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STRUCTURALIST INNOVATION: A SHAKY LEGAL PRESUMPTION IN NEED OF AN OVERHAUL

ICLE Issue Brief How does a market’s structure affect innovation? This crucial question has occupied the world’s brightest economists for almost a century, from Schumpeter who found that monopoly was optimal, through Arrow who concluded that competitive market structures were key, to the endogenous growth scholars who empirically derived an inverted-U relationship between market concentration and innovation.

Introduction

How does a market’s structure affect innovation? This crucial question has occupied the world’s brightest economists for almost a century, from Schumpeter who found that monopoly was optimal, through Arrow who concluded that competitive market structures were key, to the endogenous growth scholars who empirically derived an inverted-U relationship between market concentration and innovation. Despite these pioneering contributions to our understanding of competition and innovation, if the past century of innovation economics has taught us anything it is that no market structure is strictly superior at generating innovation. Just as the SCP paradigm ultimately faltered because structural presumptions were a weak predictor of market outcomes, so too have dreams of divining the optimal market structure for innovation. Instead, in any given case, the right market structure likely depends on a plethora of sector- and firm-specific characteristics that range from the size and riskiness of innovation-related investments to the appropriability mechanisms used by firms, regulatory compliance costs, and the rate of technological change, among many others.

Against this backdrop, it may come as a surprise that the European Commission believes it has cracked the innovation market structure conundrum. Throughout its recent competition decisions, the Commission has almost systematically concluded that more firms in any given market will produce greater choice and more innovation for consumers. I call this the “Structuralist Innovation Presumption.” Notably, this presumption seems to have played a pivotal role in the recent Google Android decision (although the text of the Commission’s decision is not yet publicly available).

In what follows I argue that the Structuralist Innovation Presumption is a misguided heuristic that antitrust authorities around the globe would do well to avoid. Although it has been almost unequivocally endorsed by the European Commission, the presumption is at odds with the mainstream economics of innovation. To make matters worse, structuralist innovation also ignores the complex second-order effects that may arise when antitrust intervention tampers with rapidly evolving markets.

Click here to read the full paper. 

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Antitrust & Consumer Protection

The Australian approach to “consumer protection” policy is a threat to consumer welfare and free speech

TOTM The US Senate Subcommittee on Antitrust, Competition Policy, and Consumer Rights recently held hearings to see what, if anything, the U.S. might learn from the approaches of other countries regarding antitrust and consumer protection.

The US Senate Subcommittee on Antitrust, Competition Policy, and Consumer Rights recently held hearings to see what, if anything, the U.S. might learn from the approaches of other countries regarding antitrust and consumer protection. US lawmakers would do well to be wary of examples from other jurisdictions, however, that are rooted in different legal and cultural traditions. Shortly before the hearing, for example, Australia’s Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (ACCC) announced that it was exploring broad new regulations, predicated on theoretical harms, that would threaten both consumer welfare and individuals’ rights to free expression that are completely at odds with American norms.

Read the full piece here.

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Antitrust & Consumer Protection

Boom, bust, and collusion: Does it really matter?

TOTM A recent working paper by Hashmat Khan and Matthew Strathearn attempts to empirically link anticompetitive collusion to the boom and bust cycles of the economy.

A recent working paper by Hashmat Khan and Matthew Strathearn attempts to empirically link anticompetitive collusion to the boom and bust cycles of the economy.

Read the full piece here.

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Antitrust & Consumer Protection

FTC v. Qualcomm: Innovation and Competition

Popular Media Just days before leaving office, the outgoing Obama FTC left what should have been an unwelcome parting gift for the incoming Commission: an antitrust suit against Qualcomm.

Just days before leaving office, the outgoing Obama FTC left what should have been an unwelcome parting gift for the incoming Commission: an antitrust suit against Qualcomm. This week the FTC — under a new Chairman and with an entirely new set of Commissioners — finished unwrapping its present, and rested its case in the trial begun earlier this month in FTC v Qualcomm.

Read the full piece here.

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Antitrust & Consumer Protection

Pharmacy Benefit Managers, Rebates, and Drug Prices: Conflicts of Interest in the Market for Prescription Drugs

Scholarship Abstract Pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) manage the drug benefits for over 95 percent of Americans with prescription drug coverage. However, conflicts of interest inherent in . . .

Abstract

Pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) manage the drug benefits for over 95 percent of Americans with prescription drug coverage. However, conflicts of interest inherent in the PBM business model create perverse incentives for drug price increases. The most significant conflict of interest arises from manufacturer rebates paid to PBMs. PBMs negotiate rebates from drug manufacturers in exchange for giving the manufacturers’ drugs preferred status on a health plan’s formulary. Because the rebates paid to PBMs are typically a percentage of a drug’s list price, drug makers are pressured to increase list prices in order to satisfy PBMs’ demands for higher rebates. Although a portion of the increasing rebate dollars may eventually find its way to patients in the form of lower co-pays, many patients still suffer from the list prices increases. This Article analyzes various proposals to rein in PBM rebates and asserts that, compared to the other proposals, a point-of-sale rebate system maintains many of the benefits of selective contracting while minimizing incentives to increase drug list prices.

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Antitrust & Consumer Protection

Understanding Competition in Markets Involving Data or Personal or Commercial Information (FTC Hearings, ICLE Comment 7)

Written Testimonies & Filings FTC Hearings on Competition & Consumer Protection in the 21 st Century. Comments of the International Center for Law & Economics: Understanding Competition in Markets Involving Data or Personal or Commercial Information. Hearing # 6 (Nov. 6-8, 2018). Submitted January 7, 2019.

Comments of the International Center for Law & Economics”

Markets involving data and personal information have unique characteristics, but do not present such novel challenges that the well-developed tools of antitrust are incapable of incorporating them. Nonetheless, some critics continue to press for misguided antitrust intervention into data markets, often based on fundamental misunderstandings. 

For a start, commonly repeated analogies between data and oil are highly misleading. Oil is physical commodity that is highly rivalrous (a user cannot use oil without impairing others’ ability to use the same oil) and readily excludable (it can easily be stored in ways that prevent use by non-authorized parties). By contrast, data is simply information that bears some of the traits of a public good: it is often non-rivalrous in consumption (the same information may be used by multiple parties without any degradation) and difficult to appropriate because it is difficult to prevent others’ use of the same data, it is difficult to ensure optimal investment in its creation). Moreover, in most instances, it is not data that is scarce, but the expertise required to generate and analyze it. In any case, most successful internet companies started life with little to no data. This suggests that data is more a byproduct of the ongoing operation of internet platforms than it is a critical input for their creation.

Further, data is unlikely to constitute a barrier to entry, and even less likely to amount to an essential facility. As George Stigler famously argued, a barrier to entry is “[a] cost of producing that must be borne by a firm which seeks to enter an industry but is not borne by firms already in the industry.” There is no reason that the cost of obtaining data for a new entrant should be any higher than it was for an incumbent. In fact, the opposite will often turn out to be true.

Other ills that allegedly plague data-rich markets (and the merits of proposed solutions) are equally dubious. This is notably the case for the relationship between mandated data portability and competition. Contrary to what some scholars have advanced, it is far from clear that mandated data portability will increase consumer welfare in data-reliant markets. Not only is this type of portability unlikely to significantly affect switching costs for consumers but, even if it did, this would have ambiguous consumer welfare consequences (as is generally the case for consumer lock-in and regulatory interventions to overcome it). To make matters worse, mandated data portability is not without its risks. Most notably, data portability poses data security and user privacy risks.

Likewise, fears of costly price discrimination and widespread algorithmic collusion are greatly overblown. While it is true that big data may have a transformative effect on firms’ ability to price discriminate, there is no strong reason to believe that this would have a detrimental effect on consumer welfare. Instead, as with all forms of price discrimination, it may potentially expand output and allow less well-off consumers to participate in markets they might otherwise be priced out of. Similarly, the idea that big data and algorithms will lead to collusion is deeply flawed. Fears of collusion rest on the faulty premise that online marketplaces and the use of big data will dramatically increase transparency, thus facilitating collusion. In fact, the opposite is just as likely (and, in any case, the manifest benefits of increased transparency, likely outweigh the speculative costs).

In short, the advent of data-enabled markets does not have implications that support the calls for a significant expansion of antitrust tools and antitrust enforcement being made. Data is not irrelevant, of course, but it is just one amongst a plethora of factors that enforcement authorities and courts should consider when they analyze firms’ behavior.

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Antitrust & Consumer Protection

When “Reasonable” Isn’t: The FTC’s Standard-less Data Security Standard

Scholarship Although the FTC is well-staffed with highly skilled economists, its approach to data security is disappointingly light on economic analysis. The unfortunate result of this lacuna is an approach to these complex issues lacking in analytical rigor and the humility borne of analysis grounded in sound economics.

Summary

Although the FTC is well-staffed with highly skilled economists, its approach to data security is disappointingly light on economic analysis. The unfortunate result of this lacuna is an approach to these complex issues lacking in analytical rigor and the humility borne of analysis grounded in sound economics. In particular, the Commission’s “reasonableness” approach to assessing whether data security practices are unfair under Section 5 of the FTC Act lacks all but the most superficial trappings of the well-established law and economics of torts, from which the concept is borrowed.

In actuality, however, the Commission’s manufactured “reasonableness” standard — which, as its name suggests, purports to evaluate data security practices under a negligence-like framework — actually amounts in effect to a rule of strict liability for any company that collects personally identifiable data. This is manifestly not what Section 5 intends.

In its recent LabMD opinion, the Commission describes its approach as “cost-benefit analysis.” But simply listing out (some) costs and benefits is not the same thing as analyzing them. Recognizing that tradeoffs exist is a good start, but it is not a sufficient end, and “reasonableness” — if it is to be anything other than the mercurial preferences of three FTC commissioners — must contain analytical content.

Persistent and unyielding uncertainty over the contours of the FTC’s data security standard means that companies may be required to accept the reality that, no matter what they do short of the extremes, liability is possible. Worse, there is no way reliably to judge whether conduct (short of obvious fringe cases) is even likely to increase liability risk.

The FTC’s recent LabMD case highlights the scope of the problem and the lack of economic analytical rigor endemic to the FTC’s purported data security standard. To be sure, other factors also contribute to the lack of certainty and sufficient rigor, (i.e., matters of process at the agency), but at root sits a “standardless” standard, masquerading as an economic framework.

This paper explores these defects, paying particular attention to the FTC’s decision in LabMD and subsequent district court proceedings in the case.

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Antitrust & Consumer Protection

The Continued Viability and Flexibility of the Consumer Welfare Standard (FTC Hearings, ICLE Comment 6)

Written Testimonies & Filings FTC Hearings on Competition & Consumer Protection in the 21st Century. Comments of the International Center for Law & Economics: The Continued Viability and Flexibility of the Consumer Welfare Standard, and the Weakness of Its Alternatives. Hearing # 5 (Nov. 1, 2018). Submitted December 31, 2018.

Comments of the International Center for Law & Economics:

The consumer welfare standard (“CWS”) has been the subject of much discussion lately, largely driven by a seeming uptick in criticism of the standard. This criticism falls generally into two camps. On the one hand, the CWS is understood to be the broadly correct, if imperfect, touchstone for antitrust enforcement. Proponents of this view support the consumer-focused approach to antitrust but nevertheless often recognize the inherent shortcomings of the CWS (endemic to any general legal principle applied in complex and evolving economic circumstances), and particular areas where its operationalization can and should be improved (e.g. accounting for innovation harms or properly defining who counts as a “consumer”).

On the other hand, the CWS is objected to per se by some critics as an improper or incurably deficient guiding principle for antitrust enforcement. Proponents of this view see the CWS as inconsistent with the proper goals of antitrust, which should, they contend, focus on control of threats to the “process of competition” (as opposed to the welfare of consumers). Many of the adherents to this perspective also contend that antitrust should address private-sector economic threats to the democratic process more broadly. In both cases a key component of the antipathy to the CWS is that it has allowed for the sustained presence of large corporations in the polity — a presence that is alleged to threaten, simply by its existence, both competitive and democratic welfare.

Yet, as discussed in this comment, the CWS continues to be a vital component of modern antitrust analysis. Despite the characterization of its critics, the CWS is not a single tool which gauges all conduct with a simplistic price analysis. Rather, it is a methodology by which to arrange the array of legal and economic tools that guide antitrust enforcement and adjudication and to evaluate their efficacy. 

For example, and as discussed at length in this comment, the CWS is completely capable of relying upon the tool of presumptions for certain modes of analysis. Yet presumptions are neither good nor bad per se, but are merely a single tool, the utility of which depends upon the method of use. When applied within the CWS framework, presumptions can serve procompetitive ends. By contrast, when employed to satisfy the ends of advocates who wish to impose hypothetical “ideal” structures on the economy, presumptions can be — and often are — destructive.

Click here to read the full comments.

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Antitrust & Consumer Protection

Geoff Manne on Corporate Competition Law

Presentations & Interviews ICLE President Geoffrey A. Manne testified to the U.S. Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Antitrust, Competition Policy and Consumer Rights, during a hearing to examine antitrust . . .

ICLE President Geoffrey A. Manne testified to the U.S. Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Antitrust, Competition Policy and Consumer Rights, during a hearing to examine antitrust and corporate competition laws and the differences between how they are enforced by the United States and European Union. The hearing was called in response to recent fines leveled against major U.S. technology companies by the EU. Video of the hearing is embedded below.

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Antitrust & Consumer Protection