiring a distribution platform. The Guidelines correctly centre the analysis on “ability and incentive” to harm competition,[55] and paragraph 230 properly recognises that, where rivals retain “access to many effective alternatives,” substantial harm may be unlikely.[56] Those are appropriate analytical starting points.

The draft nevertheless departs from established economic learning in several important respects. It overstates coordination risks from vertical integration, relies on horizontal-style structural presumptions ill-suited to vertical relationships, and treats efficiencies—particularly predictable benefits of integration—as unlikely to matter in practice. It also frames foreclosure concerns without sufficient attention to realistic counterfactuals and the conditions required for competitive harm.

A large empirical literature finds vertical mergers are commonly pro-competitive, increasing output and benefiting consumers. By setting thresholds and evidentiary standards that discount these effects, the Guidelines risk condemning transactions that improve market performance. The final Guidelines should align vertical-merger analysis with evidence-based competitive-effects principles.

A. Empirical Evidence on Vertical Mergers

A substantial body of economic research finds that vertical mergers typically improve efficiency and benefit consumers. Francine Lafontaine and Margaret Slade surveyed the theoretical and empirical literature on vertical restraints and vertical integration in the Handbook of Industrial Organization and concluded:[57]

[W]e are therefore somewhat skeptical about claims that vertical restraints or vertical integration are likely to harm consumers. In our view, restraints that are imposed should, absent evidence of foreclosure, be assessed under a rule of reason, and firms should almost always be allowed to integrate vertically when that is their choice.[58]

Empirical evidence points in the same direction. The Global Antitrust Institute’s 2018 submission to the U.S. Federal Trade Commission reviewed 31 studies of vertical mergers across multiple industries and found consumer benefits in nearly every case, with “only one study that found evidence vertical integration harmed consumers.”[59] More recent work reinforces this pattern. A 2025 field experiment by Chiara Farronato, Andrey Fradkin, and Alexander MacKay examined Amazon’s private-label products, a form of vertical integration into retail. Using a browser extension that hid Amazon’s own brands from shoppers, the authors found that removing private labels would reduce consumer surplus by 5.4%, with roughly 10% of that reduction attributable to higher prices charged by third-party sellers.[60]

These results reflect basic economic logic. Unlike horizontal mergers among direct competitors, vertical mergers combine firms at different levels of the supply chain and commonly increase output. Manufacturers and distributors both profit from higher sales volumes. Vertical integration often eliminates double marginalisation, reduces free-riding on dealer services, and improves quality assurance.

Benjamin Klein and Kevin Murphy analysed these mechanisms in detail.[61] They show that vertical restraints frequently arise from manufacturers’ efforts to maximise product value to final consumers. Restrictions on distributor conduct can align distributor incentives with consumer welfare, rather than undermine it.

B. The Coordinated-Effects Claim Lacks Economic Support

The Guidelines state that “generally speaking, the greater the degree of vertical integration in a market, the greater the risk of coordinated behaviour.”[62] The draft offers no citation or economic explanation for this proposition, and economic theory does not support it.

Coordinated effects require competitors to reach agreement on coordination terms, monitor compliance, and punish deviation. Vertical integration does not facilitate these mechanisms. Daniel Reiffen and Michael Vita show input foreclosure becomes profitable only when the integrated firm possesses market power at both vertical levels and foreclosure raises rivals’ costs enough to offset lost input sales.[63] Michael Salinger likewise demonstrates foreclosure requires substantial market power both upstream and downstream.[64] Neither condition implies that vertical integration promotes horizontal coordination.

The classic economic insight remains straightforward: vertically related firms have complementary, not collusive, incentives. A manufacturer benefits when distributors sell more units, and a distributor benefits when suppliers produce efficiently. Vertical integration tends to align these incentives, rather than support coordinated output restriction.

The Guidelines should remove the unsupported claim in paragraph 245 or provide economic reasoning and empirical evidence to justify it.

C. Foreclosure Theories in Vertical Mergers

The Guidelines identify foreclosure as the primary concern in vertical mergers. They state a vertical merger may harm competition if it gives the merged firm the ability and incentive to foreclose rivals’ access to an important input or customer base.

This concern is theoretically plausible but often overstated. Foreclosure harms competition only if several conditions hold simultaneously:

  • Control of a Critical Input or Customer Base: The acquired business must control access that rivals cannot readily replicate or replace.
  • Ability to Foreclose: The merged firm must be able to deny or degrade access. Contracts, regulation, or the loss of profitable upstream sales may make foreclosure infeasible.
  • Incentive to Foreclose: Foreclosure must be profitable. If the upstream division earns substantial revenue from selling to rivals, refusing to deal reduces profits. The merged firm will foreclose only if downstream gains exceed lost upstream profits—a condition economic models find uncommon.
  • Competitive Harm: Even where foreclosure occurs, consumer harm requires a substantial reduction in downstream competition. If rivals can expand or entry is feasible, foreclosure may disadvantage competitors without harming competition or consumers.

Empirical evidence supports this framework. Studies of vertical integration in cable television, telecommunications, and other sectors generally find neutral or positive effects on prices and output. The theoretical possibility of foreclosure does not justify a presumption against vertical mergers.

D. Structural Presumptions Apply Poorly to Vertical Mergers

The Guidelines apply the same structural presumptions—30% market share and an HHI of 1,800—to vertical mergers as to horizontal mergers. They state the Bureau is “more likely to investigate further” where the merged firm’s share exceeds 30% at either level of the supply chain.[65]

The economics differ fundamentally. A 30% share at one level of a supply chain does not raise the same concerns as a 30% share among direct competitors. Where rivals can obtain inputs or reach customers through alternative trading partners, even a substantial share at one level may pose little competitive risk.

The Guidelines should recognise this distinction. A safe harbour would improve predictability and align enforcement with economic evidence. Vertical mergers should be presumed unlikely to harm competition where the merged firm holds less than a 40% share at each vertical level and rivals have practical access to alternative suppliers or customers.

Below those thresholds, enforcement should require specific evidence of foreclosure that would competitively impair—not merely disadvantage—rivals.

E. Inherent Elimination of Double Marginalisation

The Guidelines treat elimination of double marginalisation as an “efficiency” subject to sceptical evidentiary standards. Footnote 128 states the Bureau “will consider these claims in light of the criteria in paragraph 285, including considering whether any potential elimination of double marginalization is merger-specific, or could be partially or entirely achieved through other contracts, agreements or supply relationships.”[66] This framing misunderstands the economic nature of double marginalisation.

Double marginalisation is a pricing distortion, not a cost. When two firms with pricing power operate at successive levels of a supply chain, each applies a markup. The combined markup exceeds what a single integrated firm would charge. Vertical integration eliminates the distortion by aligning pricing incentives. The upstream division no longer marks up sales to the downstream division because both operate under a unified profit objective.

This distinction has three implications.

  • Automaticity: Unlike speculative synergies that depend on post-merger integration, eliminating double marginalisation occurs mechanically upon integration. It requires no reorganisation or managerial effort. Where both levels exercised pricing power pre-merger, the distortion disappears.
  • Evidentiary Burden: Applying paragraph 285’s efficiency criteria reverses the proper inquiry. The relevant question is whether both levels possessed pricing power before the merger. If so, elimination follows. The Bureau should explain why the effect would not occur, rather than require parties to prove that it will.
  • Contract Alternatives: Footnote 128 suggests contracts or supply agreements could replicate the effect. [67] Yet footnote 106 states “contractual terms are unlikely to eliminate all potential means of foreclosure.”[68] The logic must be consistent. If contracts cannot reliably prevent foreclosure harms, they also cannot reliably reproduce integration benefits. If contracts could perfectly replicate integration, firms would not pay acquisition premiums to integrate.

F. An Unduly High Bar for Pro-Competitive Benefits

Apart from double marginalisation, the Guidelines set an unduly high bar for crediting genuine efficiencies, such as cost savings from synergies, scale, or rationalisation. Paragraph 288 states that “generally, when a merger otherwise presents significant competition concerns, even gains that are supported by rigorous evidence are unlikely to change our conclusions regarding harm to competition.”[69] In practice, this approach risks nullifying efficiency analysis whenever a transaction triggers the structural presumption.

Parliament preserved an efficiencies pathway. Although Bill C-56 repealed the explicit s. 96 defence, s. 93(h) continues to direct the Tribunal to consider “any other factor that is relevant to competition in a market.”[70] Merger-specific efficiencies that enhance consumer welfare are plainly relevant to competitive effects. A framework that recognises efficiencies in principle but discounts them in practice undermines that statutory direction.

VII. Merger Analysis in Multi-Sided Platform Markets

The Draft Merger Guidelines recognise that multi-sided platforms often feature network effects, economies of scale and scope, differentiated monetisation strategies, and dynamic forms of competition.[71] These features make careful analysis especially important. As ICLE noted in its ACCA Comments, however, they also make it critical to anchor enforcement in clear evidence of substantial competitive harm, rather than in broad structural concerns about size, concentration, or business model.

The draft emphasises that network effects and scale economies “may reinforce the growth and market position of incumbents” and in some cases may lead to “tipping.”[72] Network effects are real, but their competitive significance is context-dependent. Users typically value participation by relevant trading partners or contacts, not total global scale, and even strongly networked markets have experienced rapid displacement by entrants. For similar reasons, static measures such as market share or concentration are unreliable indicators of competitive effects in platform markets, where pricing structures, cross-subsidisation, and non-price competition complicate traditional metrics.

The platform provisions should therefore emphasise limiting principles. Network effects are a potential source of market power, not a presumption of it. Their significance depends on switching costs, multi-homing behaviour, entry conditions, and innovation dynamics. The same logic applies to concerns about potential competition, self-preferencing, interoperability, and data control. Consistent with an error-cost framework, speculative tipping theories should not substitute for an effects-based assessment grounded in evidence that a merger is likely to substantially lessen or prevent competition.

A. Multi-Homing as a Constraint on Platform Power

The Draft Merger Guidelines state the Bureau “may assess the extent of ‘multi-homing,’” noting that multi-homing can allow participants to benefit from network effects while preserving competition among platforms.[73] That observation is important. As ICLE has explained in prior submissions, widespread multi-homing and low switching costs limit the extent to which network effects produce durable market power. Users and business customers can shift activity across platforms, and rivals can reach those users without displacing an incumbent entirely. Many platform environments—including online marketplaces, ride-hailing, and app-based services—exhibit precisely this pattern of overlapping use and ready switching.

The Guidelines should give this principle operational effect. They should identify circumstances in which multi-homing and low switching costs generally weigh against a finding of a substantial lessening or prevention of competition in platform merger cases. Consistent with the need for clear limiting principles, relevant indicators could include evidence that a significant share of participants uses two or more platforms for the same function, that technical and contractual switching costs are low, and that viable alternative channels remain available to reach end users or advertisers.

B. Potential Competition Requires Concrete Evidence

The Draft Merger Guidelines recognise that “dynamic competition may be particularly important in platform markets” and that the “most effective competitive threat” may come from displacement or disintermediation by an innovative or nascent competitor.[74] In innovation-driven markets, the asymmetry of error costs is especially pronounced. False positives that block or burden pro-competitive integrations can chill investment and innovation across the economy, while false negatives are more likely to be corrected over time through entry and technological change. These considerations apply with particular force to platform mergers that may integrate complementary technologies, data, or user groups.

Consistent with an error-cost framework, the Guidelines should require concrete, case-specific evidence that a target is likely to become a substantial competitive constraint on the acquirer. Relevant indicators could include objective signs of expansion, active innovation pipelines, or demonstrated success in a relevant niche. Theoretical possibilities that a complementary or niche service might someday evolve into a rival platform should not, without more, support a finding of a substantial lessening or prevention of competition.

C. Platform-Participant Mergers and Self-Preferencing

For mergers between a platform operator and a participant, the draft states the Bureau “may focus on whether the platform operator would engage in self-preferencing, or otherwise foreclose competing platform participants,” including whether the merged firm could deprive rival platforms of scale or network effects.[75]

As ICLE explained in earlier comments, self-preferencing is typically a form of vertical integration. It often produces pro-competitive benefits, including lower costs, improved quality, stronger investment incentives, and better coordination across complementary services. Empirical research on self-preferencing is mixed and context-specific and does not support categorical presumptions of harm.

The Guidelines should align platform–participant mergers with the general vertical-effects framework. Self-preferencing theories of harm should be pursued only where three conditions are present:

  1. the platform possesses durable market power protected by substantial entry or expansion barriers;
  2. users face meaningful obstacles to multi-homing or switching; and
  3. evidence shows integration is likely to produce net consumer harm—such as higher prices, reduced quality, or diminished innovation—after accounting for efficiencies.

Harm to individual rivals, or a change in their relative position on a platform, should not by itself be treated as harm to competition where those rivals can reach customers through other platforms or distribution channels.

D. Interoperability and Data Theories of Harm Require Evidence

The Draft Merger Guidelines state that mergers involving “tool[s] that make multi-homing easier,” “input[s] or data on which competing platforms rely,” or “complementary, interoperable or related products” may raise concern if they increase incentives to deny interoperability, undermine multi-homing, or raise switching costs.[76] As ICLE explained in earlier comments, broad and open-ended theories of harm in these areas risk turning merger enforcement into de facto regulation of platform design, interoperability, and ecosystem architecture—especially where standards rely on notions of “fairness” or structural preference, rather than demonstrated competitive harm.

The Guidelines should clarify that concerns about interoperability, switching costs, or data control must rest on specific evidence of a profitable and likely foreclosure strategy that would substantially lessen or prevent competition. A general preference for “open” systems or ecosystem neutrality should not substitute for a competitive-effects showing.

The Guidelines should also recognise that not all tools, inputs, or datasets confer market power. Where such assets are reproducible, obtainable from multiple sources, or capable of being developed within a reasonable timeframe, their acquisition will generally not provide the ability to foreclose rivals or entrench market power.

Incorporating these principles—together with the error-cost framework, market-power screens, and the treatment of self-preferencing discussed above—would make the platform-merger section more predictable and more consistent with an effects-based analysis grounded in clear evidence of harm to competition and consumers.

VIII. Labour-Market Effects and Merger Analysis

Bill C-59 authorised the Competition Tribunal to consider labour-market effects in merger review,[77] and the Guidelines appropriately acknowledge that authority. Paragraph 80 explains that, when assessing harm among buyers—including buyers of labour—the Bureau will examine how suppliers respond to the exercise of market power.[78] Footnote 72 properly emphasises the importance of workers’ outside options,[79] and footnote 75 recognises that anticompetitive effects may include reduced wage growth or diminished benefits.[80] These are sound starting points.

The difficulty lies in applying a mirror-image framework to labour and product markets. The draft suggests the Bureau will “apply the same framework to mergers among buyers, including buyers of labour,”[81] yet the economics of monopsony differ in important respects from monopoly analysis. The empirical literature remains unsettled, market definition is unusually challenging, and employment effects cannot be assessed without reference to downstream output and prices. Efficiencies that reduce labour demand may accompany increased production and consumer benefits, making input-side evidence alone insufficient to establish competitive harm.

The final Guidelines should therefore adopt a cautious, evidence-based approach to labour-market enforcement. Labour effects should be evaluated in context, with careful attention to worker mobility, realistic alternatives, and downstream competitive outcomes, rather than through a mechanical application of product-market presumptions.

A. The Evidence on Labour-Market Power Remains Unsettled

The economic literature on labour-market power remains less developed than the industrial-organization literature on product-market competition. As ICLE scholars have explained, many monopsony models in labour economics rely on assumptions about worker mobility, employer conduct, and market structure that have not been tested against the evidentiary standards applied in antitrust cases.[82] Industrial-organization models, by contrast, have been refined through decades of enforcement and litigation, while labour-economics models largely developed without a direct enforcement context.

Direct estimates of labour-market power are also limited and highly variable. Suresh Naidu, Eric Posner, and Glen Weyl report labour-supply elasticity estimates ranging from 0.1 to 4.2, implying workers receive between 9% and 81% of their marginal product, depending on the study.[83] The wide dispersion suggests labour-market conditions differ substantially across occupations and industries, making broad generalisations unreliable.

Empirical studies linking employer concentration to wages face similar methodological constraints. Steven Berry, Martin Gaynor, and Fiona Scott Morton observe that concentration-wage studies “are not ultimately informative about whether monopsony power has grown and is depressing wages.”[84] Ivan Kirov and James Traina likewise find rising markdowns correlate more strongly with technology adoption than with employer concentration, concluding that “concentration is likely an inappropriate measure of labor-market power.”[85]

Given this unsettled evidence, the Bureau should not ground enforcement priorities on indirect and inconclusive measures of competitive harm.

B. Labour-Market Analysis Requires Product-Market Context

The Guidelines assume labour-market analysis parallels product-market analysis. Important conceptual differences limit that analogy. In product markets, competitive harm appears directly in higher prices or reduced output. In labour markets, merger effects cannot be evaluated in isolation from downstream product markets.

Consider a merger that eliminates redundancies and reduces the combined firm’s demand for labour. Viewed only on the input side, fewer hires and lower wages may resemble monopsony power. Yet if the same merger increases downstream output because the combined firm operates more efficiently, the effect is efficiency-enhancing rather than anticompetitive. Ioana Marinescu and Herbert Hovenkamp recognise this point: an efficiency defence in a labour-market case “must show that post-merger reorganization will decrease the need for workers and will not lower total production. Both of these requirements are essential.”[86]

This distinction matters because efficiencies and monopsony can appear identical when assessed solely from employment effects. Consolidating facilities, integrating distribution, or removing overlapping roles may reduce labour demand even where the merger has no anticompetitive purpose or effect. The Bureau cannot distinguish pro-competitive efficiencies from monopsony without examining downstream prices and output.

The consumer-welfare standard compounds this difficulty. A merger that lowers wages but also lowers consumer prices presents a trade-off that competition law does not clearly resolve. Some argue harm to workers alone should establish a violation, regardless of downstream effects.[87] That position sits uneasily with a consumer-focused competition framework. Where consumer benefits and worker impacts diverge, the Guidelines should acknowledge the policy choice rather than assume the answer.

C. Challenges in Defining Labour Markets

Footnote 28 notes the Bureau may need to “adapt our analysis to defining markets for the purchase of a product, including labour.”[88] The challenge is more substantial. Market definition in labour markets raises problems not present in product markets.

Workers are not products. Individuals with similar skills can work across multiple occupations and industries. An accountant may work for a bank, a hotel, or a technology firm. A truck driver may haul goods for a manufacturer, retailer, or logistics company. Because workers can shift across employers and sectors, labour markets are often broader than product markets—not narrower, as the Guidelines elsewhere imply.

Geographic scope presents similar difficulties. Remote work has expanded potential employment areas for many occupations, while commuting patterns vary across regions and job types. The economic literature offers no settled method for defining labour-market boundaries.

These issues matter because market definition determines concentration measures. Narrowly defined labour markets will produce high concentration by construction, regardless of competitive conditions. The Bureau should therefore approach labour-market definitions cautiously and avoid excluding realistic employment alternatives available to workers.

IX. Revisions to the Draft Merger Enforcement Guidelines

This section proposes targeted revisions to improve the Guidelines’ predictability, administrability, and economic coherence. Across multiple topics, the central recommendation is an effects-based approach grounded in clear evidence of substantial competitive harm and informed by the asymmetric costs of enforcement errors.

To that end, the section recommends clarifying that structural presumptions are preliminary screens rather than near-determinative findings; strengthening the treatment of efficiencies and failing-firm scenarios; refining market-definition tools; and adopting workable limiting principles, including market-power screens and safe harbours, particularly for vertical and platform transactions. It also urges careful treatment of labour-market theories and network-effects claims to ensure enforcement rests on demonstrated competitive impairment, not speculative or purely structural concerns.

A. Evidence-Based Enforcement and Restraint in Close Cases

The Guidelines should state, in both the introduction and the executive summary, that the Bureau will pursue enforcement only where supported by evidence of substantial competitive harm. Where competitive effects are ambiguous, disputed, or likely offset by efficiencies, the Bureau should exercise restraint.

This approach follows the error-cost framework. False positives impose greater and more durable costs than false negatives: erroneous intervention chills pro-competitive conduct and deters innovation, while under-enforcement often corrects through entry and competitive pressure. In close cases, non-intervention should therefore be the default.

B. Structural Presumptions and Rebuttal Standards

The Guidelines should clarify that structural presumptions are preliminary screens, not near-determinative findings of harm. Concentration measures correlate poorly with competitive outcomes across many industries. The presumption under subsection 92(2) should trigger closer investigation, not impose a heavy burden on merging parties to prove a negative.

The Bureau should raise, or at minimum not lower, the numerical thresholds. The HHI threshold of 1,800 (with an increase of 100) and the 30% market-share threshold track the 2023 U.S. Merger Guidelines, which agency economists criticised as lacking empirical support. Below an HHI of 2,500, structural presumptions should apply cautiously and be readily rebutted. Below a combined market share of 30%, the Bureau should adopt a strong presumption against enforcement absent extraordinary circumstances, such as coordinated effects, exclusionary conduct, or prevention of entry by a disruptive competitor.

The Guidelines should also specify the evidentiary standard for rebuttal. The draft does not explain what evidence suffices to overcome the presumption on a balance of probabilities. The Bureau should identify categories of rebuttal evidence, including: ease of entry and the likelihood of timely, sufficient entry; expansion by existing competitors; low switching costs or widespread multi-homing; rapid innovation that renders market shares unstable; substantial merger-specific efficiencies; and direct evidence—such as customer testimony, internal documents, or econometric analysis—showing the merger will not substantially lessen competition.

Finally, the Guidelines should clarify how the presumption applies to vertical and conglomerate transactions. Where a transaction is primarily vertical or conglomerate but includes limited horizontal overlap, the presumption should apply only to the horizontal component. Applying horizontal thresholds to vertical relationships lacks economic justification, as discussed in Section VI.

C. Market Definition as a Tool for Assessing Competitive Effects

The Guidelines should emphasise that market definition is a tool for assessing competitive effects, not an independent requirement. Where competitive effects can be analysed directly—through diversion ratios, natural experiments, or bidding data—formal market definition becomes less important. The draft acknowledges this principle but should state it more prominently.

The Bureau should also provide guidance on applying the hypothetical monopolist test to non-price dimensions. The Guidelines recognise that harm may involve quality, variety, privacy, or innovation, yet do not explain how to conduct a SSNIP-equivalent analysis in such settings. In differentiated-product markets, diversion ratios and customer-switching evidence often offer more reliable guidance than formal market boundaries.

Finally, geographic market definition should rest on actual competitive constraints. Relevant considerations include purchasing patterns, transportation costs, and regulatory barriers, rather than administrative or political borders. Where customers routinely source from multiple provinces or countries, those areas should be included in the geographic market.

D. Integrating Efficiencies into Competitive-Effects Analysis

The Guidelines should integrate efficiencies directly into the competitive-effects analysis, rather than treat them as secondary considerations. Marginal-cost reductions bear directly on unilateral effects. If a merger lowers marginal costs sufficiently, the profit-maximising post-merger price may fall even where concentration increases. The current statement that efficiencies are “unlikely to change” the Bureau’s conclusion where significant concerns arise risks nullifying the analysis whenever the structural presumption is triggered.

The Guidelines should also recognise dynamic and fixed-cost efficiencies. Improvements in innovation, product quality, and speed of commercialisation account for a substantial share of consumer-welfare gains in research-intensive industries. Fixed-cost savings affect investment incentives, risk tolerance, and capacity expansion. An approach focused only on short-run price effects will understate these benefits and overstate competitive harm.

Buyer-power efficiencies should not be categorically excluded. Lower input prices obtained through negotiation constitute efficiencies unless they reflect monopsony power that reduces output below competitive levels. Economic theory distinguishes between redistributive transfers and cost reductions that affect downstream pricing incentives.

The Bureau should apply a realistic merger-specificity standard. Merger specificity requires a comparison of practical alternatives that accounts for execution costs, timing, and risk—not a hypothetical scenario in which contractual arrangements costlessly replicate integration. Transaction-cost economics shows firms integrate precisely because contracts cannot replicate certain organisational efficiencies, including protection of relationship-specific investments.

Finally, the Guidelines should clarify how efficiencies interact with the structural presumption. Evidence of substantial, merger-specific efficiencies should be capable of rebutting the subsection 92(2) presumption. Where efficiencies are significant but difficult to quantify precisely, the Bureau should not require a level of certainty greater than that demanded when predicting competitive harm.

E. Ground the Failing-Firm Analysis in Commercial Reality

The Guidelines should clarify that the failing-firm and exiting-assets analysis applies to parts of a business, not only to firm-wide insolvency. Section 93(b) of the Competition Act refers to “the business, or a part of the business, of a party to the merger.” A plant, product line, or local operation that is unprofitable and likely to shut down no longer constrains rivals, even if the parent firm remains solvent. The Guidelines should therefore recognise that exit of a business unit can satisfy the analysis.

The Bureau should also adopt a commercially realistic approach to alternative purchasers. A stringent “no alternative” requirement combined with a mandatory independent search can impose substantial cost and delay on firms already under financial stress. The relevant question is whether the parties conducted a commercially reasonable search in light of their financial position, timing constraints, and market conditions. The competitively preferable purchaser standard should not favour smaller, less-efficient acquirers merely because they hold a lower market share, a concern identified in the economic literature on failing-firm analysis.

Finally, the Guidelines should clarify when liquidation preserves competition. Liquidation promotes competition only where assets are likely to be redeployed within the relevant market. When assets are highly specific, capable buyers are few, or local demand is weak, liquidation may remove those assets from the market entirely. Liquidation should be treated as a superior alternative only where redeployment that maintains competitive constraints is reasonably likely.

F. Clarify the Treatment of Vertical Integration

The Draft Merger Guidelines should delete the unsupported claim that greater vertical integration increases coordination risk. Paragraph 245 states that “the greater the degree of vertical integration in a market, the greater the risk of coordinated behaviour,” yet provides no citation or economic reasoning. Coordinated effects require firms to reach consensus, monitor adherence, and punish deviations—mechanisms vertical integration does not facilitate. If the Bureau maintains this proposition, it should identify supporting evidence.

The Draft Guidelines should establish a vertical safe harbour. Where the merged firm holds less than 40% share at each vertical level, the transaction should be presumed efficient absent specific evidence that foreclosure would competitively impair—not merely disadvantage—rivals.

The draft should recognise the inherent elimination of double marginalisation. Where both vertical levels exercise pricing power, integration removes the double markup by construction. This is a pricing correction, not a speculative post-merger synergy. The guidelines therefore should not apply paragraph 285’s efficiency criteria to this category of gain, and the burden should rest on the Bureau to explain why the effect would not occur, rather than on the parties to prove that it would.

The Bureau should apply consistent treatment of contracts. The Draft Merger Guidelines state that contractual terms are unlikely to eliminate foreclosure harms (footnote 106), yet the guidelines also suggest contracts may replicate integration benefits (footnote 128). Both propositions cannot simultaneously hold. If contracts cannot prevent harms, they likewise cannot fully reproduce integration benefits.

The Bureau should also revise paragraph 288 to provide a meaningful efficiencies pathway. The current statement that efficiency gains are “unlikely to change” conclusions where a merger raises concerns effectively nullifies efficiencies analysis. Parliament retained s. 93(h), which permits the Tribunal to consider “any other factor that is relevant to competition in a market.” Merger-specific efficiencies that enhance consumer welfare fall squarely within that provision, and the Draft Guidelines should give it operational effect.

Finally, the Guidelines should require evidence of competitive impairment, not mere rival disadvantage. Enforcement under the guidelines should target only those vertical mergers where foreclosure would materially impair rivals’ ability to compete and where that impairment would likely harm consumers. A change in competitors’ relative position, standing alone, does not establish a substantial lessening or prevention of competition.

G. Applying Effects-Based Analysis to Platform Mergers

Treat network effects as a factor to be assessed, not a presumption of market power. Network effects exist, but they are often limited and localised. Their competitive significance depends on entry conditions, switching costs, multi-homing, innovation, and the availability of alternatives. Speculative “tipping” theories should not substitute for evidence that a specific merger is likely to substantially lessen or prevent competition.

The Draft Merger Guidelines should also specify when multi-homing and low switching costs defeat a finding of substantial lessening of competition. Relevant evidence could include a significant share of participants using two or more platforms for the same function, low technical and contractual switching costs, and viable alternative channels for reaching users.

The Bureau should also require concrete evidence before concluding that a merger eliminates potential competition. The guidelines should identify objective indicia—such as documented expansion plans, innovation pipelines, or demonstrated success in a relevant segment—showing the target is likely to become a substantial competitive constraint. The mere possibility that a niche or complementary service could evolve into a rival platform should not, without more, support a finding of substantial lessening or prevention of competition.

Finally, the draft should align platform-participant mergers with the vertical-effects framework. Self-preferencing theories of harm should proceed only where three conditions are present: durable market power protected by substantial entry or expansion barriers, meaningful obstacles to multi-homing or switching, and evidence that integration is likely to produce net consumer harm after accounting for efficiencies. Harm to individual rivals, or changes in their relative position on a platform, should not be equated with harm to competition where those rivals can reach customers through other channels.

H. Labour-Market Harms Require Evidence of Downstream Effects

The Draft Merger Guidelines should require evidence of downstream output effects. The Bureau should pursue labour-market theories only where evidence shows a merger reduces output or raises prices in a downstream product market, or where the merger’s predominant effect is wage suppression without offsetting efficiency gains. A merger that reduces labour demand while increasing output is efficiency-enhancing, not anticompetitive.

The Guidelines should apply a demanding evidentiary standard. The economic literature on labour-market power remains less developed than the industrial-organization literature on product-market power, and Canadian legal precedent on labour-market merger effects is limited. The Bureau should require direct evidence of wage suppression or output reduction, rather than reliance on concentration metrics that are especially unreliable in labour markets given cross-industry substitution and variable worker mobility.

The Guidelines should also define labour markets to reflect realistic worker alternatives. Labour-market definitions should account for cross-industry substitutability, commuting patterns, and remote-work opportunities. Artificially narrow markets—limited to specific occupations, bargaining units, or a small set of employers—will overstate concentration and mislead competitive analysis.

Finally, the guidelines should recognise that monopsony analysis differs from monopoly analysis. The assumption that labour-market analysis mirrors product-market analysis obscures the difficulty of distinguishing efficiency-enhancing reductions in labour demand from anticompetitive monopsony. The Bureau cannot draw that distinction without examining the merger’s effects on downstream output and prices.

X. Conclusion

The amendments to the Competition Act enacted through Bills C-56 and C-59 expand the Bureau’s merger-enforcement authority. That authority remains discretionary. These comments address how it can be exercised consistently with the economic evidence on merger effects.

The three concerns identified at the outset—unsupported structural presumptions, the sidelining of efficiencies, and the extension of merger theories into areas with limited evidence—share a common source. Each treats market structure as a reliable proxy for competitive outcomes and discounts the mechanisms through which mergers benefit consumers. The industrial-organization literature reviewed here does not support that approach. Concentration measures correlate weakly with competitive harm across industries and market conditions. Vertical mergers typically benefit consumers. Efficiencies—particularly the elimination of double marginalisation—directly affect pricing and output in ways structural indicators cannot capture.

Section II’s error-cost framework gives these findings practical significance. Blocking a merger that would benefit consumers imposes durable costs: forgone efficiencies, reduced investment, and chilled innovation. By contrast, if a harmful merger escapes challenge, entry, expansion, and technological change often erode supra-competitive returns over time. This asymmetry does not favour inaction. It favours precision-targeted intervention where evidence of harm is substantial, and restraint where evidence is ambiguous or offsetting benefits are likely.

The recommendations in Section IX would move the Guidelines toward that standard. Structural presumptions should operate as screening tools rather than near-determinative findings. Efficiencies should form part of the competitive-effects analysis. Vertical-merger enforcement should focus on demonstrable competitive impairment, not structural suspicion. Platform and labour-market theories should require concrete evidence of consumer harm. These changes would reduce false positives without weakening enforcement against genuinely anticompetitive mergers.

ICLE appreciates the Bureau’s openness to public input through this consultation and remains available to provide further analysis on any of the issues addressed in these comments.

[1] Competition Bureau, Proposed Merger Enforcement Guidelines (Nov. 13, 2025), https://competition-bureau.canada.ca/en/how-we-foster-competition/consultations/proposed-merger-enforcement-guidelines [hereinafter Draft Merger Guidelines].

[2] Geoffrey Manne, Dirk Auer, Daniel Gilman & Lazar Radic, Comments from the International Center of Law and Economics on the Future of Competition Policy in Canada (Mar. 31, 2023), https://laweconcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/ICLE-Canada-Comments.pdf

[3] Ian Adams, Eric Fruits, Brian Albrecht, Daniel J. Gilman & Geoffrey A. Manne, Comments of the International Center for Law & Economics to the Competition Bureau Canada: Anti-Competitive Conduct and Agreements (Jan. 27, 2026), https://laweconcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Competition-Bureau-Canada-Comments-2026.pdf (Appendix AA) [hereinafter ACCA Comments].

[4] Geoffrey A. Manne, Ian Adams, Brian Albrecht, Dirk Auer, Lazar Radic & Mario A. Zúñiga, Comments of the International Center for Law & Economics: Canada Competition Bureau’s Update of the Merger Enforcement Guidelines (Jan. 12, 2025), https://laweconcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Canada-Merger-Reform-Comments-January-2025.pdf (Appendix BB).

[5] An Act to Amend the Excise Tax Act and the Competition Act, S.C. 2023, c. 31, pt. 2 [hereinafter Bill C-56]; Fall Economic Statement Implementation Act, 2023, S.C. 2024, c. 15, pt. 5, div. 6 [hereinafter Bill C-59].

[6] Brian Albrecht, Competition Increases Concentration, Truth on the Mkt. (Aug. 16, 2023), https://truthonthemarket.com/2023/08/16/competition-increases-concentration.

[7] See Brian Albrecht, What Competition Scholars Should Know About the 2025 Economics Nobel, Truth on the Mkt. (Oct. 14, 2025), https://truthonthemarket.com/2025/10/14/what-competition-scholars-should-know-about-the-2025-economics-nobel (“Market structure is an outcome of this competitive process, not just a cause of competitive behavior.”).

[8] Chad Syverson, Macroeconomics and Market Power: Context, Implications, and Open Questions, 33 J. Econ. Persps. 23, 34 (2019).

[9] See Harold Demsetz, Industry Structure, Market Rivalry, and Public Policy, 16 J.L. & Econ. 1 (1973); see also, e.g., Richard Schmalensee, Inter-Industry Studies of Structure and Performance, in 2 Handbook of Industrial Organization 951–1009 (Richard Schmalensee & Robert Willig eds., 1989); William N. Evans, Luke M. Froeb & Gregory J. Werden, Endogeneity in the Concentration-Price Relationship: Causes, Consequences, and Cures, 41 J. Indus. Econ. 431 (1993); Steven Berry, Market Structure and Competition, Redux, FTC Micro Conference (Nov. 2017), https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/documents/public_events/1208143/22_-_steven_berry_keynote.pdf; Nathan Miller et al., On the Misuse of Regressions of Price on the HHI in Merger Review, 10 J. Antitrust Enf’t 248 (2022).

[10] Harold Demsetz, The Intensity and Dimensionality of Competition, in Harold Demsetz, The Economics of the Business Firm: Seven Critical Commentaries 137, 140-41 (1995).

[11] Harold Demsetz, Industry Structure, Market Rivalry, and Public Policy, 16 J.L. & Econ. 1 (1973); see also Harold Demsetz, The Market Concentration Doctrine: An Examination of Evidence and a Discussion of Policy (AEI–Hoover Policy Studies No. 7, 1973), https://masonlec.org/site/rte_uploads/files/GAI/Readings/Economics%20Institute/Demsetz_Market%20Concentration%20Doctrine.pdf.

[12] Steven Berry, Martin Gaynor & Fiona Scott Morton, Do Increasing Markups Matter? Lessons from Empirical Industrial Organization, 33 J. Econ. Persp. 44, 48 (2019); see also Jonathan Baker & Timothy F. Bresnahan, Economic Evidence in Antitrust: Defining Markets and Measuring Market Power, John M. Olin Program in L. & Econ., Stanford Law Sch. Working Paper 24 (Sept. 2006) (“structure-conduct-performance empirical methods have largely been discarded in economics.”).

[13] Dennis W. Carlton, Market Definition: Use and Abuse, 3 Competition Pol’y Int’l 3 (2007), https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=987061.

[14] Christopher Garmon, The Accuracy of Hospital Screening Methods, 48 Rand J. E Econ. 1068, 1070 (2017) (Examining post-merger price changes across 28 hospital mergers and first issued as an FTC Bureau of Economics working paper.).

[15] William J. Baumol, John C. Panzar & Robert D. Willig, Contestable Markets and the Theory of Industry Structure 222 (rev. ed. 1988), available at https://archive.org/details/contestablemarke0000baum_e1g8 (“[F]reedom of entry, indeed the mere threat of incursions by entrants into the market, may effectively discipline the monopolist, even if entry is never successful. It can force the monopolist to curb his avarice and forgo profits he might otherwise have enjoyed. Indeed, in the absence of entry barriers, in perfectly contestable markets, it can force him to accept earnings no higher than those available under perfect com¬ petition. Potential competition can also force the monopolist to produce with maximal efficiency, and to hunt down and utilize fully every opportunity for innovation.”); see also David J. Teece, Understanding Dynamic Competition: New Perspectives on Potential Competition, “Monopoly,” and Market Power, Working Paper (May 22, 2025), https://ssrn.com/abstract=5356023.

[16] Baumol, Panzar & Willig, Id.

[17] Org. for Econ. Coop. & Dev., Competition in the Pharmaceutical Industry, OECD Doc. DAFFE/CLP(2000)29 (Feb. 6, 2001) (“For many products which face few rivals in their therapeutic class, the primary competitive threat is the threat that rival firms will develop substitutes.”).

[18] Stephen J. Nickell, Competition and Corporate Performance, 104 J. Pol. Econ. 724 (1996).

[19] Richard Blundell, Rachel Griffith & John Van Reenen, Market Share, Market Value and Innovation in a Panel of British Manufacturing Firms, 66 Rev. Econ. Stud. 529 (1999).

[20] U.S. Dep’t of Justice & Fed. Trade Comm’n, Merger Guidelines 2, 5–6 (Dec. 18, 2023), https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/ftc_gov/pdf/2023_merger_guidelines_final_12.18.2023.pdf.

[21] U.S. Dep’t of Justice & Fed. Trade Comm’n, Horizontal Merger Guidelines 19 (Aug. 19, 2010), https://www.justice.gov/atr/file/810276/dl?inline.

[22] Id.

[23] Expediency can be seen as a motivating factor not only in the weakly justified new thresholds, but in a novel “presumption of illegality” absent from prior U.S. merger guidelines—and notably avoided in the Competition Bureau’s proposal. See, e.g., Daniel J. Gilman, What Do We Do with Presumptions in Antitrust?, Truth on the Mkt. (Jan. 25, 2024), https://truthonthemarket.com/2024/01/25/what-do-we-do-with-presumptions-in-antitrust.

[24] Nathan Miller et al., On the Misuse of Regressions of Price on the HHI in Merger Review, 10 J. Antitrust Enf’t 248 (2022), https://doi.org/10.1093/jaenfo/jnac009.

[25] John Asker, Kostis Hatzitaskos, Bob Majure, Ana McDowall, Nathan Miller & Aviv Nevo, Comments on the January 2022 DOJ and FTC RFI on Merger Enforcement, FTC-2022-0003-1847 (Apr. 20, 2022), https://www.regulations.gov/comment/FTC-2022-0003-1847.

[26] Geoffrey A. Manne, Dirk Auer, Brian Albrecht, Eric Fruits, Daniel J. Gilman & Lazar Radić, Comments of the International Center for Law & Economics on the FTC & DOJ Draft Merger Guidelines, Docket No. FTC-2023-0043-0001 (Sept. 18, 2023), https://laweconcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/ICLE-Draft-Merger-Guidelines-Comments-1.pdf.

[27] Asker et al., supra note 25, at 5. For an additional critique of the structuralist push by Biden administration enforcers, see Bruce H. Kobayashi & Timothy J. Muris, Turning Back the Clock: Structural Presumptions in Merger Analyses and Revised Merger Guidelines, Competitive Enter. Inst. Study (Feb. 22, 2023), https://cei.org/studies/turning-back-the-clock-structural-presumptions-in-merger-analyses-and-revised-merger-guidelines.

[28] 2003 FCA 53, leave to appeal refused, [2003] S.C.C.A. No. 421.

[29] Competition Act § 93(h).

[30] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 286.

[31] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 288.

[32] See, e.g., Dennis W. Carlton & Jeffrey M. Perloff, Modern Industrial Organization (2nd ed.1994) 36-37 (“reasons for mergers and acquisitions” include efficiencies—greater optimal scale, scope synergies, and improved management.).

[33] Appendix BB 5.

[34] See, e.g., Joseph Farrell & Carl Shapiro, Horizontal Mergers: An Equilibrium Analysis, 80 Am. Econ. Rev. 107, 114–16 (1990) (“But if the merger also generates synergies, the new firm’s marginal costs may be lower than those of either of its constituent firms, and this cost reduction may be enough to cause the price to fall.”)

[35] Gregory Sidak & David J. Teece, Dynamic Competition in Antitrust Law, 5 J. Competition L. & Econ. 581 (2009).

[36] Oliver E. Williamson, Economies as an Antitrust Defense: The Welfare Tradeoffs, 58 Am. Econ. Rev. 18 (1968) (“[I]n the occasional case where efficiency and market power consequences exist, can economies be dismissed on the grounds that market power effects invariably dominate? If they cannot, then a rational treatment of the merger question requires that an effort be made to [estimate the tradeoffs].”)

[37] Org. for Econ. Coop. & Dev., Monopsony and Buyer Power, OECD Doc. DAF/COMP(2008)38 (2009), https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2009/12/monopsony-and-buyer-power_cf60bdd1/36a2b824-en.pdf.

[38] Compare Lars-Hendrik Röller, Johan Stennek & Frank Verboven, Efficiency Gains from Mergers, in European Merger Control: Do We Need an Efficiency Defence? (Fabienne Ilzkovitz & Roderick Meiklejohn eds., 2006) (“Real cost-savings are those savings that correspond to some savings of productive resources in the economy. Rationalisation, economies of scale, technological progress, and slack reduction are all real cost-savings. Also some purchasing economies are real cost-savings.”), with Org. for Econ. Coop. & Dev., Dynamic Efficiencies in Merger Analysis, OECD Doc. DAF/COMP(2007)41 (May 15, 2008), https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2008/05/dynamic-efficiencies-in-merger-analysis_bffeeed6/df6017f9-en.pdf (“[A] post-merger rise in price leads to a redistribution of income from buyers, who pay the higher prices, to the company and its shareholders, who receive the higher profit. Since the dollars of welfare loss suffered by the buyers are balanced by the dollars of welfare gain accruing to the producers, many economists have treated this merely as a transfer of income between the two groups, in which case society as a whole is unaffected… distributional changes generally should not be considered to affect social welfare and, therefore, that such changes can be ignored.”).

[39] Id.

[40] Peter G. Klein & João Fernando Rossi Mazzoni, The Make-or-Buy Decision Revisited, in Handbook of New Institutional Economics 447 (Claude Ménard & Mary M. Shirley eds., 2d ed. 2025).

[41] See, e.g., Oliver E. Williamson, The Vertical Integration of Production: Market Failure Considerations, 61 Am. Econ. Rev. 112 (1971) (explaining that, under “bounded rationality” and “transactional failures,” market contracts cannot match a firm’s internal control and incentive structures). See also Oliver E. Williamson, Transaction-Cost Economics: The Governance of Contractual Relations, 22 J.L. & Econ. 233 (1979) (explaining that significant transaction costs—driven by bounded rationality and opportunism—keep market contracts from matching the efficiencies of internal organisation).

[42] Jeffrey T. Macher & Barak D. Richman, Transaction Cost Economics: An Assessment of Empirical Research in the Social Sciences, 10 Bus. & Pol. 1 (2008) (review of empirical studies finds that, as transactions grow more complex or require relationship-specific investment, firms shift from simple contracts to integrated governance, because contracts cannot match a firm’s administrative control and flexibility).

[43] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 277.

[44] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 277.

[45] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 280.

[46] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 281.

[47] Org. for Econ. Coop. & Dev., Competition Comm., The Failing Firm Defence, OECD Doc. DAF/COMP(2009)38, at 12 (Aug. 17, 2010), https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2010/10/the-failing-firm-defence_a0e37e7e/c90c3d1e-en.pdf (“In some instances, the merger under review involves the acquisition of a firm’s division. In those cases, the merging parties may argue that the exit of that particular division from the market would occur (i) whether or not the merger materialises and (ii) irrespective of the financial health of the parent company.”).

[48] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 282.

[49] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 279.

[50] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 283.

[51] Id.

[52] Lars Persson, The Failing Firm Defense, 53 J. Indus. Econ. 175 (2005).

[53] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 283.b.

[54] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 283.c.

[55] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 224.

[56] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 230.

[57] Francine Lafontaine & Margaret E. Slade, Exclusive Contracts and Vertical Restraints: Empirical Evidence and Public Policy, in Handbook of Antitrust Economics 391 (Paolo Buccirossi ed., 2008); see also Francine Lafontaine & Margaret E. Slade, Transaction Cost Economics and Vertical Market Restrictions—Evidence, 55 Antitrust Bull. 587 (2010); Geoffrey Manne, Kristian Stout & Eric Fruits, The Fatal Economic Flaws of the Contemporary Campaign against Vertical Integration, 68 U. Kan. L. Rev. 923 (Jun. 2020).

[58] Francine Lafontaine & Margaret E. Slade, Vertical Integration and Firm Boundaries: The Evidence, 45 J. Econ. Literature 629, 680 (2007).

[59] Global Antitrust Inst., Vertical Mergers, Comment on the Fed. Trade Comm’n’s Hearings on Competition and Consumer Protection in the 21st Century 6–8 (Sept. 6, 2018), https://gaidigitalcommons.org/vertical-mergers.

[60] Chiara Farronato, Andrey Fradkin & Alexander MacKay, Self-Preferencing at Amazon: Evidence from Search Rankings, Nat’l Bureau Econ. Rsch., Working Paper No. 32,359, at 3–4 (2025).

[61] Benjamin Klein & Kevin M. Murphy, Vertical Restraints as Contract Enforcement Mechanisms, 31 J.L. & Econ. 265 (1988).

[62] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 241(a) (“[G]enerally speaking, the greater the degree of vertical integration in a market, the greater the risk of coordinated behaviour.”).

[63] Daniel P. Reiffen & Michael Vita, Comment: Is There New Thinking on Vertical Mergers?, 63 Antitrust L.J. 917, 920-21 (1995).

[64] Michael A. Salinger, Vertical Mergers and Market Foreclosure, 103 Q.J. Econ. 345, 346-48 (1988).

[65] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 229.

[66] Draft Merger Guidelines n.128 (“Firms may claim that non-horizontal mergers allow the merged firm to ‘internalize’ existing double marginalization. We will consider these claims in light of the criteria in paragraph 285, including considering whether any potential elimination of double marginalization is merger-specific, or could be partially or entirely achieved through other contracts, agreements or supply relationships.”).

[67] Draft Merger Guidelines n.128 (“Firms may claim that non-horizontal mergers allow the merged firm to ‘internalize’ existing double marginalization. We will consider these claims in light of the criteria in paragraph 285, including considering whether any potential elimination of double marginalization is merger-specific, or could be partially or entirely achieved through other contracts, agreements or supply relationships.”).

[68] Draft Merger Guidelines n.106 (“Where a merger otherwise results in the ability and incentive to foreclose, we presume that contractual terms are unlikely to eliminate all potential means of foreclosure, unless the contrary is clearly demonstrated.”).

[69] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 288.

[70] Competition Act, R.S.C. 1985, c. C-34, s. 93(h).

[71] Draft Merger Guidelines § 4.4.3.

[72] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 248.

[73] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 249.

[74] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 250.

[75] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 251.b.

[76] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶¶ 251c, 252.

[77] Fall Economic Statement Implementation Act, 2023, S.C. 2024, c. 15, s. 255 (adding subsection 93(1.1) to the Competition Act, allowing the Tribunal to consider “harm to competition in a labour market” when assessing whether a merger substantially lessens or prevents competition).

[78] Draft Merger Guidelines ¶ 80(b).

[79] Draft Merger Guidelines n.72 (“If the merged firm controls a large share of purchases in the relevant market, a presumption of substantial harm may apply and we are likely to investigate further. For example, we may consider the alternatives available to suppliers (or workers) and whether there are barriers that prevent new buyers or employers from entering or expanding.”).

[80] Draft Merger Guidelines n.75.

[81] Draft Merger Guidelines n.89.

[82] See Brian Albrecht, Dirk Auer & Geoffrey A. Manne, Labor Monopsony and Antitrust Enforcement: A Cautionary Tale, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. (May 2025), https://laweconcenter.org/resources/labor-monopsony-and-antitrust-enforcement-a-cautionary-tale (“The models commonly employed in labor economics to support these claims rely on assumptions about worker mobility, employer conduct, and market structure that likely oversimplify real-world dynamics…. The economic models commonly used to study labor markets have not been subjected to the same level of antitrust scrutiny as those employed in industrial-organization (IO) economics to analyze product markets.”).

[83] Suresh Naidu, Eric A. Posner & E. Glen Weyl, Antitrust Remedies for Labor Market Power, 132 Harv. L. Rev. 536, 549-50 (2018) (summarising studies reporting residual labour elasticities ranging from 0.1 to 4.2).

[84] Steven Berry, Martin Gaynor & Fiona Scott Morton, Do Increasing Markups Matter? Lessons from Empirical Industrial Organization, 33 J. Econ. Persps. 44, 62 (2019).

[85] Ivan Kirov & James Traina, Labor Market Power and Technological Change in U.S. Manufacturing 3, 32, Working Paper (2023).

[86] Ioana Marinescu & Herbert Hovenkamp, Anticompetitive Mergers in Labor Markets, 94 Ind. L.J. 1031, 1062 (2019).

[87] See C. Scott Hemphill & Nancy L. Rose, Mergers that Harm Sellers, 127 Yale L.J. 2078, 2083 (2018) (arguing that “harm to input markets suffices to establish an antitrust violation”).

[88] Draft Merger Guidelines n.28.

Source: Competition Bureau Canada

Regulatory Comments

Former Antitrust Enforcers Letter to Attorney General Pam Bondi on Merger Review Standards for Netflix-Warner Bros

As former federal antitrust enforcers, we have devoted significant portions of our careers to protecting consumers and competition and we continue to support vigorous enforcement. . . .

As former federal antitrust enforcers, we have devoted significant portions of our careers to protecting consumers and competition and we continue to support vigorous enforcement. We are writing to encourage the Department to review the pending Netflix-Warner Bros. merger based on proven standards that evaluate deals based on their impact on consumer welfare, rather than the progressive analytic framework fabricated during the prior administration.

Specifically, we recommend the following:

  • First, we urge DOJ to evaluate the merger under proven criteria, rather than the 2023 Merger Guidelines. Those Guidelines, adopted on a straight partisan vote, minimize, ignore, or dismiss the benefits of merger efficiencies, rely on outdated structural presumptions, and adopt theories of harm unrelated to established indicia of competition. By relying on these Guidelines, the Department would effectively give the prior administration a say in reviewing this deal.
  • Second, based on a wealth of precedent and empirical evidence, we encourage DOJ to recognize that most mergers, particularly vertical mergers, raise no competitive concerns because they are either benign or promote competition. The Netflix-Warner Bros. merger has both vertical and horizontal elements, but the crux of the deal is vertical in nature. There is a very credible argument that the deal strengthens competition by pairing world-class content creation with global distribution, allowing a newly integrated challenger to compete more effectively in a dynamic market.
  • Third, to the extent that DOJ ultimately harbors some competitive concerns, we encourage it to consider negotiating remedies tailored to address those concerns, including the possibility of behavioral remedies, rather than seeking to block the merger outright. Across both the Department and FTC, the Trump Administration has consistently negotiated reasonable remedies that allow otherwise pro-competitive deals to move forward.
  • Fourth, and perhaps most importantly, we encourage DOJ to avoid reliance on speculative theories, such as those based on notions of foreclosure, potential competition, or structural presumptions, all of which were embraced uncritically by the prior administration. If the evidence shows that a merger would harm consumers, it should be modified to address the consumer harm, and only if that is not possible, Merger review, however, should not be used to attack companies or engineer bureaucratic hurdles to economic freedom, progress, and growth, particularly when, as here, a merger would improve the global position of U.S. companies in critical markets.

These principles hold true for any merger that DOJ might review. We describe them more fully below.

A.     In Evaluating the Merger, DOJ Should Rely on Proven Criteria Rather than the 2023 Merger Guidelines

Adopted by a purely partisan vote during the Biden Administration, the 2023 Merger Guidelines seek to rewrite decades of antitrust policy by declaring structural presumptions against mergers that increase market concentration and by downplaying the possibility of merger efficiencies.[1] The Guidelines rely on selective and outdated cases and economic ideas while ignoring decades of economic learning and recent court decisions that reject these flawed theories.[2] The Guidelines also undermine the rule of law by affording the agencies tremendous discretion to pick winners and losers, dictate market structures, and play to favored constituencies. To date, it appears that no court has cited the Guidelines for any of its more aggressive principles.

Instead of relying on the prior administration’s framework, DOJ should evaluate the merger based on the proven bipartisan criteria of how a merger will affect consumer welfare, including prices, output, quality, variety, and innovation. In this case, credible evidence suggests that the Netflix-Warner Bros. merger may increase output by broadening the availability of Warner Bros.’ existing library and by leading to investment in new production facilities; similarly, the merger could lower prices by reducing the need for millions of consumers to subscribe to both Netflix and HBO Max. In any event, the relevant question should be whether or not the merger is likely to harm competition and consumers. DOJ should evaluate the merger based on established antitrust jurisprudence, economic learning, and the facts and circumstances presented, not “progressive” wish lists labeled as Guidelines.

B.     DOJ Should Recognize that Most Mergers, Particularly Vertical Mergers, Either Promote Competition or are Competitively Benign

In 2023, a review of the existing empirical literature found that “There is zero basis to doubt the once-settled wisdom underpinning the basic framework for merger review: mergers can and do advance procompetitive business objectives.”[3] Based on this type of evidence, former Assistant Attorney General for the Antitrust Division Christine Varney declared that “the vast majority of mergers are either procompetitive and enhance consumer welfare or are competitively benign.”[4]

Similarly, both the Department and FTC have recognized that mergers “are one means by which firms can improve their ability to compete.”[5]

In 2018, Makan Delrahim, then Assistant Attorney General for the Antitrust Division, emphasized that “most mergers are pro-competitive, or at least competitively neutral.” Quoting one of his predecessors, he stressed that “mergers are ‘an important and extremely valuable capital market phenomenon, that they are to be in general facilitated, and that it is socially desirable that uncertainty and risk be removed wherever possible to do so, subject, of course, to the very important limitation that where a merger threatens significantly to lessen competition, it should be halted.’”[6] In the same vein, the FTC’s current Chairman, Andrew Ferguson, has stated that mergers “are a critical way in which capital fuels innovation” and that an acquisition, along with new management, “can unleash new vitality, innovation, and growth.”[7]

In particular, courts have consistently recognized that vertical mergers characteristically promote competition. In FTC v. Microsoft, for example, the court stated that “many vertical mergers create vertical integration efficiencies between purchasers and sellers,” that “vertical integration creates efficiencies for consumers,” and that “Vertical integration is ubiquitous in our economy and virtually never poses a threat to competition when undertaken unilaterally and in competitive markets.”[8] This finding is consistent with the economic literature, which recognizes the efficiencies and welfare-enhancing benefits that tend to be associated with vertical acquisitions.[9]

Although this merger includes both horizontal and vertical elements, the core of the merger is vertical in nature: it will allow Netflix to distribute Warner Bros.’ existing properties to millions of new customers.

C.      If Necessary, DOJ Should Consider the Use of Tailored Remedies

To the extent that the Department ultimately harbors some competitive concerns about the merger, we encourage DOJ to negotiate tailored remedies, including the possibility of behavioral remedies, to resolve those concerns, rather than seek to block the merger outright. Across both the Department and FTC, the Trump Administration has consistently negotiated reasonable remedies that allow otherwise pro-competitive deals to move forward. For example, in Microsoft-Activision Blizzard, Omnicom-Interpublic, and Keysight Technologies-Spirent, the antitrust agencies worked closely with the merging companies to resolve their concerns, all mergers that benefited consumers and that allowed U.S. companies to improve their global competitiveness. In contrast, when the antitrust agencies fully block mergers rather than address specific concerns with tailored remedies, the agencies often reduce competition, harm consumers, and degrade the U.S. economy. For instance, the antitrust agencies’ inflexibility resulted in bankruptcies and lost jobs in both the failed Amazon-iRobot and Jet Blue-Spirit mergers. In this merger, and similar to the deals approved in Microsoft-Activision Blizzard and Amgen-Horizon Therapeutics, Netflix has already committed to licensing Warner Bros.’ properties to other platforms.

D.     DOJ Should Avoid Speculative Theories, Particularly When a Merger Would Improve the Global Position of U.S. Companies in Critical Markets

The prior administration consistently embraced speculative theories, such as those based on notions of foreclosure, potential competition, or structural presumptions, to block mergers that would have enhanced competition. The list is long: Nvidia-Arm, Lockheed-Aerojet, Meta-Within, Illumina-Grail, Amazon-iRobot, and Microsoft-Activision Blizzard. These were all mergers with vertical components that, if consummated, would have enhanced competition and improved the global position of U.S. companies in various critical markets, including chip design, rocket motors for missiles, robotics, the metaverse, cancer treatments, and the gaming industry. In other words, during the prior administration, merger review often reached a point where the antitrust agencies were pursuing speculative theories in ways that undermined our national interests in globally competitive markets.

To be clear, antitrust agencies should examine mergers. After all, antitrust law protects competition and consumers, not companies seeking to merge, nor their competitors. Our laws do not and should not give preferential treatment aimed at promoting “national champions.” If the evidence shows that a merger likely would harm consumers, it should be modified to address the consumer harm, and only if that is not possible, blocked. Merger enforcement, however, should never be used to attack companies, pick winners and losers, or engineer bureaucratic hurdles to economic freedom, progress, and growth, particularly when a merger would improve the global position of U.S. companies in critical markets.

The proposed Netflix–Warner Bros. merger holds the potential to enhance competition, as well as to improve the global competitiveness of U.S. companies in the entertainment sector.[10]

[1] U.S. Chamber, The Final Merger Guidelines: A Nightmare Before Christmas? (Dec. 19, 2023), https://www.uschamber.com/antitrust/the-final-merger-guidelines-a-nightmare-before-christmas.

[2] Jason Furman and Carl Shapiro, How Biden Can Get Antitrust Right, WSJ (July 27, 2023), https://www.wsj.com/opinion/how-biden-can-get-antitrust-right-khan-ftc-justice-department-guidelines-11364639.

[3] U.S. Chamber, Evidence of Efficiencies in Consummated Mergers (June 1, 2023), at https://www.uschamber.com/assets/documents/20230601-Merger-Efficiencies-White-Paper.pdf.

[4] Statement of Ass’t Att’y Gen. Christine Varney, Merger Guidelines Workshops, Third Annual Georgetown Law Global Antitrust Enforcement Symposium (Sept. 22, 2009).

[5] OECD, Conglomerate Effects of Mergers – Note by the United States to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (June 4, 2020) at 5, https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/attachments/us-submissions-oecd-2010-present-other-international-competition-fora/oecd-conglomerate_mergers_us_submission.pdf.

[6] Delrahim, Remarks at the 2018 Global Antitrust Enforcement Symposium (Sept. 25, 2018) (quoting William Baxter), https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/speech/assistant-attorney-general-makan-delrahim-delivers-remarks-2018-global-antitrust.

[7] Statement of Chairman Ferguson, Joined by Commissioners Holyoak and Meador, In the Matter of Synopsys, Inc. / Ansys, Inc. (May 28, 2025), https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/ftc_gov/pdf/synopsys-ansys-ferguson-statement-joined-by-holyoak-meador.pdf.

[8] FTC. v. Microsoft Corp., No.23-cv-2880-JSC, 2023 WL 4443412 (N.D. Cal. Jul. 10, 2023) (citations omitted).

[9] See, e.g., Francine Lafontaine & Margaret Slade, Vertical Integration and Firm Boundaries: The Evidence, 45 J. ECON. LIT. 629, 677 (2007) (“In spite of the lack of unified theory, over all a fairly clear empirical picture emerges. The data appear to be telling us that efficiency considerations overwhelm anticompetitive motives in most contexts. Furthermore, even when we limit attention to natural monopolies or tight oligopolies, the evidence of anticompetitive harm is not strong.”).

[10] See Asheesh Agarwal, Netflix-Warner Bros. Merger Will Enhance America’s Global Influence, Townhall (Jan. 29, 2026), https://townhall.com/columnists/asheeshagarwal/2026/01/29/netflixwarner-bros-merger-will-enhance-americas-global-influence-n2670259.

Source: U.S. Department of Justice

Regulatory Comments

ICLE Comments on Amendments to Vietnam Law No. 23/2018/QH14

I. Introduction The International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE) welcomes the opportunity to comment on the public consultation initiated by the Ministry of Industry . . .

I. Introduction

The International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE) welcomes the opportunity to comment on the public consultation initiated by the Ministry of Industry and Trade (MOIT) of the Socialist Republic of Vietnam on proposed amendments to Law No. 23/2018/QH14 of June 12, 2018, on Competition (Competition Law).[1] Vietnam has emerged as one of Southeast Asia’s most dynamic and fast-growing digital economies, supported by a regulatory approach that has balanced legal certainty with the flexibility needed for technological experimentation.[2]

The current drafting process, informed by Resolutions No. 57-NQ/TW and No. 68-NQ/TW, aims to strengthen the legal framework for the digital economy. The proposed introduction of prescriptive, ex ante prohibitions targeting digital platforms in Article 27 nonetheless risks reversing this successful trajectory. These provisions draw heavily on regulatory models from the European Union and the United Kingdom that have already produced significant shortcomings and unintended consequences.[3]

The proposed amendments focus on what MOIT characterizes as the abuse of dominant or monopolistic positions by digital platforms.[4] This approach assumes that existing competition law cannot adequately address features of digital markets, such as network effects and data advantages, or that these features inherently signal competitive harm rather than efficient competition. A law & economics perspective points in the opposite direction. Digital markets typically exhibit dynamic rivalry, in which firms compete to displace one another through innovation rather than merely to protect static market positions. As explained below, prohibitions on practices such as self-preferencing, tying, and mandated data access are likely to reduce consumer welfare, deter innovation, and weaken the security of Vietnamese users.

II. Ex Ante Platform Regulation Conflicts with Vietnam’s Dynamic Market Reality

The Party’s guidance on lawmaking, particularly Resolution No. 66-NQ/TW on reforming legislation to meet national development needs, emphasizes that legal frameworks must closely reflect real-world conditions and remain grounded in Vietnam’s specific economic and institutional context.[5] The MOIT’s proposal nonetheless closely tracks the European Union’s Digital Markets Act (DMA) and the United Kingdom’s Digital Markets, Competition and Consumers Act (DMCCA). These regimes mark a decisive departure from effects-based competition analysis focused on consumer welfare toward a more formalistic, “fairness”-oriented approach that prioritizes the protection of competitors over the competitive process itself. They also reflect political, institutional, and geopolitical priorities specific to the EU and the UK—rather than neutral economic principles—that Vietnam may not share and need not import.

Claims that digital markets require ex ante intervention rest on a static view of competition. Conventional antitrust analysis often treats stable market shares as evidence of durable market power. In digital ecosystems, however, stable shares more often reflect the temporary rewards of successful innovation than insulation from competitive pressure.[6] The constant risk of displacement by superior technologies or business models pushes even leading firms to invest continuously in research and development. Prescriptive and rigid rules in such environments risk locking business models in place and suppressing the dynamic rivalry that enables new entrants to challenge incumbents.

The MOIT’s emphasis on the “intermediary” role of digital platforms further signals concern about so-called bottleneck or gatekeeper power.[7] This framing overlooks the “Host’s Dilemma,” under which platforms must strike a careful balance between openness to third-party complementors and sufficient control to preserve security, quality, and commercial viability. When platforms succeed by offering integrated features, user demand typically reflects that success. Mandated unbundling or enforced neutrality may therefore compel firms with strategic market positions to degrade valued products and services, ultimately harming the consumers the regulation seeks to protect.

III. Self-Preferencing Is Not Presumptively Anticompetitive

Article 27(2)(a) of the MOIT’s proposal would prohibit “self-preferential treatment,” under which a platform prioritizes its own products or services through rankings, algorithms, or technical design choices.[8]  Framed this way, the proposal effectively adopts what ICLE scholars describe as a vertical-discrimination presumption—the view that vertical integration, or closely related conduct, is inherently suspect and presumptively anticompetitive absent compelling justification.[9]

This presumption conflicts with established insights from industrial organization economics. Firms often engage in vertical integration and related forms of self-preferencing to improve efficiency, reduce transaction costs, enhance product quality, enable new functionality, or support cross-subsidies that expand output. Self-preferencing can, in limited circumstances, raise competitive concerns. A categorical prohibition, by contrast, would likely condemn a broad range of conduct that benefits consumers, while doing little to address the narrower set of practices that could plausibly increase quality-adjusted prices or deter innovation.

A. The Host’s Dilemma and Dynamic Platform Design

Much of the intuition behind self-preferencing bans reflects what Jonathan Barnett describes as the “host’s dilemma.”[10] Complementors may grow dependent on a platform’s rules, distribution, and ranking systems, while the platform retains discretion to redesign its environment in ways that favor its own offerings. This dynamic is not unique to digital markets. It arises whenever firms invest under uncertainty, particularly when those investments tie closely to a specific relationship or distribution channel. Transaction-cost economics describes this condition as asset specificity: when investments carry greater value within a particular relationship than outside it, the risk of opportunism rises and governance mechanisms—such as contracts, integration, reputational constraints, or tailored rules—play a central role.[11]

Firms often manage these risks through contracts. In more arm’s-length relationships—e.g., a website that optimizes for search traffic—parties may not negotiate bespoke terms that guarantee stable rankings or interfaces. In those settings, the relevant baseline is not a right to neutrality but an expectation that platform design will evolve over time. Blanket non-discrimination mandates that freeze platform design to protect complementors can introduce their own distortions, including encouraging inefficient overinvestment in business models tailored to static platform rules, rather than to consumer value.[12]

Self-preferencing also commonly reflects standard integration and product-design choices. Coordinating complementary services within a single technical stack can reduce latency, improve reliability, and enable features that loose interoperability cannot easily deliver.[13] In cloud and data-intensive environments, performance often depends on data locality and tightly coupled scheduling. Rules that require “neutrality” by restricting integration can therefore degrade service quality and increase costs.[14] The central point is not that every integration choice is harmless, but that many reflect product improvements and cost reductions that competition policy should hesitate to prohibit categorically.

B. Self-Preferencing Frequently Benefits Consumers

Claims that self-preferencing is typically harmful find little support in the empirical literature. Across a range of platform settings, downstream entry or preferential placement of first-party offerings often coincides with market expansion, greater user awareness, and increased innovation by complementors—outcomes that conflict with a presumption of systematic foreclosure.

Empirical studies illustrate this pattern. Zhuoxin Li and Ashish Agarwal find that Facebook’s integration of Instagram increased demand not only for Instagram itself, but also for photography apps more broadly.[15] The integration raised awareness and expanded the market in ways that benefited independent developers alongside the platform owner. Jens Foerderer et al. similarly show that Google’s entry into photography apps with Google Photos on Android increased user attention and overall demand for photography apps, followed by greater complementor innovation and entry into adjacent categories.[16] Evidence from video-game console ecosystems points in the same direction: strong first-party titles often expand a platform’s installed base, increasing the potential market for third-party developers even when those developers also compete with first-party games.[17]

More recent experimental evidence from e-commerce reinforces these findings. Chiara Farronato, Andrey Fradkin, and Alexander MacKay conduct a field experiment that hides Amazon-owned private-label brands from shoppers and simulates counterfactual equilibria.[18] In the product categories they study, removing Amazon brands reduces consumer surplus by 5.5% in the short run. Only a small share of that loss reflects higher prices by other sellers; most of the welfare reduction stems from lost variety and diminished consumer valuation of private-label options.[19] Notably, the authors also find that attempts to “correct” potential self-preferencing by demoting private labels in search rankings do not generate consumer-surplus gains.[20]

Taken together, this evidence cautions strongly against treating self-preferencing as presumptively harmful. The empirical record instead shows that welfare effects depend on context and often prove positive—precisely the pattern that supports an effects-based approach, rather than a blanket ban.

C. Scale and Coordination Drive Platform Performance

The MOIT’s focus on platform “operating mechanisms” as a basis for intervention risks confusing sources of consumer value with evidence of competitive harm. Many practices that may appear to be “influence” or “steering” reflect scale economies and coordinated investment—the same efficiencies that vertical integration often delivers. The broader empirical literature on vertical integration consistently shows that integration can reduce transaction costs and improve performance, especially where coordination and quality assurance matter.[21]

These effects carry particular weight in platform markets. Integrated logistics, standardized fulfillment, and unified quality-control systems can produce faster delivery, more reliable service, and lower per-transaction costs at scale. Fragmented providers cannot easily replicate these outcomes without similar coordination.[22] Treating such efficiencies as suspect simply because they disadvantage less efficient rivals risks shifting competition policy toward protecting competitors rather than consumers. A more coherent standard would examine whether a specific practice plausibly raises quality-adjusted prices, reduces output, or forecloses efficient entry. It also would require evidence on those effects before condemning integration or preferential design choices.

IV. Technical Critique of Vietnam’s Proposed Article 27 Amendments

Proposed supplemental Article 27(2) introduces five separate clauses, subparagraphs (a) through (e), to regulate the conduct of dominant digital platforms. Each clause warrants careful scrutiny under the error-cost framework[23] because several risk prohibiting conduct that lacks clear evidence of harm and, in some cases, has demonstrated pro-competitive effects.[24] Where conduct produces ambiguous or context-dependent outcomes, competition law’s case-by-case analysis offers a more reliable and proportionate approach than rigid regulatory mandates.

A. Clause (a): Self-Preferencing Through Ranking, Algorithms, or Technical Specifications

A prohibition on prioritizing a platform’s own products or services through rankings, algorithms, or technical design choices overlooks that product design itself is a central dimension of competition. In digital markets, “self-preferencing” often allows platforms to integrate services in ways that improve performance and usability.[25] E.g., when a search engine displays a map directly in response to a restaurant query, it favors its own mapping service, but it also delivers faster, more useful results than a list of links to third-party sites. Treating such design choices as inherently suspect risks harming consumers by forcing platforms to abandon efficient and value-enhancing product improvements.[26].

The MOIT’s proposal also suggests that self-preferencing through pricing algorithms produces negative competitive effects. The economic literature does not support that conclusion. In a comprehensive review, economists Emilie Feyler and Veronica Postal observe that:

There is no consensus from the economic literature on whether procompetitive benefits or possible anticompetitive considerations prevail in the context of self preferencing algorithms used by digital platforms. Nor is there a consensus on the welfare effects of a policy intervention to correct bias in algorithmic recommendations. Determining the net impact of self-preferencing algorithms on competition and consumer welfare requires individualized analysis accounting for the workings of specific algorithms, competitive context, and market environment.[27]

Vietnam’s proposal further cites “technical specifications” as a potential basis for discriminatory conduct. This approach raises serious risks, as it could compel levels of technical interoperability that undermine system integrity and security.[28] In mobile ecosystems, Apple’s decision to keep iMessage proprietary constitutes a form of self-preferencing, yet it supports a tightly integrated and secure user experience that many consumers deliberately choose over more open alternatives.[29] Mandating access to technical specifications without regard to security, branding, or system design would encourage homogenization and erode the product differentiation that drives competition and innovation.[30]

B. Clause (b): ‘Unreasonable’ Terms and Transaction Conditions

The draft would prohibit platforms from “imposing unreasonable terms and conditions” related to pricing, payment methods, warranties, or other contractual provisions. The concept of “unreasonable” lacks clear economic grounding and introduces significant legal uncertainty for regulated firms. As ICLE has noted in the context of European competition policy, standards based on “fairness” or “reasonableness” resist principled definition and risk functioning as open-ended licenses for discretionary regulatory intervention.[31]

Legal tests built on concepts such as “good faith” or “fair dealing” create persistent uncertainty for market participants. A digital platform that charges a 30% commission to fund app-store security, curation, and infrastructure may view that price as efficient and pro-consumer. A regulator could nonetheless deem it “unreasonable” under an undefined standard. Requiring platforms to defend routine commercial terms against a regulator’s subjective view of fairness would, in effect, transform Vietnam’s competition enforcer into a price-setting authority. That uncertainty would likely deter foreign platforms from introducing new features or business models in Vietnam, given the risk of retrospective findings of “unreasonableness.”

C. Clause (c): Tying and Forced Service Registration

The prohibition on “imposing or forcing users to register, use, or maintain one or more additional services” targets tying and bundling practices.[32] In digital markets, however, firms often compete through bundles, and consumers frequently benefit from integrated offerings that reduce transaction costs and user friction.

The MOIT draft does not distinguish between coercive tying that can foreclose rivals and efficiency-enhancing bundling that benefits consumers. In many settings, integration serves technical and security functions rather than exclusionary aims. For example, allowing third-party applications to run in the background without native mobile operating-system controls can materially reduce battery life and weaken data-privacy protections. Mandating unbundling in such cases would degrade device performance and user experience. ICLE’s research on the U.K. Competition and Markets Authority’s mobile-ecosystem inquiry further indicates that users who remain within bundled ecosystems typically do so because they value the integrated experience, not because platforms lock them in.[33]

D. Clause (d): Multi-Homing and Switching Barriers

The draft seeks to prevent practices that limit business users’ ability to access alternative platforms. Although the MOIT frames this concern in terms of “lock-in,” evidence from global markets shows that multi-homing is the norm rather than the exception. Enterprise customers routinely operate across AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. Developers commonly build for both iOS and Android.[34]

Tools that facilitate data portability and app switching signal active competition, not monopoly power. Firms with durable market power rarely invest in mechanisms that make exit easier; competitors do. Vietnam should therefore approach interoperability mandates with caution. Requirements that push platforms toward a single, homogenized model risk eliminating the diversity of platform approaches—e.g., Apple’s curated ecosystem alongside Google’s more open model—that gives Vietnamese consumers meaningful choice and drives innovation.

E. Clause (e): Mandatory Data Access and Fees

The final proposed clause addresses refusals to provide, or the imposition of allegedly unreasonable conditions or fees for, access to data generated by business users.[35] This provision raises particularly complex technical issues because it intersects directly with data protection, intellectual-property rights, and cybersecurity.

ICLE’s analysis of the European Union’s Digital Markets Act indicates that mandated data access can function as a persistent “live wire” into user accounts.[36] Continuous or real-time access can allow third parties—including potentially malicious actors—to extract communications, media, or location data without further user involvement.[37] Vietnam’s draft does not include adequate safeguards to prevent these risks in the pursuit of increased “contestability.”

Mandated data sharing can also weaken investment incentives. Platforms invest heavily in collecting, cleaning, and structuring data so it can support secure services and advanced analytics.[38] Broad access obligations risk discouraging these investments by forcing firms to share the results of costly data-preparation efforts without clear limits or compensation

V. The Costs and Risks of Importing Ex Ante Digital Regulation

Vietnam’s proposed amendments align with a broader international shift toward ex ante regulation of digital platforms. The EU’s DMA, the UK’s DMCCA, and Germany’s Section 19a regime illustrate this approach, alongside ongoing legislative efforts or debates in jurisdictions such as India, South Korea, Japan, and Brazil.[39]

These frameworks often appear as “best practices” or evidence of global convergence on digital regulation. Closer examination of their implementation, however, reveals significant economic risks, unmet policy objectives, and material geopolitical implications. By adopting this model, Vietnam risks importing an untested and highly contested regulatory framework that may shield less efficient competitors, rather than target demonstrable consumer harm or well-defined market failures.

A. Geopolitical Risks of Targeting Global Digital Platforms

Digital platform regulations, even when not designed to do so, tend to fall disproportionately on U.S.-based companies and therefore carry meaningful geopolitical risk. Critics have characterized the DMA as a politicized instrument—even as a “non-tariff attack,”[40] aimed at constraining U.S. technological leadership.[41] Of the seven gatekeepers designated by the European Commission, five are U.S. companies: Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, and Microsoft.[42] Regardless of intent, ex ante digital regulation in practice places the greatest compliance burdens on American firms, creating nontrivial geopolitical exposure.

The geopolitical context has shifted sharply following policy changes adopted by the Trump administration in 2025. The U.S. government no longer treats foreign digital regulations as purely domestic policy choices. It now frames them as discriminatory measures—described as “unfair taxes” or “overseas extortion”—directed at U.S. companies. In February 2025, President Donald Trump signed an executive order directing the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative to continue investigations into digital services taxes and to consider responsive measures, including tariffs, against foreign penalties or regulatory actions deemed discriminatory or disproportionate.[43]

Senior U.S. officials have reinforced this stance. Vice President J.D. Vance has publicly warned U.S. allies against expansive regulation of artificial intelligence and digital platforms, explicitly criticizing the DMA, the Digital Services Act (DSA), and the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). Speaking at the AI Action Summit in Paris in February 2025, Vance described European-style digital regulation as an innovation deterrent that the United States would not accept.[44]

These geopolitical risks are no longer theoretical. In December 2025, Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced visa restrictions on five European individuals, including a former EU commissioner, whom the U.S. State Department linked to the development and enforcement of the DSA.[45] Rubio described the targeted officials as “agents of the global censorship-industrial complex” who had pressured U.S. platforms and harmed American firms. Whatever the merits of this action, it signals a U.S. willingness to respond not only through trade measures but also by imposing personal consequences on foreign regulators associated with laws perceived as adverse to U.S. interests.

Basic law & economics principles counsel that regulation is justified only when expected benefits exceed expected costs. In the current geopolitical environment—especially given the more confrontational posture of the U.S. administration—these macroeconomic and diplomatic risks warrant careful consideration in any serious cost–benefit assessment of Vietnam’s proposed digital competition amendments.

B. Regulatory Drag and the EU’s Digital Productivity Gap

The Draghi Report observes that “the productivity gap between the U.S. and the EU is largely explained by the tech sector.”[46] The United States has fostered an environment of permissionless innovation, while Europe has layered on dense regulatory constraints.[47] The outcome is visible: Europe has produced no counterparts to Google, Apple, or Amazon.

The Digital Markets Act has also reshaped products in ways that reduce consumer welfare. To comply with the DMA, Google altered the integration of Google Maps into Google Search in the EU. European users now see a static thumbnail with limited functionality rather than a fully interactive map, creating a slower and more fragmented experience that requires additional, unintuitive steps to complete routine tasks.[48] The same negative effect is visible regarding search results for flights and hotels, where additional, counter-intuitive steps were added due to DMA’s prohibition of “self—preferencing.” Similar degradation appears in flight and hotel search results, where the DMA’s restrictions on self-preferencing have reduced integration and usability.[49]

Regulatory uncertainty under the DMA has also delayed the rollout of advanced AI features in Europe and imposed what functions as an “innovation tax” on designated gatekeepers. When firms face unpredictable compliance obligations and potential fines tied to global turnover, they rationally delay, narrow, or geo-fence product launches. This “regulatory chill” lowers the expected value of experimentation and raises the option value of waiting. The practical cost of regulation thus extends beyond compliance spending to include foregone or postponed product improvements for local users.

Recent examples illustrate this pattern. Apple paused the release of Apple Intelligence in the EU amid concerns that DMA interoperability requirements could force design changes that weaken device security.[50] Meta delayed the launch of Threads in the EU for several months, citing uncertainty over DMA limits on combining user data across services such as Instagram and Threads, and redesigned the product to comply.[51] Google has similarly reported that DMA-related reengineering and documentation burdens can delay EU launches—particularly AI-driven search features and integrated modules—by up to a year.[52] These delays reinforce a broader pattern of digital lag in Europe relative to markets such as the United States.

Vietnam’s digital transformation depends on rapid adoption and deployment of advanced technologies developed worldwide. Prescriptive rules that degrade consumer experience, lock business models in place, and deter experimentation would slow that transformation. Countries seeking sustained economic growth should avoid regulatory approaches that substitute rigidity for innovation and evidence-based competition policy.

C. Lessons from the UK’s DMCC

Observers sometimes describe the U.K.’s Digital Markets, Competition and Consumers Act (DMCC) as a more flexible form of ex ante regulation.[53] The U.K.’s experience in 2025 nonetheless highlights the political and institutional instability that discretionary regimes can create.[54]

In response to economic stagnation, the U.K. government applied sustained political pressure on regulators to adopt an explicit “pro-growth” mandate. Prime Minister Keir Starmer publicly emphasized that regulators must place economic growth at the center of their decision-making,[55] and the government required agencies to commit to measurable actions that support business confidence and investment.[56] In parallel, the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) introduced a package of institutional and procedural reforms—branded as the “4 Ps” of pace, predictability, proportionality, and process. These reforms included changes to merger-review timelines, clearer jurisdictional thresholds, and a new mergers charter designed to align regulatory practice with the government’s growth objectives.[57]

The government’s strategic guidance also stressed accountability, predictability, and collaboration with industry, and urged regulators to exercise new DMCC powers with “particular care,” especially in fast-moving technology markets. This episode shows that even in the United Kingdom—a jurisdiction with relatively strong legal and administrative institutions—ex ante digital regimes remain politically fragile and subject to rapid recalibration.

Vietnam’s institutional environment is less insulated from these pressures. Broad, discretionary platform rules therefore carry a heightened risk of unintended consequences, including innovation drag, rising compliance costs, weaker consumer outcomes, and slower productivity growth. Regulatory modesty—through narrowly tailored, evidence-based intervention—offers a more durable and prudent path than ambitious, early-stage, and untested regulatory frameworks.

VI. The Risks of Imposing a De Facto Duty to Deal in Data

The MOIT proposal would prohibit dominant digital platforms from “abusing business user data,” including by “refusing to provide or imposing unreasonable conditions or fees” on access to data generated through legitimate business activities on the platform. As discussed in Section IV.B, this provision grants Vietnam’s competition authority broad remedial discretion. Enforcement could therefore result in mandatory data sharing or interoperability obligations that risk harming consumers rather than promoting competition.[58]

The proposal also creates a serious risk of regulatory overlap with the Law on Digital Transformation (LODT).[59] The LODT establishes a sector-specific framework for regulating digital platforms, including rules governing data access and portability for designated “dominant platforms.”[60] If MOIT adopts the proposed amendments, platforms could face parallel investigations and sanctions for the same conduct under two separate legal regimes administered by different authorities. As Giuseppe Colangelo has explained in the context of the DMA, overlapping enforcement without clear boundaries breeds fragmentation and legal uncertainty.[61] When a specialized regime already governs conduct such as data access, layering competition-law remedies on top undermines the coherence and effectiveness of that framework.

This duplication creates more than procedural inefficiency. It imposes substantive compliance burdens that can chill investment and innovation. A platform could comply fully with the LODT’s data-access requirements and still face competition-law liability for allegedly “unreasonable” conditions under the Competition Law. That regulatory fog makes compliance unpredictable and deters long-term investment. MOIT should therefore remove these platform-specific data provisions and rely on existing competition-law tools to address demonstrable exclusionary conduct on a case-by-case basis. Policymakers should also subject the LODT’s data-access provisions to a regulatory impact assessment after implementation.[62]

The proposed amendments also risk imposing a de facto duty to deal in data, premised on the assumption that data generated on a platform functions as a public good, rather than as a proprietary asset created through substantial investment. In practice, the value of business-user data often derives from a platform’s aggregation, analytics, and security capabilities. Mandating access to data “generated from business activities” raises fundamental questions about ownership and scope.[63] E.g., when a user enters payment information for an in-app purchase, that data reflects the platform’s payment infrastructure as much as the developer’s activity.

Forcing platforms to share such data for free or under regulated “reasonable” fees would institutionalize free riding. Business users would have incentives to rely on the platform’s infrastructure instead of investing in their own data capabilities.[64] Platforms, in turn, would reduce investment in data collection, cleaning, and security if competitors can immediately appropriate the results. That outcome would undermine innovation and conflict with Vietnam’s broader digital-transformation goals.

The vague prohibition on “unreasonable conditions” also threatens privacy and cybersecurity. Platforms often restrict third-party data access to protect users and preserve system integrity. Broad access mandates—backed by antitrust liability—expand attack surfaces and create new risks. Strong privacy and security protections represent valued product features,[65] not pretexts for exclusion.[66] Forcing platforms to interoperate with numerous third parties that lack robust safeguards increases the likelihood of breaches and system failures.[67]

Recent experience illustrates these risks. In July 2024, a faulty software update from CrowdStrike triggered one of the largest Windows outages on record, disrupting airports, hospitals, and other critical services worldwide.[68] That incident followed longstanding European Commission requirements that Microsoft grant third-party security vendors privileged system access. Competition intervention increased supplier access, but it also amplified systemic risk. By contrast, Apple limits kernel access precisely to preserve security and reliability. Vietnam should approach data-access mandates with similar caution, particularly where consumer trust, privacy, and cybersecurity are at stake.[69]

VII. Conclusion: Innovation-Friendly Competition Policy for Vietnam

Vietnam has strong reasons to foster its digital economy through targeted and agile measures rather than by importing an untested regulatory model whose costs already appear in other jurisdictions. The Law on Digital Transformation and proposed amendments to the Competition Law should place consumer welfare and innovation ahead of concerns about redistributing profits among competitors.

Vietnam should therefore maintain an effects-based competition policy grounded in the following principles:

  • Prioritize Consumer Welfare: Distinguish conduct that disadvantages rivals because of superior products from conduct that harms consumers by restricting choice or raising quality-adjusted prices.
  • Respect Platform Autonomy: Recognize that firms design their platforms and face the strongest incentives to deliver services that users value.
  • Adopt Evidence-Based Standards: Avoid vague concepts such as “unreasonable” or “fair.” Base enforcement on economic analysis, empirical evidence, and industry-specific conditions.
  • Favor Light-Touch Remedies: Prefer targeted cease-and-desist orders over prescriptive mandates that force product redesign and risk stifling innovation.
  • Protect Privacy and Security: Ensure that competition interventions do not weaken data protection or create new “live wire” vulnerabilities for users.

Regulation should remain a measure of last resort, applied only where markets demonstrably fail. By maintaining a clear, predictable, and proportionate regulatory framework, Vietnam can continue to attract investment and promote dynamic competition that supports long-term growth and digital transformation. This approach reflects not only sound economics but also strategic foresight: innovation flourishes where rules provide clarity and restraint, not where regulation becomes a blunt tool for market engineering.

[1] Ministry of Industry & Trade (Viet.), Policy Dossier for the Draft Law Amending and Supplementing Several Articles of Law No. 23/2018/QH14 of June 12, 2018, on Competition (Competition Law) (Jan. 21, 2026), https://moit.gov.vn/du-thao-van-ban/ho-so-chinh-sach-du-an-luat-sua-du-an-luat-sua-doi-bo-sung-mot-so-dieu-cua-luat-thuong-mai-luat-canh-tranh-luat-quan-ly-.html [hereinafter “Public Consultation”]. Our comments were based primarily on the proposed statutory text available in the Download section, File No. 5, of the above link for the Public Consultation.

[2] Lazar Radic, Comments of the International Center for Law & Economics: Vietnam’s Draft Law on Digital Transformation—A Road to Hell Paved with Good Intentions, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. (Oct. 20, 2025), https://laweconcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Vietnam-open-letter.pdf.

[3] Id.

[4] Public Consultation, supra note 1.

[5] To Lam, Institutional and Legal Breakthroughs Are Needed for the Country to Thrive, Viet Bao (May 4, 2025), https://vietbao.vn/en/tong-bi-thu-to-lam-dot-pha-the-che-phap-luat-de-dat-nuoc-vuon-minh-540884.html.

[6] See generally Nicolas Petit, Big Tech and the Digital Economy: The Moligopoly Scenario (2020).

[7] These concepts originate from European-style regulation (e.g., the Digital Markets Act). See Giuseppe Colangelo, DMA Begins, 11 J. Antitrust Enf’t 116 (2023).

[8] Public Consultation, supra note 1.

[9] Geoffrey A. Manne, Against the Vertical Discrimination Presumption, Concurrences No. 2-2020, art. no. 94267 (May 1, 2020).

[10] Jonathan M. Barnett, The Host’s Dilemma: Strategic Forfeiture in Platform Markets for Informational Goods, 124 Harv. L. Rev. 1861 (2011).

[11] Oliver E. Williamson, Transaction-Cost Economics: The Governance of Contractual Relations, 22 J.L. & Econ. 233 (1979).

[12] See, e.g., Manne, supra note 9.

[13] Brian Albrecht & Geoffrey A. Manne, Self-Preferencing Isn’t a Sin. It’s Often the Way Competition Works., Truth on the Market (Aug. 20, 2025).

[14] Id.

[15] Zhuoxin Li & Ashish Agarwal, Platform Integration and Demand Spillovers in Complementary Markets: Evidence from Facebook’s Integration of Instagram, 63 Mgmt. Sci. 3438 (2017).

[16] Jens Foerderer et al., Does Platform Owner’s Entry Crowd Out Innovation? Evidence from Google Photos, 29 Info. Sys. Res. 444 (2018).

[17] Carmelo Cennamo, Hakan Ozalp & Tobias Kretschmer, Platform Architecture and Quality Trade-offs of Multihoming Complements, 29 Info. Sys. Res. 461 (2018).

[18] Chiara Farronato, Andrey Fradkin & Alexander MacKay, Vertical Integration and Consumer Choice: Evidence from a Field Experiment, Nat’l Bureau of Econ. Research Working Paper No. 34135 (Aug. 2025).

[19] Id.

[20] Id.

[21] Francine Lafontaine & Margaret Slade, Vertical Integration and Firm Boundaries: The Evidence, 45 J. Econ. Literature 629 (2007).

[22] See, e.g., Sam Bowman & Geoffrey A. Manne, Platform Self-Preferencing Can Be Good for Consumers and Even Competitors, Truth on the Market (Mar. 4, 2021).

[23] “The objective of the error-cost framework is to ensure that regulatory rules, enforcement decisions, and judicial outcomes minimize the expected cost of (1) erroneous condemnation and deterrence of beneficial conduct (‘false positives,’ or ‘Type I errors’); (2) erroneous allowance and under-deterrence of harmful conduct (‘false negatives,’ or ‘Type II errors’); and (3) the costs of administering the system (including the cost of making and enforcing rules and judicial decisions, the costs of obtaining and evaluating information and evidence relevant to decision-making, and the costs of compliance).” Geoffrey A. Manne, Error Costs in Digital Markets, in The GAI Report on the Digital Economy 34 (2020).

[24] See, infra, Section III.B. Most practices the proposal would ban are vertical restraints—agreements or other constraints between firms at different levels of the production chain—and therefore warrant analysis under a rule-of-reason framework. See Jonathan Barnett, Does the European Union’s Digital Markets Act Provide an Appropriate Model for Maintaining Competition in California’s Innovation Economy? 15 (report commissioned by the Chamber of Progress, Dec. 2023), http://www.clrc.ca.gov/pub/2024/MM24-05.pdf.

[25] Manne, supra note 23, at 38-39.

[26] See, infra, Section VI regarding Google’s downstream effects on users following implementation of the DMA’s prohibition on self-preferencing.

[27] Emilie Feyler & Veronica Postal, Can Self-Preferencing Algorithms Be Pro-Competitive?, CPI Antitrust Chron. 5 (June 2023), https://www.competitionpolicyinternational.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/5-can-selfpreferencing-algorithms-be-pro-competitive-emilie-feyler-veronica-postal.pdf.

[28] Mikołaj Barczentewicz, The Digital Markets Act Shouldn’t Mandate Radical Interoperability, Truth on the Market (May 19, 2021), https://truthonthemarket.com/2021/05/19/the-digital-markets-act-shouldnt-mandate-radical-interoperability.

[29] Geoffrey A. Manne, Dirk Auer & Mário A. Zuñiga, Comments of the International Center for Law & Economics on CMA’s Proposal to Designate Apple and Google with Strategic Market Status, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. (Aug. 20, 2025), https://laweconcenter.org/resources/icle-comments-to-uk-cma-on-sms-designations-for-mobile-ecosystems.

[30] Id.

[31] Giuseppe Colangelo, Fairness and Ambiguity in EU Competition Policy, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. (ICLE White Paper No. 2023-02-15), https://laweconcenter.org/resources/fairness-and-ambiguity-in-eu-competition-policy.

[32] Public Consultation, supra note 1.

[33] Geoffrey A. Manne, Dirk Auer & Mário A. Zuñiga, Comments of the International Center for Law & Economics on CMA’s Proposal to Designate Apple and Google with Strategic Market Status, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. (Aug. 20, 2025), https://laweconcenter.org/resources/icle-comments-to-uk-cma-on-sms-designations-for-mobile-ecosystems.

[34] Sami Hyrynsalmi, Arho Suominen & Matti Mäntymäki, The Influence of Developer Multi-Homing on Competition Between Software Ecosystems, 111 J. Syst. Softw. 119 (2016).

[35] Public Consultation, supra note 1.

[36] Mikołaj Barczentewicz, ICLE Comments on the Interplay Between DMA and GDPR, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. (Dec. 4, 2025), https://laweconcenter.org/resources/icle-comments-on-the-interplay-between-dma-and-gdpr.

[37] Id.

[38] Nathalie Jorzik, Paula J. Kirchhof & Frank Mueller-Langer, Industrial Data Sharing and Data Readiness: A Law and Economics Perspective, 57 Eur. J. L. & Econ. 181 (2024).

[39] Geoffrey A. Manne et al., ICLE Comments to the U.K. Competition & Markets Authority on SMS Designations for Mobile Ecosystems, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. (Aug. 20, 2025), https://laweconcenter.org/resources/icle-comments-to-uk-cma-on-sms-designations-for-mobile-ecosystems.

[40] Robert D. Atkinson, Letter to the Trump Administration Regarding Non-Tariff Attacks on U.S. Tech Firms and Industries, Info. Tech. & Innovation Found. (July 2, 2025), https://itif.org/publications/2025/07/02/letter-regarding-non-tariff-attacks-on-ustech-firms-and-industries.

[41] Mikołaj Barczentewicz, The Digital Markets Act as an EU Digital Tax: When Compliance Costs Dwarf Regulatory Estimates, Truth on the Market (July 8, 2025), https://laweconcenter.org/resources/the-digital-markets-act-as-an-eu-digital-tax-whencompliance-costs-dwarf-regulatory-estimates.

[42] European Comm’n, Gatekeepers, https://digital-markets-act.ec.europa.eu/gatekeepers_en (last visited Jan. 27, 2026).

[43] The White House, Defending American Companies and Innovators from Overseas Extortion and Unfair Fines and Penalties, Presidential Actions (Feb. 21, 2025), https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/02/defending-american-companies-and-innovators-from-overseas-extortion-and-unfair-fines-and-penalties.

[44] Siladitya Ray, JD Vance Knocks EU’s Regulation of U.S. Tech Giants: “America Cannot Accept That”, Forbes (Feb. 11, 2025), https://www.forbes.com/sites/siladityaray/2025/02/11/jd-vance-knocks-eus-regulation-of-us-tech-giants-america-cannot-accept-that.

[45] Kim Marcrael, U.S. Sanctions Former EU Official Over Digital-Content Law, Wall St. J. (Dec. 24, 2025), https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/u-s-sanctions-former-eu-official-over-digital-content-law-c41f574c.

[46] Mario Draghi, The Future of European Competitiveness – Part A: A Competitiveness Strategy for Europe 5 (European Comm’n Sept. 2024), https://commission.europa.eu/document/download/97e481fd-2dc3-412d-be4c-f152a8232961_en?filename=The%20future%20of%20European%20competitiveness%20_%20A%20competitiveness%20strategy%20for%20Europe.pdf.

[47] Id. at 6 (“The problem is not that Europe lacks ideas or ambition. We have many talented researchers and entrepreneurs filing patents. But innovation is blocked at the next stage: we are failing to translate innovation into commercialisation, and innovative companies that want to scale up in Europe are hindered at every stage by inconsistent and restrictive regulations”).

[48] Impact of the Digital Markets Act (DMA) on Consumers Across the European Union: Results from a Survey with 5,000 Consumers, Nextrade Grp. (Sept. 2025), https://www.nextradegroupllc.com/impact-of-the-dma-on-eu-consumers.

[49] Id.

[50] Akshaya Asokan, Apple to Delay AI Rollout in Europe, BankInfoSecurity (June 21, 2024).

[51] Eglė Markevičiūtė, Consumer Waiting Game: Why Do Tech Products Launch Later in Europe?, Euronews (Sept. 26, 2025), https://www.euronews.com/next/2025/09/26/consumer-waiting-game-why-do-tech-products-launch-later-in-europe.

[52] Cynthia Kroet, Google’s AI Feature on Hold in Most EU Member States Due to “Strict Rules”, Euronews (Apr. 1, 2025), https://www.euronews.com/next/2025/04/01/googles-ai-feature-on-hold-in-most-eu-member-states-due-to-strict-rules.

[53] Mario Zúñiga, Parsing Brazil’s ‘More Flexible’ Approach to Digital Markets, Truth on the Market (Feb. 5, 2025), https://truthonthemarket.com/2025/02/05/parsing-brazils-more-flexible-approach-to-digital-markets.

[54] Dario Oliveira Neto, Lessons from the UK for Brazil’s Digital Market Strategy, Truth on the Market (July 22, 2025), https://truthonthemarket.com/2025/07/22/lessons-from-the-uk-for-brazils-digital-market-strategy.

[55] Alistair Smout, UK Pledges Regulatory Overhaul to Try to Win Over Investors, Reuters (Oct. 14, 2024), https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-promises-regulation-overhaul-bid-court-wary-investors-2024-10-13.

[56] HM Treasury, New Approach to Ensure Regulators and Regulation Support Growth (Oct. 22, 2025), https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/a-new-approach-to-ensure-regulators-and-regulation-support-growth/new-approach-to-ensure-regulators-and-regulation-support-growth-html.

[57] Id.

[58] See Competition Law ch. IX, art. 110(4).

[59] Law No. 148/2025/QH15 (Dec. 11, 2025) (Viet.) (effective July 1, 2026).

[60] See Huu Tuan Nguyen & Alex Do, Vietnam’s Draft Digital Transformation Law Proposes “Far-Reaching” Paradigm for Digital Platforms, IAPP (Sept. 17, 2025), https://connectontech.bakermckenzie.com/vietnam-vietnams-draft-digital-transformation-law-proposes-far-reaching-paradigm-for-digital-platforms; see also Lazar Radic, ICLE Comments on Vietnam’s Law on Digital Transformation, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. (Oct. 20, 2025), https://laweconcenter.org/resources/icle-comments-on-vietnams-digital-transformation-bill.

[61] Giuseppe Colangelo, The Digital Markets Act and EU Antitrust Enforcement: Double & Triple Jeopardy, ICLE White Paper (Mar 23, 2022), https://laweconcenter.org/resources/the-digital-markets-act-and-eu-antitrust-enforcement-double-triple-jeopardy

[62] Ongoing monitoring and evaluation are core regulatory best practices. They improve regulatory quality and provide an essential check on the exercise of regulatory power. See OECD, Regulatory Impact Assessment 29 (2020), https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2020/02/regulatory-impact-assessment_0bf78a03/7a9638cb-en.pdf.

[63] See Geoffrey A. Manne & Dirk Auer, Antitrust Dystopia and Antitrust Nostalgia: Alarmist Theories of Harm in Digital Markets and Their Origins, 28 Geo. Mason L. Rev. 1279, 1351 (2021). (“The challenge for firms in data-reliant industries is multidimensional. Not only must they acquire data (and this is not merely a matter of ‘data network effects’), but just as importantly they must also develop the expertise to analyze this data, draw useful insights from it, and turn these insights into successful products. In doing so, acquiring the right data and getting the best out of a firm’s engineers is at least as important as controlling a large amount of data or engineering expertise… Under this light, the resounding success of certain technology platforms appears to be down to their respective ‘dynamic capabilities’ rather than the operation of positive feedback loops.”)

[64] Brian Albrecht & Dirk Auer, Free Riding in Mobile Ecosystems, Int’l Ctr. for L. & Econ. (Dec. 2, 2025), https://laweconcenter.org/resources/free-riding-in-mobile-ecosystems.

[65] In Epic Games, Inc. v. Apple Inc., the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals recognized that security and privacy play a decisive role in consumer choice. The court noted that 50% to 62% of iPhone users and 76% to 89% of iPad users worldwide consider security and privacy important when purchasing a device. Even Epic’s CEO testified that he chose an iPhone over an Android device in part because it offers “better security and privacy.” The district court further found that Apple’s creation of a “trusted app environment” leads users to make greater use of their devices. See Epic Games, Inc. v. Apple Inc., No. 25-2935, 53 (9th Cir. 2025).

[66] See Margrethe Vestager, A Whack-a-Mole Approach to Big Tech Won’t Do, Says Europe’s Antitrust Chief, Economist (June 4, 2024), https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2024/06/04/a-whack-a-mole-approach-to-big-tech-wont-do-says-europes-antitrust-chief (arguing that “asking platforms to open up their ecosystem, for instance, does not mean they have to compromise the security of their service”).

[67] See Mikołaj Barczentewicz, Does the DMA Let Gatekeepers Protect Data Privacy and Security?, Truth on the Market (Apr. 4, 2024), https://truthonthemarket.com/2024/04/04/does-the-dma-let-gatekeepers-protect-data-privacy-and-security; Mario Zúñiga, The EU Is Determined to Tear Down Apple’s ‘Walled Garden’, Truth on the Market (May 6, 2025), https://truthonthemarket.com/2025/05/06/the-eu-is-determined-to-tear-down-apples-walled-garden.

[68] Bobby Allyn, Brian Mann, Bill Chappell & Fatima Al-Kassab, What We Know About the Computer Update Glitch Disrupting Systems Around the World, Nat’l Pub. Radio (July 19, 2024), https://www.npr.org/2024/07/19/g-s1-12222/microsoft-outage-banks-airlines-broadcasters.

[69] Jowi Morales, Microsoft’s EU Agreement Means It Will Be Hard to Avoid CrowdStrike-Like Calamities in the Future, Tom’s Hardware (July 22, 2024), https://www.tomshardware.com/software/windows/microsofts-eu-agreement-means-it-will-be-hard-to-avoid-crowdstrike-like-calamities-in-the-future.

Source: Vietnam Ministry of Industry and Trade

Regulatory Comments

ICLE Comments to the Virginia Senate on SB 85

My name is Kristian Stout, and I serve as director of innovation policy at the International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE), a nonprofit, nonpartisan . . .

My name is Kristian Stout, and I serve as director of innovation policy at the International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE), a nonprofit, nonpartisan research center that promotes the rule of law and sound economic principles in technology and competition policy. Our work focuses on the legal, economic, and institutional implications of digital regulation. I write today to share my expertise in privacy law, platform governance, and the constitutional limits of state technology regulation.

In particular, I am writing to express serious concerns about SB 85, which would amend Virginia’s Consumer Data Protection Act to require social-media platforms and artificial-intelligence (AI) model operators to implement data portability and interoperability interfaces. While empowering users to access and transfer their data is a reasonable goal, SB 85 goes much further. Its mandates are sweeping, likely unconstitutional, and unworkable in practice.

SB 85 would effectively force platforms to “open the gates” of their systems by requiring them to provide user personal data—including complete social graph data covering a user’s connections and interactions—in a portable format, while also maintaining continuous, third-party-accessible interfaces for near real-time data sharing. This level of mandated interoperability is unprecedented at the state level. It would impose extraordinary technical complexity and create serious risks to privacy and security.

Privacy and Security Risks

Forcing platforms to share detailed social graph data and AI “contextual data” with third parties creates substantial privacy risks. As ICLE Senior Scholar Mikolaj Barczentewicz has explained, mandated interoperability often exposes not only the data of users who opt in, but also the posts, comments, and interactions of other users who never consented to such sharing. If I export my social-media data to another service, that transfer would inevitably include comments and interactions from others connected to me. Those individuals did not consent to having their data shared on a different platform, yet their privacy would be compromised by design.

Even in the European Union—hardly a reluctant regulator of digital platforms—policymakers have raised concerns about mandatory interoperability for social networks. Those concerns focus on risks to user privacy, weakened security protections such as end-to-end encryption, and increased difficulty enforcing existing data-protection laws like the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR).[1]

SB 85 appears to assume that data can be shared without tradeoffs in privacy or security. In reality, it would create a major loophole. Once user data leaves a platform, the recipient is governed only by its own privacy policies. That weakens the protections Virginia’s current privacy law provides and could encourage bad actors or irresponsible firms to entice users into transferring sensitive data to services that handle it carelessly or exploitatively. In practical terms, SB 85 risks turning personal information into an open book, accessible far beyond its original context.

These risks grow when platforms cannot meaningfully vet or block harmful third parties, including foreign actors or fly-by-night operators. Broad access points create attractive attack vectors, while enforcement mechanisms often lack the ability to detect and stop abuse in real time.[2] Even strong privacy laws depend on effective enforcement, and misuse of broadly mandated interoperability would be difficult to detect or prosecute—especially when bad actors operate outside the United States.[3]

Constitutional and Legal Concerns

SB 85 would fundamentally reshape how major online platforms operate nationwide, if not globally. By imposing sweeping design and data-sharing mandates at the state level, the bill raises serious Dormant Commerce Clause concerns.[4] It would burden interstate commerce and regulate conduct far beyond Virginia’s borders, an area the U.S. Constitution reserves to Congress.

In effect, Virginia would be dictating data-sharing architecture for platforms used across the country. Courts are likely to view that as unconstitutional overreach. The bill may also implicate other constitutional protections by compelling private companies to provide broad access to their systems and user data, potentially raising Takings Clause or First Amendment issues. At a minimum, SB 85 invites legal challenge and preemption, given existing federal laws and regulatory orders that already govern aspects of data sharing and privacy. The General Assembly should be cautious about enacting legislation that would trigger costly litigation and is unlikely to survive judicial scrutiny.

Practical Difficulties

Beyond its legal and privacy flaws, SB 85 presents severe practical problems. Compliance would require platforms to redesign their systems to support continuous, near real-time data portability through open protocols—effectively forcing them to build and maintain open APIs for competitors and third parties. That kind of redesign would divert substantial resources away from innovation and toward compliance, while delivering limited real-world benefits.[5]

The challenge becomes even greater given the bill’s expanded scope, which now includes AI model operators. Companies would need to ensure encryption in transit, implement robust authentication systems, and continuously monitor third-party recipients to prevent abuse. SB 85 would impose an unfunded mandate that turns platforms into full-time privacy and security gatekeepers for an ecosystem they cannot control. The practical result may be fewer privacy protections, more vulnerability, and less innovation.[6]

These obligations would not be one-time. They would be ongoing, forcing companies to police how external actors use exported data indefinitely. Although the bill allows “reasonable” limits on frequency and volume, those provisions do little to reduce the engineering and compliance burden of real-time interoperability. Smaller or newer firms may not be able to absorb these costs, while even large platforms may choose to limit services in Virginia rather than accept the legal and technical risks.

Including AI model operators adds still more uncertainty. Unlike social-media data, there are no standardized formats or protocols for transferring a user’s complete AI-interaction history across systems. Forcing near real-time interoperability could degrade functionality, undermine security, or expose proprietary aspects of AI models. It also conflicts with user expectations about how AI interactions are stored and used.

Conclusion

SB 85 seeks to promote user choice and competition, but its approach carries serious unintended consequences. The bill threatens user privacy, stretches constitutional limits on state authority, and demands technical feats that are impractical or counterproductive. Forced interoperability at this scale is a risky and untested approach that could expose Virginians to significant privacy harms while offering uncertain benefits.

I respectfully urge the committee to reconsider SB 85. Protecting consumer data and fostering competition are important goals, but this proposal relies on a heavy-handed mandate that is likely unlawful, unworkable, and ultimately harmful to Virginians’ privacy and the Commonwealth’s digital economy.

[1] See generally Kasia Söderlund et al., Regulating High-Reach AI: On Transparency Directions in the Digital Services Act, 13 Internet Pol’y Rev. 1 (2024), https://doi.org/10.14763/2024.1.1746.

[2] Mikolaj Barczentewicz, Privacy and Security Risks of Interoperability and Sideloading Mandates, Truth on the Mkt. (Jan. 26, 2022), https://truthonthemarket.com/2022/01/26/privacy-and-security-risks-of-interoperability-and-sideloading-mandates.

[3] Mikołaj Barczentewicz, Privacy and Security Implications of Regulation of Digital Services in the EU and in the US (Stan.-Vienna Transatlantic Tech. L.F. Working Paper No. 84, 2022), https://laweconcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/TTLF-WP-84_Barczentewicz.pdf.

[4] Geoffrey A. Manne et al., Comments of the International Center for Law & Economics: OLP182—RFI on State Laws Having Significant Adverse Effects on the National Economy or Interstate Commerce (Sep. 15, 2025), https://laweconcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Comment_-State-Laws-with-Out-Of-State-Economic-Impacts.pdf.

[5] Barczentewicz, supra, note 3.

[6] Barczentewicz, supra, note 2.

Source: Virginia Senate General Laws and Technology Committee

Regulatory Comments

ICLE Comments to Competition Bureau Canada on Anti-Competitive Conduct and Agreements

Executive Summary The International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE)[1] submits these comments on the Competition Bureau’s draft Anti-Competitive Conduct and Agreements Enforcement Guidelines, which consolidate enforcement approaches following substantial...

Executive Summary

The International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE)[1] submits these comments on the Competition Bureau’s draft Anti-Competitive Conduct and Agreements Enforcement Guidelines, which consolidate enforcement approaches following substantial amendments enacted through Bill C-56 (2023) and Bill C-59 (2024). These reforms significantly expand the Bureau’s authority by introducing “excessive and unfair selling prices” as an anti-competitive act, extending civil review under section 90.1 to agreements between non-competitors, broadening private access to the Competition Tribunal, and sharply increasing potential penalties.

Although Parliament expanded the statutory toolkit, the Bureau retains considerable discretion in interpretation and enforcement priorities. These comments reflect three overarching concerns. First, the draft Guidelines rely on flexible and open-ended standards that risk reducing predictability for firms seeking to comply. Second, several provisions risk condemning conduct—such as vertical restraints, self-preferencing, and certain pricing practices—that economic evidence shows often enhances efficiency and consumer welfare. Third, expanded private enforcement combined with higher penalties and potential monetary awards makes legal uncertainty far more costly than under the prior regime.

Competition enforcement necessarily operates under uncertainty. An error-cost framework provides a useful guide. False positives—mistaken condemnation of pro-competitive conduct—impose broad and durable harms by chilling pricing, contracting, investment, and innovation across the economy. Once conduct is deemed unlawful, market forces cannot correct the error. False negatives, by contrast, tend to be more temporary: where firms genuinely exercise market power without efficiency justification, elevated profits attract entry and expansion. These asymmetries counsel restraint in close or ambiguous cases.

The 2022–2024 amendments heighten the importance of this framework. Private parties now face lower thresholds to seek Tribunal review, and beginning in 2025 the Tribunal may now order monetary payments to private applicants. Private incentives do not necessarily align with consumer welfare, and Canadian law lacks U.S. doctrines such as “antitrust injury” that screen out strategic litigation. Clear limiting principles in the Guidelines are therefore essential.

Several substantive areas warrant particular care. The excessive-pricing provision presents acute interpretive challenges. High prices often perform pro-competitive functions by allocating scarce goods and signalling opportunities for entry. Determining whether a price is “excessive” requires cost allocation, valuation of intangible capital, and risk adjustment—tasks that authorities cannot perform reliably, especially in multi-product firms and with respect to multi-sided platforms. Economic research shows that cost-based benchmarks are particularly ill-suited in platform and high fixed-cost industries. The Guidelines should therefore state unequivocally that high prices alone do not constitute anti-competitive conduct and should assess pricing only where it forms part of exclusionary conduct that prevents entry or expansion, such as margin squeezes.

The extension of section 90.1 to vertical agreements under a “significant purpose” standard similarly risks overreach. A substantial literature demonstrates that vertical restraints typically enhance efficiency and consumer welfare. Francine Lafontaine and Margaret Slade’s survey of the theoretical and empirical evidence shows that such restraints often solve coordination problems and increase joint manufacturer–consumer welfare. Because the Act does not define “significant purpose,” the Guidelines should avoid interpretations that would sweep in ordinary, efficiency-motivated distribution arrangements. Safe harbours and presumptions of legality are particularly important in light of expanded private enforcement.

The draft Guidelines appropriately recognise that self-preferencing can have benefits and that concerns arise primarily where firms control access to markets. This approach should be strengthened by treating self-preferencing as a form of vertical integration that is generally pro-competitive, with enforcement limited to cases involving durable market power, meaningful barriers to multi-homing or switching, and demonstrable consumer harm.

Algorithmic pricing likewise does not alter the Act’s core requirement that sections 45 and 90.1 require proof of an agreement—a meeting of the minds. The Guidelines correctly distinguish agreements from lawful conscious parallelism. Enforcement should focus on clear evidence of coordination, such as exchanges of competitively sensitive information or agreements on pricing parameters, rather than parallel outcomes produced by independent algorithmic optimisation.

Although firms can exercise monopsony power in labour markets, the empirical evidence supporting broad labour-antitrust enforcement remains mixed. Estimates of labour-supply elasticity vary widely, and concentration measures often poorly proxy for labour-market power due to worker mobility and non-competitive frictions. Targeted labour regulation—such as minimum-wage laws, collective bargaining frameworks, limits on non-compete clauses, and licensing reform—offers more direct and reliable tools to address worker welfare.

To reduce uncertainty and error costs, the Guidelines should articulate clear market-power screens and safe harbours. A market share below 30% should generally preclude a finding of market power absent extraordinary circumstances. For vertical agreements under section 90.1, presumptive legality should apply where shares and foreclosure remain below 30% or where restraints serve documented efficiency objectives. The Guidelines should also state clearly that the Bureau will prioritise cases supported by clear evidence of substantial competitive harm and exercise restraint where effects are ambiguous, contested, or likely offset by efficiencies.

Taken together, these recommendations would make the Guidelines more predictable, administrable, and economically grounded. They would focus enforcement on conduct most likely to harm competition and consumers, while reducing the risk that expanded statutory authority chills efficient and innovative business conduct.

I. Introduction and Overview

The International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE) submits these comments on the Competition Bureau’s draft Anti-Competitive Conduct and Agreements Enforcement Guidelines (ACCA Guidelines).[2] ICLE is a non-profit research centre that applies economic analysis to legal and regulatory questions, with a particular focus on competition policy and market institutions. ICLE scholars have previously submitted comments to the Bureau on the Future of Competition Policy in Canada (Appendix A)[3] and on algorithmic pricing and competition (Appendix B).[4]

The draft Guidelines seek to consolidate enforcement approaches across several provisions of the Competition Act following significant amendments enacted through Bill C-56 (2023) and Bill C-59 (2024). These amendments materially expanded the Bureau’s authority. They added “excessive and unfair selling prices” as an anti-competitive act under section 78,[5] extended section 90.1’s civil agreements provisions to non-competitors,[6] and increased maximum administrative monetary penalties to the greater of $10 million for individuals or $25 million for corporations, or up to three times the benefit derived from the conduct.[7]

These changes present the Bureau with an important interpretive choice. Although Parliament broadened the statutory language, the Bureau retains discretion in setting enforcement priorities and interpretive standards. These comments focus on how the Bureau can exercise that discretion to protect competition without chilling conduct that benefits consumers.

Three concerns motivate these comments. First, the draft Guidelines rely on an overly flexible analytical framework that reduces predictability regarding which business practices may attract enforcement. Second, several provisions—particularly those addressing excessive pricing and vertical agreements—risk condemning conduct that economic research generally associates with enhanced consumer welfare. Third, the combination of expanded private access to the Competition Tribunal and substantially higher penalties significantly increases the costs of legal uncertainty.

These comments proceed as follows. Section II examines the error-cost framework that should guide the Bureau’s exercise of enforcement discretion. Section III identifies specific provisions where the Guidelines would benefit from greater clarity and economic rigour. Section IV offers concrete recommendations for revision.

II. Managing Enforcement Error Through Effects-Based Analysis

Competition enforcement requires judgments under uncertainty, and those judgments carry a risk of error. The costs of those errors are not symmetric. False positives, in particular, can impose broader and more durable harm than false negatives. Drawing on Frank Easterbrook’s error-cost framework, this section explains how mistaken intervention can chill pro-competitive conduct and innovation across the economy. These considerations are especially important in Canada’s current enforcement environment, where recent statutory changes increase the need for clear limiting principles and interpretive restraint in the Bureau’s Guidelines.

A. The Asymmetric Costs of Enforcement Error

Agencies and courts rarely have complete information about costs, demand conditions, or innovation paths. As a result, enforcement decisions risk two types of error. Type I errors (false positives) arise when authorities condemn conduct that benefits consumers or has no anti-competitive effect.[8] Type II errors (false negatives) arise when authorities fail to intervene against genuinely harmful conduct.

Although both error types can impose costs, their consequences are not symmetric. Judge Frank Easterbrook of the 7th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals articulated this asymmetry in his 1984 article “The Limits of Antitrust.”[9] False positives tend to generate lasting harm because they prevent markets from discovering the benefits of the prohibited conduct. When an authority condemns a pricing strategy or distribution arrangement, firms across the economy observe the signal and avoid similar practices, even when those practices would benefit consumers. Legal prohibitions do not self-correct.

False negatives, by contrast, often prove temporary. When a firm restricts output and raises prices without an efficiency justification, the resulting profits attract entry. As Easterbrook observed, a monopolistic practice wrongly excused “will eventually yield to competition, though, as the monopolist’s higher prices attract rivalry.”[10] False negatives also tend to create little precedent and therefore send weak economy-wide signals. Their effects, while potentially harmful in the short term, usually remain confined to the firms and markets at issue. Market forces can correct under-enforcement in ways that they cannot correct over-enforcement, which can entrench itself through precedent and chill pro-competitive or benign conduct.

Empirical evidence supports this self-correction mechanism. Brian Albrecht and Ryan Decker examine whether rising markups correlate with declining business dynamism at the industry level and find no such relationship.[11] If anything, the correlation is positive: industries with the largest markup increases experienced the smallest declines in entry and other measures of dynamism. These findings align with Schumpeterian dynamics, where high returns attract entry and creative destruction, rather than signal insulation from competition. They also call into question the assumption, reflected in the draft Guidelines’ market-share thresholds, that higher margins necessarily indicate competitive harm requiring intervention.

The error-cost framework, however, admits important qualifications. Self-correction through entry may be slow or incomplete where network effects produce winner-take-all dynamics, switching costs lock in customers, regulatory barriers limit entry, or intellectual-property rights confer durable exclusivity.[12] In such settings, false negatives may persist longer than Easterbrook’s framework would otherwise predict. The appropriate response is not to abandon the framework, but to apply it with care. Where market conditions plausibly impede self-correction, the case for intervention strengthens. The burden, however, should rest with enforcement proponents to demonstrate that such conditions exist in the specific market at issue, rather than assuming their presence. The error-cost framework counsels restraint in close cases precisely because these conditions are difficult to identify ex ante and easy to assert ex post by parties seeking regulatory protection from competition.

Geoffrey Manne and Joshua Wright extended these principles to administrative decision-making in “Innovation and the Limits of Antitrust.”[13] They showed that in markets marked by rapid technological change, the cost asymmetry between error types widens further. A mistaken intervention that blocks an innovative business model or distribution method denies consumers benefits they may never recover. The loss compounds when other firms, observing the enforcement action, abandon similar innovations.[14]

The Bureau’s draft Guidelines recognise that competitive effects should drive enforcement decisions. They note that, when investigating potential issues, the Bureau “often focus[es] first on the conduct or agreement itself and how it can impact competition.”[15] Demonstrated or likely effects under the specific facts and circumstances of a given case provide the most reliable basis for sound competition analysis. The final Guidelines should articulate this principle more clearly and consistently.

The Bureau should therefore commit to prioritising enforcement where there is clear evidence of substantial competitive harm, while exercising restraint where likely effects remain ambiguous or genuinely contested. This approach would promote predictability and disciplined enforcement, reduce the risk of both Type I and Type II errors, and reflect the asymmetric costs those errors impose.

B. How Recent Amendments Affect Enforcement Error

The error-cost framework developed by Easterbrook and extended by Manne and Wright emerged in the context of U.S. antitrust enforcement, where decades of judicial development have created procedural and substantive filters that screen out weak claims before they impose significant costs on defendants.[16] Canada’s 2022–2024 amendments to the Competition Act moved in the opposite direction. Taken together, these changes increase the expected costs of false positives—mistaken or strategic enforcement against pro-competitive conduct—and therefore heighten the need for interpretive restraint in the Bureau’s Guidelines.

The amendments substantially expanded private access to the Competition Tribunal. Previously, applicants seeking leave under sections 75, 77, or 79 had to show that their entire business was “directly and substantially affected.”[17] The 2024 amendments relaxed that requirement. Applicants now need only show that part of their business is affected or that granting leave would be in the “public interest.”[18] In late 2024, the Commissioner intervened in JAMP Pharma Corporation v. Janssen Inc. to address the leave test, submitting that it should be “a fairly low bar that only screens out clearly frivolous and vexatious claims.”[19]

This expansion matters because private enforcement operates under incentives that differ from public enforcement. As William Breit and Kenneth Elzinga observed, private plaintiffs bring competition claims to advance their own interests, which may diverge from consumer welfare.[20] Terminated distributors, struggling competitors, or firms seeking to slow a rival’s expansion may recast ordinary commercial disputes as competition-law violations. Economic literature shows that private competition litigation can be used strategically in ways that hinder, rather than promote, competition.[21]

U.S. antitrust law developed the “antitrust injury” doctrine to address this risk. In Brunswick Corp. v. Pueblo Bowl-O-Mat, Inc. (1977),[22] the U.S. Supreme Court required private plaintiffs to show injury “of the type the antitrust laws were intended to prevent”—harm flowing from reduced competition, not merely harm from a defendant’s conduct.[23] As Jonathan Jacobson and Tracy Greer later observed, this doctrine has helped preserve the pro-consumer focus of antitrust law and limit its strategic misuse.[24]

Canadian competition law contains no comparable filter. A private applicant granted leave under the amended Act need not show that its injury stems from harm to competition, rather than from vigorous competition by a more efficient rival. In this context, the Bureau’s enforcement priorities and interpretive guidance become the primary safeguard against strategic litigation. The Guidelines should acknowledge this role explicitly.

The amendments also increased maximum administrative monetary penalties to $25 million for corporations, or three times the benefit derived from the conduct, with penalties rising to $35 million or three times the benefit for repeat violations.[25] These increases raise the expected cost of every enforcement action, including mistaken ones. Economic theory on optimal penalties, developed by Mitchell Polinsky and Steven Shavell, shows that penalty magnitude must reflect both the probability and accuracy of enforcement.[26] Where enforcement is imperfect, excessively high penalties lead to over-deterrence. Firms respond by avoiding not only harmful conduct, but also efficient and pro-competitive behaviour that carries legal risk. As Herbert Hovenkamp has explained, overly expansive liability rules can condemn socially beneficial practices.[27] High penalties combined with ambiguous standards amplify this effect. When the Guidelines do not clearly identify which practices may attract liability, risk-averse firms will avoid a wider range of conduct, including efficient distribution arrangements, pro-competitive pricing strategies, and beneficial vertical integration.

Beginning in June 2025, the Competition Tribunal gained authority to order respondents to make monetary payments to private applicants and “any other person affected” by the conduct, up to the value of the benefit derived from the impugned practice.[28] This change materially alters private enforcement incentives. Where private applicants once could seek only injunctive relief, they may now pursue substantial monetary awards. The U.S. experience with treble damages illustrates the likely effects. Private antitrust litigation in the United States routinely imposes millions of dollars in legal costs, regardless of outcome.[29] These costs create pressure to settle even weak claims, as defendants may choose to pay to avoid litigation expense.

Additional uncertainty arises from extending section 90.1 to agreements among non-competitors under a “significant purpose” standard. Vertical agreements—such as distribution contracts, exclusive arrangements, and franchise terms—often affect competition as part of their ordinary commercial function. A manufacturer that grants exclusive territories does so precisely to shape how distributors compete. Whether such conduct has a “significant purpose” of preventing or lessening competition depends on interpretive choices the Guidelines must make.

Edward Iacobucci the University of Toronto has cautioned that lowering burdens of proof in competition law will predictably do more harm than good.[30] While the statutory amendments are now in force, the Bureau retains discretion in how it interprets and applies them. The Guidelines are the Bureau’s primary instrument for signalling enforcement priorities and providing compliance guidance. Given the increased costs of false positives under the amended Act—expanded private access, higher penalties, monetary awards, and broader substantive reach—the Bureau should use this discretion to establish clear limiting principles. The asymmetry between error types becomes more consequential when each mistaken enforcement action carries greater expected costs. Standards that might have been tolerable under a regime of public enforcement, modest penalties, and constrained private access become far more problematic when all three change at once.

C. Excessive Pricing and Effects-Based Competition Analysis

Competition law works best when it asks a simple question: does the challenged conduct harm consumers through higher prices, reduced output, lower quality, or diminished innovation? A consumer-welfare focus provides an objective benchmark and helps distinguish genuine competition concerns from complaints by less efficient rivals seeking regulatory protection.

Canadian competition law follows a different analytical path. In Commissioner of Competition v. Canada Pipe Co., the Federal Court of Appeal set out the governing framework for abuse of dominance under section 79 of the Competition Act.[31] The Supreme Court of Canada denied leave to appeal in 2007, leaving the Federal Court of Appeal’s decision as controlling authority. The court applied section 79(1)(c), which requires proof that the impugned conduct “has had, is having or is likely to have the effect of preventing or lessening competition substantially.”[32] It adopted a “but-for” test that compares market conditions with and without the conduct to assess whether the market would be “substantially more competitive” absent the practice.[33] This framework centres on harm to the competitive process and to competitors, rather than directly on consumer outcomes, and reflects Canada’s total-welfare orientation under section 1.1 of the Act.

Recent amendments to the Competition Act introduce concepts that lack clear economic content. section 78(1)(k) now treats the imposition of “excessive and unfair selling prices” as an anti-competitive act.[34] The Act does not otherwise define “excessive” or “unfair,” creating significant interpretive uncertainty. A price that appears high relative to cost may reflect legitimate returns on innovation, risk, or intellectual property. Conversely, a low price that benefits Canadian consumers may appear “unfair” to less efficient competitors, even when it results from superior efficiency.

The European Union’s experience with excessive-pricing enforcement under Article 102 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union illustrates these difficulties.[35] The European Court of Justice established a two-part test in United Brands v. Commission: whether the price-cost margin is excessive and whether the price is unfair in itself or in comparison with competing products.[36] Despite this framework, the European Commission brings excessive-pricing cases only rarely, recognising the measurement problems and high risk of error.[37]

Comparative studies across jurisdictions reach a similar conclusion: authorities should reserve excessive-pricing intervention for exceptional cases. Surveys of EU and national case law, as well as OECD roundtables, show that such cases typically arise in regulated or quasi-regulated sectors, or where dominance flows from legal privileges or prior exclusionary conduct, rather than from pure “standalone” exploitative abuses.[38] Scholars such as David Evans and Jorge Padilla,[39] Massimo Motta and Alexandre de Streel,[40] and Lars-Hendrik Röller[41] argue that excessive-pricing claims are most defensible when tied to exclusionary conduct or durable structural barriers that competition law can identify and address. They caution that attempting to police high prices in competitive or contestable markets risks severe measurement error and effectively turns competition authorities into price regulators, a role for which they lack both the tools and institutional mandate.

The Bureau’s draft Guidelines appropriately recognise that excessive pricing will generally matter only where it links to exclusionary effects or harms the competitive process itself.[42] The final Guidelines should state this limitation clearly and treat it as a binding enforcement principle. High prices alone should not trigger liability under the Competition Act without evidence that those prices result from, or reinforce, conduct that prevents or substantially lessens competition.

D. Market Share as a Screening Tool

The draft Guidelines state that firms with market shares above 30% are “more likely to have market power” for the purposes of sections 75, 76, 77, and 90.1,[43] a reduction from the 35% threshold in prior guidance. For abuse of dominance under section 79, the Guidelines retain the 50% (single firm) and 65% (joint) dominance screens.[44]

Market-share thresholds can serve a useful screening role, but treating a 30% share as a meaningful indicator of market power lacks economic support. A market with many small firms is not necessarily more competitive than one with fewer large firms. Concentration often reflects competitive success rather than market failure.[45] As firms with lower costs and better offerings expand, competition can increase concentration as higher-cost rivals lose sales.[46] As Chad Syverson observes, “many empirical studies in varied settings have found that greater substitutability/competition—resulting from, say, reductions in trade, transport, or search costs—shifts activity away from smaller, higher-cost producers and toward larger, lower-cost producers,” increasing concentration even as margins decline.[47]

Decades of economic research undermine the view that market shares or concentration ratios reliably predict competitive harm. Harold Demsetz’s critique of the “market concentration doctrine” showed that correlations between concentration and profits often reflect efficiency rather than market power.[48] Writing in the Harvard Law Review, William Landes and Richard Posner concluded:

Since market share is only one of three factors… that determine market power, inferences of power from share alone can be misleading. In fact, if market share alone is used to infer power, the market share measure… which is determined without regard to market demand or supply elasticity… will be the wrong measure.[49]

More recently, Dennis Carlton has described market shares and concentration as “at best crude first steps” to analysis, noting that empirically there is “only a weak link between change in market share and change in competitive performance,” and that “there is no model” in which market share alone reliably predicts prices or welfare effects.[50] Static market-share data therefore cannot substitute for analysis of firm conduct and market conditions.

Modern competition analysis instead emphasises entry conditions and potential competition. The contestable markets framework developed by William Baumol, John Panzar, and Robert Willig shows that industry outcomes depend on the costs of entry and exit—particularly sunk costs—rather than the number or size of incumbent firms. Even highly concentrated markets can remain competitively disciplined where entry is feasible, because “potential competition enforces cost-minimization regardless of the nature of the industry structure.”[51] David Teece extends this insight to innovation-driven sectors, arguing that market share is a poor proxy for market power where technological change and “unseen” competition constrain incumbents.[52] OECD methodological reviews likewise find that contestability, entry barriers, and switching costs shape competitive outcomes but do not appear in standard concentration measures.[53]

Evidence from productivity[54] and innovation[55] studies reinforces this point. Measures of competitive pressure tied to entry and policy changes correlate more strongly with performance than does market structure alone. Competition authorities should therefore treat market shares and concentration as incomplete and potentially misleading first screens, to be supplemented—and where appropriate displaced—by analysis of entry, expansion, switching costs, innovation, and the durability of any competitive advantage.

Digital markets illustrate these dynamics. Firms such as Facebook, Google, and Amazon achieved high market shares by offering valuable services at low or zero prices and by improving consumer experience. Their positions remain contestable through innovation, as shown by TikTok’s rapid growth in social media and by continued competition in e-commerce from Shopify, Walmart, and specialised retailers.

The final Guidelines should make clear that market-share thresholds serve only as initial screens, not presumptions of market power. Below 30%, the Bureau should state that it will not pursue enforcement absent exceptional circumstances. Above 30%, the Guidelines should identify specific factors—such as entry conditions, rival expansion, customer switching, and innovation rates—that can rebut any inference of market power based on market-share data alone.

III. Limiting Principles for New and Expanded Theories of Liability

Recent amendments to the Competition Act expand potential liability and raise new interpretive and administrability challenges for both the Bureau and firms seeking to comply. This section addresses several of the most consequential changes, including the introduction of “excessive and unfair pricing” as an anti-competitive act, the extension of section 90.1 to vertical agreements under a “significant purpose” standard, and the treatment of self-preferencing and algorithmic pricing. In each area, the central issue is how the Bureau can provide guidance that captures genuinely exclusionary conduct without condemning common commercial practices that typically promote efficiency and consumer welfare.

These concepts depend heavily on context, measurement, and intent. Overly broad interpretations risk turning competition enforcement into de facto regulation, particularly in dynamic, innovation-driven markets where conventional screens—such as price–cost comparisons or presumed anti-competitive purpose—often mislead. This section identifies where the draft Guidelines could more clearly articulate limiting principles and evidentiary thresholds that support effective enforcement while reducing the risk of chilling beneficial pricing, contracting, and product-design decisions.

A. Interpreting ‘Excessive and Unfair Pricing’ Under Section 78

Section 78(1)(k) presents the most significant interpretive challenge in the amended Competition Act. It adds “directly or indirectly imposing excessive and unfair selling prices” to the list of anti-competitive acts. To establish abuse of dominance under section 79, the Bureau must still show that a dominant firm engaged in a practice of anti-competitive acts that has the effect of substantially preventing or lessening competition, or that the firm intended the conduct to have a predatory, exclusionary, or disciplinary effect on a competitor.[56]

1. Price levels are not abuse

Charging a “high” price may reflect existing market power, but it does not create or preserve that power. High prices serve two essential market functions. First, they allocate scarce goods to buyers who value them most. Second, they signal profit opportunities that attract new supply and entry. When an authority constrains prices below market-clearing levels, both functions break down. Artificially low prices create shortages and weaken, or eliminate, the entry incentives that would otherwise erode monopoly positions over time.

The U.S. Supreme Court recognised this logic in Verizon Communications Inc. v. Law Offices of Curtis V. Trinko, LLP.[57] Writing for the Court, Justice Antonin Scalia explained that “the mere possession of monopoly power, and the concomitant charging of monopoly prices, is not only not unlawful; it is an important element of the free-market system. The opportunity to charge monopoly prices—at least for a short period—is what attracts business acumen in the first place.”[58]

Canadian competition law takes a different approach by defining certain conduct as anti-competitive acts even when dominant firms charge competitive prices. The same economic logic nevertheless applies. If high prices alone establish abuse, competition law risks turning the Competition Tribunal into a price regulator. Tribunals lack the information, tools, and institutional mandate to set prices across diverse industries.

The Bureau should therefore focus enforcement on the conduct that enables a firm to sustain supra-competitive prices—such as exclusionary practices that raise rivals’ costs, foreclose distribution, or block entry—rather than on price levels themselves. This approach targets genuine sources of competitive harm while avoiding the institutional risks of de facto price regulation.

2. Limits of cost-based price tests

Determining whether a price is “excessive” requires a defensible competitive benchmark. The most common approach compares price to cost, often through a price–cost margin. In practice, this approach faces serious and often insurmountable obstacles.

Cost Allocation: Multi-product firms must allocate common costs—such as headquarters operations, shared research and development, and brand investment—across products. Different allocation methods produce very different margins for the same firm. A pharmaceutical company, for example, may appear to earn a 95% margin on a successful drug if analysis counts only manufacturing costs, but a much lower margin once it allocates the costs of numerous failed R&D projects that preceded that success.

Intangible Capital: Many modern firms create value through intangible assets such as software, data, brand reputation, and network effects. Accounting rules often treat these investments as current expenses rather than capital, which depresses measured costs and inflates measured margins. A software firm with a very high price–cost margin may simply reflect near-zero reproduction costs after substantial upfront investment and risk, rather than market power.

Risk Adjustment: Competitive returns must compensate investors for ex ante risk, not just observed ex post costs. Distinguishing returns that reflect market power from returns that reflect uncertainty, innovation risk, and sunk investment requires information that enforcement authorities typically do not have.

A substantial body of economic literature shows that cost-based tests for excessive or predatory pricing become unworkable in multi-sided platforms and in industries with large fixed and common costs and very low marginal costs.

For multi-sided platforms, David Evans and Richard Schmalensee’s survey of platform economics and antitrust concludes that “standard cost-based tests for detecting predatory pricing generally make no economic sense for a multi-sided business.”[59] Building on the work of Jean-Charles Rochet and Jean Tirole, as well as Mark Armstrong,[60] they show that optimal platform pricing frequently involves prices below marginal cost on one side and above cost on the other in order to balance participation across interdependent user groups. In equilibrium, both profit-maximising and welfare-maximising prices may fall below marginal cost on one side, meaning that one-sided price–cost comparisons will systematically misclassify efficient platform conduct as predatory or excessive.

Evans has made this point even more directly in submissions to the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) and the OECD, arguing that price-equals-cost benchmarks are not economically meaningful for two-sided platforms because prices on each side depend on demand elasticities, indirect network effects, and costs across the platform as a whole.[61] He further notes that development and manufacturing costs for core platform assets—such as video-game consoles—cannot be meaningfully allocated across user groups, rendering side-specific cost benchmarks arbitrary.[62] This literature supports the conclusion that traditional Areeda–Turner-type cost tests are not merely difficult to apply in platform markets, but conceptually mis-specified.

Similar concerns arise in high fixed-cost, low marginal-cost, and R&D-intensive industries. Herbert Hovenkamp’s reassessment of the Areeda–Turner test explains that average-variable-cost benchmarks “seriously underdeter in markets with high fixed costs.”[63] Attempts to repair this by redefining “variable” cost to include depreciation or joint costs introduce substantial measurement problems, particularly where capacity is lumpy or shared across products. When addressing digital and intellectual-property-based goods with near-zero marginal cost, such as software, music, or e-books, Hovenkamp questions how any average-variable-cost rule could operate coherently and suggests that cost-based tests may need to be abandoned altogether in such settings.[64]

Einer Elhauge reaches a parallel conclusion for industries with large common costs and low marginal costs. He argues that allocating joint costs to individual products or customers is inherently arbitrary, causing cost-based tests to misclassify efficient price discrimination and competitive above-cost price responses as predatory or excessive.[65] William Baumol and David Bradford’s classic analysis of optimal departures from marginal-cost pricing similarly shows that in decreasing-cost industries—such as utilities, telecommunications, and transport—marginal-cost pricing is infeasible and that multiple second-best pricing structures can support efficient outcomes.[66] There is therefore no single, administrable cost-based benchmark that regulators can reliably enforce.

The literature on excessive pricing in pharmaceuticals reinforces these concerns. An OECD Competition Committee roundtable notes that marginal-cost benchmarks are untenable in the presence of large sunk R&D costs, while total-cost benchmarks are also misleading because competitive firms routinely price above total cost.[67] For multiproduct originator firms, allocating joint manufacturing costs, multi-year R&D expenditures, and returns to intellectual property to a single molecule is exceptionally difficult. David Evans and Jorge Padilla describe the task of identifying a reliable cost-based excessive-price benchmark in such sectors as “a daunting, if not impossible task.”[68] Similar conclusions appear in EU law & economics scholarship, including work by Massimo Motta and Alexandre de Streel, who caution that cost-based excessive-pricing control in innovative, high fixed-cost sectors risks arbitrary allocation or de facto price regulation.[69]

Taken together, this body of work supports a clear conclusion. In multi-sided platforms, R&D-intensive industries, and other high fixed-cost, low marginal-cost settings, conventional cost-based tests for excessive or predatory pricing are not merely difficult to apply; they are fundamentally ill-suited. Reliance on such tests risks arbitrary outcomes and de facto price regulation. Where enforcement proceeds at all, it should rely on standards that focus on exclusionary conduct and competitive effects, rather than fragile and misleading price–cost benchmarks.

3. Fairness is not an enforceable standard

The Guidelines’ inclusion of “excessive and unfair pricing” as an anti-competitive act under section 78 raises fundamental concerns about the use of “fairness” as an enforceable legal standard.[70] While the Guidelines appropriately recognise that high prices alone do not amount to abuse of dominance,[71] the Bureau should interpret “unfairness” narrowly to avoid importing subjective and unworkable value judgments into competition enforcement.

The concept of “fairness” is not new to competition law. Its appeal lies in its association with equity and justice—values that are difficult to contest. The difficulty is that fairness lacks a stable and measurable meaning. As a result, it functions more as a rhetorical device than as an operational standard for identifying anti-competitive conduct. As Giuseppe Colangelo has observed, fairness is “a mere aspiration and a useful mantra for political signaling.”[72] Its ambiguity makes it attractive to policymakers because it “reliev[es] them of the burden of economic analysis” and expands the scope for discretionary intervention.[73]

Under a traditional understanding of fairness as equality before the law, there is little basis for redistributing rents away from dominant firms that achieved their position through superior business models, management, or product design. By contrast, if fairness is understood as equality of outcomes, it can be invoked to justify redistributing value across the supply chain or to less efficient competitors.[74] The statute provides no guidance on which conception should apply.

This ambiguity becomes more acute in markets with multiple stakeholder groups. What appears “fair” to one group may appear unfair to another. Terms that app developers view as fair compensation for access to a platform may not appear fair to the platform that invested substantial resources to create it, or to consumers who may face higher prices to subsidise services they do not use. The concept offers no principled way to resolve these competing claims.

An expansive fairness standard would also sit uneasily with the Competition Act’s own objectives. The Act has long focused on protecting the competitive process, not on prescribing market outcomes. As the Bureau noted in its 2022 “Future of Competition Policy in Canada” discussion paper, the Competition Act “does not proactively dictate how to conduct business, allocate resources among stakeholders, or designate participants, winners or losers in the free market.”[75]

The Guidelines should therefore state clearly that “unfair” pricing is actionable only where it forms part of recognised exclusionary conduct that harms the competitive process. The Bureau should not treat unfairness as an independent basis for intervention untethered from demonstrable competitive harm.

4. Excessive pricing requires exclusion

Section 79 requires that a practice of anti-competitive acts either substantially prevent or lessen competition or be intended to have a predatory, exclusionary, or disciplinary effect on a competitor.[76] The draft Guidelines indicate that the Bureau intends to focus excessive-pricing cases on situations where pricing facilitates or accompanies exclusionary conduct, such as margin squeezes, tied selling, or refusals to deal that entrench monopoly power by excluding rivals.[77]

This limiting principle warrants clearer and stronger expression. The final Guidelines should state unequivocally that high prices, on their own, do not constitute an anti-competitive act under section 78(1)(k). The Bureau should assess pricing only where it evidences, or contributes to, conduct that prevents rivals from offering meaningful alternatives to consumers.

The Guidelines should illustrate this approach with concrete examples. A margin squeeze may involve “excessive” upstream pricing where a vertically integrated dominant firm charges rivals high input prices while pricing the downstream product at levels that foreclose effective competition. Similarly, a tying arrangement may involve unfair pricing where a competitively priced monopoly product is bundled with a separately priced component at supra-competitive levels to extend monopoly power. In each case, the competitive concern arises from exclusionary effects, not from high prices in isolation.

The Bureau should also commit explicitly not to pursue standalone excessive-pricing cases absent clear evidence of exclusionary effects. The Guidelines should clarify that returns attributable to innovation, intellectual property, superior efficiency, or entrepreneurial risk-taking do not amount to excessive or unfair pricing. Finally, the Bureau should state that it will not rely on cost-plus methods or simple price–cost margin tests as primary evidence of excessiveness, given the well-recognised measurement and allocation problems associated with such approaches.

B. Applying Section 90.1 to Vertical Agreements

Bill C-59 expanded section 90.1 to cover agreements between non-competitors where “a significant purpose” of the agreement is to prevent or lessen competition.[78] Previously, section 90.1 applied only to agreements among competitors. This change brings vertical agreements—such as those between manufacturers and distributors, or firms operating at different levels of the supply chain—within the scope of potential civil review.

1. Pro-competitive effects of vertical restraints

A substantial body of economic research shows that vertical restraints usually enhance efficiency and consumer welfare. Francine Lafontaine of the University of Michigan, a former director of the U.S. Federal Trade Commission’s Bureau of Economics, and Margaret Slade, emeritus professor of economics at the University of British Columbia, surveyed the theoretical and empirical literature in 2008.[79] They examined exclusive territories, exclusive dealing, resale price maintenance, quantity forcing, and tying arrangements. Their core findings were as follows:

  • Vertical restraints address coordination problems between manufacturers and distributors that would otherwise reduce output and harm consumers;
  • Empirical evidence “generally supports the manufacturer’s claim that [vertical restraints] are used in ways that increase joint manufacturer–consumer welfare”;
  • Government intervention that prohibits or mandates vertical-restraint terms often leads to higher prices or lower service quality for consumers; and
  • Sound policy favours a rule-of-reason approach, supported by safe harbours based on low market shares.

These conclusions reflect a basic economic insight. Unlike horizontal agreements among competitors, which can restrict output and raise prices without offsetting benefits, vertical agreements between complementary firms align incentives to increase output. Manufacturers and distributors earn more by selling more units.

Vertical restraints commonly eliminate inefficiencies in distribution, including:

  • Solving Double Marginalisation: When both manufacturers and retailers exercise market power, each may apply its own markup, resulting in prices higher than even a single monopolist would charge. Vertical integration or contractual restraints can eliminate this problem and lower prices for consumers.
  • Preventing Free-Riding: Retailers may underinvest in pre-sale services, demonstrations, or inventory if discount rivals can free-ride on those efforts. Exclusive territories or minimum resale prices can address this problem and increase overall consumer value.
  • Ensuring Quality: Manufacturers may use vertical restraints to protect brand reputation and maintain consistent product quality across the distribution chain.

Benjamin Klein and Kevin Murphy analyse these rationales in detail.[80] They show that vertical restraints often arise as firms seek to maximise the value of their products to final consumers. By constraining distributor behaviour, manufacturers can better align distributor incentives with consumer interests.

2. Interpreting ‘significant purpose’

The Competition Act does not define “significant purpose.” This matters because the threshold for triggering section 90.1 review will shape how often the Bureau scrutinises vertical agreements. If “significant purpose” captures any non-trivial intent to affect competition, then most exclusive dealing, territorial restrictions, and selective distribution systems would qualify. Firms adopt these arrangements precisely to shape competitive conditions—typically to make their distribution networks more effective in competing against rival networks. The relevant question is whether the arrangement, on balance, harms or benefits competition and consumers.

A narrower interpretation would better target problematic conduct. If “significant purpose” requires that preventing or lessening competition be a primary or dominant motivation, the standard would focus on arrangements that lack a legitimate business justification. This approach aligns with the U.S. rule-of-reason treatment of most vertical restraints following Leegin Creative Leather Products, Inc. v. PSKS, Inc.[81] Under the rule of reason, courts weigh “all of the circumstances” of a restraint, including its “history, nature, and effect” and “specific information about the relevant business,” to determine whether it produces “procompetitive or anticompetitive effects, depending upon the circumstances in which [it was] formed.” Higher prices alone do not end the inquiry; courts also consider whether the restraint supports interbrand competition and legitimate business objectives.

The draft Guidelines suggest that, for agreements between non-competitors, the Bureau may presume a significant anti-competitive purpose where the agreement has the effect of substantially harming competition, absent credible evidence to the contrary.[82] This approach risks reversing the appropriate analytical sequence. The Bureau should begin by assessing whether the agreement has a plausible efficiency rationale. Where it does, evidence of competitive effects should not, on its own, create a presumption of improper purpose.

3. Private enforcement raises the stakes

Section 90.1 now allows private parties to seek leave to bring applications before the Competition Tribunal.[83] This change significantly raises the stakes of ambiguous standards. A distributor terminated for poor performance can now challenge its former supplier, alleging that the termination or the underlying distribution agreement had a “significant purpose” of preventing competition. Even weak claims can impose substantial discovery costs, legal fees, and reputational harm.

Experience in the United States shows that private antitrust litigation can impose significant economic costs. U.S. courts have therefore developed doctrines to screen out meritless claims. The “antitrust injury” requirement established in Brunswick Corp. v. Pueblo Bowl-O-Mat, Inc. requires plaintiffs to show harm to competition, not merely harm to a competitor.[84] The “indirect purchaser” rule in Illinois Brick Co. v. Illinois limits standing to direct purchasers.[85] Canadian competition law has adopted neither doctrine, increasing the risk of expansive private enforcement.

The Guidelines should therefore set out a clear analytical framework for section 90.1 cases involving vertical agreements. At a minimum, the Guidelines should state that:

  • The Bureau will not challenge vertical restraints absent evidence that the parties possess substantial market power—defined more precisely than simply exceeding a 30% market share—and that the restraint forecloses a meaningful portion of the market to rivals;
  • The Bureau recognises common pro-competitive justifications, such as addressing free riding, eliminating double marginalisation, and ensuring quality, and will not pursue enforcement where an arrangement has a plausible efficiency rationale absent strong evidence of net competitive harm; and
  • Any presumption regarding anti-competitive purpose should be removed or confined to circumstances where no legitimate business justification exists.

C. Self-Preferencing and Competition Analysis

The draft Guidelines identify “self-preferencing” as a potential anti-competitive act.[86] The term refers to conduct by vertically integrated firms that favour their own downstream products or services over those of third parties. Common examples include Amazon promoting Amazon Basics products, Google displaying Google Shopping results prominently, and Apple pre-installing Apple applications on iPhones.

1. Self-preferencing is not presumptively harmful

The draft Guidelines adopt a suitably nuanced approach to self-preferencing. They recognise that “[c]hoices that can be seen as self-preferencing are extremely common, and they can have benefits,” and that concern arises primarily “when it is done by a firm that controls access to a market.”[87] The Guidelines identify relevant factors, including whether users multi-home, whether barriers limit effective competition, and whether rivals have feasible alternatives.[88] This framework appropriately ties enforcement to market power rather than treating self-preferencing as inherently harmful.

This approach reflects sound economic principles. Self-preferencing is a natural feature of vertical integration. Firms operating at multiple stages of production or distribution routinely coordinate those activities to maximise joint value. Economic analysis of vertical integration, dating back to Ronald Coase’s 1937 article “The Nature of the Firm,”[89] recognises that firms integrate to reduce transaction costs, internalise complementarities, and adapt more quickly to changing conditions.

In earlier submissions on Canadian competition policy, ICLE scholars emphasised that self-preferencing is not presumptively harmful and identified several pro-competitive justifications, including efficiency gains, security and privacy considerations, and maintaining incentives for platform investment and innovation.[90]

Recent empirical evidence further undermines any presumption of consumer harm. A 2025 field experiment by Chiara Farronato, Andrey Fradkin, and Alexander MacKay used a browser extension to hide Amazon’s private-label products from shoppers and measured the resulting welfare effects.[91] The study found that removing Amazon’s own brands would reduce consumer surplus by 5.4%, with roughly 10% of that loss attributable to higher prices charged by other sellers. The authors also tested whether demoting private labels in search results—a common proposed remedy for self-preferencing—would benefit consumers. It did not. As the study concludes, “demoting private labels in search results to counteract potential self-preferencing does not lead to gains in consumer surplus,” because many consumers prefer private-label products and benefit from their prominent placement.[92]

These results align with the economic logic of vertical integration. As Brian Albrecht and Geoffrey Manne explain, self-preferencing often reflects technical and efficiency considerations rather than exclusionary intent.[93] Latency falls when software is co-located with data and coordinated platform design can improve performance and reliability. Prohibiting a cloud provider from bundling its own database with compute services in the name of neutrality would likely raise prices, slow performance, and reduce market scale. The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission has reached a similar conclusion, finding that self-preferencing is “often benign.”[94]

A 2022 review by Analysis Group economists Kevin Caves, David Evans, and Richard Schmalensee reached the same general conclusion.[95] Surveying empirical studies of self-preferencing across digital platforms, the authors found mixed and context-specific effects. In some cases, self-preferencing reduced prices or improved quality; in others, competitive effects remained ambiguous. They concluded that enforcement should proceed on a case-by-case basis, grounded in specific conduct and market conditions, rather than through categorical prohibitions.

2. Multi-homing limits competitive harm

The draft Guidelines appropriately recognise that users’ ability to multi-home—use multiple platforms at the same time—shapes the competitive significance of self-preferencing.[96] Where users can easily compare offerings across platforms or switch to alternatives, self-preferencing poses little competitive risk. Most smartphone users, for example, can install competing browsers, maps, or music services alongside pre-installed applications. Online shoppers typically search across several e-commerce sites, and business sellers often list products on Amazon, eBay, Walmart Marketplace, and their own websites simultaneously. These practices limit the extent to which any single platform’s self-preferencing can foreclose competition.

The Guidelines should apply this logic consistently. Where barriers to multi-homing are low, switching costs are minimal, and effective alternatives exist, self-preferencing will rarely harm competition, regardless of a platform’s market share. Where structural features genuinely limit multi-homing or lock users into a single platform, closer scrutiny may be warranted. Even in those cases, the Bureau should identify concrete exclusionary effects rather than treating integration itself as problematic.

The final Guidelines should state clearly that self-preferencing is a form of vertical integration with generally pro-competitive effects. The Bureau should commit to challenging self-preferencing only where all three conditions are present: (1) the platform holds durable market power protected by high barriers to entry or expansion; (2) users face meaningful obstacles to multi-homing or switching; and (3) the conduct demonstrably forecloses competition in ways that harm consumers. The Guidelines should also recognise that product integration, quality assurance, and investment incentives commonly justify self-preferencing behaviour.

D. Network Effects and Competitive Analysis

The Guidelines also identify network effects as a potential barrier to entry and note that they can advantage incumbent firms.[97] Network effects are a real and well-understood economic phenomenon, but the Guidelines should not overstate their competitive significance or treat their presence as grounds for lowering intervention thresholds in digital markets.

1. Network effects are often local

Network effects are often more limited and local than is commonly assumed. Users typically value participation by their own friends, family, or colleagues, rather than the platform’s total number of users. A social network’s value to someone in a particular city, for example, depends on whether her personal contacts use the service, not on aggregate usage elsewhere. Because network effects operate at this local level, large platforms do not necessarily enjoy insurmountable advantages over smaller rivals that serve specific communities, regions, or use cases.[98]

2. Network effects do not lock in dominance

The same forces that can reinforce incumbent positions can also enable rapid displacement. Network effects may sometimes strengthen existing firms, but they can also intensify competition for the market and generate substantial welfare gains when fragmentation declines. Strong installed bases can further support disruptive innovation by giving new products immediate access to large user groups. A game such as Fortnite, for example, benefits from the installed bases of Xbox, PlayStation, iOS, and Android.[99]

Network effects also rarely confer durable or permanent dominance. TikTok’s rapid growth despite Facebook’s earlier position in social media shows that network effects do not prevent disruptive entry. Google displaced Yahoo! and AltaVista in search despite their early lead and data advantages. In messaging, iMessage, WhatsApp, Telegram, and Signal each hold strong positions in different regions and demographics, even though messaging services exhibit pronounced network effects. Similarly, vertical search platforms such as Amazon and Booking.com now capture a significant share of commercial queries that once flowed primarily to general search engines.

3. Data advantages are often overstated

The role of data in generating network effects is often overstated. Network effects and economies of scale or scope are distinct economic concepts. Economies of scale and scope reflect cost-side efficiencies, whereas network effects arise from increases in user value as participation grows. Network effects therefore depend on how users perceive value, not simply on the volume of data a firm holds.[100]

A common assumption holds that firms must accumulate large datasets and specialised expertise to compete in data-intensive markets. In practice, the advantages of data accumulation often diminish quickly. “Learning by doing” effects in data use tend to plateau, as do gains from scale and scope in data assets.[101] Claims that firms such as Amazon, Google, or Facebook succeed primarily because of superior access to data often reverse the causal relationship.[102] These firms appear to have accumulated large volumes of data because they developed successful, industry-defining business models, not because data alone conferred success. Facebook’s early growth illustrates this point: it built a highly successful social network despite having far less data than established competitors such as MySpace.[103]

4. Multi-homing limits network power

As noted above in the discussion of self-preferencing, widespread multi-homing—the ability of users to engage with multiple competing platforms at the same time—significantly constrains the market power that network effects might otherwise create. Restaurants commonly list on several food-delivery platforms, riders use both Uber and Lyft, and consumers routinely shop on Amazon and competing websites. Where multi-homing is easy and common, it weakens lock-in, lowers switching costs, and prevents network effects from translating into durable market dominance.[104]

The Bureau should therefore resist calls to apply heightened scrutiny or relaxed legal standards to digital markets based solely on theoretical concerns about network effects. Enforcement should remain grounded in demonstrated competitive effects, not conjecture about market dynamics.

E. Algorithmic Pricing and the Law of Coordination

The draft Guidelines note that information sharing among competitors can facilitate coordination and that algorithmic-pricing tools may increase the risk of coordinated outcomes.[105] In 2024, the Bureau issued a separate discussion paper on algorithmic pricing and invited public comment.[106] As explained in our submissions in Appendix B, algorithmic pricing represents an evolution of longstanding business practices—such as yield management in airlines and hotels—rather than a fundamental shift in competitive dynamics.

1. Public price monitoring is lawful

Economic theory and competition law distinguish between sharing private, competitively sensitive information and observing public market data. Firms have long monitored competitors’ public prices to inform their own pricing decisions. This practice remains lawful whether carried out by human analysts or through automated tools. As former U.S. Federal Trade Commission Chair Maureen Ohlhausen has explained, the “guy named Bob” test applies: if a pricing manager (“Bob”) can legally review competitors’ public prices and adjust his firm’s rates, an algorithm performing the same function remains lawful.[107]

The Bureau’s discussion paper raises concerns about competitors “pooling data” through algorithmic tools. That concern requires careful definition. Reputable third-party vendors design pricing systems to prevent the sharing of non-public, competitively sensitive information across firms. A hotel using revenue-management software, for example, receives market analysis based on public information, such as rates scraped from travel websites, but does not receive rivals’ proprietary booking or pricing data. This one-way use of aggregated public data differs fundamentally from the exchange of confidential strategic information that characterises cartel conduct.

2. Distinguishing agreement from parallel conduct

The Competition Act requires an “agreement” to establish liability under both section 45 (criminal cartel provisions) and section 90.1 (civil competitor agreements). The draft Guidelines correctly interpret this requirement as demanding a “meeting of the minds.”[108] That interpretation reflects established common-law principles and appropriately limits enforcement discretion.

The Guidelines also draw a clear and important distinction between agreements and parallel conduct. As the Bureau explains, “[c]onscious parallelism is a specific type of coordination. It involves each firm setting their prices with an expectation of how their competitors will respond…. Conscious parallelism occurs without an agreement between the firms. There is no ‘meeting of the minds’ between the firms.”[109] The Guidelines further confirm that “conscious parallelism alone between competitors does not create an agreement that we can act on under section 90.1.”[110]

This distinction reflects core principles of Canadian competition law. In R. v. Nova Scotia Pharmaceutical Society, the Supreme Court of Canada held that conspiracy requires proof of a “common design” involving both intention and agreement.[111] Parallel conduct—even where firms anticipate and respond to competitors’ actions—does not meet that standard. The Guidelines appropriately preserve this boundary between lawful interdependent behaviour and actionable coordination.

3. Three forms of coordination

The terminology in this area can cause confusion. Economists use the term “tacit collusion” to describe supracompetitive pricing that arises when oligopolists recognise their mutual interdependence without reaching any explicit agreement.[112] Each firm independently concludes that aggressive price competition is unprofitable because rivals will match price cuts, eliminating any gain. This economic concept, however, does not align neatly with legal standards, and it is important not to conflate distinct forms of conduct.

The Guidelines appropriately distinguish among three categories:[113]

  1. Explicit Agreements (Actionable): Formal contracts or informal understandings based on direct communication between competitors.
  2. Tacit Agreements (Actionable): Situations in which firms achieve a “meeting of the minds” through indirect communication or signalling. The Guidelines provide an example in which a firm publicly announces that it will continue a practice only if rivals do the same and will stop otherwise. If rivals respond by adopting the same conduct, this signalling may establish a tacit agreement.[114]
  3. Conscious Parallelism (Not Actionable): Circumstances in which firms independently set prices while anticipating how competitors will respond. As the Guidelines explain, conscious parallelism “occurs without an agreement between the firms” and involves no “meeting of the minds.”[115]

The key distinction between a tacit agreement and conscious parallelism is communication. Tacit agreements involve signalling that invites coordination and leads to a shared understanding. That communication—although indirect—creates the consensus that section 90.1 requires. Conscious parallelism, by contrast, involves no signalling or exchange of commitments. Firms act independently based on their own assessment of market conditions and rivals’ likely responses.

This distinction reflects a core principle of competition law. As the U.S. Supreme Court explained in Brooke Group, tacit coordination based solely on mutual interdependence “describes the process, not combatted by the antitrust laws, by which firms in a concentrated market might in effect share monopoly power.”[116] Treating such behaviour as unlawful would effectively require firms to price at competitive levels, a duty that neither Canadian nor U.S. competition law imposes.[117] Canadian law follows the same approach: the Competition Act targets agreements to fix prices, not independent decision-making that produces similar outcomes.

4. Algorithms do not create agreements

Algorithmic pricing does not change the statutory framework. The draft Guidelines note that algorithms may “soften[] competition among a jointly dominant group of firms,”[118] but that observation must be assessed within the legal standards described above. When competitors use the same pricing software, they form separate vertical relationships with the software vendor. To convert those vertical relationships into a horizontal conspiracy—a hub-and-spoke arrangement—the evidence must show a “rim”: an agreement among the competitors themselves to restrict competition.

The Guidelines recognise this distinction when discussing information sharing through third parties. They note that “firms can give commercially sensitive information to a third-party algorithm developer that provides pricing recommendations to industry participants,”[119] and that this “could lead to coordinated outcomes without any direct information sharing between industry participants.” Absent an agreement, however, such outcomes amount to conscious parallelism, not a violation of section 45 or an agreement actionable under section 90.1.

U.S. courts have applied this reasoning in algorithmic-pricing cases and rejected expansive hub-and-spoke theories. In Gibson v. Cendyn, plaintiffs alleged that a set of vertical software-licensing agreements, adopted independently by competing hotels at different times, produced anticompetitive effects in the aggregate—even though “neither the terms nor the operation of the licensing agreements [were] alleged to have harmed competition by affecting the competitive incentives in the relevant market, nor did the licensing agreements restrain any party’s ability to compete.”[120] The court held that conclusory allegations were insufficient even at the pleading stage; plaintiffs must still plead “a restraint of trade that causes an actual adverse effect on competition.”[121]

Similarly, in Cornish-Adebiyi v. Caesars, courts observed that firms often adopt pricing software at different times and with different customisations, which undercuts any inference of a horizontal agreement.[122] The legal question is not whether firms’ prices move in parallel, but whether the firms reached a consensus to coordinate their conduct.

5. Algorithmic pricing effects are context-dependent

The competitive effects of algorithmic pricing depend on market structure, not on the technology itself. Empirical research shows that algorithms can intensify competition in some settings and soften it in others, but the literature provides little support for concerns about autonomous coordination divorced from market conditions.

Efficiency Gains: In the airline industry, Kevin Williams finds that dynamic pricing increased output by 2.7% and total welfare by 1% by improving the match between supply and demand. Although consumer surplus fell for late-booking business travellers, overall welfare increased.[123]

Mixed Effects in Rental Housing: Sophie Calder-Wang and Gi Heung Kim study the rental-housing market and find that landlords using pricing algorithms reduced rents more quickly during demand downturns, including the Great Recession, improving occupancy rates.[124] While rents rose more quickly during expansion periods, the technology facilitated market clearing that benefited consumers in weaker markets.

German Gasoline Markets: The most prominent study is Heski Bar-Isaac Assad et al.’s analysis of German retail-gasoline stations.[125] The authors find that algorithmic pricing increased average margins by roughly 9%, with effects varying sharply by market structure. In monopoly markets, adoption had little effect. In duopoly markets where both stations adopted pricing software, margins rose by 38% relative to markets where neither adopted.[126] The authors describe this outcome as “tacit collusion,” noting that algorithms learned not to undercut because price cuts would be quickly matched.[127]

These findings reflect conscious parallelism, not tacit agreement. The German gasoline stations did not communicate, signal conditional strategies, or coordinate through software vendors. Each station independently adopted pricing software, and each algorithm independently learned that aggressive price cuts were unprofitable. The parallel outcome emerged from independent optimisation, not from any “meeting of the minds.”[128]

The policy significance of Assad et al. lies as much in what the study does not find as in what it does. The authors identify no evidence of communication among competitors, no agreement to adopt common software or pricing rules, no exchange of competitively sensitive information, and no signalling that could establish agreement. The observed margin increases resulted from independent adoption of similar tools responding to similar market conditions—the algorithmic analogue of oligopolists independently recognising their mutual interdependence. As the Guidelines correctly recognise, this form of conscious parallelism is not actionable under Canadian competition law.[129]

6. ‘Plus factors’ are still required

The Guidelines appropriately recognise that parallel conduct, even when facilitated by algorithms, requires “plus factors” to establish an agreement. As the Bureau explains, “when firms take part in parallel conduct along with practices that can facilitate coordination, this can be proof of an agreement between them.”[130] Relevant plus factors include sharing competitively sensitive information, agreeing to use common pricing parameters or data sources, or communicating in ways that establish coordination through algorithmic tools.[131]

Absent such plus factors, enforcement against algorithmic pricing would require the Bureau to condemn conscious parallelism—an approach the Guidelines expressly reject. That restraint is well-founded for several reasons.

First, the statutory text requires an “agreement.” Extending liability to tacit coordination arising from independent decision-making would require legislative change, not interpretive expansion.

Second, conscious parallelism has long existed in oligopolistic markets. Algorithms may speed price adjustments, but they do not introduce a new form of coordination. Firms observed and matched rivals’ prices long before algorithmic tools existed; software simply automates that process.

Third, enforcement against algorithmic tacit coordination would risk chilling beneficial innovation. Pricing algorithms lower barriers to entry by giving smaller firms access to tools once available only to large incumbents with dedicated revenue-management teams. Treating the use of similar software as evidence of coordination would disproportionately harm smaller and newer competitors.

Fourth, the competitive effects of algorithmic pricing remain context dependent. The same technology that Heski Bar-Isaac Assad et al. associate with higher margins in German gasoline markets also correlates with faster price declines during demand downturns in Sophie Calder-Wang and Gi Heung Kim’s rental-housing study. Categorical presumptions of harm would sacrifice efficiency gains in competitive markets to address risks that arise mainly in already-concentrated ones.

The Guidelines should therefore affirm that the legal test for agreements under section 90.1 and section 45 does not change because firms use algorithmic tools. Enforcement should focus on conduct that crosses the line from conscious parallelism to agreement, such as exchanging competitively sensitive information through shared platforms, agreeing on common pricing parameters, or communicating to establish coordinated strategies. Independent adoption of similar pricing technologies, even where it leads to parallel outcomes, remains lawful conscious parallelism beyond the reach of the Act.

F. Caution in Applying Competition Law to Labour Markets

The Guidelines recognise that firms may hold market power on the buying side of markets, including in labour markets.[132] If the Bureau intends to expand enforcement to address labour-market monopsony, it should proceed with caution. The empirical support for aggressive labour-market antitrust enforcement remains limited, and applying traditional competition frameworks to labour markets raises substantial conceptual and practical challenges.

1. Mixed evidence on labour-market power

Estimates of labour-supply elasticity—a central indicator of labour-market power—vary widely across studies. As Suresh Naidu, Eric Posner, and Glen Weyl report, residual labour-supply elasticities range from 0.1 to 4.2, implying that workers receive anywhere from 9% to 81% of their marginal product.[133] This dispersion shows that labour-market power is neither uniform nor pervasive. Low elasticity, and thus substantial monopsony power, does not characterise every labour market, and even high average estimates do not imply that power exists in all settings.

Steven Berry, Martin Gaynor, and Fiona Scott Morton caution that many empirical studies “provide interesting descriptions of concentration and wages but are not ultimately informative about whether monopsony power has grown and is depressing wages.”[134] The gap between concentration measures and competitive effects appears even wider in labour markets than in product markets.

2. Limits of concentration measures in labour markets

Labour markets have features that make concentration metrics a poor proxy for market power. Workers are highly mobile. When firms exit or reduce employment, workers often move across industries or occupations, not just to direct competitors. For many workers, the relevant market is therefore broader than a single industry or location, which makes conventional market-definition exercises unreliable.[135]

Non-competitive frictions also explain much wage variation. Search costs, geographic preferences, family obligations, and occupational licensing shape employment choices and pay, independent of employer concentration. These frictions fall outside the reach of competition law. A merger that raises concentration in a narrowly defined labour market, for example, will not affect wages if workers’ binding constraints stem from commuting distance, licensing rules, or similar non-competitive factors.[136]

3. Unresolved worker-consumer trade-offs

Traditional antitrust analysis centres on harms to consumers of final goods. Labour-market enforcement, by contrast, requires regulators to balance potential harms to workers against possible benefits to downstream consumers. Existing legal frameworks handle this trade-off poorly.[137] A merger that lowers wages may also lower consumer prices. As commentators note, “neither ignoring upstream harms nor disregarding downstream benefits provides a satisfactory solution under current doctrine.”[138]

The 2023 U.S. Merger Guidelines attempt to bypass this problem by asserting that “a merger’s harm to competition among buyers is not saved by benefits to competition among sellers.”[139] That position does not resolve the core issue. Competition law offers no principled method to compare a dollar of worker harm with a dollar of consumer benefit.

4. Labour regulation as the primary tool

Many labour-market concerns are better addressed through targeted labour regulation rather than through competition enforcement. Minimum-wage laws, collective-bargaining frameworks, limits on non-compete clauses, and reforms to occupational licensing can improve worker welfare directly. These tools allow policymakers to tailor responses to specific problems without forcing competition authorities to resolve difficult questions about market definition and competitive effects in settings where the economic relationships remain uncertain.

IV. Recommendations for Revision

This section sets out targeted revisions to make the Guidelines more predictable, administrable, and consistent with sound competition policy. It recommends an explicit effects-based enforcement focus, anchored in clear evidence of substantial competitive harm and calibrated to the asymmetric costs of enforcement errors. It also proposes practical limiting principles—such as market-power screens, safe harbours, and clarifications of novel provisions—to reduce the risk that ambiguous standards deter efficient pricing, contracting, innovation, and platform design. Together, these recommendations seek to preserve robust competition enforcement while giving businesses clearer and more reliable compliance guidance.

A. Procedural Fairness Is Essential to Effective Enforcement

As Canada implements its strengthened competition-law framework, the Bureau should commit to strong procedural protections. Experience in other jurisdictions shows that aggressive enforcement without adequate safeguards undermines both the legitimacy and effectiveness of competition policy.

Recent European cases illustrate the risk. In Qualcomm and Intel, appellate courts overturned European Commission decisions after finding procedural failures, including inadequate documentation of interviews and insufficient consideration of exculpatory evidence.[140] Those reversals imposed substantial costs: years of litigation, damage to the credibility of enforcement, and prolonged uncertainty for firms seeking to comply with the law.

The European Union’s experience with the Digital Markets Act offers a further warning. Commentators have criticised the DMA’s implementing framework for prioritising “procedural effectiveness over procedural fairness,” increasing the likelihood that courts will check enforcement through judicial review.[141] An enforcement regime that cannot withstand appellate scrutiny does not advance competition policy; it generates uncertainty and litigation costs.

Procedural safeguards protect investigated parties from administrative overreach and protect the Bureau from costly reversals. They also help ensure that enforcement resources focus on well-founded cases. Canada’s adversarial system, centred on the Competition Tribunal as an independent decision-maker, provides important structural protections that the Bureau should preserve and reinforce, not bypass in the name of efficiency.

The Guidelines should therefore include an explicit commitment to:

  • providing timely access to the evidence relied on by the Bureau;
  • documenting all substantive interviews and giving due weight to exculpatory evidence;
  • allowing sufficient time for meaningful responses to Bureau concerns; and
  • subjecting any interim measures to appropriate judicial oversight.

B. Prioritise Clear Harm, Not Close Calls

The Guidelines should state clearly, in both the introduction and the executive summary, that the Bureau will prioritise enforcement actions supported by clear evidence of substantial competitive harm. Where effects are ambiguous, disputed, or likely to be offset by efficiencies, the Bureau should exercise restraint to avoid chilling pro-competitive conduct.

This commitment does not require the Bureau to overlook conduct that meets statutory thresholds. It reflects practical enforcement realities and the need to focus limited resources on cases most likely to benefit consumers. It also aligns with an error-cost framework: because false positives impose greater and more durable costs than false negatives, the Bureau should favour non-intervention in close cases.

C. Clear Screens for Market Power

The Guidelines should identify market conditions that generally rule out a finding of market power for purposes of Competition Act enforcement:

  • Market share below 30%, absent extraordinary circumstances;
  • Competitive markets with several significant firms, where the largest firm’s share does not exceed the combined share of the next three competitors;
  • Dynamic markets marked by rapid innovation, low entry barriers, and frequent entry or expansion; and
  • Markets with easy multi-homing or switching, where customers readily use alternatives.

Where shares exceed these thresholds, the Bureau should also list factors that rebut any inference of market power based on share alone. These include ease of entry, rapid technological change, demonstrated rival expansion, strong customer bargaining power, or evidence that the firm cannot raise prices profitably without losing substantial sales.

D. Excessive Pricing Requires Exclusion

The Guidelines should state clearly that high prices, by themselves, do not constitute anti-competitive conduct under section 78(1)(k). The Bureau should assess pricing levels only as evidence of, or in connection with, conduct that prevents competitive entry or expansion. Relevant examples include:

  • Margin squeezes, where a vertically integrated firm prices inputs to downstream rivals in ways that foreclose efficient competition;
  • Tying arrangements, where a monopoly product is bundled with competitively supplied products at prices that extend market power; and
  • Loyalty discounts or exclusive dealing, where pricing terms substantially foreclose rivals’ access to the market.

The Guidelines should also clarify that returns reflecting innovation, intellectual property, risk-taking, or superior efficiency do not amount to excessive or unfair pricing. The Bureau should commit not to rely on cost-plus regulation or simple price–cost margin tests, given the well-recognised difficulties in allocating common costs, valuing intangible capital, and adjusting for risk.

E. Safe Harbours for Vertical Agreements

For section 90.1 cases involving vertical agreements, the Guidelines should establish a presumption of legality where one or more of the following conditions apply:

  • Neither party holds a market share above 30% in any relevant market;
  • The restraint forecloses no more than 30% of the market to rivals;
  • The restraint is limited in duration and includes reasonable termination rights;
  • Rivals retain access to substantial alternative distribution channels; or
  • The restraint serves a documented efficiency objective, such as preventing free riding, ensuring quality, or eliminating double marginalisation.

The Guidelines should also identify common pro-competitive rationales for vertical restraints and commit to enforcement only where evidence shows net competitive harm. They should remove any presumption that significant competitive effects alone establish an anti-competitive purpose. Instead, the Bureau should first assess whether legitimate business justifications plausibly explain the arrangement and consider purpose only where no such efficiency rationale exists.

F. Self-Preferencing Is Usually Pro-Competitive

The Guidelines should recognise that self-preferencing usually reflects vertical integration and often delivers pro-competitive benefits. The Bureau should challenge self-preferencing only where all three of the following conditions are met:

  1. The platform holds durable market power protected by substantial barriers to entry or expansion;
  2. Users face meaningful obstacles to multi-homing or switching, allowing the platform to foreclose competition profitably; and
  3. The conduct causes demonstrable consumer harm—such as higher prices, reduced quality, or diminished innovation—after accounting for any efficiency gains.

The Guidelines should also state clearly that product integration, quality control, security, and investment incentives commonly justify self-preferencing. Difficulty faced by rivals on a particular platform does not, on its own, establish competitive harm where those rivals can reach customers through viable alternative channels.

G. Algorithms Don’t Replace Agreement

The Guidelines should affirm that section 90.1 requires an agreement—a meeting of the minds—regardless of whether pricing decisions are made by humans or algorithms. Parallel pricing, even when produced by similar algorithms, does not establish an agreement without evidence of coordination.

The Bureau should therefore focus on cases with clear indicia of coordination, such as the exchange of competitively sensitive information, agreements to use common pricing parameters or data sources, or communications that establish coordinated strategies through algorithmic tools. Independent adoption of similar pricing strategies remains lawful conscious parallelism.

H. Commitment to Review and Adapt

The Guidelines should state that the Bureau will monitor how business practices respond to the ACCA Guidelines and assess whether enforcement actions achieve their intended outcomes. The Bureau should commit to updating its guidance as needed, drawing on decisional experience, economic research, and stakeholder feedback.

This commitment reflects appropriate regulatory humility. Competition policy operates in dynamic markets where business models, technologies, and competitive conditions evolve quickly. A willingness to adjust positions as evidence develops will strengthen both the credibility and the effectiveness of the Guidelines.

V. Conclusion

The Competition Bureau faces a demanding task in implementing the amended Competition Act. Parliament has expanded the Bureau’s authority—most notably through the new excessive-pricing provision and the extension of section 90.1 to vertical agreements—while leaving key concepts open-textured and highly context dependent. Without clear limiting principles, these provisions risk deterring conduct that often benefits consumers, including efficient pricing, vertical coordination, product integration, and innovation.

Our comments urge the Bureau to anchor the Guidelines in an explicit error-cost framework. False positives—mistaken condemnation of pro-competitive conduct—impose durable and often irreversible costs by chilling investment, innovation, and rivalry. By contrast, false negatives are more likely to self-correct through entry, expansion, and technological change. In close or ambiguous cases, restraint is therefore not leniency but sound enforcement policy.

Several areas warrant particular care. Excessive pricing under section 78(1)(k) should apply only where pricing forms part of exclusionary conduct that blocks entry or expansion, not where high prices reflect innovation, intellectual property, risk-taking, or superior efficiency. Vertical agreements reviewed under section 90.1 should benefit from safe harbours and a presumption of legality, consistent with extensive evidence—surveyed by Francine Lafontaine and Margaret Slade—that such arrangements usually enhance consumer welfare. Self-preferencing should be analysed as a form of vertical integration, with enforcement limited to cases involving durable market power, meaningful limits on multi-homing, and demonstrable consumer harm. Algorithmic pricing should not dilute the Act’s core requirement that the Bureau prove an agreement—a meeting of the minds—rather than lawful conscious parallelism, regardless of whether pricing decisions are made by humans or software.

More broadly, the Guidelines should reinforce procedural fairness, clear screens for market power, and an effects-based enforcement focus grounded in evidence of substantial competitive harm. They should also reflect regulatory humility by committing to review and adaptation as markets, technologies, and business practices evolve.

Taken together, the revisions we propose would make the Guidelines more predictable, administrable, and economically grounded. They would help focus Bureau resources on conduct most likely to harm competition and consumers, while reducing the risk that uncertain standards chill efficient pricing, contracting, innovation, and platform design.

We appreciate the Bureau’s openness to public input through this consultation. ICLE remains available to provide further analysis or clarification on any of the issues raised in these comments.

[1] The International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE) has received financial support from numerous companies, foundations, and individuals, including firms with interests both supportive of and in opposition to the ideas expressed in this and other ICLE-supported works. Unless otherwise noted, all ICLE support is in the form of unrestricted, general support. The ideas expressed here are the authors’ own and do not necessarily reflect the views of ICLE’s advisors, affiliates, or supporters.

[2] Competition Bureau, Anti-Competitive Conduct and Agreements Enforcement Guidelines (Oct. 31, 2025), https://competition-bureau.canada.ca/en/how-we-foster-competition/consultations/anti-competitive-conduct-and-agreements [hereinafter “Draft ACCA Guidelines”].

[3] Geoffrey Manne, Dirk Auer, Daniel Gilman, & Lazar Radic, Comments from the International Center of Law and Economics on The Future of Competition Policy in Canada (Mar. 31, 2023), https://laweconcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/ICLE-Canada-Comments.pdf [hereinafter “Appendix A”].

[4] Geoffrey Manne, Dirk Auer, Brian Albrecht, Daniel Gilman & Lazar Radic, Comments of the International Center for Law & Economics: Canadian Competition Bureau Discussion Paper on Algorithmic Pricing and Competition (Aug. 4, 2025), https://laweconcenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Canada-Algorithmic-pricing-and-competition-1.pdf [hereinafter “Appendix B”].

[5] Competition Act, R.S.C. 1985, c. C-34, s. 78(1)(k). See also An Act to Amend the Excise Tax Act and the Competition Act, S.C. 2023, c. 31, pt. 2 [hereinafter “Bill C-56”] and Fall Economic Statement Implementation Act, 2023, S.C. 2024, c. 15, pt. 5, div. 6 [hereinafter “Bill C-59”].

[6] Competition Act, s. 90.1(1.01).

[7] Competition Act, s. 79(3.1).

[8] See Eric Fruits, Do Biased Stats Provide Bogus Economics? A Primer on Publication Bias and Power, Truth on the Mkt. (Mar. 29, 2018), https://truthonthemarket.com/2018/03/29/do-biased-stats-provide-bogus-economics-a-primer-on-publication-bias-and-power.

[9] Frank H. Easterbrook, The Limits of Antitrust, 63 Tex. L. Rev. 1, 2 (1984) (“If the court errs by condemning a beneficial practice, the benefits may be lost for good. Any other firm that uses the condemned practice faces sanctions in the name of stare decisis, no matter the benefits. If the court errs by permitting a deleterious practice, though, the welfare loss decreases over time. Monopoly is self-destructive. Monopoly prices eventually attract entry.”)

[10] Id. 15.

[11] Brian C. Albrecht & Ryan A. Decker, Markups and Business Dynamism across Industries, Int’l J. Indus. Org. (forthcoming 2026), available at https://www.briancalbrecht.com/Albrecht_Decker_Markups.pdf.

[12] See Michael L. Katz & Carl Shapiro, Network Externalities, Competition, and Compatibility, 75 Am. Econ. Rev. 424 (1985) (analyzing how network effects can create barriers to entry); Joseph Farrell & Paul Klemperer, Coordination and Lock-In: Competition with Switching Costs and Network Effects, in 3 Handbook of Industrial Organization 1967 (Mark Armstrong & Robert Porter eds., 2007) (surveying conditions under which switching costs and network effects impede competitive displacement of incumbents). Easterbrook himself acknowledged that “the ability of the market to correct monopoly depends on the existence of conditions that allow entry.” Easterbrook, supra note 9, at 15.

[13] Geoffrey A. Manne & Joshua D. Wright, Innovation and the Limits of Antitrust, 6 J. Competition L. & Econ. 153, 167 (2010) (“In the innovation context, successfully challenging business or product innovations is likely to dampen innovation across the economy, whereas Type 2 errors are at least mitigated in part by entry and other competition. When viewed through the error-cost lens, the combination of the anti-market bias in favor of monopoly explanations for innovative conduct that courts and economists do not understand, and the increased stakes of antitrust intervention against innovative business practices, is problematic from a consumer-welfare perspective.”).

[14] Id. 168 (“the consequences of Type 1 error are magnified by the threat of erroneous intervention further deterring subsequent, similar innovation or applications of innovations in novel settings”).

[15] Draft ACCA Guidelines Preface vii.

[16] See Joshua D. Wright & Murat C. Mungan, The Easterbrook Theorem: An Application to Digital Markets, Yale L. J. Forum 622, 626–30 (Jan. 18, 2021) (discussing the development of U.S. case law based on Easterbrook’s framework); see also id. at 625 n. 12 & 626 n. 13 (listing cases).

[17] Competition Act, s. 103.1(7); see also Competition Bureau, Information Bulletin on Private Access to the Competition Tribunal (Jun. 2025), https://competition-bureau.canada.ca/en/information-bulletin-private-access-competition-tribunal.

[18] Competition Act, s. 103.1(7); see also Norton Rose Fulbright, Competition Act Amendments Expand Opportunities for Private Litigation (Jun. 2024), https://www.nortonrosefulbright.com/en/knowledge/publications/68b7a977/competition-act-amendments-expand-opportunities-for-private-litigation.

[19] Norton Rose Fulbright, Competition Act: Expanded Private Enforcement Rights Now in Force (Jun. 20, 2025), https://www.nortonrosefulbright.com/en-ca/knowledge/publications/c5f0e8cd/competition-act-expanded-private-enforcement-rights-now-in-force (describing the commissioner’s intervention in JAMP Pharma Corp. v. Janssen Inc., CT-2024-005).

[20] William Breit & Kenneth G. Elzinga, Private Antitrust Enforcement: The New Learning, 28 J.L. & Econ. 405 (1985).

[21] R. Preston McAfee, Hugo M. Mialon, & Sue H. Mialon, Private Antitrust Litigation: Procompetitive or Anticompetitive?, in The Political Economy of Antitrust 453, 453 (Vivek Ghosal & Johan Stennek eds., 2007), https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0573855506820171.

[22] Brunswick Corp. v. Pueblo Bowl-O-Mat, Inc., 429 U.S. 477, 489 (1977)); see also, Cargill, Inc. v. Monfort of Colorado, Inc., 479 U.S. 104, 111–13 (1986); Califano v. Yamasaki, 442 U.S. 682, 702 (1979).

[23] Brunswick Corp. v. Pueblo Bowl-O-Mat, Inc., 429 U.S. 477, 489 (1977).

[24] Jonathan M. Jacobson & Tracy Greer, Twenty-One Years of Antitrust Injury: Down the Alley with Brunswick v. Pueblo Bowl-O-Mat, 66 Antitrust L.J. 274 (1998).

[25] Competition Act, s. 79(3.1)-(3.2).

[26] A. Mitchell Polinsky & Steven Shavell, The Optimal Tradeoff Between the Probability and Magnitude of Fines, 69 Am. Econ. Rev. 880 (1979); A. Mitchell Polinsky & Steven Shavell, The Theory of Public Enforcement of Law, in 1 Handbook of Law and Economics 403 (A. Mitchell Polinsky & Steven Shavell eds., 2007).

[27] Herbert Hovenkamp, A Primer on Antitrust Damages 8 (Univ. of Iowa Legal Studies Research Paper No. 10-45, 2011), at 6, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1685919.

[28] Competition Act, s. 75(1.2), 76(10.1), 77(3.1), 79(3.3), and 90.1(1.2); see Osler, Hoskin & Harcourt LLP, The Dramatic Expansion of Private Enforcement of Canada’s Competition Laws (2024), https://www.osler.com/en/insights/reports/the-dramatic-expansion-of-private-enforcement-of-canadas-competition-laws.

[29] See Global Competition Review, United States: Private Antitrust Litigation (2022), https://globalcompetitionreview.com/review/the-antitrust-review-of-the-americas/2022/article/united-states-private-antitrust-litigation (documenting combined plaintiff-defendant expenditures exceeding $13 million in single-plaintiff cases litigated through trial).

[30] Edward Iacobucci, Uncertainty and the Burden of Proof in Canadian Competition Law, C.D. Howe Inst. Commentary No. 659, at 4, 5 (May 2024), https://cdhowe.org/publication/uncertainty-and-burden-proof-canadian-competition-law.

[31] Comm’r of Competition v. Can. Pipe Co., (2006) F.C.A. 233.

[32] Id.

[33] Id.

[34] Competition Act, s. 78(1)(k).

[35] Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union art. 102, May 9, 2008, 2008 O.J. (C 115) 47.

[36] Case 27/76, United Brands Co. v. Comm’n, ECLI:EU:C:1978:22, ¶ 252 (Feb. 14, 1978) (“The questions therefore to be determined are whether the difference between the costs actually incurred and the price actually charged is excessive, and, it the answer to this question is in the affirmative, whether a price has been imposed which is either unfair in itself or when compared to competing products.”)

[37] See, e.g., Aline Blankertz, Todd Davies, Justine Haekens, & Nicholas Shaxson, The European Commission Can and Must Act on Excessive Pricing, ProMarket (Oct. 8, 2025), https://www.promarket.org/2025/10/08/the-european-commission-can-and-must-act-on-excessive-pricing.

[38] See Org. for Econ. Coop. & Dev., Excessive Prices, OECD Doc. DAF/COMP(2011)18 (Feb. 7, 2012), https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2012/02/excessive-prices_372e092c/8e1fd82e-en.pdf; Raphaël De Coninck, Excessive Prices: An Overview of EU and National Case Law, E-Competitions Bull. (Jun. 2018), https://ecp.crai.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/Excessive-Pricing-R.-de-Coninck-e-Competitions-2018.pdf.

[39] David S. Evans & A. Jorge Padilla, Excessive Prices: Using Economics to Define Administrable Legal Rules, 1 J. Competition L. & Econ. 97 (2005).

[40] Massimo Motta & Alexandre de Streel, Excessive Pricing and Price Squeeze under EU Law, in The Pros and Cons of High Prices 14 (Konkurrensverket ed., 2007), https://www.konkurrensverket.se/globalassets/dokument/informationsmaterial/rapporter-och-broschyrer/pros-and-cons/rapport_pros-and-cons_2007_high_prices.pdf.

[41] Lars-Hendrik Röller, Exploitative Abuses, (ESMT Business Brief No. BB-107-002, 2007), https://d-nb.info/1012903311/34.

[42] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶¶ 263-267 (“Excessive and unfair pricing is likely to raise issues only if it is used to engage in other types of anti-competitive conduct or agreements… In such cases, we would generally investigate the pricing as part of the other form of conduct or agreement (e.g., refusal to deal, bundling, margin squeezing).”)

[43] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 81.

[44] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 336.

[45] Brian Albrecht, Competition Increases Concentration, Truth on the Mkt. (Aug. 16, 2023), https://truthonthemarket.com/2023/08/16/competition-increases-concentration.

[46] See Brian Albrecht, What Competition Scholars Should Know About the 2025 Economics Nobel, Truth on the Mkt. (Oct. 14, 2025), https://truthonthemarket.com/2025/10/14/what-competition-scholars-should-know-about-the-2025-economics-nobel/ (“Market structure is an outcome of this competitive process, not just a cause of competitive behavior.”).

[47] Chad Syverson, Macroeconomics and Market Power: Context, Implications, and Open Questions, 33 J. Econ. Persps. 23, 34 (2019).

[48] Harold Demsetz, Industry Structure, Market Rivalry, and Public Policy, 16 J.L. & Econ. 1 (1973); see also Harold Demsetz, The Market Concentration Doctrine: An Examination of Evidence and a Discussion of Policy (AEI–Hoover Policy Studies No. 7, 1973), https://masonlec.org/site/rte_uploads/files/GAI/Readings/Economics%20Institute/Demsetz_Market%20Concentration%20Doctrine.pdf.

[49] William M. Landes & Richard A. Posner, Market Power in Antitrust Cases, 94 Harv. L. Rev. 937, 947 (1981); see also Mario Zúñiga, ‘Market Power in Antitrust Cases,’ by William M. Landes and Richard A. Posner, Truth on the Mkt. (Jan. 16, 2026), More recently, Dennis Carlton has described market shares and concentration as “at best crude first steps,” noting that empirically there is “only a weak link between change in market share and change in competitive performance,” and that “there is no model” in which market share alone reliably predicts prices or welfare effects. Static market-share data therefore cannot substitute for analysis of firm conduct and market conditions. https://truthonthemarket.com/2026/01/16/market-power-in-antitrust-cases-by-william-m-landes-and-richard-a-posner.

[50] Dennis W. Carlton, Market Definition: Use and Abuse, 3 Competition Pol’y Int’l 3 (2007), https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=987061.

[51] William J. Baumol, John C. Panzar & Robert D. Willig, Contestable Markets and the Theory of Industry Structure 222 (rev. ed. 1988), available at https://archive.org/details/contestablemarke0000baum_e1g8 (“[F]reedom of entry, indeed the mere threat of incursions by entrants into the market, may effectively discipline the monopolist, even if entry is never successful. It can force the monopolist to curb his avarice and forgo profits he might otherwise have enjoyed. Indeed, in the absence of entry barriers, in perfectly contestable markets, it can force him to accept earnings no higher than those available under perfect com¬ petition. Potential competition can also force the monopolist to produce with maximal efficiency, and to hunt down and utilize fully every opportunity for innovation.”); see also David J. Teece, Understanding Dynamic Competition: New Perspectives on Potential Competition, “Monopoly,” and Market Power (May 22, 2025), available at https://ssrn.com/abstract=5356023.

[52] Id.

[53] Org. for Econ. Coop. & Dev., Competition in the Pharmaceutical Industry, OECD Doc. DAFFE/CLP(2000)29 (Feb. 6, 2001) (“For many products which face few rivals in their therapeutic class, the primary competitive threat is the threat that rival firms will develop substitutes.”)

[54] Stephen J. Nickell, Competition and Corporate Performance, 104 J. Pol. Econ. 724 (1996).

[55] Richard Blundell, Rachel Griffith, & John Van Reenen, Market Share, Market Value and Innovation in a Panel of British Manufacturing Firms, 66 Rev. Econ. Stud. 529 (1999).

[56] Competition Act, s. 79(1).

[57] Verizon Commc’ns Inc. v. Law Offices of Curtis V. Trinko, LLP, 540 U.S. 398 (2004).

[58] Id. 407.

[59] David S. Evans & Richard Schmalensee, The Antitrust Analysis of Multi-Sided Platform Businesses (Nat’l Bureau of Econ. Rsch. Working Paper No. 18783, 2013), http://www.nber.org/papers/w18783.

[60] Jean‑Charles Rochet & Jean Tirole, Platform Competition in Two‑Sided Markets, 1 J. Eur. Econ. Ass’n 990 (2003); Mark Armstrong, Competition in Two‑Sided Markets, 37 RAND J. Econ. 668 (2006).

[61] David S. Evans, Two-Sided Platforms and Analysis of Single-Firm Conduct, Comment to the U.S. Dep’t of Justice Single-Firm Conduct Hearings (Sep. 2006), https://www.justice.gov/archives/atr/single-firm-conduct-hearings-comment-david-evans-two-sided-platforms-and-analysis-single-firm.

[62] David S. Evans, The Antitrust Economics of Multi‑Sided Platform Markets, 20 Yale J. Reg. 325, 334–35 (2003).

[63] Herbert Hovenkamp, The Areeda–Turner Test for Exclusionary Pricing: A Critical Journal, 46 Rev. Indus. Org. 209, 213-215 (2015).

[64] Id. 216.

[65] Einer Elhauge, Why Above‑Cost Price Cuts to Drive Out Entrants Are Not Predatory, 112 Yale L.J. 681, 727–31 (2003).

[66] William J. Baumol & David F. Bradford, Optimal Departures from Marginal Cost Pricing, 60 Am. Econ. Rev. 265 (1970); see also Gus Hurwitz, ‘Optimal Departures from Marginal Cost Pricing’ by William J. Baumol & David F. Bradford, Truth On The Mkt. (Sep. 30, 2025), https://truthonthemarket.com/2025/09/30/optimal-departures-from-marginal-cost-pricing-by-william-j-baumol-david-f-bradford.

[67] OECD, Excessive Prices in Pharmaceutical Markets ¶¶ 22, 104–22, DAF/COMP(2018)12 (2018), https://one.oecd.org/document/DAF/COMP(2018)12/en/pdf.

[68] Id. 21-22, citing David S. Evans & A. Jorge Padilla, Excessive Prices: Using Economics to Define Administrable Legal Rules, 1 J. Competition L. & Econ. 97, 118 (2005).

[69] Motta & de Streel, supra note 41.

[70] Draft ACCA Guidelines, § 6.11.

[71] Id. at ¶ 264.

[72] Giuseppe Colangelo, In Fairness We (Should Not) Trust: The Duplicity of the EU Competition Policy Mantra in Digital Markets, 68 Antitrust Bull. 618, 635 (2023).

[73] Id. at 621.

[74] See Eliana Garcés and Giuseppe Colangelo, Markets, Competition, and Fairness in Research Handbook on Competition and Corporate Law  83, 96–102 (Thepot & Tzanaki, eds. 2025) (discussing the implications of fairness in the process of the allocation of rights and privileges versus fairness of outcome).

[75] Innovation, Sci. & Econ. Dev. Can., The Future of Competition Policy in Canada (2022), https://ised-isde.canada.ca/site/strategic-policy-sector/sites/default/files/attachments/2022/The-Future-of-Competition-Policy-eng.pdf.

[76] Competition Act, s. 79(1).

[77] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 266.

[78] Competition Act, s. 90.1(1.01).

[79] Francine Lafontaine & Margaret E. Slade, Exclusive Contracts and Vertical Restraints: Empirical Evidence and Public Policy, in Handbook of Antitrust Economics 391 (Paolo Buccirossi ed., 2008); see also Francine Lafontaine & Margaret E. Slade, Transaction Cost Economics and Vertical Market Restrictions—Evidence, 55 Antitrust Bull. 587 (2010); Geoffrey Manne, Kristian Stout, & Eric Fruits, The Fatal Economic Flaws of the Contemporary Campaign against Vertical Integration, 68 U. Kan. L. Rev. 923 (Jun. 2020).

[80] Benjamin Klein & Kevin M. Murphy, Vertical Restraints as Contract Enforcement Mechanisms, 31 J.L. & Econ. 265 (1988).

[81] Leegin Creative Leather Prods., Inc. v. PSKS, Inc., 551 U.S. 877 (2007).

[82] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 430.

[83] Competition Act, s. 90.1(1).

[84] Brunswick Corp. v. Pueblo Bowl-O-Mat, Inc., 429 U.S. 477 (1977) (The injury must be “of the type the antitrust laws were intended to prevent,” meaning the harm must result from a reduction in competition, not just a loss of profits. Also, the injury must “flow from that which makes the defendant’s acts unlawful.”).

[85] Ill. Brick Co. v. Illinois, 431 U.S. 720 (1977).

[86] Draft ACCA Guidelines, s. 6.4, see ¶ 197 (“In most cases we assess self-preferencing as exclusionary conduct. We may investigate self-preferencing under the abuse of dominance provisions.”).

[87] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶¶ 196, 198.

[88] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 199.

[89] Ronald H. Coase, The Nature of the Firm, 4 Economica 386 (1937).

[90] Appendix A s. II.

[91] Chiara Farronato, Andrey Fradkin, & Alexander MacKay, Vertical Integration and Consumer Choice: Evidence from a Field Experiment (Nat’l Bureau of Econ. Rsch. Working Paper No. 34135, 2025), https://www.nber.org/papers/w34135.

[92] Id. at 3.

[93] Brian Albrecht & Geoffrey A. Manne, Self-Preferencing Isn’t a Sin. It’s Often the Way Competition Works., Truth on the Mkt. (Aug. 20, 2025), https://truthonthemarket.com/2025/08/20/self-preferencing-isnt-a-sin-its-often-the-way-competition-works.

[94] Australian Competition and Consumer Commission, Digital Platform Services Inquiry—Interim Report No. 5: Regulatory Reform 94 (Sep. 2022), https://www.accc.gov.au/system/files/Digital%20platform%20services%20inquiry.pdf (“Although self-preferencing conduct is often benign, self-preferencing conduct that leverages market power over a key online service into a related service, which is not justified by a procompetitive rationale, can distort competition and decrease consumer welfare.”).

[95] Juliette Caminade, Juan Carvajal, & Christopher R. Knittel, An Economic Analysis of the Self-Preferencing Debate, 32 Competition 30 (2022), https://www.analysisgroup.com/globalassets/insights/publishing/2022-caminade-et-al-an-economic-analysis-of-the-self-preferencing-debate.pdf.

[96] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 72.

[97] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 90(g).

[98] See generally Stan J. Liebowitz & Stephen E. Margolis, Winners, Losers & Microsoft: Competition and Antitrust in High Technology (1999).

[99] Matthew T. Clements & Hiroshi Ohashi, Indirect Network Effects and the Product Cycle: Video Games in the U.S., 1994–2002, 53 J. Indus. Econ. 515 (2005).

[100] Catherine Tucker, Digital Data, Platforms and the Usual [Antitrust] Suspects: Network Effects, Switching Costs, Essential Facility, 54 Rev. Indus. Org. 683 (2019).

[101] See, e.g., Geoffrey Manne & Dirk Auer, Antitrust Dystopia and Antitrust Nostalgia: Alarmist Theories of Harm in Digital Markets and Their Origins, 28 Geo. Mason L. Rev. 1279 (Summer 2021).

[102] See Geoffrey A. Manne & Ben Sperry, Debunking the Myth of a Data Barrier to Entry for Online Services, Truth on the Mkt. (March 26, 2015), https://truthonthemarket.com/2015/03/26/debunking-the-myth-of-a-data-barrier-to-entry-for-online-services.

[103] See Harrison Jacobs, Former MySpace CEO Explains Why Facebook Was Able to Dominate Social Media Despite Coming Second, Business Insider (May 9, 2015), https://www.businessinsider.com/former-myspace-ceo-explains-why-facebook-was-able-to-dominate-social-media-despite-coming-second-2015-5.

[104] See, e.g., Bruno Jullien, Alessandro Pavan, & Marc Rysman, Two-Sided Markets, Pricing, and Network Effects, in 4 Handbook of Industrial Organization 485 (Kate Ho, Ali Hortaçsu & Alessandro Lizzeri eds., 2021).

[105] Draft ACCA Guidelines s. 6.12.

[106] Competition Bureau Canada, Algorithmic Pricing and Competition: Discussion Paper (Jun. 10, 2025).

[107] Maureen K. Ohlhausen, Acting Chairman, Should We Fear the Things That Go Beep in the Night? Some Initial Thoughts on the Intersection of Antitrust Laws and Algorithmic Pricing, Fed. Trade Comm’n (May 23, 2017), at 10, https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/documents/public_statements/1220893/ohlhausen_-_concurrences_5-23-17.pdf.

[108] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 417 (“An agreement involves a ‘meeting of the minds’ between two or more parties. That is, those parties have reached a consensus regarding their intentions.”).

[109] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 121.

[110] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 418.

[111] R. v. Nova Scotia Pharmaceutical Society, [1992] 2 S.C.R. 606, at 651-52 (holding that the conspiracy offense requires proof of “intention” and “agreement” constituting a “common design”).

[112] See Louis Kaplow, Competition Policy and Price Fixing 1-4 (2013) (explaining that “tacit collusion” describes oligopolistic interdependence rather than illegal agreement); William E. Kovacic et al., Plus Factors and Agreement in Antitrust Law, 110 Mich. L. Rev. 393, 400-01 (2011) (distinguishing “express” and “tacit” collusion and noting that only the former violates antitrust law).

[113] See Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶¶ 121, 417-18 (distinguishing explicit agreements, tacit agreements, and conscious parallelism).

[114] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 417.

[115] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 121.

[116] Brooke Group Ltd. v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 509 U.S. 209, 227 (1993).

[117] See Donald F. Turner, The Definition of Agreement Under the Sherman Act: Conscious Parallelism and Refusals to Deal, 75 Harv. L. Rev. 655, 663 (1962) (“The rational oligopolist is doing nothing more than what he would do in any event…. To say that this conduct should be unlawful is to say that the firms are under a duty to compete, which is hardly a duty imposed by the present antitrust laws.”).

[118] Draft ACCA Guidelines, fn. 106.

[119] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 272 (“firms can give commercially sensitive information to a third-party algorithm developer that provides pricing recommendations to industry participants”).

[120] Gibson v. Cendyn Grp., LLC, 148 F.4th 1069 (9th Cir. 2025).

[121] Id.

[122] Cornish-Adebiyi v. Caesars Entm’t (D.N.J. 2024).

[123] Kevin R. Williams, The Welfare Effects of Dynamic Pricing: Evidence from Airline Markets, 90 Econometrica 831 (2022).

[124] Sophie Calder-Wang & Gi Heung Kim, Algorithmic Pricing in Multifamily Rentals: Efficiency Gains or Price Coordination? (Aug. 16, 2024), https://ssrn.com/abstract=4403058.

[125] Stephanie Assad, Robert Clark, Daniel Ershov, & Lei Xu, Algorithmic Pricing and Competition: Empirical Evidence from the German Retail Gasoline Market, 132 J. Pol. Econ. 723 (2024).

[126] Id. at 726 (finding that algorithmic adoption increases margins by roughly 9% overall, with no meaningful effect in monopoly markets but a 38% increase in duopoly markets where both stations adopt).

[127] Id. at 727 (“Margins start to increase only about a year after market-wide adoption, suggesting that algorithms in this market learn tacitly collusive strategies…. suggests that algorithms learn that undercutting will not be profitable, since lower prices will be followed.”).

[128] Id. at 760 (“To the best of our knowledge, this occurs without explicit communication between competitors, making it legal according to current competition laws in many countries.”).

[129] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 121.

[130] Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶ 418 (“when firms take part in parallel conduct along with practices that can facilitate coordination, this can be proof of an agreement between them”).

[131] See Draft ACCA Guidelines, ¶¶ 271-75 (discussing information sharing through third parties, including algorithm developers, as a potential facilitating practice).

[132] See id. at ¶¶ 31, 33, 51.

[133] Geoffrey A. Manne, Brian C. Albrecht, & Dirk Auer, Labor Monopsony and Antitrust Enforcement: A Distorting Mirror, 74 DePaul L. Rev. 1119 (2025); Suresh Naidu, Eric A. Posner, & Glen Weyl, Antitrust Remedies for Labor Market Power, 132 Harv. L. Rev. 536 (2018).

[134] Steven Berry, Martin Gaynor, & Fiona Scott Morton, Do Increasing Markups Matter? Lessons from Empirical Industrial Organization, 33 J. Econ. Persp. 44, 57 (2019).

[135] Manne et al., supra note 134 at 1153 (“It is virtually impossible to know what outside options to include in the relevant market, and it may not always be possible to identify even where such potential employers are located. . . . These market-definition issues are far more acute in monopsony cases than in traditional monopoly cases, both because the intrinsic question of substitutes is more complicated and because there is far less precedent to guide parties and enforcers.”).

[136] Id. at 1138.

[137] Id. at Part III.

[138] Manne et al., supra note 134 at 1173.

[139] U.S. Dep’t of Justice & Fed. Trade Comm’n, Merger Guidelines § 4.3 (2023).

[140] Case T-235/18, Qualcomm Inc. v. European Commission, ECLI:EU:T:2022:358 (Jun. 15, 2022) (in which the General Court of the European Union annulled the European Commission’s €997 million fine against Qualcomm. The court’s decision was largely based on “procedural irregularities” that affected Qualcomm’s rights of defense); Case T-286/09 RENV, Intel Corp. v. European Commission, ECLI:EU:T:2022:19 (Jan. 26, 2022); Case C-240/22 P, European Commission v. Intel Corp., ECLI:EU:C:2024:911 (Oct. 24, 2024) (Court of Justice of the European Union set aside an initial ruling in 2017, the General Court in 2022 annulled the Commission’s €1.06 billion fine).

[141] See, e.g., Alfonso Lamadrid, The DMA: Procedural Afterthoughts, Chillin’ Competition (Sep. 5, 2022), https://chillingcompetition.com/2022/09/05/the-dma-proceduralafterthoughts.

Source: Competition Bureau Canada

Regulatory Comments

Comments of ICLE and New America on Space Modernization for the 21st Century

Introduction Over the past two decades, the space industry has evolved at warp speed. Access to orbits and resources beyond the Karman Line has become . . .

Introduction

Over the past two decades, the space industry has evolved at warp speed. Access to orbits and resources beyond the Karman Line has become more available, cost-effective, and competitive than ever before. New products and industries are rapidly emerging. And critically, satellite connectivity that can meet the needs of modern Internet applications and users is being realized in low-Earth orbit. This progress has emerged despite a licensing regime that is precisely the opposite: anachronistic and incompatible with modern realities. As the Commission acknowledges, its current licensing process is a remnant of a bygone era, and “a modern, efficient space licensing system that enables innovation and exploration” is overdue.[1]

The International Center for Law & Economics (“ICLE”) and New America’s Open Technology Institute (“OTI”) applaud the Commission’s comprehensive proposal for space licensing reform. The Commission’s proposals align with many of the insights and recommendations offered in a recent report by the bipartisan LEO Policy Working Group co-chaired by our two organizations. The report, Low Earth Satellites: Policies to Promote Spectrum Sharing, Foster Competition, and Close Digital Divides, was the culmination of a nearly year-long process of research and discourse by a diverse group of individuals with industry, public policy, academic, and regulatory experience with the shared goal of “explor[ing] the challenges facing the development and deployment of LEO satellites for universal connectivity.”[2]

The report is attached to these comments as an Exhibit. Chapter 1 of the report focuses on spectrum policy and the discusses policy considerations and tradeoffs related to the imperative to streamline satellite licensing and modifications. Excerpts of the report and accompanying commentary are provided below as a brief summary in response to the proposals and questions raised by the Commission.

1. A Modernized Space Licensing Process Is Necessary

The NPRM’s ultimate aim is “to align our rules with the pace, growth, and innovation in the space economy[.]”[3] Doing so will require extensive reform that gets to the core of the licensing process rather than merely creating change at the margins. As our report recognizes, “[t]he FCC’s current framework for spectrum allocation and licensing was not designed for this emerging dense and dynamic LEO environment.”[4] Instead, LEO operators must weather a process mired in delay, inflexibility, and uncertainty by requiring “[h]ighly customized application requirements, duplicate processes between the FCC and ITU filings, and the combination of technical, spectrum, and orbital debris reviews [that] lead to a long process and restrictive, sometimes inconsistent licensing conditions.”[5]

The NPRM’s “three pivots” for modernizing the licensing process are a necessary first step toward meeting many of the report’s suggested proposals for reform. Specifically:

Presumed Acceptable Criteria. The NPRM asks whether the licensing process should shift to bright-line performance metrics the Commission presumes to be acceptable, rather than prescriptive rules and individualized assessments.[6] The answer is unequivocally yes. As the report proposes:[7]

One overarching reform would be adoption of the presumption that NGSO applications that comply with existing FCC rules, especially those related to technical and sustainability standards, are in the public interest. This would reduce the need for case-by-case bespoke reviews and conditions. . . . Instead of tailoring conditions to each operator, standardized operational rules—including for space sustainability—could provide clarity and predictability. Applicants seeking deviations from the rules would be required to seek waivers, creating a more rule-bound and transparent system.

The Commission’s suggested presumption of acceptability and reliance on objective metrics matches this recommendation to the letter.

Enhanced Application Design. With streamlining and automation in mind, the NPRM asks whether a more standardized process with modular features would be more responsive to operator needs.[8] As the report notes, “[r]eforms that seek to better standardize and streamline authorizations through clear, uniform ex-ante rules and conditions, while shifting to target ex post enforcement as needed”[9] remove the common constraints of “overly slow, bespoke, and burdensome”[10] review. In enacting such reforms, the Commission “would promote a more streamlined and consistent process, similar to how terrestrial wireless services are licensed.”[11]

Increased Freedom. The NPRM notes the prior practice of “over-prescrib[ing]” system design features and the imposition of bespoke conditions on individual system approvals.[12] A byproduct of this failure, as recognized in the report, is that licenses cannot be altered or modified without losing their priority status[.]”[13] Operators’ ability to nimbly respond to system needs or consumer demands without regulatory delay is paramount.

2. Processing Timelines Should Be Tightened and Standardized

The Commission notes that the time required for full action on a satellite operator’s application has varied from one day to six years.[14] This degree of uncertainty surrounding application processing is untenable. To address this problem, the report supports a the adoption of a shot clock with limited exceptions. “A ‘shot clock’ for application review should provide operators with more certainty about licensing timelines.”[15] A definitive and uniform timeline, such as the Commission’s proposed 60-day framework, accomplishes that. At the same time, “[f]lexibility mechanisms could be included, such as pausing the clock in unusual review cases or if applicants fail to provide necessary information[,]” as offered in the report.

The report also raises a complementary proposal for accelerating applications that do not satisfy its certification requirements, but nonetheless warrant rapid response. As the report suggests, “some systems could seek a waiver of shot-clock rules to allow more time-sensitive applications to be addressed first.”[16]

3. Processing-Round Reform Will Require More Work

The NPRM proposes restructuring the processing round structure so that rounds are initiated automatically and for a set duration each calendar year. This reform remedies one glaring shortcoming of the processing round regime. As the Working Group Report explains:[17]

Applicants may face significant delays if they are forced to wait for a new round to open after a lead applicant files, or risk missing a narrow filing window if they are not prepared. These dynamics, while intended to ensure fairness and spectrum sharing among competitors, are frequently cited as a primary source of delay for NGSO licensing.

A consistent processing round window avoids many of these problems. Still, larger issues remain embedded within the processing round regime, as the report notes:[18]

[T]he framework fails to provide security of expectations to existing systems. For example, aggregate interference limits cannot be defined because there is no telling how many lower-priority systems may contribute to interference, or how many processing rounds may occur within a given satellite band. It leads to the inevitable question: What happens to the spectrum sharing framework when a third processing round emerges in the Ka-band? A fourth? It seems foolish to presume that the framework’s sunsetting of priority system protections will take hold before these realities emerge.

While the industry consensus has been that aggregate interference limits are premature and the Commission’s dual-protection criteria are enough,[19] that sentiment may be quickly waning as the initial assumptions underlying the processing round framework begin to unravel.[20]

4. Milestone Requirements Should be More Incremental

For NGSO systems, the Commission proposes mirroring the ITU’s bring-into-use (“BIU”) benchmarks.[21] As the report acknowledges, “[a] key concern is whether these milestone requirements strike the right balance between facilitating market entry and deterring frivolous or infeasible applications,”[22] and “[t]he primary issue is how the FCC should distinguish systems that are legitimately trying to meet buildout requirements versus purely speculative or frivolous applications.”[23] It is unclear how the BIU benchmark strikes this balance or if it does so effectively.

Another option, and one that the report recommends, is that “[d]eployment requirements could also be restructured into more graduated, measurable steps.” At the same time, the Commission could require that larger “performance bonds [be] structured to release funds as verified buildout milestones are met [to] reinforce deployment incentives.”[24] If necessary, “[e]xtensions would only be granted for deployment requirements in extenuating circumstances.”[25]

5. Earth Station Light-Licensing and Database Coordination Will Accelerate Deployments

The NPRM proposes shifting to a nationwide, non-site licensing of fixed earth stations.[26] This is a welcome reform. As the report recognizes, “[a]s LEO constellations scale, gateway siting and authorization have become a key bottleneck. . . . through the FCC’s traditional process.”[27] In alignment with the NPRM’s view, the report notes that “[i]ntegrating satellite [earth stations] into [a] database-coordination could streamline the process, enabling faster, scalable NGSO-gateway deployments; reduce the burden of application development and processing on satellite operators and FCC staff; and help facilitate coexistence between terrestrial and satellite systems.”[28]

A reference framework is already available. As the report offers:

[The Commission] could also leverage the FCC’s existing 70/80/90 GHz lightweight coordination database, which for many years has successfully coordinated terrestrial fixed links (and, now, high-altitude platform links) operating in the 71–76, 81–86, and 92–95 GHz bands. This existing model allows for rapid, relatively easy registration and interference checking through third-party coordination without a full Part 25 review. This model is well-suited for sharing between satellite and terrestrial users, such as in the lower 37 GHz band, where the FCC has already requested comment on moving to a “lightly licensed” and automated coordination of terrestrial fixed and mobile network siting.

[1] In re Space Modernization for the 21st Century, SB Docket No. 25-306, at ¶ 2 (rel. Oct. 29, 2025) (“NPRM”).

[2] Low Earth Orbit Satellites: Policies to Promote Spectrum Sharing, Foster Competition, and Close Digital Divides, LEO Policy Working Group, Int’l Ctr. for Law & Econ. & New America, at 2 (Oct. 30, 2025) (“LEO Working Group Report”), https://www.newamerica.org/oti/wireless-future-project/reports/leo-satellites/.

[3] NPRM at ¶ 6.

[4] LEO Working Group Report at 20.

[5] Id. at 21.

[6] NPRM at ¶¶ 14-18.

[7] LEO Working Group Report at 25.

[8] NPRM at ¶¶ 19-23.

[9] LEO Working Group Report at 21.

[10] Id. at 8.

[11] LEO Working Group Report at 25.

[12] NPRM at ¶ 24.

[13] LEO Working Group Report at 28.

[14] Id. n 17.

[15] LEO Working Group Report at 25.

[16] Id. at 26.

[17] LEO Working Group Report at 25.

[18] Id. at 50.

[19] 47 C.F.R. § 25.261.

[20] See In re Revising Spectrum Sharing Rules for Non-Geostationary Orbit, Fixed-Satellite Service Systems, SB Docket No. 21-456, at ¶¶ 51-61 (rel Nov. 15, 2024).

[21] NPRM at ¶¶ 169-74.

[22] LEO Working Group Report at 24.

[23] Id.

[24] LEO Working Group Report at 26.

[25] Id.

[26] NPRM at ¶ 90.

[27] LEO Working Group Report at 27.

[28] Id.

Source: Federal Communications Commission

Regulatory Comments