Last updated December 20, 2024

ICLE Affiliate Review: December 2024

An occasional review of ICLE's Academic Affiliate network

Welcome

As 2025 waxes and 2024 wanes, the great work of ICLE affiliates–and our efforts to support it–remains constant. We are pleased to share the following updates from the ICLE law & economics program and from our affiliates.

We have two top-line updates to lead with. First, we have launched a new affiliate webpage. This is your one-stop shop for details about what it means to be an affiliate, including resources that we make available to you, our modest expectations of you (every quid comes with a quo!), and a form for you to share updates with us.

Second, we are delighted to welcome Joshua Benson as our new Law & Economics Program Manager. Many of you have already met Joshua, but if you have not, expect to hear from him soon. He will be reaching out from time to time to learn more about your work and explore ways that we can support you.

Opportunities

Help us give you money!

We are always looking for opportunities to support our affiliates’ work. For more details, see the resources listed on the affiliate webpage.

These opportunities include having grant funding available to support work with the potential to impact public policy. Research awards may be as high as $50,000 and can include support for data, research support, teaching buyouts, travel funding, and simple honoraria and salary support. We may also be able to provide additional assistance with obtaining data or making contacts in industry or government.

Some topics that we have a particular interest in over the coming year include:

  • The use of dynamic pricing in government procurement.
  • Corporate practice of medicine, including comparative studies of waste, fraud, and abuse, or generally the quality of management, in corporately-operated vs. traditional medical practices.
  • Empirical studies of labor practices, including studies of labor monopsony and employee outcomes in increasingly-automated industries.
  • Studies (especially empirical) relating to ongoing antitrust and competition regulation (including litigation) in the United States and around the world.
  • Contemporary industrial organization topics, including empirical studies of vertical integration, conglomerate and ecosystem antitrust, and the effects of recent regulatory interventions.
  • Topics relating to AI and competition, including exploration of concerns that AI and similar technology platforms might facilitate collusion or other anticompetitive conduct and ways that such platforms might instead facilitate competitive outcomes.

If you are working on papers on these or similar topics, let us know. We are eager to find ways to support your work!

This list is not exhaustive–we welcome proposals on any topic related to ICLE’s core subject areas. If you are interested in discussing potential research support, please reach out to share details about your proposed work.

Other Opportunities

Are you organizing a conference or symposium? Do you have any calls for papers that you would like to circulate? Are you looking for co-authors or collaborators to organize a workshop? Let us know! We’re happy to share details with the ICLE affiliate network.

We are also able to provide support, from helping with funding and offering logistical support, to even co-sponsoring events. Each year we sponsor speakers series at several schools and have standing funding available to support occasional research.

We have also recently announced a new opportunity intended to encourage new collaborations between ICLE affiliates: Affiliate collaboration awards. To support collaboration among our affiliates that strengthens our network, first-time collaborations between affiliates are eligible for financial awards of up to $2,500 per author upon publication.

Affiliate Highlights: News and Activities

Affiliate Spotlight: Congratulations to Todd Henderson and other Manne Madness Participants

Over the course of the fall semester, the George Mason University Law & Economics Center hosted the “Manne Madness” Tournament to celebrate the 50th anniversary of the Law & Economics Center (LEC). Founded 50 years ago at the University of Miami by Henry Manne, the LEC eventually migrated to George Mason University, following Henry as he moved there to become Dean.

Congratulations to tournament winner and ICLE Board Member and academic affiliate Todd Henderson!

Additional congratulations to all ICLE academic affiliates who participated, delivering a strong showing among the competition: Eric Alston, Kenneth “Ken” G. Elzinga, Thomas Hazlett, Keith Hylton, James Huffman, Ben Johnson, Jeremy Kidd, Jonathan Klick, Katherine “Kate” Litvak, Andrew “Andy” Morriss, Henry A. Thompson, John M. Yun, and Todd Zywicki.

Affiliate News and Moves

We are happy to note and celebrate some our affiliates’ new affiliations, titles, or recent significant achievements, as noted below. Congratulations!

Highlighted Publications

The Signaling Value of Technology Venture Acquisitions

Abstract

We study the effects of technology venture acquisitions on investment in the acquired firm’s business area. Using data on acquisitions and venture capital funding in the U.S. from Crunchbase, we consider the ventures acquired between 2014 and 2016 alongside a set of comparable control ventures that remained independent as of 2016. By modeling each venture as a point in the technology space, we leverage textual analysis to track investments in business areas similar to acquired or control ventures. Our difference-indifferences analysis shows that acquisitions stimulate venture capital investment, particularly in areas with fewer ventures and more intense past or expected acquisition activity. This suggests that tech acquisitions signal the potential of a business area. Contrary to antitrust concerns, we find that acquisitions by big tech platforms and other large acquirers have a similar positive effect, whereas private equity buyouts lead to an even greater increase in venture capital activity.

Scholarship (ICLE)

Overruling Chevron Sent Congress a Different Message

In “Chevron’s End Could Be Good for Free Trade” (Op-ed, Aug. 28), Thomas Duesterberg writes that the Supreme Court gave Congress “an extra tool to combat ineffective and often-counterproductive trade policy.” This embraces a peculiar understanding of the constitutional separation of powers. Congress has always had the power to override executive policy initiatives.

Read the full piece here.

Popular Media (ICLE)

Social and Physical Theories of Technological Stagnation

Among those who believe that technological change has stagnated, there are two broad categories. One social/institutional theory of stagnation, often associated with Peter Thiel, claims that the world has entered a period of technological stagnation due to avoidable social and institutional factors. Thiel and others in this camp argue that societies have chosen safety, regulation, and risk avoidance over the potential rewards of groundbreaking innovations. These critics suggest that the current technological landscape—dominated by software and digital technology—lacks the world-changing impact of past advancements such as nuclear energy or space exploration.

Read the full piece here.

Popular Media (Affiliate)

It’s Worth Rethinking the Role of Taxis in our Transport Network, as Industry Shrinks

Recently, my wife was at the One Holland Village mall looking for a taxi. After waiting at the mall for some time, she finally got a taxi on the Comfort app. No point waiting at the taxi stand, the driver told her laughingly, there would be no taxis.

The demand for and supply of taxi rides depend on each other in a self-fulfilling way. Taxi drivers go to taxi stands expecting customers, and customers go to taxi stands expecting taxis.

Read the full piece here.

Popular Media (Affiliate)

The Privacy-Antitrust Curse: Insights from GDPR Application in EU Competition Law

Abstract

The integrated approach that many competition and privacy regulators have endorsed for oversight of the major online platforms, whose business models rely on collecting and processing large troves of personal data, has often been justified on grounds that competition and data protection are complementary ends. In this respect, Europe represents a testing ground for evaluating how privacy breaches may inform antitrust investigations. Indeed, the European Union’s General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and the recent German antitrust decision concerning Facebook may be considered polestars for this emerging regulatory approach that links market power and data power. This paper tests the degree to which such an approach is viable in concrete terms by analyzing how the European Commission and national competition authorities have applied data-protection rules and principles in antitrust proceedings. Notably, the paper aims to demonstrate the fallacy of characterizing the relationship between privacy and antitrust in terms of synergy and complementarity. Further, the paper maintains that the principles the European Court of Justice recently affirmed in its Meta decision do not appear to address the issue conclusively. The tension between these areas of law is illustrated by allegations raised in the numerous Apple ATT investigations concerning the strategic use of privacy as a business justification to pursue anticompetitive advantages. Rather than strengthening antitrust enforcement against gatekeepers and their data strategies, the inclusion of privacy harms in antitrust proceedings may turn out to be a potential curse for competition authorities, as it allows firms opportunities for regulatory gaming that can serve to undermine antitrust enforcement.

I.       Introduction

A significant share of the past decade’s academic literature on the role of data in digital markets has focused on the intersection of what had been previously thought of as the separate domains of privacy and antitrust. Given that data serves as a significant input for many of the major online platforms’ services and products, digital firms are eager to collect and process as much of it as possible. Such firms also use data-sharing agreements to obtain further data (i.e., information collected and provided by external suppliers) in order to improve their products and services. This is particularly true for those platforms whose business models rely on monetizing consumer information by selling targeted advertising and personalized sponsored content. In a market where platforms’ data-acquisition strategies are driven by the objective of granting sellers preferential access to consumer attention, personal data can represent an especially valuable portion of platforms’ information assets.[1] Moreover, given the social dimension of personal data, one user’s choice to share personal information with an online platform may generate externalities on other non-disclosing users (or non-users) by revealing information about them. Recent advances in machine learning may magnify the extent of these externalities, and raise questions about the effectiveness of data-protection regulations more generally.[2]

These dynamics have moved policymakers to take a greater interest in the degree to which data-accumulation strategies undermine individual privacy and entrench platforms’ market power. Some contend that the peculiar features of digital markets and the potential adverse uses of data in the digital economy require a regulatory approach that integrates privacy into antitrust enforcement and ensures close cooperation between antitrust authorities and data-protection regulators.[3]

According to this account, as network effects strengthen online firms’ market power, it becomes progressively more difficult to structure incentives for firms to compete on offering privacy-friendly products and services.[4] Conversely, these advocates claim, more competition in digital markets would lead to more privacy.[5]

Particular scrutiny is directed toward advertising-funded platforms that offer free services to attract users and thereby feed users’ data to the other side of the platform (i.e., advertisers), whose willingness to pay is strictly dependent on being able to deliver effective marketing through granular targeting or personalization. For their part, however, end users may not be aware of the value of their own data or may be induced to disclose private information. This could happen because users are attracted by zero-price services’ offers or, given the lack of available and comparable alternatives, in order to remain connected to their social, family, or work networks, users may feel compelled to accept take-it-or-leave-it terms that include the unwanted collection and use of their data.[6]

Some suggest that privacy should be included in antitrust assessments because suboptimal privacy offerings may be the result of anti-competitive behavior leading to decreased quality of products and services.[7] In this sense, privacy would represent a particularly significant factor to be taken into account in the merger-review process, as market concentration among companies that hold big data could further expand the merging firms’ tools to profile consumers and potentially invade their privacy.[8]

Finally, some advocates propose commingling antitrust and privacy regulation as part of a broader agenda to realign competition policy away from pure efficiency-oriented antitrust enforcement and instead toward a holistic approach that combines competition law with other fields of law, in order to take account of a broader swath of social interests.[9] In essence, privacy and antitrust would each help to cover the other’s purported Achilles heel.[10] While end users’ privacy interests would become relevant in investigating data-accumulation strategies that antitrust might otherwise fail to tackle, antitrust authorities would be more effective in ensuring data protection.[11]

Against the integrationist perspective, however, some scholars warn of risks that would attend transforming privacy infringements into per se antitrust violations.[12] Indeed, competition law and privacy regulation pursue different aims and deploy different tools. While privacy is not irrelevant to competition law and may constitute an important component of nonprice competition, the goals of competition and privacy are often at odds. Pushing these regulatory regimes to converge threatens to confuse, rather than strengthen, the enforcement of either.[13]

Further, the widely recognized “privacy paradox” illustrates that assessments of privacy are extremely subjective. Different consumers in differing contexts often express starkly different sensitivities about the protection of their personal data, rendering it challenging to provide accurate quality-driven assessments or even to set broadly acceptable baseline rules and policies.[14] More generally, an expansive approach that would treat privacy violations as sources of competitive harm potentially implies the need for antitrust investigations whenever dominant firms potentially violate any law, as they would acquire an advantage by saving costs or raising rivals’ costs.[15] Antitrust authorities would therefore become economy-wide regulators.

While some recent cases brought by U.S. antitrust authorities have also placed privacy concerns in a prominent position,[16] there are two reasons that Europe appears to represent the primary testing ground for an integrated approach for privacy and antitrust. First, European policymakers long have prided themselves as leaders in regulating digital markets, notably for a broad array of heterogeneous legislative initiatives that have in common their strenuous efforts to foster data sharing and their sponsors’ belief that the emergence of large technology platforms requires a bespoke approach.[17] In this sense, the initiative that blazed the path for the emerging integrationist perspective was the EU’s General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR), which assigned control rights over data to individuals and, in light of the emerging regulatory convergence of privacy and antitrust, introduced a general data-portability right for individuals, the rationale of which was inherently pro-competitive.[18]

Second, on the antitrust side of the ledger, the decision handed down by the German competition authority in the Facebook case was the first (and remains the primary) example of the trend toward enforcers asserting that competition law should be informed by data-protection principles and that data protection should enforced outside its usual legal context, with the goal of remedying the shortcomings of privacy law.[19]

Despite the purported synergies underpinning the respective policy goals of competition and data-protection law, however, their interests and objectives are not necessarily aligned.[20] In particular, there are signs that some major digital firms may interpret data-protection requirements in ways that risk distorting competition.[21] Namely, once privacy harms are included among the interests ostensibly protected in antitrust proceedings, platforms may have incentive to adjust their strategies to invoke data protection as a business justification for allegedly anticompetitive conduct.[22]

For example, some platforms justify their decisions to deny rivals access to their facilities on grounds that doing so would risk violating their users’ privacy.[23] App-store providers in particular have described some restrictions that may be interpreted as anticompetitive self-preferencing (e.g., requiring in-app purchases to be routed through their own in-app payment processor, limiting sideloading, and limiting app developers’ ability to communicate with end users about the availability of alternative payment options) as necessary to guarantee users’ security and privacy.[24]

The most debated example illustrating the growing tension between data protection and antitrust is Apple’s adoption of its “app tracking transparency” (ATT) policy, which creates new consent and notification requirements that change the way app developers can collect and use consumer data for mobile advertising on iOS. There very well could be privacy benefits associated with the new Apple framework, as it may enhance users’ privacy and control over their personal data. But ATT also would now differentiate between a user’s consent for Apple’s advertising services and consent for third-party advertising services. The ATT policy might therefore represent a form of discrimination that benefits Apple’s own advertising services and reinforces its position in app distribution to the detriment of rivals. For these reasons, the ATT policy is under investigation by several antitrust authorities.[25]

Given this backdrop, this paper seeks to investigate the intersection of privacy and competition law and to analyze how data-protection rules and principles have been applied in antitrust proceedings by the European Commission and by EU national competition authorities (NCAs). The analysis of the case law will illustrate how data protection has been progressively transformed from a weapon used by antitrust authorities to limit data accumulation to a shield exploited by digital platforms to justify potentially anticompetitive strategies and to game antitrust rules.

As a result, the paper aims to demonstrate the fallacy of the narrative that describes the relationship between privacy and antitrust in terms of synergy and complementarity. Such a paradigm, indeed, does not provide useful insights to solve the growing conflicts between the interests protected and the goals pursued by these different fields of law.

As has already happened with regard to the traditional intersection of intellectual-property protection and competition law, invoking a convergence of aims does not in itself sketch out a pragmatic solution. Notably, competition authorities’ cooperation with data-protection regulators may help to ensure a coherent and uniform interpretation and application of the GDPR, it will not help antitrust authorities to strike the balance between privacy benefits and anticompetitive restrictions. In such a scenario, competition law enforcers risk being forced, like Buridan’s Ass, to make a choice that cannot be made.[26]

The remainder of the paper is structured as follows. Section II examines the European cases in which privacy concerns have been addressed in antitrust proceedings to tackle data-accumulation strategies by large online platforms. Section III deals with the strategic use of privacy as a business justification for potential anticompetitive conduct, which emerges as a byproduct of promoting the integration of privacy and antitrust. Taking stock of the German Facebook case recently addressed by the Court of Justice of the European Union (CJEU),[27] Section IV illustrates how the intrinsic conflict between data-protection and competition law cannot be solved merely by invoking a purported synergy or complementarity. Section V concludes.

II.     Privacy as an Antitrust Sword Against Data-Accumulation Strategies

While data-protection and competition law serve different goals, it is commonly argued that the emergence of business models involving the collection and commercial use of personal data creates inevitable linkages between market power and data protection.[28] Notably, given that the key goal of the GDPR was to enable individuals to have control of their own personal data,[29] applying competition rules to digital markets could, it is asserted, promote precisely that control.[30] As a consequence, “previously separate policy areas become interlinked, and different regulatory authorities are increasingly required to consider a given set of issues from the perspective of contrasting policy aims and objectives.”[31]

From this perspective, combining data-protection and competition law is justified on grounds that a common aim they share is to avoid exploitation of personal data and restrictions on consumers’ privacy.[32] Since end users may experience less privacy and autonomy as a result of excessive data collection and use:

Reductions in privacy could also be a matter of abuse control, if an incumbent collects data by clearly breaching data protection law and if there is a strong interplay between the data collection and the undertaking’s market position.[33]

Indeed, from the standpoint of competition law, the idea has been advanced that the acquisition and exploitation of user information is itself the result of, or evidence of, market failure.[34] In particular, users of dominant advertiser-based platforms are said to suffer both from significant information asymmetries as a result of opaque data policies, and from platform lock-in, with no choice other than to consent to the harvesting and use of their data because of the lack of viable alternatives.[35]

On the data-protection side of the ledger, it is bears noting that, according to the GDPR, consent means any “freely given, specific, informed and unambiguous” indication of a data subject’s wishes—whether by statement or some other clear affirmative action—that signifies agreement to the processing of his or her personal data.[36] Further, the GDPR specifies the conditions for consent, which include that: the request for consent be presented in a manner clearly distinguishable from other matters; that it be in an intelligible and easily accessible form; that it use clear and plain language; that the data subject has the right to withdraw consent at any time; and that, when assessing whether consent is freely given, utmost account shall be taken of whether, inter alia, the performance of a contract—including the provision of a service—is conditional on consent to processing personal data not actually needed for the performance of that contract.[37]

A. Privacy Harm as an Antitrust Abuse

As the French and German competition authorities have argued in a joint paper:

[L]ooking at excessive trading conditions, especially terms and conditions which are imposed on consumers in order to use a service or product, data privacy regulations might be a useful benchmark to assess an exploitative conduct, especially in a context where most consumers do not read the conditions and terms of services and privacy policies of the various providers of the services that they use.[38]

From this perspective, privacy concerns support the use of antitrust intervention to limit data-accumulation strategies by treating the restriction on privacy as a form of exploitative abuse.

Another way that privacy interests can be leveraged by antitrust authorities to address competitive concerns about data accumulation is through the merger-review process. Indeed, “firms that gain a powerful position through a merger may be able to gain further market power through the collection of more consumer data and privacy degradation.”[39] The use of merger review is expected to be more effective to achieve privacy-policy goals given that, while an antitrust abuse investigation may at best neutralize or alleviate exploitation of data gathered by a dominant player, merger proceedings would prevent data accumulation in the first place.

  1. The German Facebook case: Users’ privacy-exploitation claim

The Bundeskartellamt’s decision in Facebook undoubtedly represents the apex, to date, of enforcers’ application of the integrationist perspective.[40] According to the German competition authority, Facebook unlawfully exploited its dominant position in the German market for social networks by making the use of its social-networking service conditional on users granting extensive permission to collect and process their personal data. Notably, Facebook failed to make its users fully aware of the fact that it collected their personal data from sources other than the Facebook platform and then merged those data with personal information gathered through its own platform.[41] Further, Facebook put its users in the difficult position of either accepting this data policy or refraining from use of the social network in its entirety.

Indeed, even well-informed users would have not been able to voluntarily consent to such data collection and combination, as they would fear the alternative of no longer being able to access the social network.[42] Therefore, according to the German competition authority, when the data controller is in a dominant position, its users’ consent is insufficient under the GDPR, because the platform’s market power always puts users in the position of having to either take or leave any offers made.

Considering these findings, the Bundeskartellamt established a link between market power and privacy concerns. In its view, Facebook’s terms and conditions were neither justified under data-protection principles nor appropriate under competition-law standards. To comply with the GDPR, users should have been asked whether they voluntarily consent to the practice of combining data in their Facebook user accounts, which could not consist merely of ticking a box. Indeed, given Facebook’s superior market power, the user’s choice to either accept comprehensive data combination or to refrain from using the social network could not be regarded as voluntary consent.[43] The Bundeskartellamt therefore concluded that Facebook had infringed GDPR rules by depriving its users of the human right to control the processing of their personal data and of the constitutional right of informational self-determination.

This form of coercion is, however, also relevant to competition law, as it was the result of Facebook’s dominant position. Hence, Facebook’s conduct could be considered exploitative within the meaning of the general clause of Section 19(1) of the German Competition Act (GWB), according to which competition law applies in every case where one bargaining party is so powerful that it can dictate the terms of the contract, with the end result being the abolition of the contractual autonomy of the other bargaining party. From the Bundeskartellamt’s standpoint, if a dominant firm collects and analyzes users’ data pursuant to terms and conditions that do not comply with EU data-protection rules, it also violates antitrust law by acquiring an unfair competitive advantage over firms that do adhere to the GDPR.

In summary, while the primary concern in the Facebook case was an antitrust issue (i.e., the excessive quantity of data that Facebook accumulated in its unique dataset),[44] the Bundeskartellamt elaborated a theory of harm based primarily on protecting the constitutional right to informational self-determination. In other words, the competition authority invoked the right under which data-protection law affords individuals the power to decide freely and without coercion how their personal data is processed. Such reasoning is consistent with the case law of Section 19(1) GWB, which allows an antitrust authority to consider the protection of constitutional values and interests in assessing the practices of dominant firms. While the Bundeskartellamt contended that its proceedings against Facebook would also generally be possible under the EU’s antitrust provision on exploitative abuses (Article 102(a) TFEU),[45] Section 19 GWB offered a broader (and, hence, more legally convenient) general clause.[46]

This privacy-focused approach also manifested in the remedy that Meta presented, and which the Bundeskartellamt welcomed. To implement the German antitrust authority’s decision, Meta proposed several changes to the accounts center that would allow customers to decide whether they wanted to use all services separately, each with their own circumscribed functions, or to use additional functions across accounts, which would require sharing more personal data.[47] In the Bundeskartellamt’s view, this solution would allow Meta’s customers to make a largely free and informed decision.

The Bundeskartellamt’s approach in the Facebook case therefore appears quite distinctive and essentially German-specific, as well as particularly controversial with respect to the scope and boundaries of competition and data-protection enforcement.[48] Indeed, in ascertaining a privacy violation previously undetected by any data-protection authority, the Bundeskartellamt acted as a self-appointed enforcer of data-protection rules.

It also interpreted data-protection rules in ways that far exceed the limits of its legal competence, given that there is nothing in the GDPR that makes the quality of a user’s consent agreement contingent on the data controller’s market power. Indeed, the GDPR makes no distinction at all on the basis of a firm’s market power. Size does not matter when it comes to data-protection law; a dominant firm is just as bound by privacy rules as its smaller rivals. At the same time, from the perspective of competition law, following the Bundeskartellamt’s expansive stance, virtually every legal infringement by a dominant firm could amount to an antitrust violation.

Because of the thorny implications for the interface between antitrust and data-protection law, the Facebook decision unsurprisingly sparked a heated debate not only in the literature, but also between German courts.

The Higher Regional Court (Oberlandesgericht, or OLG) of Du?sseldorf suspended the landmark decision, expressing serious doubts about its legal basis and complaining that the Bundeskartellamt was “merely discussing a data protection issue, and not a competition problem.”[49] Pursuant to both European and German antitrust provisions, a charge of abuse of market power by a dominant undertaking requires a finding of anticompetitive conduct and, hence, damage to competition—namely, to the freedom of competition, that is “safeguarding competition and the openness of market access.”[50] Therefore, dominant undertakings carry a special responsibility only in the domain of competition, rather than for compliance with the entire legal system by avoiding any violation of the law.[51] Further, in the appellate court’s view, no influence was exerted on users, as Facebook’s terms of service simply require them to weigh the benefits of using an ad-financed (and, therefore, free) social network against the consequences of Facebook’s use of the additional data that it gathers.

However, the Federal Supreme Court (Bundesgerichtshof, or BGH) overturned the OLG’s judgment and held that Facebook must comply with the Bundeskartellamt’s decision.[52] The BGH’s reasoning did, however, differ from the Bundeskartellamt’s. According to the Federal Supreme Court,  it is inconclusive whether Facebook’s processing and use of personal data complied with the GDPR. The court’s decision turned instead on Facebook’s terms of service, which the BGH found are abusive if they deprive Facebook users of any choice in whether they wish to use the network in a more personalized manner (thus, linking their experience to Facebook’s potentially unlimited access to characteristics that include their off-Facebook use of the internet more generally) or whether they wanted a level of personalization that was based solely on data that they themselves share on Facebook.[53]

Notably, the BGH found that Facebook’s data processing constitutes an “imposed extension of services,” as users receive an indispensable service only in combination with another undesired service.[54] Accordingly, such a practice was evaluated as both an exploitative and an exclusionary abuse. The lack of options available to users affects their personal autonomy and the exercise of their right to informational self-determination, as protected by the GDPR. Given lock-in effects that serve as barriers for network users who would otherwise like to switch providers, the BGH found that this lack of options exploits users in a manner relevant under competition law since, under effective competition, one would expect more diverse market offerings for social networks.[55] Further, the terms of service could also impede competition for online advertising, allowing Facebook to protect its dominant position against rivals, as they would be able to improve their offerings due to privileged access to a considerably larger database.[56]

As a result of this clash among the German courts, the Higher Regional Court of Du?sseldorf decided to refer the case to the CJEU, adding a new twist to the Facebook saga.[57] In particular, the OLG of Du?sseldorf raised seven questions about the interpretation of the GDPR, fundamentally asking the CJEU to untie the knot and clarify the competence of a competition authority to determine and penalize a GDPR breach; the prohibition on processing sensitive personal data and the conditions applicable to consenting to their use; the lawfulness of processing personal data in light of certain justification; and the validity of a user’s consent to processing personal data given to an undertaking in a dominant position.[58]

It is also worth noting the different approaches taken by other authorities concerning the very same Facebook conduct. Notably, the Italian competition authority evaluated such practices as violations of the Consumer Code (instead of the competition law),[59] while in Belgium, the Court of First Instance of Brussels found a violation of privacy rules.[60]

  1. The Digital Markets Act: Rivals’ exclusion and primacy of data-protection interests over competition-policy goals

The Facebook case has already influenced the broader debate about the limits of competition law to address certain features of digital markets effectively. The EU’s Digital Markets Act (DMA)—which was explicitly grounded in the assumption that competition law alone is unfit to tackle certain challenges and systemic problems posed by the platform economy—specifically prohibits combining personal data across a gatekeeper’s services, a provision clearly inspired by the German investigation.[61]

Notably, pursuant to Article 5(2) DMA, a gatekeeper shall not: (a) process—for the purpose of providing online-advertising services—end users’ personal data using third-party services that themselves make use of the gatekeeper’s core platform services; (b) combine personal data from the relevant core platform service with personal data from any further core platform services, or from any other services provided by the gatekeeper, or with personal data from third-party services; (c) cross-use personal data from the relevant core platform service in other services provided separately by the gatekeeper, including other core platform services, and vice versa; and (d) sign end users into the gatekeeper’s other services in order to combine personal data, “unless the end user has been presented with the specific choice and has given consent” within the meaning of the GDPR.

Further, according to Recital 36—given that gatekeepers process personal data from a significantly larger number of third parties than other undertakings—data processing for the purpose of providing online-advertising services gives gatekeeper platforms potential “advantages in terms of accumulation of data,” thereby “raising barriers to entry.” To ensure that gatekeepers do not unfairly undermine the “contestability” of core platform services, gatekeepers should enable end users to “freely choose to opt-in” to such data processing and sign-in practices. This may be accomplished by offering a less-personalized but equivalent alternative, and without making the use of (or certain functions of) the core platform service conditional on the end user’s consent.[62]

Moreover, in light of Recital 37, when a gatekeeper does request consent, it should proactively present a “user-friendly solution” to the end user to provide, modify, or withdraw consent in an explicit, clear, and straightforward manner. In particular, consent should be given by a clear affirmative action or statement establishing a freely given, specific, informed and unambiguous indication of agreement by the end user, as defined in the GDPR.

Lastly, it should be as easy to withdraw consent as to give it. Gatekeepers should not design, organize, or operate their online interfaces in a way that deceives, manipulates, or otherwise materially distorts or impairs end users’ ability to freely give or withdraw consent.[63] In particular, gatekeepers should not be allowed to prompt end users more than once a year to give consent for a data-processing purpose for which the user either did not initially give consent or actively withdrew consent.

The idea that only opt-in mechanisms can produce effective consent within the meaning of the GDPR is confirmed by the obligation under Article 6(10) DMA, which imposes on gatekeepers the duty to provide business users, or third parties authorized by a business user, access to aggregated and non-aggregated data (including personal data) generated in the context of using the relevant core platform services.[64]

The provision under Article 5(2) DMA provides interesting insights into the relationship between data-protection and competition law. By emphasizing that the primary concern is online gatekeepers’ data-accumulation strategies, the DMA’s approach differs from the one the Bundeskartellamt pursued in Facebook. Rather than focusing on potential harms to users’ self-determination and digital identity, the DMA points to a pure antitrust harm related to market contestability. Therefore, even if “[t]he data protection and privacy interests of end users are relevant to any assessment of potential negative effects of the observed practice of gatekeepers to collect and accumulate large amounts of data from end users,”[65] the primary interest protected is a competitive one—namely to avoid foreclosure against rivals.

From this perspective, it may be argued that the DMA adopts an integrated approach that takes data-protection principles into account within a competitive assessment of gatekeepers’ conduct. The very last part of the provision, however, demonstrates the opposite. By subordinating the prohibitions to respect the GDPR, European authorities arguably acknowledge the potential tensions between data-protection interests and competition-policy goals. Moreover, in the event of such a conflict, the DMA affirms the primacy of the former. Indeed, all the forms of conduct listed in Article 5(2) are forbidden “unless” the end user has been presented with a specific choice and given consent within the meaning of the GDPR.

  1. New German platform-specific antitrust rules and the Google case

There is another interesting and ongoing German investigation regarding Google’s data-processing terms. Notably, in January 2023, the Bundeskartellamt issued a statement of objections against Google claiming that, under the company’s current terms, users are not given “sufficient choice” as to how their data are processed across services.[66]

The antitrust authority noted that Google’s business model relies heavily on processing user data and that its current terms allow the company to combine various data from various services and use them, for example, to create very detailed user profiles that the company can exploit for advertising and other purposes, or to train functions provided by Google services. Google may, for various purposes, collect and process data across services, which include both its own widely used services (Google Search, YouTube, Google Play, Google Maps, and Google Assistant), as well as numerous third-party websites and apps. Bundeskartellamt President Andreas Mundt stated that this grants Google a “strategic advantage” over other companies.[67]

According to the Bundeskartellamt’s preliminary assessment, the choices offered to users are too general and insufficiently transparent. The authority contends that sufficient choice would require that users be able to limit data processing to the specific service used. In addition, they also must be able to differentiate between the purposes for which the data are processed. Moreover, the choices must not be devised in a way that would make consenting to data processing across services easier than not consenting to it.

The framing of the Google investigation is similar to that of the Facebook case. The antitrust authority is fundamentally concerned with a data-accumulation strategy that it contends confers to Google a critical competitive advantage. And given that having access to more user data than rivals have cannot in itself be considered anticompetitive, privacy concerns are exploited to limit such a strategy.

There is, however, a significant difference worth highlighting. In the Google case, the Bundeskartellamt’s position benefits from a new provision of Section 19a GWB,[68] which empowers national competition authorities to tackle platform-specific practices that are similar and functionally equivalent to those prohibited under the DMA.[69] Notably, since January 2021, the Bundeskartellamt has had the power to designate undertakings of “paramount significance for competition across markets.” The factors relevant to this designation include a platform’s dominant position in one or more markets; financial strength or access to other resources; vertical integration and activities in otherwise related markets; access to data relevant for competition; and the importance of the activities for third parties’ access to supply and sales markets and related influence on third parties’ business activities. Google has been the first platform to be designated as of paramount significance for competition across markets.[70]

Once the designation is completed, the Bundeskartellamt can prohibit such undertakings from engaging in anticompetitive practices. In particular, the new provision introduces a list of seven types of abusive practices that are prohibited, unless the undertaking is able to demonstrate that the conduct at issue is objectively justified. While the targeted practices are similar to those captured by the DMA, the main differences are that the German list is considered exhaustive and the practices at issue are not prohibited per se. Instead, it introduces a reversal of the burden of proof, allowing firms to provide objective justifications for their conduct, which is not allowed under the DMA.

For the sake of this analysis, pursuant to paragraph 4 of Section 19a GWB, the Bundeskartellamt may prohibit an undertaking of paramount significance for competition across markets from creating or appreciably raising barriers to market entry (or otherwise impeding other undertakings) by processing data relevant for competition that have been collected by the undertaking, or demanding terms and conditions that permit such processing—in particular, making the use of its services conditional on a user agreeing to data processing by the undertaking’s other services or by a third-party provider without “sufficient choice” as to whether, how, and for what purpose such data are processed.

As mentioned, while the Google investigation resembles the background of the Facebook decision, the introduction of Section 19a(4) GWB has relevant implications. The new provision is clearly inspired by the strategy investigated in Facebook and, as already enshrined in the DMA, essentially aims to ease enforcement, avoiding the hurdles and burdens of standard antitrust analysis. Practically speaking, the Bundeskartellamt therefore does not need to struggle to find a proper theory of harm and can easily avoid the odyssey it experienced in Facebook. Moreover, the new provision’s wording changes the legal landscape, distinguishing the Google investigation from both the parallel DMA provision and the Facebook decision. Indeed, by relying on the lack of “sufficient choice” for users, Section 19a(4) GWB does not include any reference to the GDPR, thus allowing the Bundeskartellamt to provide an autonomous interpretation. With regard to the comparison with Facebook, on the other hand, Section 19a(4) GWB—just like the DMA—aims to promote contestability in the market (“creating or appreciably raising barriers to market entry”). Hence, data accumulation is prohibited to the extent that it excludes rivals, rather than whether it exploits users’ privacy.

That the German provision is effective has been confirmed by Google’s decision to end the proceeding by submitting commitments.[71] Under those commitments, Google will give its users the option to grant free, specific, informed, and unambiguous consent to have their data processed across services.[72] Google will also offer corresponding choice options for particular combinations of data and services, and will design selection dialogues to avoid dark patterns, thus not guiding users manipulatively towards cross-service data processing.

It is worth noting that Google’s commitments involve more than 25 services, with only those services that the European Commission has since designated as core platform services under the DMA (i.e., Google Shopping, Google Play, Google Maps, Google Search, YouTube, Google Android, Google Chrome and Google’s online-advertising services) excluded from the list. While this was intended to avoid practical conflicts with application of the DMA, it also represents an acknowledgment that the DMA and German antitrust law pursue the very same goals. Indeed, as stated in the decision, Google’s commitments “are intended to correspond in substance to an extension of Google’s obligations under Article 5(2) DMA” to further services and, therefore, “in case of doubt, the terms used in the Commitments are to be interpreted in accordance with their meaning in the DMA.”[73]

B. Privacy Harm in Merger Analysis: The European Commission’s Case Law

Given this broad consensus regarding synergies between data-protection and competition law in digital markets, it is somewhat surprising how reluctant the European Commission has been to implement this integrated approach in the context of merger analysis.[74] Indeed, while acknowledging privacy’s role as a parameter of competition between online platforms, the Commission has to date not blocked any merger on the grounds of protecting individuals’ control over personal data, and it has nearly always approved unconditionally those mergers that raised privacy concerns.

Notably, in the days before the GDPR, the Commission authorized the Google/DoubleClick merger, in the process affirming that antitrust and data-protection rules had wholly separate scopes.[75] While it could have determined that the combined data-collection activities of two players active in the online-advertising industry raised concentration concerns and a possible unfair advantage in producing targeted advertising, the Commission’s assessment, under pure antitrust criteria, was that it was unlikely that the new entity would obtain a competitive advantage unmatchable by its rivals.[76] Further, the Commission underlined that its decision exclusively concerned an appraisal of the operation under competition rules, without prejudice to other obligations imposed on the parties by data-protection and privacy laws.[77]

This stance of maintaining separate regulatory spheres of inquiry was even more clearcut in the 2014 Facebook/WhatsApp merger.[78] Assessing the potential edge the combined entity might derive from controlling huge amounts of data, the Commission found that, regardless whether the merged entity would start using WhatsApp user data to improve targeted advertising on Facebook, there continued to be large troves of valuable internet user data that were not within Facebook’s exclusive control.[79] More importantly, the Commission stated that:

Any privacy-related concerns flowing from the increased concentration of data within the control of Facebook as a result of the Transaction do not fall within the scope of the EU competition law rules but within the scope of the EU data protection rules.[80]

The outcome and reasoning were the same in Microsoft/LinkedIn.[81] Consistent with the findings in Facebook/WhatsApp, the results of the Commission’s market investigation revealed that privacy is an important parameter of competition and a driver of customer choice.[82] But not only did the transaction not raise serious antitrust concerns in online advertising, given that combining the firms’ respective datasets did not appear to result in raising rivals’ barriers to entry or expansion,[83] but also:

[S]uch data combination could only be implemented by the merged entity to the extent it is allowed by applicable data protection rules. … Microsoft and LinkedIn are subject to relevant national data protection rules with respect to the collection, processing, storage and usage of personal data, which, subject to certain exceptions, limit their ability to process the dataset they maintain.[84]

Moreover, the Commission noted that the GDPR “may further limit Microsoft’s ability to have access to, and process, its users’ personal data in the future since the new rules will strengthen the existing rights and empower individuals with more control over their personal data.”[85]

In a nutshell, the Commission again chose to defer to privacy rules for protecting individuals’ personal data and analyzed the transaction’s antitrust issues while “[a]ssuming such data combination [was] allowed under the applicable data protection legislation.”[86] The Commission did not discuss whether the relevant markets under consideration were sufficiently competitive to provide users with the optimal level of privacy-friendly options. It didn’t establish any link between the merging firms’ market power and the variety of privacy-friendly tools and services they provided. Nor did it find any connection between such market power and the optimal quantity of personal data that the firms under scrutiny should have collected.

In Apple/Shazam, despite some concern that the acquisition would grant Apple access to commercially sensitive information about competitors of its Apple Music service, the Commission regarded it as unclear whether the merged entity would be able to put competing providers of digital-music streaming apps at a competitive disadvantage. And they again stressed that personal-data processing remained subject to the GDPR.[87]

The recent Google/Fitbit merger offered the Commission another opportunity to interrogate overlaps among data protection and antitrust. Ultimately, the Commission’s analysis focused on the data collected via Fitbit’s wearable devices and the interoperability of wearable devices with Google’s Android operating system for smartphones.[88] While some market participants complained that, in combining those databases, Google could obtain a competitive advantage in the digital health-care sector that would leave competitors unable to compete, others (including the European Data Protection Board) raised privacy concerns on grounds that the merger would make it increasingly difficult for users to track the purposes for which their health data would be used.[89]

To address such issues, Google offered (and the Commission accepted) commitments to maintain a technical separation of Fitbit user data by storing them in a data silo separate from any Google data used for advertising; that it will not use the health and wellness data collected from users’ wrist-worn wearable devices and other Fitbit devices for Google Ads; and it will ensure that users have an effective choice to grant or deny the use of health and wellness data stored in their Google Account or Fitbit Account by other Google services.

With regard to privacy concerns, the Commission reminded those involved that the parties are held accountable to implement appropriate technical and organizational measures to ensure that data processing is performed in accordance with the GDPR.[90] More specifically, the Commission noted that the GDPR is designed to enhance transparency over data processing, accountability by data controllers and, ultimately, users’ control over their data.[91] The Commission found no evidence that privacy was an important parameter of competition in wearables and underlined that any privacy or data-protection decision or initiative the parties might adopt would have to comply with the data-protection rules set out by the GDPR.[92]

The Commission addressed similar privacy issues arising from the combination of datasets in Microsoft/Nuance[93] and Meta/Kustomer,[94] each time noting that GDPR served as the appropriate safeguard.

Moreover, the Commission appears to retain this “separatist” stance, as confirmed recently by its unconditional approval of a joint venture among Deutsche Telekom, Orange, Telefo?nica, and Vodafone, which will offer a platform to support brands and publishers’ digital-marketing and advertising activities in France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom.[95] Subject to a user’s consent (i.e., on an opt-in basis only), the joint venture will generate a unique digital code derived from the user’s mobile or fixed-network subscription that will allow brands and publishers to recognize users on their websites or applications on a pseudonymous basis, group them under various categories, and tailor their content to specific user groups.

Whatever privacy and security benefits or harms might arise from the operation, the Commission was ultimately guided in its decision by the lack of competition concerns. Moreover, the Commission declared that it has been in contact with data-protection authorities during its investigation and that data-protection rules are fully applicable, irrespective of the merger’s clearance.

III.   Privacy as a Shield Against Antitrust Allegations

Amid these limited and somewhat confused attempts to address privacy concerns in digital markets by integrating data-protection rules and competition-law enforcement, a novel and challenging phenomenon has emerged. Taking stock of some authorities’ willingness to grant primacy to data protection in the context of antitrust interventions, some platforms have implemented changes to their ecosystems with the declared aim of ensuring increased privacy to end users. For instance, Apple and Google have developed policies to restrict third parties from sharing user data through apps in the platforms’ respective operating systems and websites in their respective browsers.[96] These policies include Apple’s ATT, Intelligent Tracking Prevention, and iCloud Private Relay, and Google’s Android Privacy Sandbox and Chrome Privacy Sandbox. To a certain extent, the DMA may have even encouraged some of these design choices by apparently endorsing the view that only opt-in systems can ensure effective consent within the meaning of the GDPR.

The suspicion is that such facially noble intentions may actually conceal a goal of achieving anticompetitive advantages at the expense of rivals and business users. Therefore, it appears that a new form of regulatory gaming is on the horizon. Particularly in online-advertising markets, privacy may be weaponized as a business justification for potentially anticompetitive conduct and data-protection requirements may be leveraged to distort competition. The relevance and dangerousness of such hypotheses are confirmed by certain antitrust investigations launched recent years, which the following paragraphs will analyze.

A. Apple’s ATT Policy

As illustrated above, data represents a primary input for platforms whose business models rely on monetizing consumer information by selling targeted advertising and personalized sponsored content. In digital markets, advertisers benefit from access to detailed (and hence, highly valuable) user data, such as browsing behavior, profiles on company websites, demographic information, shopping habits, and past purchase history, especially given the potential to use that data across advertising platforms.[97] Therefore, the effectiveness of targeted advertising and the overall profitability of advertising-based business models rely on data tracking.

To enhance users’ privacy protection, however, regulatory interventions like the GDPR aim to reduce data collection and mitigate platforms’ tracking by requiring explicit consent for users’ individual-behavior data to be used for targeted advertising.[98] In addition, some platforms have adopted (or announced) privacy-centric policies that would limit third parties’ ability to track data, thus affecting the profitability and revenues of their advertising strategies.[99]

Apple’s ATT policy is a paramount example of such product changes. With the iOS 14.5 privacy update, Apple introduced an opt-in mechanism that imposes more restrictive rules on competing app developers than those the company applies to itself. The differential treatment mostly concerns features that prompt users to grant apps permission to track them. Without consumers opting into this prompt, developers cannot access their identifiers for advertisers (IDFA), which are used to monitor users’ activity across apps.

The wording of the prompts ATT offers for user consent may unduly influence users to withhold consent from third-party apps. For apps developed by Apple itself, the consent prompt focuses on the positive aspects of personalized services, rather than the tracking of users’ browsing activity. In contrast, the prompt for third-party app developers places greater emphasis on other companies’ app and website tracking activities (without explaining the term “track”) and does not provide information about the benefits that users could derive from personalized advertising. Moreover, even if the user gives consent to be tracked, third-party app developers remain unable to share the same data that would allow for the personalization of ads, and measure their effectiveness, on another app. Indeed, for third-party app developers, the ATT framework introduces a double opt-in, requiring the user to consent to being tracked for each access to different apps, even if these apps are linked.

This model illustrates an apparent tension between data-protection interests and antitrust goals. While the ATT policy has been framed as a privacy-protecting measure, it is not just the level of privacy chosen by Apple in its digital ecosystem that is at issue, but also the competitive implications that arise from the choice to adopt discriminatory privacy policies. Indeed, the differentiated treatment imposed on third-party app developers appears likely to reduce their advertising revenues, and hence their level of competitiveness vis-à-vis Apple, and could eventually enhance the dominance of the iOS ecosystem.

Notably, the ATT framework may hinder competitors’ ability to sell advertising space, in ways that redound to Apple’s own advantage—in particular, benefiting the company’s own direct sales and advertising-intermediation platforms. Further, limiting third parties’ ability to profile users may reduce business-model differentiation. The advertising-based monetization model used by free and freemium apps may be rendered less sustainable, causing these apps to exit the market or gradually shift to the fee-supported model. This would come at the expense of end consumers, for whom the possibility of choosing free or lower-priced apps could be reduced.[100]

For these reasons, the ATT framework is currently under scrutiny by antitrust authorities in France,[101] Germany,[102] Italy,[103] and Poland,[104] who suspect that Apple is masking an anticompetitive strategy under the guise of privacy protection. Similar doubts have been raised by the UK Competition and Markets Authority in its market study on mobile ecosystems.[105]

Given these kinds of market responses, it is difficult to see how an integrated approach to data-protection and competition law could be implemented in practice. Contrasting the Italian and French investigations may provide useful insights into this conundrum. The Italian competition authority correctly stated that the case does not implicate the level of privacy chosen by Apple, but rather its decision to adopt a differentiated policy at the expense of its rivals.[106] Conversely, in evaluating whether to issue an interim measure against Apple, France’s Autorité de la Concurrence solicited input from the domestic data-protection regulator (the Commission Nationale de L’Informatique et des Liberte?s, or CNIL), which de facto prevented the competition authority from ordering interim measures. Indeed, in the CNIL’s view, the changes proposed by Apple could be of genuine benefit to both users and app publishers.[107] In particular, the ATT prompt would give users more control over their personal data by allowing them to make choices in a simple and informed manner,[108] and would allow app publishers to collect informed consent as required by the applicable regulation.

It is worth noting, however, that while all the other competition authorities are investigating Apple’s policy as a potential form of discriminatory self-preferencing, the French authority has initially evaluated whether the introduction of the ATT prompt would result in imposing unfair trading conditions or a supplementary obligation, in breach of Article 102(a) and (d) TFEU. The complaint’s investigation on the merits of the case will allow the French authority to assess whether ATT does or does not result in a form of discrimination.

B. Google’s Privacy Sandbox

Concerns regarding the potential impact of privacy policies on digital-advertising competition and publishers’ ability to generate revenue have also been against Google’s proposals to remove third-party cookies and other functionalities from its Chrome browser. In particular, Google’s Privacy Sandbox project would disable third-party cookies on the Chrome browser and Chromium browser engine, with the stated goal of better protecting consumer privacy. The project would replace those cookies with a new set of tools for targeting advertising and other functionalities. Therefore, similar to Apple’s ATT policy, Google’s planned privacy changes raise concerns about anticompetitive discrimination against rivals.

Indeed, in 2021, the European Commission initiated antitrust proceedings to investigate the effects of Google’s privacy policies on online display advertising and online display advertising-intermediation markets. The inquiry focused on whether Google had violated EU competition rules by favoring—through a broad range of practices—its own online display advertising-technology services in the ad tech supply chain, to the detriment of competing providers of advertising-technology services, advertisers, and online publishers.[109] Notably, the Commission also examined restrictions on third parties’ ability to access data about user identity or user behavior, which remained available to Google’s own advertising-intermediation services, as well as Google’s announced plans to cease making advertising identifiers available to third parties on Android mobile devices whenever a user opts out of personalized advertising.

The Commission declared that it would “take into account the need to protect user privacy, in accordance with EU laws in this respect,” underscoring that “[c]ompetition law and data protection laws must work hand in hand to ensure that display advertising markets operate on a level playing field in which all market participants protect user privacy in the same manner.”[110]

A similar investigation was launched that same year by the UK Competition and Markets Authority (CMA).[111] The CMA subsequently accepted commitments from Google designed to ensure consistent use of data by both third parties and Google’s own digital-advertising businesses through the use of safeguards to support privacy without self-preferencing.[112] In considering how best to address legitimate privacy concerns without distorting competition, the CMA highlighted the relevance of the close partnership with the UK Information Commissioner’s Office (ICO), the public body tasked with the enforcement of the Data Protection Act 2018, which is the UK’s implementation of the GDPR.[113]

IV.   The Failure of the Integrated Approach

The call for integrating privacy into antitrust enforcement reflects the policy goal of curbing ever-increasing personal-data collection and processing by a few large online platforms, who monetize such data by selling targeted advertising. Toward this aim, competition and data-protection laws are described as synergistic, as the economic features of digital markets generate connections between market power and data power. Against this background, rather than relying on the GDPR, scholars and policymakers ask competition law to step in to address the perceived problem of data-protection authorities lacking capacity to address privacy concerns effectively, as well as the extreme difficulty of forbidding data accumulation under antitrust provisions. Therefore, rather than reflecting a natural connection, data-protection and competition laws are fundamentally obtorto collo complementary, as each are considered weak in isolation.

Four primary theories of harm have been advanced to bring antitrust and privacy issues together.[114]

According to the first theory, there is a close relationship between (the lack of) competition in digital markets and privacy violations. In a competitive market, this theory asserts, firms would compete to offer privacy-friendly products and services, but the economic features of digital markets strengthen gatekeepers’ power, regardless of their willingness to deliver privacy-enhancing solutions.[115]

The second theory centers on risks arising from potential “databases of intentions” and primarily invokes the role of merger control.[116] Under this view, mergers among companies that hold significant data assets require more stringent scrutiny, as such mergers would grant the new entity tools to better profile individuals and invade their privacy.

A further attempt to justify commingling antitrust and privacy relies on assessing the quality of products and services as privacy-friendly.[117] As consumer welfare is not solely dependent on prices and output, products and services viewed as not privacy-friendly or that intrude into users’ privacy may be considered low-quality and therefore harm consumer welfare.

Finally, it has been argued that privacy policies could be applied by antitrust enforcers when they are implemented by dominant players that rely on data as a primary input of their products and services—e.g., by forcing individuals to accept take-it-or-leave-it terms involving the unwanted collection and use of their data.[118]

This overview of EU antitrust proceedings, however, demonstrates that none of these four theories of harm has been successful and that the much-invoked integrated approach is more proclaimed than adopted in practice. Indeed, neither other NCAs nor the European Commission have ever shared the Bundeskartellamt’s stance of considering a GDPR violation as a benchmark for finding a dominant firm’s practice to be abusive. Further, in the context of merger analysis, the Commission has systematically stated that any privacy-related concerns resulting from data collection and processing are within the scope of the GDPR enforcement.

Even in Germany, the Bundeskartellamt’s approach has been sufficiently controversial to spark a clash among courts and a request for clarification from the CJEU. The recent update of the GWB seems to confirm the limits of such an approach, as the new Section 19a provides an antitrust authority with a convenient shortcut to target Facebook-like data-accumulation strategies on grounds of market contestability—namely, prohibiting rivals’ foreclosure rather than users’ privacy exploitation.

In addition, these EU antitrust proceedings demonstrate that twisting competition-law enforcement may be counterproductive. Indeed, the growing phenomenon of digital platforms adopting privacy policies as justification for potentially anticompetitive conduct does not fit the narrative of the complementarity of antitrust and privacy.[119] Emerging as a byproduct of the Facebook investigation, the Apple ATT case illustrates the intrinsic tension between these areas of law, highlighting the urgency of determining how to strike a balance between conflicting interests. From this perspective, the Facebook and Apple ATT cases are two faces of the same coin. Each results from the strategic use of privacy in antitrust proceedings by both competition authorities and digital platforms, respectively.

Moreover, the French episode of Apple ATT shows that proposing cooperation between authorities is just rhetoric unfit to resolve these tensions. It is regularly affirmed that any tension between competition and data protection law “can be reconciled through careful consideration of the issues on a case-by-case basis, with consistent and appropriate application of competition and data protection law, and through continued close cooperation” between the authorities.[120] Nonetheless, in the French Apple ATT case, the data-protection regulator’s intervention actually jeopardized the antitrust investigation, demonstrating how the different goals pursued under antitrust and privacy provisions may be irreconcilable in practice.

Finally, the EU’s solution to alleged failures by antitrust and privacy regulators in addressing data accumulation in digital markets has ultimately been crafted outside the traditional competition-law framework and according to a regulation that resolves any potential conflict between competition and data-protection policy goals once and for all. Even the DMA, however, does not fully square with any of the aforementioned theories of harm, as it introduces a pure privacy exception.[121] Indeed, tackling data collection and processing by digital gatekeepers, Article 5(2) DMA prohibits personal-data accumulation strategies unless they are compliant with the GDPR—namely, unless users have been presented with the specific choice and given consent according to data-protection rules. Therefore, rather than providing criteria to evaluate case by case how to strike a balance among the interests involved, the DMA establishes competition-policy deference to privacy, finding that, where personal-data collection and processing by large online platforms are involved, privacy is the greater good.

A. The CJEU’s Judgment in Meta

Given this background, the CJEU’s July 2023 judgment in Meta was much-awaited, representing the season finale of the German Facebook saga.[122]

The decision is in line with the opinion delivered by the Advocate General (AG) Athanasios Rantos.[123] As Rantos had argued, “conduct relating to data processing may breach competition rules even if it complies with the GDPR; conversely, unlawful conduct under the GDPR does not automatically mean that it breaches competition rules.”[124] Therefore, the lawfulness of conduct under antitrust provisions “is not apparent from its compliance or lack of compliance with the GDPR or other legal rules.”[125] Further, according to well-settled CJEU principles, the antitrust assessment requires demonstrating that a dominant undertaking used means other than those within the scope of competition on the merits and, toward this aim, the court must take account of the circumstances of the case, including the relevant legal and economic context.[126] “In that respect, the compliance or non-compliance of that conduct with the provisions of the GDPR, not taken in isolation but considering all the circumstances of the case, may be a vital clue as to whether that conduct entails resorting to methods prevailing under merit-based competition.”[127] Indeed, “access to personal data and the fact that it is possible to process such data have become a significant parameter of competition between undertakings in the digital economy. Therefore, excluding the rules on the protection of personal data from the legal framework to be taken into consideration by the competition authorities when examining an abuse of a dominant position would disregard the reality of this economic development and would be liable to undermine the effectiveness of competition law.”[128]

It follows that. “in the context of the examination of an abuse of a dominant position by an undertaking on a particular market, it may be necessary for the competition authority of the Member State concerned also to examine whether that undertaking’s conduct complies with rules other than those relating to competition law, such as the rules on the protection of personal data laid down by the GDPR.”[129]

Rantos more explicitly distinguished the hypothesis under which an antitrust authority, when prosecuting a breach of competition provisions, rules “primarily” on an infringement of the GDPR from cases in which such evaluations are merely “incidental”:

[T]he examination of an abuse of a dominant position on the market may justify the interpretation, by a competition authority, of rules other than those relating to competition law, such as those of the GDPR, while specifying that such an examination is carried out in an incidental manner and is without prejudice to the application of that regulation by the competent supervisory authorities.[130]

Given the differing objectives of competition and data-protection law, however, where an antitrust authority identifies an infringement of the GDPR in the context of finding of abuse of a dominant position, it does not replace the data-protection supervisory authorities.[131] Therefore, when examining whether an undertaking’s conduct is consistent with the GDPR, competition authorities are required to consult and cooperate sincerely with the competent data-protection authority in order to ensure consistent application of that regulation.[132] In addition, where the data-protection authority has ruled on the application of certain provisions of the GDPR with respect to the same practice or similar practices, the competition authority cannot deviate from that interpretation, although it remains free to draw its own conclusions from the perspective of applying competition law.[133]

While these principles are compelling, they do not appear conclusive in addressing the issue, for two main reasons.

First, as competition authorities have significant leeway in framing their investigations, it will be extremely difficult in practice to demonstrate that they are primarily—rather than incidentally—tackling a data-protection breach. In this regard, the German Facebook investigation represents an illustrative example. In the press release announcing the launch of the proceedings, the Bundeskartellamt stated that Facebook’s terms and conditions violated data-protection law and may “also” be regarded as abuses of a dominant position.[134] Later in the press release, however, in a section concerning the preliminary assessment, the authority changed that perspective, asserting that Facebook’s contractual terms were unfair, quite apart from any privacy infringement, and that, in assessing the competitive impact of such a strategy, it was “also” applying data-protection principles. Further, the Bundeskartellamt ascertained a privacy violation previously undetected by any data-protection authority. If the Facebook case fulfills both requirements of an incidental assessment of a privacy breach and sincere cooperation with the data-protection authority, it will be difficult to imagine any antitrust investigation not passing the bar.[135]

Second, the judgment only examines a scenario in which a GDPR infringement may occur, while not being useful to unraveling the very different situation in which the adoption of a privacy-enhancing solution is invoked as justification for anticompetitive conduct. In that case, cooperation between competition and data-protection authorities has thus far proven to be a harbinger of new issues and conflicts, rather than a panacea for all of the problems.

Finally, the CJEU also addressed another crucial topic of the integration between antitrust and privacy—that being the meaning of “consent” under the GDPR, and especially the requirement of freedom of consent. Supporters of an integrated approach find the legal basis of the privacy/antitrust marriage in the GDPR to be pivotally centered on the role assigned to freely given consent.[136] Notably, they imagine that the GDPR provides the legal basis for a link between data power and market power by stating that, among other things, there is no freely given consent to personal-data processing where there is a “clear imbalance” between the data subject and the controller.[137] In this respect, if the controller holds a dominant position on the market, it is argued that such market power could lead to a clear imbalance in the sense described in the GDPR.

According to the CJEU, however, while it may create such an imbalance, the existence of a dominant position alone cannot, in principle, render the consent invalid.[138] Notably, the fact that the operator of an online social network holds a dominant position on the social-network market does not, as such, prevent users of that social network from validly giving their consent, within the meaning of the GDPR, to the processing of their personal data by that operator. Consequently, the validity of consent should be examined on a case-by-case basis.

Moreover, as observed by Rantos, this does not imply that for market power to be relevant for GDPR enforcement, it needs to be regarded as a dominant position within the meaning of competition law.[139] Therefore, the relationship between data-protection and competition law is not one of mutual respect. While a competition authority is required to cooperate with a data-protection regulator in the case of a privacy breach, and is bound by the interpretation the latter gives of the GDPR, the converse does not apply with regard to the notion of “clear imbalance” under the GDPR. Data-protection authorities are granted significant leeway to establish market power under the GDPR.[140]

V.     Conclusion

The features of digital markets and the emergence of a few large online gatekeepers whose business models revolve around collecting and processing large amounts of data may suggest a link between market power and data power. Accordingly, scholars and policymakers have supported regulatory measures intended to promote data sharing and to empower individuals with more control over their personal data. From a different perspective, this also has led to the idea that competition and data-protection are intertwined and therefore require an integrated approach where, despite holding different objectives, antitrust enforcement should also protect privacy interests.

The integrationist movement claims that unity makes strength. According to this view, while competition and data-protection laws are, in isolation, considered unfit to safeguard their respective interests, the inclusion of privacy harms into antitrust assessments would allow competition authorities to better tackle data-accumulation strategies, and that the enforcement of antitrust rules would be more effective in ensuring data protection.

The purported complementarity, or even synergy, between competition and data-protection law appears, however, difficult to detect in practice. The only case in which a GDPR breach has been considered a proper legal basis for an antitrust intervention is the rather controversial Bundeskartellamt Facebook decision. Further, recent legislative initiatives that have introduced provisions clearly inspired by Facebook and essentially motivated by the aim of bypassing the traditional antitrust analysis (e.g., Article 5(2)DMA and Section 19a GWB) confirm the failure of the integrationist narrative and awareness that it would be impossible to endorse the Bundeskartellamt’s stance. Moreover, whether or not one would argue that the DMA represents a concrete and advanced attempt at integrating data-protection concerns in competition policy, it is worth pointing out that Article 5(2)DMA actually establishes antitrust deference toward privacy.

As if this were not enough, the idea of commingling antitrust and privacy has generated a significant side effect. As a reaction to Facebook and the DMA, some platforms have, indeed, adopted policy changes to restrict user-data tracking on their ecosystems in ways that undermine the effectiveness of rivals’ targeted advertising. The strategic use of privacy as a business justification to pursue anticompetitive advantages testifies once again to the tension between these fields of law. Further, as shown by the French Apple ATT investigation, the call for close cooperation between the authorities is often just a useless and rhetorical expedient.

The proposal to integrate competition and data-protection law in digital markets has been submitted as a much-needed boost to strengthen antitrust enforcement against gatekeepers and their data strategies. Moving away from pure efficiency-oriented assessments to embrace broader social interests, advocates claim, would help ensure more aggressive and effective antitrust enforcement. Including privacy harms in antitrust proceedings turns out, instead, to be a potential curse for competition authorities, providing the major digital players with an opportunity for regulatory gaming to undermine antitrust enforcement.

This should serve as a cautionary tale about the risks of twisting rules to achieve policy outcomes and the importance of respecting the principles and scope of different areas of law.

 

[1] See Jacques Cre?mer, Yves-Alexander de Montjoye, & Heike Schweitzer, Competition Policy for the Digital Era, (2019) Report for the European Commission, 4, available at https://ec.europa.eu/competition/publications/reports/kd0419345enn.pdf (referring to the possibility that a dominant platform could have incentives to sell “monopoly positions” to sellers by showing buyers alternatives that do not meet their needs).

[2] See Alessandro Bonatti, The Platform Dimension of Digital Privacy, forthcoming in The Economics of Privacy, (Avi Goldfard & Catherine Tucker, eds.), University of Chicago Press; Daron Acemoglu, Ali Makhdoumi, Azarakhsh Malekian, & Asu Ozdaglar, Too Much Data: Prices and Inefficiencies in Data Markets, 14 Am Econ J Microecon 218 (2022); Shota Ichihashi, The Economics of Data Externalities, 196 J. Econ. Theory 105316 (2021); Omri Ben-Shahar, Data Pollution, 11 J. Leg. Anal. 104 (2019); Jay Pil Choi, Doh-Shin Jeon, & Byung-Cheol Kim, Privacy and Personal Data Collection with Information Externalities, 173 J. Public Econ. 113 (2019); see also Jeanine Miklós-Thal, Avi Goldfarb, Avery M. Haviv, & Catherine Tucker, Digital Hermits, NBER Working Paper No. 30920 (2023), (arguing that, as advances in machine learning allow firms to infer more accurately sensitive data from data that appears otherwise innocuous, users’ data-sharing decisions polarize between a group of users choosing to share no data and another group choosing to share all their data (sensitive or not sensitive)).

[3] See, e.g., Competition and Data Protection in Digital Markets: A Joint Statement Between the CMA and the ICO, UK Competition and Markets Authority and Information Commissioner’s Office, (2021) 5, https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/cma-ico-joint-statement-on-competition-and-data-protection-law [hereinafter “CMA-ICO Joint Statement”]; Privacy and Competitiveness in the Age of Big Data: The Interplay Between Data Protection, Competition Law and Consumer Protection in the Digital Economy, European Data Protection Supervisor (2014) https://edps.europa.eu/data-protection/our-work/publications/opinions/privacy-and-competitiveness-age-big-data_en.

[4] See, e.g., Investigation of Competition in Digital Markets’, Majority Staff Reports and Recommendations, U.S. House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Antitrust, Commercial, and Administrative Law (2020), 28, available at https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/CPRT-117HPRT47832/pdf/CPRT-117HPRT47832.pdf [hereinafter, “Antitrust Subcommittee Report”]; Frank Pasquale, Privacy, Antitrust, and Power, 20 George Mason Law Rev. 1009 (2013); Pamela J. Harbour & Tara I. Koslov, Section 2 in a Web 2.0 World: An Expanded Vision of Relevant Product Markets, 76 Antitrust Law J. 769 (2010).

[5] See, e.g., Antitrust Subcommittee Report, supra note 4, 39, citing Howard A. Shelanski, Information, Innovation, and Competition Policy for the Internet, 161 U. Pa. L. Rev. 1663 (2013), to argue that “[t]he persistent collection and misuse of consumer data is an indicator of market power in the digital economy”; European Data Protection Supervisor, supra note 3, 35, stating that, where there are a limited number of operators or when one operator is dominant, “the concept of consent becomes more and more illusory;” see also, Online Platforms and Digital Advertising, UK Competition and Markets Authority (2020) para. 6.26, available at https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5fa557668fa8f5788db46efc/Final_report_Digital_ALT_TEXT.pdf, stating that “[i]n a more competitive market, we would expect that it would be clear to consumers what data is collected about them and how it is used and, crucially, the consumer would have more control. We would then expect platforms to compete with one another to persuade consumers of the benefits of sharing their data or adopt different business models for more privacy-conscious consumers.” However, see also James C. Cooper & John M. Yun, Antitrust & Privacy: It’s Complicated, J. Law Technol. Policy 343 (2022), finding no systematic relationship between privacy ratings and market concentration.

[6] See, e.g., Report on Social Media Services, Australian Competition & Consumer Commission (2023), 128, https://www.accc.gov.au/media-release/accc-report-on-social-media-reinforces-the-need-for-more-protections-for-consumers-and-small-business; Rebecca Kelly Slaughter, The FTC’s Approach to Consumer Privacy, Federal Trade Commission (2019) 3, available at https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/documents/public_statements/1513009/slaughter_remarks_at_ftc_approach_to_consumer_privacy_hearing_4-10-19.pdf.

[7] Antitrust Subcommittee Report, supra note 4, 28; Maurice E. Stucke & Ariel Ezrachi, When Competition Fails to Optimise Quality: A Look at Search Engines, 18 Yale J. Law Technol. 70 (2016).

[8] Pamela J. Harbour, Dissenting Statement in the Matter of Google/DoubleClick, Federal Trade Commission (2007), 4, available at https://www.ftc.gov/sites/default/files/documents/public_statements/statement-matter-google/doubleclick/071220harbour_0.pdf.

[9] For a critical perspective, see Giuseppe Colangelo, In Fairness We (Should Not) Trust: The Duplicity of the EU Competition Policy Mantra in Digital Markets, Antitrust Bulletin (forthcoming).

[10] See Cristina Caffarra & Johnny Ryan, Why Privacy Experts Need a Place at the Antitrust Table, ProMarket (2021) https://www.promarket.org/2021/07/28/privacy-experts-antitrust-data-harms-digital-platforms, arguing that “[t]here is a market power crisis and a privacy crisis, and they compound each other.”

[11] See, e.g., Wolfgang Kerber & Karsten K. Zolna, The German Facebook Case: The Law and Economics of the Relationship Between Competition and Data Protection Law, 54 Eur. J. Law Econ. 217 (2022), arguing that digital markets exhibit two types of market failure (i.e., competition problems on the one hand, and information and behavioral problems on the other) and suggesting that the effectiveness of enforcement should also be an important criterion for determining which policy should deal with a case if both laws can be applied. Accordingly, if data-protection law is uncapable of dealing effectively with privacy issues and competition law appears better able to overcome this challenge, then the competition authority should step in as the lead enforcer. On the enforcement failure of old and new data-protection regimes, see Filippo Lancieri, Narrowing Data Protection’s Enforcement Gap, 74 Maine Law Rev. 15 (2022).

[12] For an overview of various theories that have emerged in the literature, see Erika M. Douglas, The New Antitrust/Data Privacy Law Interface, Yale L.J. F. 647 (2021); Giuseppe Colangelo & Mariateresa Maggiolino, Data Protection in Attention Markets: Protecting Privacy Through Competition? 8 J. Eur. Compet. Law Pract. 363 (2017). See also, Consumer Data Rights and Competition Background: Note by the Secretariat, OECD (2020), available at https://one.oecd.org/document/DAF/COMP(2020)1/en/pdf, and Geoffrey A. Manne & Ben Sperry, The Problems and Perils of Bootstrapping Privacy and Data into an Antitrust Framework, CPI Antitrust Chronicle 2 (2015), exploring the difficulties associated with incorporating consumer-data considerations into competition policy and enforcement.

[13] See Noah Joshua Phillips, Remarks at the Mentor Group Paris Forum, Federal Trade Commission (2019), 13-15, https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/speeches/remarks-commissioner-noah-joshua-phillips-mentor-group-paris-forum; and Maureen K. Ohlhausen & Ben Rossen, Privacy and Competition: Discord or Harmony? 67 Antitrust Bulletin 552 (2022).

[14] See, e.g., Susan Athey, Christian Catalini, & Catherine E. Tucker, The Digital Privacy Paradox: Small Money, Small Costs, Small Talk, NBER Working Paper No. 23488 (2017); Alessandro Acquisti, Curtis Taylor, & Liad Wagman, The Economics of Privacy, 54 J Econ Lit 442 (2016). See also, Avi Goldfarb & Catherine Tucker, Shifts in Privacy Concerns, 102 Am Econ Rev: Papers and Proceedings 349 (2012), noting that individuals’ privacy preferences evolve over time; notably, as people grow older. they get more privacy-conscious. See also Jeffrey T. Prince & Scott Wallsten, How Much Is Privacy Worth Around the World and Across Platforms?, 31 J Econ Manag Strategy. 841 (2022), estimating individuals’ valuation of online privacy across countries (United States, Mexico, Brazil, Colombia, Argentina, and Germany) and data types (personal information on finances, biometrics, location, networks, communications, and web browsing), and finding that Germans value privacy more than people in the United States and Latin American countries do and that, across countries, people most value privacy for financial and biometric information.

[15] Giuseppe Colangelo & Mariateresa Maggiolino, Antitrust Über Alles. Whither Competition Law After Facebook?, 42 World Competition Law and Economics Review 355 (2019).

[16] See, e.g., Federal Trade Commission v. Facebook, Case No. 1:20-cv-03590 (D.D.C. 2021), para. 163, arguing that “[t]he benefits to users of additional competition include some or all of the following: … variety of data protection privacy options for users, including, but not limited to, options regarding data gathering and data usage practices”; and U.S. et al. v. Google, No. 1:20-cv-03010 (D.D.C. 2020), para. 167, arguing that “[b]y restricting competition in general search services, Google’s conduct has harmed consumers by reducing the quality of general search services (including dimensions such as privacy, data protection, and use of consumer data), lessening choice in general search services, and impeding innovation.” See also, Executive Order on Promoting Competition in the American Economy, The White House (2021), https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2021/07/09/executive-order-on-promoting-competition-in-the-american-economy, urging federal agencies to pay closer attention to “unfair data collection and surveillance practices that may damage competition, consumer autonomy, and consumer privacy.”

[17] See Margrethe Vestager, Tearing Down Big Tech’s Walls, Project Syndicate (2023) https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/eu-big-tech-legislation-digital-services-markets-by-margrethe-vestager-2023-03, stating that “[w]e are proud that Europe has become the cradle of tech regulation globally.”

[18] Regulation (EU) 2016/679 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 27 April 2016 on the protection of natural persons with regard to the processing of personal data and on the free movement of such data, and repealing Directive 95/46/EC, [2016] OJ L 119/1, Article 20. See Bert-Jaap Koops, The Trouble with European Data Protection Law, 4 Int. Data Priv. Law 4, 44 (2014), arguing that “[b]y its nature, data portability would be more at home in the regulation of unfair business practices or electronic commerce, or perhaps competition law—all domains that regulate abuse of power by commercial providers to lock-in consumers.”

[19] Bundeskartellamt, 7 February 2019, Case B6-22/16.

[20] CMA-ICO Joint Statement, supra note 3, 18-19.

[21] Ibid., 23.

[22] Douglas, supra note 12.

[23] See, e.g., hiQ Labs v. LinkedIn, 938 F.3d 985 (9th Cir. 2019), affirmed 31 F.4th 1180 (9th Cir. 2022), allowing hiQ continued access to LinkedIn users’ profile information in the name of competition. Notably, the court pointed out that hiQ’s entire business depends on being able to access public LinkedIn member profiles and that, at the same time, there is little evidence that LinkedIn users who choose to make their profiles public actually maintain an expectation of privacy with respect to the information that they post publicly. Therefore, “even if some users retain some privacy interests in their information notwithstanding their decision to make their profiles public, we cannot, on the record before us, conclude that those interests—or more specifically, LinkedIn’s interest in preventing hiQ from scraping those profiles—are significant enough to outweigh hiQ’s interest in continuing its business, which depends on accessing, analyzing, and communicating information derived from public LinkedIn profiles.”

[24] See, e.g., Epic Games v. Apple, 559 F. Supp. 3d 898, 922–23 (N.D. Cal. 2021), affirmed in part and reversed in part 2023 U.S. App. LEXIS 9775 (9th Cir. 2023), finding that Apple’s restrictions are designed to improve device security and user privacy; and District Court (Rechtbank) of Rotterdam, 24 December 2021, Case No. ROT 21/4781 and ROT 21/4782, dismissing the arguments that Apple’s in-app payment system is needed for security and privacy.

[25] See, e.g., Autorità Garante della Concorrenza e del Mercato, 11 May 2023, Case A561; Press Release, Bundeskartellamt Reviews Apple’s Tracking Rules for Third-Party Apps, Bundeskartellamt (2022), https://www.bundeskartellamt.de/SharedDocs/Meldung/EN/Pressemitteilungen/2022/14_06_2022_Apple.html; Autorité de la Concurrence, 17 March 2021, Decision 21-D-07, Apple, https://www.autoritedelaconcurrence.fr/en/decision/regarding-request-interim-measures-submitted-associations-interactive-advertising-bureau; Apple – The President of UOKiK Initiates an Investigation, Urz?d Ochrony Konkurencji i Konsumentów (2021), https://uokik.gov.pl/news.php?news_id=18092. See also, Mobile Ecosystems: Market Study Final Report, UK Competition and Markets Authority (2022) Chapter 6 and Appendix J, https://www.gov.uk/cma-cases/mobile-ecosystems-market-study.

[26] Phillips, supra note 13, 15.

[27] CJEU (Grand Chamber), 4 July 2023, Case C-252/21, Meta Platforms v. Bundeskartellamt, EU:C:2023:537.

[28] See, e.g., European Data Protection Supervisor, supra note 3, 26, stating that “clearly power is achieved through control over massive volumes of data on service users.”

[29] See GDPR, supra note 18, Recital 7.

[30] European Data Protection Supervisor, supra note 3, 26.

[31] CMA-ICO Joint Statement, supra note 3, 5.

[32] Nicholas Economides & Ioannis Lianos, Restrictions on Privacy and Exploitation in the Digital Economy: A Market Failure Perspective, 17 J. Competition Law Econ. 765 (2021).

[33] Competition Law and Data, Autorité de la Concurrence and Bundeskartellamt (2016), 25, available at https://www.bundeskartellamt.de/SharedDocs/Publikation/DE/Berichte/Big%20Data%20Papier.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=2.

[34] Economides & Lianos, supra note 32.

[35] Ibid., 770-771.

[36] GDPR, supra note 18, Article 4(11).

[37] Ibid., Article 7.

[38] Autorité de la Concurrence and Bundeskartellamt, supra note 33, 25. See also Australian Competition & Consumer Commission, supra note 6, 41, arguing that exploitative conduct involves the use of market power to “give less and charge more” and that, for consumers, this may involve lower-quality services or the excessive costs of providing personal data to access services.

[39] Autorité de la Concurrence and Bundeskartellamt, supra note 33, 24.

[40] Facebook, supra note 19. For a comment on the different episodes of the Facebook saga, see, e.g., Kerber and Zolna, supra note 11; Anne C. Witt, Excessive Data Collection as a Form of Anticompetitive Conduct: The German Facebook Case, 66 Antitrust Bulletin 276 (2021); Marco Botta and Klaus Wiedemann, The interaction of EU competition, consumer, and data protection law in the digital economy: the regulatory dilemma in the Facebook odyssey, 64 Antitrust Bulletin 428 (2019); Colangelo and Maggiolino, supra note 15.

[41] Facebook, supra note 19, paras. 778-780 and 792, stating that users could not have expected that the platform would analyse data emanating from other websites and, when they had the opportunity to read Facebook’s terms of service, users could barely understand the reasons why Facebook was processing and combining their data since Facebook’s terms of service were very complex, replete with links to other explanations, and significantly too opaque to allow ordinary users to understand its data policy.

[42] Ibid., section B(II), stating that voluntary consent to users’ information being processed cannot be assumed if their consent is a prerequisite for using the Facebook service in the first place.

[43] Ibid., para. 645, highlighting that GDPR’s Recitals 42 and 43 state that consent is not freely given where consumers have no alternative options, or where there are clear power imbalances. See also Inge Graef & Sean Van Berlo, Towards Smarter Regulation in the Areas of Competition, Data Protection and Consumer Law: Why Greater Power Should Come with Greater Responsibility, 12 Eur. J. Risk Regul. 674 (2021), arguing that, in formulating this two-way interaction between data-protection law and competition law, the Bundeskartellamt has not only incorporated data-protection principles into its competition analysis, but similarly transferred elements of competition law into data protection; and Orla Lynskey, Grappling With ‘Data Power’: Normative Nudges From Data Protection and Privacy, 20 Theor. Inq. Law 189 (2019), supporting the view that the GDPR provides a normative foundation for imposing a special responsibility on controllers holding data power, analogous to the special responsibility that competition law imposes on dominant firms.

[44] See Press Release, Bundeskartellamt Prohibits Facebook From Combining User Data From Different Sources, Bundeskartellamt (2019), https://www.bundeskartellamt.de/SharedDocs/Publikation/EN/Pressemitteilungen/2019/07_02_2019_Facebook.html;jsessionid=8A581062B36687451A3D1E7A5C256390.2_cid378?nn=3600108, arguing that “[t]he combination of data sources substantially contributed to the fact that Facebook was able to build a unique database for each individual user and thus to gain market power.”

[45] Facebook FAQs, Bundeskartellamt (2019), 6, https://www.bundeskartellamt.de/SharedDocs/Publikation/EN/Pressemitteilungen/2019/07_02_2019_Facebook_FAQs.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=6.

[46] See Colangelo & Maggiolino, supra note 15.

[47] Press Release, Meta (Facebook) Introduces New Accounts Center – An Important Step in the Implementation of the Bundeskartellamt’s Decision, Bundeskartellamt (2023), https://www.bundeskartellamt.de/SharedDocs/Meldung/EN/Pressemitteilungen/2023/07_06_Meta_Daten.html.

[48] Colangelo & Maggiolino, supra note 15.

[49] OLG Du?sseldorf, 26 August 2019, Case VI-Kart 1/19 (V), 10.

[50] Ibid., 11.

[51] Ibid., 12.

[52] Bundesgerichtshof, 23 June 2020, Case KVR 69/19.

[53] Ibid., para. 58.

[54] Ibid..

[55] Ibid., para. 86.

[56] Ibid., para. 94.

[57] OLG Du?sseldorf, 24 March 2021, Case Kart 2/19 (V).

[58] Meta, supra note 27.

[59] Autorità Garante della Concorrenza e del Mercato, 10 December 2018, Case PS11112, Facebook-Condivisione dati con terzi.

[60] Nederlandstalige Rechtbank van Eerste Aanleg te Brussel, 16 February 2018.

[61] Regulation (EU) 2022/1925 on contestable and fair markets in the digital sector and amending Directives (EU) 2019/1937 and (EU) 2020/1828 (Digital Markets Act) [2022] OJ L 265/1, Article 5(2).

[62] Ibid., Recital 36.

[63] Ibid., Recital 37.

[64] For critical analysis of this issue and more generally on the controversial relationship between the DMA and the GDPR, see Alba Ribera Marti?nez, The Circularity of Consent in the DMA: A Close Look into the Prejudiced Substance of Articles 5(2) and 6(10), Concorrenza e Mercato (forthcoming). See also Marco Botta & Danielle Da Costa Leite Borges, User’s Consent Under Art. 5(2) Digital Markets Act (DMA): Exploring the Complex Relationship Between the DMA and the GDPR, EUI RSC Working Paper (forthcoming), arguing that, while respecting the general criteria indicated by Art. 7 GDPR, the users’ consent under Art. 5(2) DMA should be adjusted to the DMA peculiarity and that the DMA should be considered as a lex specialis, taking precedence over the GDPR in case of conflict. Previously, the revised e-Privacy Directive introduced an opt-in system for website cookies: see Directive 2009/136/EC amending Directive 2002/22/EC on universal service and users’ rights relating to electronic communications networks and services, Directive 2002/58/EC concerning the processing of personal data and the protection of privacy in the electronic communications sector and Regulation (EC) No 2006/2004 on cooperation between national authorities responsible for the enforcement of consumer protection laws, (2009) OJ L 337/11, Article 5(3).

[65] DMA, supra note 61, Recital 72.

[66] Press Release, Statement of Objections Issued Against Google’s Data Processing Terms, Bundeskartellamt (2023), https://www.bundeskartellamt.de/SharedDocs/Meldung/EN/Pressemitteilungen/2023/11_01_2023_Google_Data_Processing_Terms.html.

[67] Ibid.

[68] Entwurf Eines Gesetzes zur A?nderung des Gesetzes Gegen Wettbewerbsbeschra?nkungen fu?r ein Fokussiertes, Proaktives und Digitales Wettbewerbsrecht 4.0 und Anderer Wettbewerbsrechtlicher Bestimmungen, Bundestag (2020), available at https://dserver.bundestag.de/btd/19/234/1923492.pdf.

[69] See Giuseppe Colangelo, The European Digital Markets Act and Antitrust Enforcement: A Liaison Dangereuse, 47 Eur. Law Rev. 597 (2022).

[70] Bundeskartellamt, 30 December 2021, Case B7-61/21, https://www.bundeskartellamt.de/SharedDocs/Entscheidung/EN/Entscheidungen/Missbrauchsaufsicht/2022/B7-61-22.html.

[71] Bundeskartellamt, 5 October 2023, Case B7-70/21.

[72] The Bundeskartellamt identified four main deficiencies to support its prohibition of Google’s data-processing terms (ibid., paras. 50-54). Namely, because of a lack of sufficient granularity in the settings options, users could not opt out of cross-service data processing or limit data processing to the Google service in which the data were generated. End users could only choose between accepting personalization across all services or opting out of personalization altogether. Further, users were not given sufficient choice within the meaning of Section 19a GWB, as in some cases, Google offers users no choice at all as to data-processing options. Furthermore, the settings options that Google offered lacked sufficient transparency—i.e., sufficiently concise and comprehensible indications providing users with sufficient information as to whether, how, and for what purpose Google processes data across services. Finally, when creating a Google account, a user’s options consent or reject consent were not equivalent.

[73] Ibid., para. 78.

[74] See, e.g., Inge Graef, Damian Clifford, & Peggy Valcke, Fairness and Enforcement: Bridging Competition, Data Protection, and Consumer Law, 8 Int. Data Priv. Law 200, 219-220 (2018).

[75] European Commission, 11 March 2008, Case COMP/M.4731. Previously, in a different setting (i.e., discussing an exchange-of-information case), the CJEU (23 November 2006, Case C-238/05, Asnef-Equifax, EU:C:2006:734, para. 63) affirmed that “any possible issues relating to the sensitivity of personal data are not, as such, a matter for competition law, they may be resolved on the basis of the relevant provisions governing data protection.”

[76] Google/DoubleClick, supra note 75, para. 364. See also para. 365, where the Commission noted that “that the combination of data about searches with data about users’ web surfing behaviour [wa]s already available to a number of Google’s competitors.”

[77] Ibid., para. 368.

[78] European Commission, 3 October 2014, Case COMP/M.7217.

[79] Ibid., para. 189.

[80] Ibid., para. 164.

[81] European Commission, 6 December 2016, Case COMP/M.8124.

[82] Ibid., fn 330.

[83] Ibid., para. 180.

[84] Ibid., para. 177.

[85] Ibid., para. 178.

[86] Ibid., para. 179.

[87] European Commission, 6 September 2018, Case COMP/M.8788, paras. 221 and 314.

[88] European Commission, 17 December 2020, Case COMP/M.9660.

[89] See, Statement on Privacy Implications of Mergers, European Data Protection Board (2020), available at https://edpb.europa.eu/sites/default/files/files/file1/edpb_statement_2020_privacyimplicationsofmergers_en.pdf, arguing that “(t)here are concerns that the possible further combination and accumulation of sensitive personal data regarding people in Europe by a major tech company could entail a high level of risk to the fundamental rights to privacy and to the protection of personal data.”

[90] Google/Fitbit, supra note 84, para. 410.

[91] Ibid., fn. 299.

[92] Ibid., fn. 300.

[93] European Commission, 21 December 2021, Case COMP/M.10290.

[94] European Commission, 27 January 2022, Case COMP/M.10262.

[95] Press Release, Commission Clears Creation of a Joint Venture by Deutsche Telekom, Orange, Telefo?nica and Vodafone, European Commission (2023), https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/IP_23_721. Previously, in a similar vein, see European Commission, 4 September 2012, Case COMP/M.6314, Telefo?nica UK/Vodafone UK/ Everything Everywhere/ JV.

[96] UK Competition and Markets Authority, supra note 25, Appendix J.

[97] See, e.g., Nils Wernerfelt, Anna Tuchman, Bradley Shapiro, & Robert Moakler, Estimating the Value of Offsite Data to Advertisers on Meta, SSRN (2022) https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4176208, finding that the costs to acquire new consumers through targeted advertisements increases tremendously without access to offsite data. On the value of external data and on the relevance (especially for small and medium-sized players) of gaining access to external data from large players in the marketplace, see also Xiaoxia Lei, Yixing Chen, & Ananya Sen, The Value of External Data for Digital Platforms: Evidence from a Field Experiment on Search Suggestions, SSRN (2023) https://ssrn.com/abstract=4452804.

[98] For a review of the economic literature on the GDPR and its unintended consequences on firms’ performance, innovation, competition, and market concentration, as well as its impact on personalized marketing channels, see Garrett A. Johnson, Economic Research on Privacy Regulation: Lessons from the GDPR and Beyond, (forthcoming) in The Economics of Privacy, supra note 2.

[99] See Reinhold Kesler, Digital Platforms Implement Privacy-Centric Policies: What Does It Mean for Competition?, CPI Antitrust Chronicle 1 (2022), and Daniel Sokol & Feng Zhu, Harming Competition and Consumers Under the Guise of Protecting Privacy: Review of Empirical Evidence, CPI Antitrust Chronicle 12 (2022), for a review of economic studies showing that advertising revenues decrease with limited tracking abilities and providing empirical evidence of reduced user tracking on Apple as a consequence of the ATT policy. See also Wernerfelt, Tuchman, Shapiro, & Moakler, supra note 97, finding that restrictions on offsite data particularly harms smaller advertisers.

[100] See Sokol & Zhu, supra note 99. See also Kesler, Digital Platforms Implement Privacy-Centric Policies: What Does It Mean For Competition?, supra note 99, suggesting that the ATT brings back paid apps and reinforces the industry trend toward more in-app payments. With regard to the possibility that the ATT framework may affect the developers’ incentives in the Apple ecosystem, see also Cristobal Cheyre, Benjamin T. Leyden, Sagar Baviskar, & Alessandro Acquisti, The Impact of Apple’s App Tracking Transparency Framework on the App Ecosystem, CESifo Working Paper No. 10456 (2023), https://www.cesifo.org/en/publications/2023/working-paper/impact-apples-app-tracking-transparency-framework-app-ecosystem, finding that developers did not withdraw from the market after ATT and instead adapted to operate under the new conditions. Further, see Ding Li & Hsin-Tien Tsai, Mobile Apps and Targeted Advertising: Competitive Effects of Data Exchange, SSRN (2022), https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4088166, finding that apps’ inability to use tracking for advertising affects large apps to a greater degree, as they experience larger declines than smaller apps in download numbers and innovation.

[101] Autorité de la Concurrence, supra note 25.

[102] Bundeskartellamt, supra note 25.

[103] Autorità Garante della Concorrenza e del Mercato, supra note 25.

[104] Urz?d Ochrony Konkurencji i Konsumentów, supra note 25.

[105] UK Competition and Markets Authority, supra note 25.

[106] Autorità Garante della Concorrenza e del Mercato, supra note 25, para. 47.

[107] Autorité de la Concurrence, supra note 25. In a similar vein, see Anzo DeGiulio, Hanoom Lee, & Eleanor Birrell, “Ask App not to Track”: The Effect of Opt-In Tracking Authorization on Mobile Privacy, in Emerging Technologies for Authorization and Authentication (Andrea Saracino and Paolo Mori, eds.), Springer Cham (2022), 152, finding that opt-in authorizations are effective at enhancing data privacy. Conversely, see Chongwoo Choe, Noriaki Matsushima, & Shiva Shekhar, The Bright Side of the GDPR: Welfare-Improving Privacy Management, CESifo Working Paper No. 10617 (2023) https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4558426, distinguishing among platforms’ business models and arguing that, if the firm’s revenue is largely usage-based rather than data-based, then both the firm’s profit and consumer surplus increase after the GDPR’s opt-in requirement, while if the firm’s revenue is largely from data monetization, then the opt-in can reduce the firm’s profit and consumer surplus.

[108] See also Catherine Armitage, Nick Botton, Louis Dejeu-Castang, & Laureline Lemoine, Study on the Impact of Recent Developments in Digital Advertising on Privacy, Publishers and Advertisers, AWO Belgium (2023) Report for the European Commission, 227, https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/8b950a43-a141-11ed-b508-01aa75ed71a1/language-en, arguing that consent prompts under the ATT policy are user-friendly, easily accessible, comprehensible and actionable; and UK Competition and Markets Authority, supra note 25, para. 6.163, acknowledging the privacy benefits associated with the introduction of ATT, as it enhances users’ control over their personal data and significantly improves developers’ compliance with data-protection law.

[109] Press Release, Commission Opens Investigation into Possible Anticompetitive Conduct by Google in the Online Advertising Technology Sector, European Commission (2021), https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_21_3143.

[110] Ibid.

[111] Press Release, Investigation into Google’s ‘Privacy Sandbox’ Browser Changes, UK Competition and Markets Authority (2021), https://www.gov.uk/cma-cases/investigation-into-googles-privacy-sandbox-browser-changes.

[112] Ibid.

[113] See also UK Competition and Markets Authority, supra note 25, para. 10.19, stating that “[w]orking closely with the ICO, the CMA now has a role in overseeing the development of Google’s proposals for replacements to third-party cookies, so that they protect privacy without unduly restricting competition and harming consumers.”

[114] Colangelo & Maggiolino, supra note 12.

[115] See, e.g., UK Competition and Markets Authority, supra note 5; Antitrust Subcommittee Report, supra note 4; Pasquale, supra note 4; Harbour & Koslov, supra note 4.

[116] Harbour, supra note 8.

[117] Antitrust Subcommittee Report, supra note 4; Stucke & Ezrachi, supra note 7.

[118] See Autorité de la Concurrence and Bundeskartellamt, supra note 33. See also Australian Competition & Consumer Commission, supra note 6; Slaughter, supra note 6.

[119] Douglas, supra note 12, 667.

[120] See, e.g., CMA-ICO Joint Statement, supra note 3, 26.

[121] At best, it may be argued that the DMA, supra note 61, Recitals 36 and 72, supports the theory of harm that, because of network effects and other structural features of digital markets, the strengthening of gatekeepers’ power lowers their incentives to compete through offering high levels of privacy. These Recitals consider that ensuring data protection facilitates contestability of core platform services by avoiding the risks that gatekeepers raise barriers to entry and allow other undertakings to differentiate themselves better through the use of superior privacy guarantees.

[122] Meta, supra note 27.

[123] Opinion of the Advocate General Athanasios Rantos, 20 September 2022, Case C-252/21, EU:C:2022:704.

[124] Ibid., fn 18.

[125] Ibid., para. 23.

[126] See CJEU, 17 February 2011, Case C-52/09, Konkurrensverket v. TeliaSonera Sverige AB, EU:C:2011:83; 27 March 2012, Case C-209/10, Post Danmark A/S v. Konkurrencerådet, EU:C:2012:172; 6 October 2015, Case C-23/14, Post Danmark A/S v. Konkurrencerådet (Post Danmark II) EU:C:2015:651; 6 September 2017, Case C-413/14 P, Intel v. Commission, EU:C:2017:632; 30 January 2020, Case C-307/18, Generics (UK) and Others v. Competition and Markets Authority, EU:C:2020:52; 25 March 2021, Case C-152/19 P, Deutsche Telekom v. Commission (Deutsche Telekom II), EU:C:2021:238; 12 May 2022, Case C-377/20, Servizio Elettrico Nazionale SpA v. Autorità Garante della Concorrenza e del Mercato, EU:C:2022:379.

[127] Meta, supra note 27, para. 47, quoting Rantos, supra note 123, para. 23.

[128] Meta, supra note 27, para. 51.

[129] Ibid., para. 48.

[130] Rantos, supra note 123, para. 24.

[131] Meta, supra note 27, para. 49.

[132] Ibid., paras. 52 and 54.

[133] Ibid., para. 56. See also Rantos, supra note 120, paras. 29-30.

[134] See Giuseppe Colangelo & Mariateresa Maggiolino, Data Accumulation and the Privacy-Antitrust Interface: Insights from the Facebook Case, 8 Int. Data Priv. Law 224 (2018).

[135] See also Peter Georg Picht, CJEU on Facebook: GDPR Processing Justifications and Application Competence, SSRN (2023) 3, https://ssrn.com/abstract=4521320, arguing that it is doubtful whether informal communications, as apparently held by the Bundeskartellamt with one of the competent GDPR authorities, sufficiently protect party rights.

[136] See, e.g., Klaus Wiedemann, Data Protection and Competition Law Enforcement
in the Digital Economy: Why a Coherent and Consistent Approach is Necessary
, 52 IIC 915 (2021), arguing that the regulation of consent to the processing of personal data under the GDPR serves as a dogmatic link between data-protection and competition law, as the freedom to choose granted by the GDPR to users whose personal data are monetized shares significant overlaps with the economic freedom acknowledged in competition-law jurisprudence.

[137] GDPR, supra note 18, para. 74.

[138] Meta, supra note 27, paras. 147 and 149. See also Rantos, supra note 123, para. 75.

[139] Rantos, supra note 123, para. 75.

[140] For an analysis of the critical implications, see Alessia Sophia D’Amico, Market Power and the GDPR: Can Consent Given to Dominant Companies Ever Be Freely Given?, SSRN (2023), https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4492347. See also Peter Georg Picht & Ce?dric Akeret, Back to Stage One? – AG Rantos’ Opinion in the Meta (Facebook) Case, SSRN (2023), 4, https://ssrn.com/abstract=4414591, considering the question of whether GDPR market power can be not only less than competition-law dominance but also of a different nature—e.g., based on a set of parameters that would not suffice, as such, to establish market power in the competition-law sense.

Scholarship (Affiliate)

Ententes Algorithmiques Dans le Secteur Immobilier : Un Exemple de Collusion en Étoile

Abstract

La littérature sur la collusion algorithmique s’est concentrée sur des scenarii de collusion tacite initiés par des algorithmes, lesquels posent des problèmes particulièrement difficiles en matière de caractérisation et de sanction concurrentielles. Pour autant tout un continuum de risques collusifs basés sur des algorithmes apparaissent non seulement dans la littérature mais également dans la pratique décisionnelle montrant qu’il est possible d’utiliser les algorithmes comme des outils d’organisation de l’entente, comme des facilitateurs, au travers de la production de signaux, de la création d’une transparence artificielle, ou encore comme des intermédiaires en matière de mutualisation des informations. Ces caractéristiques conduisent à des collusions en étoile (hub and spoke). Si de telles allégations ont pu être formulées dans le domaine des plateformes d’intermédiation numérique, nous nous proposons de l’illustrer ici au travers de l’utilisation d’un algorithme de gestion des revenus (revenue management) commun utilisant des données transmises par chacun de ses utilisateurs. Nous nous appuyons ici sur une procédure en cours aux Etats-Unis portant sur un logiciel de tarification des baux locatifs. Cet exemple nous permet à la fois de saisir les enjeux liés au traitement juridique de telles ententes dans le cadre états-unien et d’illustrer les risques liés à l’utilisation d’algorithmes prédictifs dans le domaine immobilier.
Scholarship (Affiliate)

With Two Reforms, Congress Can Usher in a New Era of American Innovation

Last week, the Senate Judiciary Committee considered two bills that would restore predictability and fairness to the U.S. patent system. By passing both bills, Congress can usher in a new era of entrepreneurship that creates jobs across the country.

Patents encourage ingenuity and risk-taking by giving innovators a window of opportunity to profit from their creations before competitors can enter the market with knockoff products.

Read the full piece here.

Popular Media (Affiliate)

Advice for New FTC Leadership

Focus on Consumer Welfare

In the 40 years preceding the Federal Trade Commission (“FTC”) under the Biden Administration (“Biden FTC”), consumer welfare was the goal of antitrust enforcement. Though having to prove that consumers are harmed by the challenged conduct makes cases harder to win, pursuing this goal guides the FTC, motivates its staff, and deters practices that harm consumers. Instead of onerous merger filing requirements borne by all potential merging firms, the FTC should renew its focus on only those mergers likely to harm consumers.

Read the full piece here.

Popular Media (Affiliate)

Restoring the American Innovation Engine: Congress Should Consider Enacting the RESTORE Patent Rights Act

Summary

The RESTORE Patent Rights Act would redress serious legal and economic ills created by the Supreme Court in its 2006 eBay v. MercExchange decision and its mistaken interpretation of the patent laws that traditionally have secured property rights in inventions. The bill would achieve this goal through a simple and straightforward amendment that is clear and concise for any judge or lawyer in applying historical remedy doctrines like injunctions. It contains explicit factual and legal congressional findings to serve as a fail-safe to ensure that, if judges or lawyers commit an error, they will be disabused of this mistake. In sum, the RESTORE Patent Rights Act would return the U.S. innovation engine to its efficient operation in law and commerce.
Scholarship (Affiliate)

Affiliates in the News

Christopher Yoo on the Center for Media, Technology, and Democracy

ICLE Academic Affiliate Christopher Yoo was cited by Penn Today in a story about the University of Pennsylvania’s new Center for Media, Technology, and Democracy. You can read the full piece here.

“One of the Center’s primary goals is to promote empirical research into digital media’s impact on democracy,” said Christopher S. Yoo, Imasogie Professor in Law and Technology at Penn Carey Law, with secondary appointments in SEAS and Annenberg. “Without sound, evidence-based insights into what is really going on, arguments risk devolving into polarized positions, which in turn can lead to a breakdown of trust in media and institutions and our shared commitment to democratic processes. The health of our society depends on finding ways to prevent that from happening.”

Professors Yoo and Duncan Watts, the grant’s two principal investigators, are trusted partners in industry and academia.

Yoo is the founding director of the Center for Technology, Innovation, and Competition at Penn Carey Law. His work focuses on normative issues in legal policy. Watts, founding director of Penn’s Computational Social Science Lab, is an empirical scholar whose research is marked by innovation. He is also the Stevens University Professor and a Penn Integrates Knowledge Professor with appointments in Penn Engineering, Annenberg, and Wharton, where he is also the inaugural Rowan Fellow. Together, Yoo and Watts offer synergies between policymakers and leaders in media and technology.

…“The timing is obvious, and the need is obvious. We are committed to bringing together many disparate data sources that are hard to get and organizing and analyzing them so that those resources are available for everyone to use,” said Yoo.

George Mocsary on Guns on Campus

ICLE Academic Affiliate George Mocsary was quoted by Oil City News in a story about the University of Wyoming considering whether to allow guns on campus. You can read the full piece here.

UW Law Professor George Mocsary was also invited to speak to the board about guns on campus.

Mocsary presented a raft of materials and research mainly focusing on other colleges that have allowed some level of firearm carry. He cited instances in which individuals who conceal carry have been able to stop active assailants.

Mocsary also noted that while police may come into a situation unsure of who the “bad guy” may be, people in the room would and could more readily stop them.

Mocsary’s research and data “suggest that victim firearms use against an active assailant is likely to be effective and safe,” he said.

Some limits Mocsary suggested included requiring holsters for weapons, noting how some accidents involved unholstered weapons. He also noted the types of training available for active assailant situations.

 

Kristen Osenga on Litigation Financing

ICLE Academic Affiliate Kristen Osenga was quoted by IPWatchdog in a story about her group’s letter opposing efforts to mandate disclosure of third-party litigation financing. You can read the full piece here.

However, at the time of the LCJ letter, Kristen Osenga, chief policy counselor at the IDA, said the companies’ concern is disingenuous:

“These massive companies would like the courts to believe that they are only interested in ‘transparency’ and ‘fairness,’” Osenga said in a statement. “But their effort is about solidifying their unfair advantage in the justice system – and driving up the already steep cost of litigation.”

…The IDA was formed in September of this year with the aim of “helping startups, small businesses, and entrepreneurs defend their intellectual property rights and access capital.” It is led by Osenga, professor at the University of Richmond School of Law, and a board comprised of the Hon. Paul R. Michel, former Chief Judge of United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit (CAFC); Russell Slifer, former United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) Deputy Director; Alan Heinrich, attorney and adjunct faculty member at the UCLA School of Law; and Earl “Eb” Bright, president and general counsel of ExploraMed Development.

Osenga told IPWatchdog at the time the IDA was launched that the impetus for focusing on inventors’ right to capital “is about empowering inventors in a landscape that frequently sidelines their rights” and that the organization’s goal is to tell the “other side of the story.”

Jonathan Williams on Airline-Pricing Strategies

ICLE Academic Affiliate Jonathan Williams was quoted by The Local Voice in a story about his National Science Foundation-funded project to research airline-pricing strategies. You can read the full piece here.

Scott, assistant professor of economics; Jonathan Williams, professor of economics at University of North CarolinaAndrii Babii, associate professor of economics at UNC; and UNC doctoral candidate Alex Marsh began their research with the airline in 2019. They studied two main pricing strategies: personalized pricing via targeted discounts and auctions for upgraded services and amenities.

…“One branch of what we’re doing is looking at how should they sell these upgrades,” Williams said.

“By that, it means, should I run auctions? Should I offer purchases at check-ins? If you’re not careful in terms of how you implement the practice, it can actually render some of your other strategies less effective.”

Josh Hendrickson on Trump’s Proposed Canadian Tariffs

ICLE Academic Affiliate Josh Hendrickson was quoted by the Clarion-Ledger in a story about President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on Canadian imports. You can read the full piece here.

University of Mississippi Department of Economics Chair Joshua Hendrickson said he expects there to be a resolution before any tariffs can actually take place.

“With regards to Canada, the U.S. is such a large consumer that Canadian exporters are likely to find that they are unable to pass along much, if any, of the tax to U.S. consumers,” Hendrickson said. “Thus, it’s possible that we could see slightly higher prices of goods from Canada. However, the tariffs would be much more harmful to Canada than the U.S. and thus I would expect Canada to try to avoid them by making some sort of agreement with the incoming administration about border enforcement.”

Liya Palagashvilli on Labor and Port Automation

ICLE Academic Afiliate Liya Palagashvilli was quoted by Reason in a story about organized role in opposing automation at U.S. ports. You can read the full piece here.

Obviously, labor leaders aren’t necessarily “pro-worker,” says Mercatus Center economist Liya Palagashvili.

“They’re saying, ‘We don’t care if these other jobs are destroyed as long as we get what we want.'”

Daggett is unusually clueless. He doesn’t understand that a ban on automation will also hurt his members.

As Palagashvili puts it, “They’ll save some jobs today, but they’ll destroy a lot more jobs in the future.”

That’s because today’s shippers have options. Daggett’s union only controls East and Gulf coast ports. Shippers can deliver their products to ports that accept automation.

“We’re going to see less activity in ‘Stone Age’ ports,” says Palagashvili.

Maria Maciá on the Future of the FTC

ICLE Academic Affiliate Maria Maciá took part as a panelist in a Notre Dame Law School symposium on the future of the Federal Trade Commission (FTC). Video of the full event is embedded below.

Presentations & Interviews

ICLE News & Updates

Todd Henderson Joins ICLE's Board of Directors

ICLE has welcomed Todd Henderson, Michael J. Marks Professor of Law at the University of Chicago Law School, to the Board of Directors.

ICLE Welcomes New Fellows Advisors

ICLE is pleased to announce its Fellows Program Advisors for the 2024-2026 term.

The Fellows Program Advisors ensure the continued growth and success of ICLE’s law & economics program by engaging with outside academics and designing and implementing workshops and additional programming.

Presenting our 2024-2026 Fellows Advisors:

Eric Alston, Scholar-In-Residence at Leeds School of Business, University of Colorado, Boulder

Tammi Etheridge, Associate Professor of Law, Washington and Lee University School of Law

Jeremy Kidd, Professor of Law, Drake University Law School

Maria Maciá, Associate Professor of Law, The Law School at the University of Notre Dame

Clara Piano, Visiting Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Mississippi

Christopher (CJ) Ryan, Professor of Law, Indiana University, Bloomington

ICLE Affiliate Collaborations

ICLE was happy to collaborate with our affiliates on various projects over the last few months.

ICLE Brief to the 2nd Circuit in FuboTV v Disney

INTEREST OF AMICI CURIAE[1]

The International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE) is a nonprofit, non-partisan global research and policy center aimed at building the intellectual foundations for sensible, economically grounded policy. ICLE promotes the use of law and economics methodologies to inform public policy debates and has longstanding expertise in the interpretation and proper implementation of the U.S. antitrust laws.

Amici also include 12 scholars of antitrust law and economics at leading universities and research institutions across the United States. Their names, titles, and academic affiliations are listed in the Addendum. All possess expertise in, and collectively have conducted copious research on, antitrust law and economics.

Amici have an interest in the proper development of antitrust jurisprudence and believe the district court’s decision, if left to stand, would undermine the fundamental goal of the antitrust laws: the protection of market competition.

ARGUMENT

Federal courts have tremendous remedial powers under the U.S. antitrust laws. See Herbert Hovenkamp, Antitrust and Platform Monopoly, 130 Yale L.J. 1952, 2005 (2021) (“Antitrust’s provisions for public equitable relief are extremely broad, with no explicit restriction on the nature of the relief.”). They may prevent mergers or acquisitions ex ante or unwind them ex post, and they may prohibit all manner of concerted or unilateral action in commerce. Not surprisingly, firms often attempt to coopt these powers for their own advantage, petitioning courts for remedies that will aid them in competing against existing or potential rivals.

For that reason, the U.S. Supreme Court has repeatedly cautioned that “[t]he antitrust laws . . . were enacted for the ‘protection of competition, not competitors.’ ” Brunswick Corp. v. Pueblo Bowl-O-Mat, Inc., 429 U.S. 477, 488 (1977) (quoting Brown Shoe Co. v. United States, 370 U.S. 294, 320 (1962)).[2] Across decades of decisions, the Court has consistently recognized that this is the very “purpose of the antitrust laws.” Leegin Creative Leather Prods., Inc. v. PSKS, Inc., 551 U.S. 877, 906 (2007).

This bedrock principle is a veritable mantra in antitrust jurisprudence. And yet it is flatly inconsistent with the decision below. Plaintiff FuboTV is a seller in a market the district court defined as the “live pay TV market.”[3] Defendants Disney, Fox, and Warner Brothers Discovery have proposed to enter that market and compete with Fubo through a joint venture called Venu Sports. Venu will combine the three defendants’ sports programming into a live-streaming offering for consumers who desire live sports programming. That programming is also available on Fubo. But because Venu will include only sports content, it will retail for a lower price than Fubo. In the words of the district court, “[t]he target consumer will—for the first time—be able to subscribe to a vast array of the sports content he or she wants, without paying for entertainment content he or she does not.” O&O at 19. By enjoining the JV’s entry into the market, the district court protected Fubo from having to compete with this new and attractive offering and therefore inverted the fundamental antitrust principle articulated time and again by the Supreme Court: It allowed Fubo to use antitrust law to protect itself—a competitor—from competition. In particular, the district court (1) ignored the antitrust injury requirement and allowed Fubo to coopt the antitrust laws to insulate itself from competition, (2) flouted Supreme Court limits on price squeeze claims, (3) misapplied an inapposite and likely abrogated case involving a joint venture injunction, (4) cynically condemned a standard ancillary and necessary joint venture restraint, and (5) presumed economically irrational behavior would fill the competitive gap created by the injunction barring Venu’s entry. This Court should reverse.

I. FUBO WILL NOT SUFFER ANTITRUST INJURY FROM THE PROPOSED JOINT VENTURE

The Supreme Court imposes a threshold requirement on all private antitrust plaintiffs to ensure they cannot coopt the antitrust laws to protect themselves from competition: they must establish that they have suffered “antitrust injury,” which is “injury of the type the antitrust laws were intended to prevent and that flows from that which makes defendants’ acts unlawful.” Brunswick, 429 U.S. at 489. Because the antitrust laws were intended to prevent competition-reducing behavior in the market, each antitrust plaintiff must demonstrate that its complained-of harm is a result of diminished—not enhanced—competition. This requirement applies even if the plaintiff is, like Fubo, seeking only injunctive relief. Cargill, 479 U.S. at 113 (“[W]e conclude that in order to seek injunctive relief under § 16, a private plaintiff must allege threatened loss or damage ‘of the type the antitrust laws were designed to prevent and that flows from that which makes defendants’ acts unlawful.’ ”) (citing Brunswick, 429 U.S. at 489).

The proposed joint venture—the only conduct the district court condemned—creates no antitrust injury for Fubo. Fubo complains that the JV will prove so popular among Fubo’s customer base that the JV will win significant business from Fubo, preclude its hoped-for—but never realized—profitability and threaten its continued viability. But those effects would be harms to an individual competitor, not competition, and they stem from increased, not diminished, competition. Indeed, Fubo’s asserted injury resembles that alleged in Brunswick. The plaintiff there brought a claim under Section 7 of the Clayton Act—the statute under which the district court condemned the JV here—alleging that the challenged merger reduced its profits by causing it to face greater competition. Brunswick, 429 U.S. at 488. Such injury, the Court held, is not antitrust injury and cannot sustain a Section 7 claim. Id.

Astoundingly, the district court’s order never even mentions the term antitrust injury. The closest reference to the concept—a prerequisite to any private antitrust enforcement action—appears in a footnote:

The JV Defendants also argue that any harm to Fubo from the JV is the result of legitimate competition at work. See Opp. at 54–55. However, since the Court herein finds that Fubo is likely to succeed on its Section 7 claims, it is also likely that any such competition posed by the JV is contrary to the antitrust laws.

O&O at 56 n.38.

To the extent this brief and passing remark is intended to address the antitrust injury requirement, it fundamentally conflicts with the Supreme Court’s holding in Brunswick. The district court appears to have reasoned that a Section 7 plaintiff may maintain its action if it shows that a violation of Section 7 injured it (or is likely to do so). But Brunswick expressly rejected that reasoning. The Supreme Court there took as given that the challenged merger both violated Section 7 and harmed the plaintiff. Brunswick, 429 U.S. at 484 (“[Defendant] does not presently contest the Court of Appeals’ conclusion that a properly instructed jury could have found the acquisitions unlawful. Nor does [defendant] challenge the Court of Appeals’ determination that the evidence would support a finding that had [defendant] not acquired these centers . . . [plaintiffs’] income would have increased.”). Nevertheless, the Court concluded that the plaintiff did not suffer antitrust injury and could not maintain its claim. Id. at 488–89. Brunswick thus demonstrates that proving a Section 7 violation and resulting harm is not sufficient to establish antitrust injury.

Because the district court did not require Fubo to demonstrate antitrust injury, and because Fubo’s anticipated injury from the enjoined JV results from an enhancement of competition in the live pay TV market, the district court committed reversible error. This Court should vacate the injunction, reverse the district court, and reaffirm the long-established principle that the antitrust laws protection competition, not competitors.

II. FUBO COMPLAINS OF A PRICE SQUEEZE BUT CANNOT ESTABLISH THE NECESSARY PREREQUISITES TO LIABILITY

By the district court’s own admission, the conduct it enjoined—defendants’ launching of the JV—would increase competition in the live pay TV market and benefit consumers. O&O at 51 (“The JV will offer consumers an option to receive their must-have live sports content at a fraction of the cost of what current [sellers in the live pay TV market] can offer.”); id. at 19 (“The target consumer will—for the first time—be able to subscribe to a vast array of the sports content he or she wants, without paying for entertainment content he or she does not.”). The district court maintained, though, that the JV cannot be assessed in isolation. When examined in light of defendants’ alleged practices of licensing their sports content only when bundled with their non-sports content, the court reasoned, the JV is likely anticompetitive. Id. at 45–46 (“[B]undling has been uniformly and systematically imposed on each distributor in the live pay TV industry except the JV, preventing any other distributor from offering a multi-channel sports-focused streaming service. . . . [T]he JV is the vehicle through which the JV Defendants will capitalize on this opportunity, to potential anticompetitive effects.”).

The problem with imposing liability on that basis is that the anticompetitive conduct the district court purported to identify is a “price-squeeze,” and the court did not find (because Fubo could not establish) the necessary prerequisites for condemning such a practice.

A price squeeze may result “when a vertically integrated firm sells inputs at wholesale and also sells finished goods or services at retail.” Pac. Bell Tel. Co. v. Linkline Commc’ns, Inc., 555 U.S. 438, 442 (2009). As the Supreme Court has explained:

If that firm has power in the wholesale market, it can simultaneously raise the wholesale price of inputs and cut the retail price of the finished good. This will have the effect of ‘squeezing’ the profit margins of any competitors in the retail market. Those firms will have to pay more for the inputs they need; at the same time, they will have to cut their retail prices to match the other firm’s prices.

Id.

This precisely describes the conduct Fubo attacked: defendants participate in the upstream wholesale market as licensors of television programming. By licensing their sports content only on a bundled basis (so that licensees must also pay to license unwanted non-sports programming), they allegedly raise the effective price of the sports programming that is a necessary input for a live sports streaming service. Then, because they license their sports content to their own JV on an unbundled—and thus cheaper—basis, they charge lower prices in the downstream retail market, pressuring rival sports streaming services to cut their retail prices. This pattern of behavior squeezes the profits of the defendants’ retail competitors, including Fubo.

In Linkline, the Supreme Court set forth the requirements for a plaintiff that seeks to establish antitrust liability for an alleged price squeeze. The Court held that the plaintiff must prove either (a) that the defendant owed and breached an antitrust duty to deal with the plaintiff on particular terms in the wholesale market or (b) that the defendant engaged in predatory pricing in that it: (i) charged a below-cost price in the retail market and (ii) was likely to recoup its losses from such below-cost pricing through future supracompetitive pricing once its competition was eliminated or weakened. Id. at 452 (“If there is no duty to deal at the wholesale level and no predatory pricing at the retail level, then a firm is certainly not required to price both of these services in a manner that preserves its rivals’ profit margins.”).[4]

Fubo did not show it was likely to prove either a duty to deal or predatory pricing. With respect to a duty to deal, the district court repeatedly emphasized that it was not concluding that defendants had an antitrust duty to license their sports programming on an unbundled basis.[5] See O&O at 4 (“The Court need not, and does not, reach the question of the legality of bundling at this stage of the case.”); id. at 45 (“[T]he Court need not (and does not) determine the legality of programmers’ bundling practices in order to decide this Motion. . . . ”); id. (“[W]hether bundling is itself illegal under the antitrust laws is not a question currently before the Court.”); id. at 55 (“If bundling (as to Fubo specifically or as a general industry practice) is to be struck down as an antitrust violation, it should come only after a full trial on the merits.”). With respect to predatory pricing, Fubo produced no evidence, nor did it argue, that the JV would charge below-cost retail prices and ultimately recoup its losses by charging monopoly prices once its rivals were extinguished. Thus, Fubo’s challenge to the “one-two punch” of the JV’s entry into the live pay TV market coupled with defendants’ bundled licensing practices—an effective price squeeze claim—is legally deficient.

The district court rejected this reasoning on two grounds, each of which is unsound. First, it contended that defendants’ alleged misconduct should not be parsed into its component parts—the individual defendants’ bundling practices and the JV’s entry into the retail market at a low price point—to analyze the legality of each separately. O&O at 37. This approach, the district court said, would disregard the Supreme Court’s 1962 instruction that “ ‘plaintiffs should be given the full benefit of their proof without tightly compartmentalizing the various factual components and wiping the slate clean after scrutiny of each.” Id. (quoting Cont’l Ore Co. v. Union Carbide & Carbon Corp., 370 U.S. 690, 699 (1962)). But in 2009, the Supreme Court mandated precisely this sort of “compartmentalizing” approach for price squeeze claims such as that advanced by Fubo. Linkline, 555 U.S. 438. In Linkline¸ the Court held that “[i]f there is no duty to deal at the wholesale level and no predatory pricing at the retail level, then a firm is certainly not required to price both of these services in a manner that preserves its rivals’ profit margins.” Id. at 452.

The district court also asserted two reasons why neither Linkline nor one of the cases upon which its holding rested, Trinko, apply to Fubo’s claims. (Trinko narrowly constrained the circumstances in which an antitrust duty to deal exists. 540 U.S. at 408–10.)[6] The district court first claimed that Linkline and Trinko are irrelevant here because they “involved actions brought under Section 2 of the Sherman Act, not Section 7 of the Clayton Act, and primarily allege specific technical per se violations of the Sherman Act not applicable here.” O&O at 36. It then stated that “courts have been clear that the ‘no duty to deal’ defense raised by the JV defendants in reliance on Linkline and Trinko is not a defense to concerted actions.” Id. at 37 (citing Buccaneer Energy v. Gunnison Energy Corp., 846 F.3d 1297, 1309 (10th Cir. 2017); In re Dealer Mgmt. Sys. Antitrust Litig., 680 F. Supp. 3d 919, 1004 (N.D. Ill. 2023)). Neither assertion is availing.

With respect to the first, the court was wrong to claim that Linkline and Trinko “primarily allege specific technical per se violations of the Sherman Act.” O&O at 36. The complained of conduct in Trinko was a unilateral refusal to deal on particular terms; in Linkline, it was a price squeeze. Neither behavior is per se illegal under the Sherman Act. Moreover, it is irrelevant that the claims in those cases were based on Section 2 of the Sherman Act rather than Section 7 of the Clayton Act. As explained above, the theory of harm underlying Fubo’s Section 7 claim is that the launching of the JV will produce an illegal price squeeze. See supra § II. The legality of price squeezes must be assessed under Linkline. And when, as here, price squeeze defendants have not engaged (and are not expected to engage) in predatory pricing in the downstream market, the legality of their behavior turns on whether they possessed and breached an antitrust duty to deal on particular terms in the upstream market. Linkline, 555 U.S. at 452. That matter is governed by Trinko. 540 U.S. at 408–11. Defendants’ reliance on Linkline and Trinko is thus not “inapt,” as the district court asserted. O&O at 36.

Nor is the distinction between concerted action and single-entity conduct relevant under these circumstances, because the district court enjoined a proposed joint venture under Section 7 of the Clayton Act. Texaco Inc. v. Dagher, 547 U.S. 1, 6 (2006) (“When persons who would otherwise be competitors pool their capital and share the risks of loss as well as the opportunities for profit . . . such joint ventures [are] regarded as a single firm competing with other sellers in the market.” (citations omitted)). Regardless, courts have not held that Trinko’s limits on an antitrust duty to deal do not apply whenever a claim involves any sort of concerted conduct. One of the cases the district court cited in support of that proposition held merely that Trinko does not apply to one type of concerted conduct: concerted refusals to deal (i.e., agreements among firms not to deal with a particular rival). Buccaneer, 846 F.3d at 1309 (observing that “Trinko simply does not speak to claims, like those here, alleging concerted refusals to deal”).[7] The other is a district court case that simply repeats the point. Dealer Mgmt., 680 F. Supp. 3d at 1004 (“True, the ‘general right to refuse to deal with competitors’ applies only to unilateral refusals.”) (citing Buccaneer, 846 F.3d at 1309).

The refusal to deal component of Fubo’s claim—its assertion that each defendant refuses to license its sports content on the “skinny” basis Fubo would prefer—alleges unilateral, not concerted, refusals. So the cases cited by the district court are inapplicable.

Fubo’s challenge to the totality of defendants’ sports-content practices—each defendant’s alleged unilateral practice of refusing to license such content on an unbundled basis, coupled with the defendants’ collective entry into the downstream sports streaming market at a low price point—is a price squeeze claim. Because Fubo has not shown a likelihood of proving either an antitrust duty to deal in the wholesale licensing market or predatory pricing in the retail sports streaming market, it is unlikely to succeed on the merits of its underlying action. This Court should therefore vacate the district court’s injunction.

III. COLUMBIA PICTURES, WHICH TURNED ON AN EXCLUSIVITY PROVISION NOT PRESENT IN THE PROPOSED JOINT VENTURE, IS INAPPOSITE

The primary precedent the district court relied on in enjoining the launch of Venu was United States v. Columbia Pictures Industries, Inc., 507 F. Supp. 412 (S.D.N.Y. 1980). In that case, the court enjoined four major U.S. film producers from launching “Premiere,” a joint venture that would enter the growing pay television market to compete with existing services like HBO, Showtime, and The Movie Channel. Id. at 434. The four joint venturers would combine their film content, distribute it via television to subscribers, and share revenues. Id. at 419–20. According to the district court here, Premiere “present[ed] a scenario strikingly similar to this case” in that it was conceived “[a]t an analogous time of rapid change in the television and film industry,” was comprised of participants “that controlled just over half” of the content needed for a service of its sort, and enabled participants “to capture a share of the burgeoning pay TV movie channel market.” O&O at 36.

Columbia Pictures was decided long before Trinko recognized the significant limits of an antitrust duty to deal. But there is another outcome-determinative difference between the enjoined Premiere joint venture and the one at issue here. With Venu, the defendant joint venturers will be free to—and will—license their sports programming to rival distributors; those rivals will not be denied any content available to the JV. Id. at 22. With Premiere, by contrast, the joint venture was to have the exclusive right to distribute the four participants’ films for a nine-month period. Columbia Pictures, 507 F. Supp. at 419 (“The joint venture agreement provides that Premiere is to have certain films distributed by the movie company venturers available to it exclusively for a nine-month period, before those films are shown on the existing satellite-fed network programming services.”).

The district court here downplayed this difference between Premiere and Venu, observing in a footnote that “[t]he decision in Columbia Pictures did not rest solely on the anticompetitive effects of this ‘exclusivity’ provision.” O&O at 36 n.30. A fair reading of Columbia Pictures, however, suggests that the nine-month exclusivity provision was essential to the court’s decision to enjoin Premiere. Most notably, the court concluded that the exclusivity provision was probably a per se illegal group boycott. Columbia Pictures, 507 F. Supp. at 428, 429. In addition, the court repeatedly stressed the centrality of the exclusivity provision to the joint venturers’ economic interests and to the anticompetitive effect of the venture. Id. at 420–21, 430–32.

The Columbia Pictures court rightly fixated on the exclusivity provision of the Premiere joint venture because that feature is what rendered the venture anti-, rather than pro-, competitive. Had it launched, Premiere would have hobbled its rivals by denying them access to inputs they needed for success. Their harm would have resulted from an effort to reduce competition—i.e., to make them less competitive. With Venu, which includes no exclusive licensing commitments from its participants, rivals’ access to needed inputs will not change and any harm they suffer will be the result of increased competition—the entry of a new streaming service offering a product consumers are demanding. As the Ninth Circuit recently observed, there is a difference “between anticompetitive behavior, which is illegal under federal antitrust law, and hypercompetitive behavior, which is not.” FTC v. Qualcomm, Inc., 969 F.3d 974, 982 (9th Cir. 2020). Holding back one’s competitors, as Premiere did, is anticompetitive. Entering their market with a superior offering, as defendants seek to do through Venu, is not.

IV. THE DISTRICT COURT RELIED ON AN ANCILLARY NONCOMPETE AGREEMENT THAT IS IRRELEVANT TO FUBO’S CLAIM

In concluding that Fubo was likely to succeed in proving that the JV would harm competition, the district court made much of a non-compete agreement among the defendants. According to the court, that agreement “forbids the JV Defendants from ‘owning any form of equity interest, including a revenue-sharing or profit-sharing interest, in a commercial venture, where the focus of the commercial venture is the operation of a sports-centric [live-streaming service] similar to the JV Platform for a period of three (3) years from the Launch Date.’ ” O&O at 47 (quoting PX289 at 17). The court concluded that the non-compete agreement has “significant ‘anticompetitive potential’ [and] warrants scrutiny even in the absence of incipient monopoly.” O&O at 49 (quoting Copperweld Corp., 467 U.S. at 769).

Although the court was right to “scrutin[ize]” the noncompete agreement and assess its “anticompetitive potential” (as all features of a challenged joint venture should be evaluated for anticompetitive potential), this noncompete agreement is almost certainly procompetitive. O&O at 49. The agreement does not preclude the defendants from licensing their sports content—even on an unbundled basis—to any rival. Id. at 48 (“This non-compete agreement does not prevent the JV Defendants from licensing their programming to other [live pay TV distributors]. . . .”). All it requires is that they not invest in a sports-streaming service that competes with their own joint venture. Such a commitment prevents each individual joint venture participant from free-riding on the JV’s efforts to develop the market for comprehensive sports-only live streaming services (e.g., by introducing the novel service to consumers). Absent the noncompete, one of the JV defendants could rely on all the joint venturers to share those market development costs and then take a stake in a new rival that would not need to incur them. From the earliest days of federal antitrust law, non-compete agreements aimed at preventing such free-riding and thereby facilitating the creation of a venture have been deemed reasonable, and thus legal, as ancillary restraints. See United States v. Addyston Pipe & Steel Co., 85 F. 271, 280 (6th Cir. 1898), aff’d, 175 U.S. 211 (1899) (observing that “[r]estrictions in the articles of partnership upon the business activity of the members, with a view of securing their entire effort in the common enterprise, were, of course, only ancillary to the main end of the union, and were to be encouraged”); id. at 281 (“[C]ovenants in partial restraint of trade are generally upheld as valid when they are agreements . . . by a partner pending the partnership not to do anything to interfere, by competition or otherwise, with the business of the firm. . . .”).[8]

Because the defendants continue to license their content to others, the non-compete agreement does not eliminate competition but rather fosters the JV’s ability to compete effectively. In short, there is nothing nefarious about the limited non-compete agreement among the Venu venturers.

V. THE COMPETITIVE SCENARIOS THAT THE DISTRICT COURT ASSUMED WOULD RESULT FROM ITS BLOCKING OF VENU ARE ECONOMICALLY IMPLAUSIBLE

In enjoining the launch of Venu, the district court stripped consumers of a novel offering for which there is significant demand: a sports-focused, live-streaming service featuring a vast array of content at a low price point. Insulating Fubo from competition by such a service, and denying it to consumers, could be justified only if preventing competition were likely to generate greater competition and enhance consumer welfare in the future. But the rosy competitive future the district court assumed would result from its barring of Venu is implausible.

The district court asserted that “the existence of the JV itself incentivizes the JV Defendants to prevent and suppress other potential sports-focused bundles from meaningfully competing” because “[t]he JV Defendants know the unique value of their unbundled sports programming and are aware that any competitor offering such unbundled live sports will devalue the JV.” O&O at 49. Implicit in those remarks is the assumption that if Venu is enjoined, other live-streaming services offering the same sports-only content are more likely to enter the market. It is highly unlikely, though, that enjoining Venu would result in the entry of a streaming service offering sports-only content as extensive as that available on Venu and at a similar price point.

The district court suggested that such an offering could come about in two ways: by all the defendants’ deciding to license their sports content on an unbundled basis to another distributor or by a defendant’s launching its own sports-only streaming service featuring its sports content and that licensed on an unbundled basis from the other defendants. Id. at 50 (“For such a competitor to emerge, in all likelihood one or more of the JV Defendants would have to be involved in launching it, whether by [1] agreeing to fully unbundle their sports channels for another distributor, or [2] launching a [streaming] service themselves that would feature their own sports channels alongside licensed sports channels from other programmers.”).

Both of those scenarios are improbable.

A. A Low-Priced, Comprehensive Sports Streaming Bundle Is Unlikely to Result from Defendants’ Licensing Their Sports Content to Another Distributor on an Unbundled Basis

The defendants each hold exclusive rights to high-demand sports content and can therefore earn supracompetitive profits from licensing their sports programming.[9] They could capture such profits by licensing their sports programming at very high prices. They have chosen instead to charge lower prices for their sports content but to require that licensees also license, at profit-generating prices, other content they control. Such bundling allows defendants to capture the profits their valuable sports programming makes possible—and to which they are entitled, see supra note 9—while subsidizing less popular content.

The district court assumed that if Venu is blocked, the defendants may eventually respond to consumer demand for a comprehensive, sports-focused live-streaming service by licensing their sports content on an unbundled basis to a third-party distributor. O&O at 50 (hypothesizing that defendants may “fully unbundle their sports channels for another distributor”). But given that bundling is the current means by which defendants extract transactional surplus and capture the profits the law permits them to earn, it would be economically irrational for them to unbundle their sports content without simultaneously raising the price of their unbundled sports content. If they unbundled their sports content but charged more for it, a third-party could offer a sports-focused live-streaming service, but only at a high price reflecting the high cost of its content. The alternative offering—if one came to pass—would therefore lack an essential feature of Venu: its relatively low price.

In reasoning that the blocking of Venu may lead defendants to license their sports content to a third-party distributor on an unbundled basis and at prices that would allow the distributor to match Venu’s price, the district court assumed defendants would act against their own economic interests. Antitrust law, though, rejects theories that assume economically irrational behavior. See, e.g., Matsushita Elec. Indus. Co. v. Zenith Radio Corp., 475 U.S. 574, 588–95 (1985) (granting summary judgment for defendants because plaintiffs’ theory of conspiracy assumed economically irrational behavior). It also requires courts to assume rational behavior in hypothesizing scenarios that would exist “but for” the conduct under review. See, e.g., Dolphin Tours, Inc. v. Pacifico Creative Serv., Inc., 773 F.2d 1506, 1510–11 (9th Cir. 1985) (Plaintiffs “must presume the existence of rational economic behavior in the hypothetical free market.”); Murphy Tugboat Co. v. Crowley, 658 F.2d 1256, 1262 (9th Cir. 1981) (“[E]conomic rationality must be assumed for all competitors, absent the strongest evidence of chronic irrationality.”); United Food & Com. Workers Local 1776 v. Teikoku Pharma USA, 296 F. Supp. 3d 1142, 1179 n.42 (“[I]n construct[ing] but-for world scenarios, there is a presumption of economical rationality.”). Because it would be economically irrational for defendants to respond to the blocking of Venu by unbundling their sports content without raising its price, this Court should not credit the district court’s assumption that enjoining the launch of Venu would likely result in third-party offerings matching Venu’s quality (i.e., its comprehensive sports coverage) and price.

B. No Individual Defendant Is Likely to Offer a Live Sports-Streaming Bundle Matching Venu’s Comprehensive Content and Relatively Low Price

The second purportedly superior outcome the district court assumed might result from its blocking of Venu—individual defendants’ launching of their own sports-only live-streaming services featuring their own offerings and those licensed from the other defendants—is similarly implausible, at least at prices as low as Venu’s. That is because of a pricing dynamic known as “double marginalization.” As a threshold matter, two of the three defendants had already entered or announced their own sports streaming services in addition to Venu, and there is no record evidence that the third was going to contemplate entry without Venu.

Double marginalization tends to result when two firms that separately sell complements that are used in combination to produce a “downstream” product or service—for example, the separate bits of sports programming that must be combined to create a comprehensive sports-streaming service—both possess power over pricing. See generally Makan Delrahim, ‘Harder, Better, Faster, Stronger’: Evaluating EDM as a Defense in Vertical Mergers, 26 Geo. Mason L. Rev. 1427, 1429–30 (2019) (explaining the economics of double marginalization).[10]

Potential consumers of the downstream product—in this case, the comprehensive package of sports programming—mainly care about the total price they pay for the product (or package) that they seek. That is true if the consumer is purchasing the complete package from a single seller or cobbling the desired package together from multiple sellers. If a single firm controlled all the complements, it would set that combined price at a level that maximizes its profits.

When the component parts of an offering are sold by separate sellers who each have power over pricing for the component they sell, each has an incentive to price its own component at a level that will enable it to capture as much of the available profits on the combined offering as possible. But if each component seller takes that tack, the combined price of the separately sold components will exceed the profit-maximizing price of a single offering that combines them. If the separate component sellers were to combine, the combination would have an incentive to set a lower aggregate price for the components—one that would maximize the sellers’ profits on the combined offering. Such a move would benefit the sellers and consumers, who would enjoy lower package prices. See United States v. AT&T Inc., 310 F. Supp. 3d 161, 197 (D.D.C. 2018), aff’d, 916 F.3d 1029 (D.C. Cir. 2019) (explaining how merger of complement producers benefits consumers by eliminating double marginalization). In short, both individual component sellers (here, the three defendant programmers) and consumers benefit from the elimination of double—or here, triple—marginalization.

Because the second competitive scenario the district court envisioned contemplates each defendant’s separately pricing its sports content, it would entail triple marginalization. Each defendant’s attempt to set its individual price so as to maximize its share of the combined price consumers would be willing to pay for a Venu-like bundle would then result in a combined price that would exceed Venu’s. Thus, any bundle that consumers could put together of separate live sports-streaming services launched by each individual defendant would likely be more expensive than Venu (because of triple marginalization) or less comprehensive (if the consumer decided to cobble together less than all the high-priced content offered by Venu). Indeed, it is likely that the defendants recognized this pricing problem and arrived at the Venu joint venture as the solution. There is no basis for assuming that any other hypothesized arrangement would effectively solve the problem.

In the end, then, the district court’s enjoining of Venu sacrifices a competitive “bird in the hand”—a comprehensive, low-priced live sports-streaming service whose entry would enhance competition in the live pay TV market and benefit consumers—for a highly speculative “bird in the bush” of economically implausible future sports-streaming offerings. Because such an outcome would harm rather than further the public interest, this Court should vacate the district court’s injunction.

CONCLUSION

The antitrust laws should remain singularly focused on the protection of market competition, and this Court should resist efforts by individual firms to coopt its remedial powers to insulate themselves from the competitive process. Accordingly, for the foregoing reasons, the Court should reverse the decision below.

[1].       Under Federal Rule of Appellate Procedure 29(c), amici curiae state that no party’s counsel authored this brief in whole or in part, and no party or its counsel made a monetary contribution intended to fund the preparation or submission of this brief. No person other than amici or their counsel contributed money that was intended to fund preparing or submitting the brief. All parties have consented to amici’s filing of this brief.

[2].       See also United States v. Phila. Nat’l Bank, 374 U.S. 321, 367 n.43 (1963) (quoting Brown Shoe, 370 U.S. at 320); Copperweld Corp. v. Indep. Tube Corp., 467 U.S. 752, 767, n.14 (1984) (quoting Brunswick, 429 U.S. at 488); Cargill, Inc. v. Monfort of Colo., Inc., 479 U.S. 104, 110 (1986) (quoting Brunswick, 429 U.S. at 488); Atl. Richfield Co. v. USA Petroleum Co., 495 U.S. 328, 338 (1990) (quoting Brown Shoe, 370 U.S. at 320); Brooke Grp. Ltd. v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 509 U.S. 209, 224 (1993) (quoting Brown Shoe, 370 U.S. at 320); Leegin Creative, 551 U.S. at 906 (quoting Atl. Richfield, 495 U.S. at 338).

[3].       Amici take no position here on whether the district court correctly defined the relevant market. For reasons stated below, even if the district court’s definition of the relevant market its correct, the preliminary injunction it entered is unwarranted. August 20, 2024 Op. & Order (“O&O”) ECF 2.

[4].       Note that with respect to the upstream duty to deal, the Court held that “a firm with no duty to deal in the wholesale market has no obligation to deal under terms and conditions favorable to its competitors.” Linkline, 555 U.S. at 450–51. And with respect to predatory pricing in the downstream market, the Court held that “to prevail on a predatory pricing claim, a plaintiff must demonstrate that: (1) ‘the prices complained of are below an appropriate measure of its rival’s costs’; and (2) there is a ‘dangerous probability’ that the defendant will be able to recoup its ‘investment’ in below-cost prices.” Id. at 451 (citing Brooke Grp., 509 U.S. at 222–24).

[5].       This is no surprise. As the district court observed, bundling of television programming by content providers is a ubiquitous and long-standing practice. O&O at 2 (“These bundling requirements are not unique to Fubo’s contracts with the JV Defendants; bundling has been a pervasive industry practice for decades. . . . ”); id. at 10 (“Bundling has been an industry-wide practice for at least four decades. Bundling is ubiquitous because in many cases, at least some subset of consumers enjoy having ready access to hundreds of channels and doing so on a less-expensive basis than they otherwise would if they paid for each channel individually.”). Prior antitrust challenges to such bundling have failed, see Brantley v. NBC Universal, Inc., 675 F.3d 1192 (9th Cir. 2012), and the practice generates efficiencies. See Thomas A. Lambert, The Efficiency of Cable Bundling, Truth on the Market (July 10, 2011) (https://truthonthemarket.com/2011/07/10/the-efficiency-of-cable-bundling/); Thomas A. Lambert, Appropriate Liability Rules for Tying and Bundled Discounting, 72 Ohio St. L.J. 909, 950–53 (2011); Yannis Bakos & Eric Brynjolfsson, Bundling Information Goods: Pricing, Profits, and Efficiency, 45 Mgmt. Sci. 1613 (1999). There is also no logical stopping point to a “Thou shalt offer TV content on an unbundled basis” rule. Must a programmer license individual television shows (e.g., Seinfeld only)? Individual seasons (e.g., only Seinfeld season eight)? Individual episodes (e.g., only episode 138: “The Little Kicks”)? Individual scenes within episodes (e.g., the one where Elaine dances)? As the Supreme Court has cautioned (quoting Professor Phillip Areeda), “No court should impose a duty to deal that it cannot explain or adequately and reasonably supervise. The problem should be deemed irremediable by antitrust law when compulsory access requires the court to assume the day-to-day controls characteristic of a regulatory agency.” Phillip Areeda, Essential Facilities: An Epithet in Need of Limiting Principles, 58 Antitrust L.J. 841, 853 (1989). Verizon Commc’ns Inc. v. Law Offs. of Curtis V. Trinko, LLP, 540 U.S. 398, 415 (2004).

[6].       Trinko is highly relevant to Fubo’s claim that defendants owed some antitrust duty to license their sports content on an unbundled basis. Because the district court did not assess the legality of defendants’ bundling practices, amici do not discuss Trinko in detail here.

[7].       In Buccaneer, two natural gas firms refused to transport gas for a rival using their jointly owned pipelines. 846 F.3d at 1302, 1306. The refusal to deal was itself concerted conduct. Id. at 1306 (“Buccaneer contends Defendants’ agreement to deny it reasonable access to the RM System was a concerted refusal to deal that violated § 1 of the Sherman Act.”).

[8].       See also Engine Specialties, Inc. v. Bombardier Ltd., 605 F.2d 1, 11 (1st Cir. 1979) (agreement that “neither of the parties to the joint venture will compete with it” is “not offensive in and of itself”); Princo Corp. v. ITC, 616 F.3d 1318, 1336 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (observing that “ancillary restraints” that are often “important to collaborative ventures [include] agreements between the collaborators not to compete against their joint venture”); In re HIV Antitrust Litig., 656 F. Supp.3d 963, 993 (N.D. Cal. 2023) (observing that “[c]ourts and other authorities have recognized that free riding is a legitimate concern when people or entities embark on a joint venture” and concluding that noncompete provisions among collaborating drug companies “may have facilitated the collaboration[]” because “they arguably prevented a collaborator from free riding on the efforts of the joint venture”); Philip Areeda & Herbert Hovenkamp, Antitrust Law: An Analysis of Antitrust Principles and Their Application (CCH) 2213c2 (2018) (observing that: “[J]oint venturers may have quite legitimate reasons for restraining members’ competitive business outside the venture. Most such concerns apply to some variation of the free rider problem.”).

[9].       Antitrust law permits—indeed, encourages—firms that have gained monopoly power legitimately to earn supracompetitive profits. See Linkline, 555 U.S. at 454 (“[A]ntitrust law does not prohibit lawfully obtained monopolies from charging monopoly prices.”); Trinko, 540 U.S. at 407 (“The mere possession of monopoly power, and the concomitant charging of monopoly prices, is not only not unlawful; it is an important element of the free market system. The opportunity to charge monopoly prices—at least for a short period—is what attracts ‘business acumen’ in the first place; it induces risk taking that produces innovation and economic growth.”).

[10].      The basic concept of the double marginalization pricing externality was introduced by Cournot in 1838, Augustin Cournot, Researches into the Mathematical Principles of the Theory of Wealth (Nathaniel T. Bacon, trans., 1897), and formalized by Sonnenschein in 1968, Hugo Sonnenschein, The Dual of Duopoly Is Complementary Monopoly: or, Two of Cournot’s Theories Are One, 76 J. Pol. Econ. 316 (1968). For an informative video explanation of the double marginalization problem, see Marginal Revolution University, Double Marginalization Problem, https://www.youtube.com/ watch?v=7MPdKMeGcv8.

Amicus Brief

ICLE Brief to California Supreme Court in Gilead v Superior Court of San Francisco

I. INTRODUCTION 

This case presents a pivotal question that could fundamentally reshape product liability law and significantly impact product innovation. At its core, this case asks whether a pharmaceutical company should be held liable for purported injuries resulting from a FDA-approved medication, not because the medication itself was defective, but because the company allegedly failed to develop and market a potentially safer alternative drug sooner. 

The Court of Appeal’s decision to recognize such a duty represents a dramatic departure from established principles of product liability law. It effectively creates a new form of liability that does not require proof of a product defect – a cornerstone of product liability jurisprudence for nearly a century. The central legal question before this Court is whether pharmaceutical companies should bear a duty to develop and bring to market a purportedly safer drug sooner, even when their existing product is not defective and complies with all regulatory requirements. 

The importance of this case extends far beyond the immediate parties and industry involved. It has profound implications for innovation, legal precedent, and the fundamental structure of product liability law. If upheld, the Court of Appeal’s decision could chill innovation in the pharmaceutical industry (and beyond) by exposing companies to potentially unlimited liability for their research and development decisions. It would allow juries to second-guess complex scientific and business judgments made in the face of significant uncertainty, potentially deterring companies from investing in the development of new products. 

Moreover, this case challenges the long-standing requirement that plaintiffs in product liability cases must prove a defect in the product that caused a cognizable harm. Eliminating this requirement would not only upend decades of legal precedent but also remove a crucial safeguard that balances consumer protection with the need to promote innovation and ensure the availability of beneficial products. 

We urge the Court to consider carefully the potentially drastic consequences of expanding liability in this manner against the established principles of product liability law and the broader public interest in promoting pharmaceutical innovation and access to life-saving medications. 

 II. LEGAL DISCUSSION 

This Court should reject the Court of Appeal’s unprecedented expansion of tort liability for two fundamental reasons. First, the ruling dramatically departs from established product liability principles by eliminating the crucial requirement that plaintiffs prove a product defect—a cornerstone of product liability law for nearly a century. Second, the ruling rests on a fundamental misunderstanding of pharmaceutical development, incorrectly assuming that manufacturers can “know” a drug candidate is superior before completing the extensive FDA approval process. This flawed reasoning would create perverse incentives that would ultimately harm the very patients the tort system aims to protect by deterring innovation and delaying access to beneficial treatments. Such an outcome would run contrary to the public interest of the citizens of California. 

A. The Court of Appeal’s Rule Imposes Unlimited Liability 

The Court of Appeal’s ruling represents a significant and troubling departure from traditional products-liability law. In Brown v. Superior Court, (44 Cal.3d 1049 (1988)), this Court recognized the unique challenges and public health implications of pharmaceutical development. This Court explicitly rejected a standard that would hold drug manufacturers liable for failing to develop an alternative, purportedly safer product. (Id.) This decision was rooted in the understanding that such liability could discourage the development and distribution of beneficial drugs, ultimately harming public health. 

Expanding liability to products never even sold is an unprecedented, unprincipled, and dangerous approach to product liability. California Civil Code § 1714 does not impose liability for “fail[ing] to take positive steps to benefit others,” (Brown v. USA Taekwondo (2021) 11 Cal.5th 204, 215), and Respondents abandoned any theory that the medicine they received was defective. Respondents also abandoned any theory that the TDF medicines were not accompanied by adequate warnings under federal or state law. Thus, Respondents’ case—as accepted by the Court of Appeal—is that they consumed a product authorized by the FDA, that they were fully aware of its potential side effects, but maybe they would have experienced fewer side effects had Petitioner made the decision to accelerate (against some indefinite baseline) the development of an alternative medicine. To call this a speculative harm is an understatement, and to dismiss Petitioner’s conduct as unreasonable because allegedly motivated by profit, (Op. 32), not only flatly misrepresents the record but also elides the complex nature of product-development decisions in which profit is always a factor.  

Practically speaking, there are two fundamental problems with this approach to products liability law: it does not require a “defective” product, and it fundamentally misunderstands the empirical realities of creating innovative pharmaceutical products.  

1. Products Liability Law Requires a “Defective” Product 

For nearly a century, California courts have adhered to a fundamental principle: a plaintiff alleging injury from a product must prove a defect in that product. (Kalash v. Los Angeles Ladder Co. (1934) 1 Cal.2d 229, 233). This requirement is, logically, a critical component in a products liability case. After all, how can one bring a suit for a defective product that is not actually “defective”? 

This Court has repeatedly affirmed this principle, stating that manufacturers “are liable in tort only when ‘defects’ in their products cause injury” (Soule v. General Motors Corp. (1994) 8 Cal.4th 548, 568 fn.5). The defect requirement serves as a crucial limitation on manufacturer liability, ensuring that companies are not held responsible for injuries unless their products fall below an acceptable standard of safety. 

Even Respondents do not maintain that the risks of TDF outweigh its risks, and indeed admit that it has been a hugely beneficial drug that should not be removed from the market. The safety and efficacy of highly regulated pharmaceuticals are determined in large part by the FDA in a process that takes many years, if not decades, and is more than sufficiently protective of patient safety. (See Gail A. Van Norman, Drugs, Devices, and the FDA: Part 1: An Overview of Approval Processes for Drugs, (2016), 1 JACC: Basic to Translational Science 3 , https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacbts.2016.03.002). After a comprehensive set of testing phases, and a thorough review of relevant scientific results related to the pharmaceutical, the FDA approves a new drug application. (See Peter Grossi & Daphne O’Connor,  FDA Preemption of Conflicting State Drug Regulation and the Looming Battle Over Abortion Medications, J. L. & Biosciences,?10(1), https://doi.org/10.1093/jlb/lsad005 at 5 ?(2023)). Even after this review period, the FDA requires drug manufacturers to perform post-approval testing to ensure that the product is in fact safe and effective. (Id.) “The depth and breadth of this regulatory regime make clear that FDA’s control over pharmaceuticals is not a one-time, binary choice between approval or prohibition, but rather requires the Agency to impose nuanced regulation, which is revised on a continual basis to take account of new data.” (Id. at 6.) This last point is particularly relevant here, as the record is clear that FDA has never sought to reverse the approval of any of the TDF medicines, nor have the TDF medicines been recalled.  

The pharmaceutical industry is characterized by inherent uncertainty. Drug development is a complex, time-consuming process where the ultimate safety and efficacy of a compound cannot be reasonably known until extensive clinical trials are completed. This uncertainty is a fundamental aspect of the scientific process, not a flaw to be penalized. The FDA’s rigorous approval process is designed to navigate this uncertainty. It involves multiple phases of clinical trials, each building upon the last to establish safety and efficacy. This process can take years and cost billions of dollars, with no guarantee of success. The FDA’s role is to evaluate the totality of evidence and make informed decisions about the benefits and risks of new drugs. A product that passes through the regulatory overview of the FDA is thoroughly tested to reasonably ensure it is not “defective.” To require more is to impose an impossible standard. By contrast, the decision below is predicated on a standard that would second-guess the FDA’s careful process, designed to navigate uncertainty, with the hindsight process of jury evaluation, which is necessarily biased by the certainty of events that have actually come to pass. 

Respondents conceded that they are not claiming that TDF is defective. But, practically speaking, Respondents’ framing of their claim as one of negligent timing in bringing TAF to market rather than as a defect in TDF is an attempt to circumvent the fundamental defect requirement in products liability law through alternative pleading. While Respondents expressly disclaim any allegation that TDF was defective, their argument necessarily implies that the TDF medicines are insufficiently safe. By contending that TAF is less harmful compared to TDF, Plaintiffs inherently suggest that TDF’s risk-benefit profile was suboptimal—in other words, that it was “defective” relative to TAF. 

This argument goes directly to TDF’s core characteristics: its particular combination of efficacy and side effects. Even while acknowledging that “the benefits of TDF use for hundreds of thousands of HIV/AIDS sufferers have vastly exceeded the harm from its side effects” (Op. 32), the Court of Appeal and Respondents essentially argue that TDF was deficient because Petitioner might have provided patients with a better alternative had they accelerated TAF’s development. This is merely a recharacterization of a traditional products liability claim, attempting to achieve the same result while avoiding the required showing of defect. 

Respondents’ effort to subvert the defect requirement by recharacterizing their claim should not be countenanced by this Court.  The defect requirement is a key, longstanding element of products liability law that properly balances burdens on manufacturers with protections for patients. Accordingly, California courts have consistently required proof of defect across the spectrum of product liability cases. (See, e.g., Merrill v. Navegar, Inc. (2001) 26 Cal.4th 465; Jiminez v. Superior Court (2002) 29 Cal.4th 473, 478; Cronin v. J.B.E. Olson Corp. (1972) 8 Cal.3d 121, 133; Garrett v. Howmedica Osteonics Corp. (2013) 214 Cal.App.4th 173, 182; Artiglio v. Superior Court (1994) 22 Cal.App.4th 1388, 1393.) This requirement reflects courts’ implicit understanding that when a plaintiff sues a pharmaceutical manufacturer over injuries allegedly caused by its product, the claim fundamentally reduces to an assertion that the manufacturer, either negligently or otherwise, produced a defective drug. Allowing Respondents to bypass this requirement through creative pleading would undermine this carefully developed body of law. 

Removing the defect requirement would destabilize tort law and the pharmaceutical market in profound ways. It would expose manufacturers to potentially unlimited liability for products that are reasonably safe and defect-free. This shift would create unprecedented uncertainty in the legal landscape, making it difficult for companies to predict their liability exposure and plan their operations accordingly. 

Moreover, the defect requirement is essential to striking a balance between consumer protection and innovation. It provides a clear, objective criterion for assessing product safety while allowing manufacturers the flexibility to innovate and improve their products.  

2. The Opinion Below is Out of Phase with the Empirical Realities of Creating Innovative Pharmaceutical Products  

Respondents and the Court of Appeal placed great weight on the allegation that Petitioner’s profit motive distorted its interests in bringing innovative pharmaceuticals to market. (Op. at 2, 28). But a focus on the narrow question of profits for a particular drug misunderstands the inordinate complexity of pharmaceutical development and risks seriously impeding the rate of drug development overall. A pharmaceutical medicine is priced not only to recoup the substantial costs of its particular development, but also to account for the numerous failures and mediocre successes that make up the company’s drug development portfolio overall.  (See, e.g., F. M. Scherer, Pricing, Profits, and Technological Progress in the Pharmaceutical Industry, 7 J. Econ. Persp. 97, 113 (1993)). 

Drug companies invest massive amounts of money into research, and most of these attempts fail. What makes this huge investment worthwhile is the rare success story when they discover a drug that works better than what is currently available. When they do find such a breakthrough drug, companies are eager to get it to market as quickly as possible. Profit incentives play a large role in moving this process along.  

Indeed, Respondents’ claim on this ground is essentially self-refuting. If the “superior” product they claim was withheld for “profit” reasons was indeed superior, then Petitioner could have expected to make a superior return on that product. (See Armen A. Alchian & William R. Allen, Exchange & Production: Competition, Coordination, & Control (1983), at 292) (Noting that companies will adopt superior technologies in order to recoup greater profit opportunities). Thus, Respondents claim they were allegedly “harmed” by not having access to a product that was still many years and many millions of dollars away from commercialization, even though Petitioner had every incentive to release a potentially successful alternative as soon as possible, subject to a complex host of scientific and business considerations affecting the timing of that decision. Indeed, Petitioner explicitly considered releasing TAF if it proved to be superior to TDF because, in such a case, it expected to realize over $1 billion in additional revenue. (Petitioner’s Opening Brief at 18). That is to say, Petitioner would have had much greater gain from releasing TAF earlier if it believed it was likely to be more effective and safer and likely to make it through FDA review. Sitting on TAF, had Petitioner truly believed it to be safer and more effective, would have inexplicably left a tremendous amount of profit on the table.  

Relatedly, the Court of Appeal’s decision rests on the unfounded assumption that Petitioner “knew” TAF was safer than TDF after completing a limited Phase I and Phase II trial. This ignores the realities of the drug development process and the inherent uncertainty of obtaining FDA approval, even after promising early results. Passing Phase I trials, which typically involve a small number of healthy volunteers, is a far cry from having a marketable drug. According to the Biotechnology Innovation Organization, only 7.9% of drugs that enter Phase I trials ultimately obtain FDA approval.1 (Biotechnology Innovation Organization, Clinical Development Success Rates and Contributing Factors 2011-2020, Fig. 8b (2021), available at https://perma.cc/D7EY-P22Q.) Even after Phase II trials, which assess efficacy and side effects in a larger patient population, the success rate is only about 15.1%. (Id.) Thus, at the time Petitioner decided to pause TAF development, it faced significant uncertainty about whether TAF would ever reach the market, let alone ultimately prove safer than TDF. 

Moreover, the clock on Petitioner’s patent exclusivity for TAF was ticking throughout the development process. Patent protection for new drugs officially lasts 20 years from the filing date (FDA, Patents and Exclusivity, (May 2015), FDA/CDER SBIA CHRONICLES, https://www.fda.gov/media/92548/download) but, due to the lengthy development process and other regulatory factors, pharmaceutical companies typically enjoy only about 12 years of actual market exclusivity. (See Aaron S. Kesselheim, Determinants of Market Exclusivity for Prescription Drugs in the United States, The Commonwealth Fund, https://www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/journal-article/2017/sep/determinants-market-exclusivity-prescription-drugs-united; see also Dean G. Brown, et al., Clinical Development Times for Innovative Drugs, 21(11) Nat Rev Drug Discov. 793, 794 (2022), https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9869766/ (Noting that the pre-release period of a pharmaceutical averages 10 years, about half the life of the statutory patent term) ). Exactly how much market exclusivity a manufacturer has for a given drug will depend in large part on how quickly it successfully navigates the regulatory process.  Had Petitioner “known” that TAF was a safer and more effective drug, it would have had every incentive to bring it to market as soon as possible to maximize the period of patent protection and the potential to recoup its investment.  The fact that Petitioner instead chose to focus on TDF strongly suggests that it did not have the level of certainty the Court of Appeal attributed to it.  

Notwithstanding popular (mis)perception, economists generally dispute that companies have an incentive to unilaterally suppress innovation for economic gain, because “it is rare to uncover cases where a worthwhile technology has been suppressed altogether.” (John J. Flynn, Antitrust Policy, Innovation Efficiencies, and the Suppression of Technology, 66 Antitrust L.J. 487, 490 (1998)). 

Calling such claims “folklore,” the economists Armen Alchian and William Allen note that, “if such a [technology] did exist, it could be made and sold at a price reflecting the value of [the new technology], a net profit to the owner.” (Alchian & Allen, supra, at 292). Indeed, “even a monopolist typically will have an incentive to adopt an unambiguously superior technology.” (Joel M. Cohen and Arthur J. Burke, An Overview of the Antitrust Analysis of Suppression of Technology, 66 Antitrust L.J. 421, 429 n. 28 (1998)). While nominal suppression of technology can occur for a multitude of commercial and technological reasons, there is scant evidence that doing so coincides with harm to consumers, except where doing so affirmatively interferes with market competition under the antitrust laws—a claim not advanced here.  

One reason the tort system is inapt for second-guessing commercial development and marketing decisions is that those decisions may be made for myriad reasons that do not map onto the specific safety concern of a products-liability action. For example, in the 1930s, AT&T abandoned the commercial development of magnetic recording “for ideological reasons. . . . Management feared that availability of recording devices would make customers less willing to use the telephone system and so undermine the concept of universal service.” (Mark Clark, Suppressing Innovation: Bell Laboratories and Magnetic Recording, 34 Tech. & Culture 516, 520-24 (1993)). One could easily imagine arguments that coupling telephones and recording devices would promote safety. For instance, a domestic abuse victim could claim that she would have had sufficient evidence to seek a restraining order against her abuser had she been able to produce recordings of harassing phone calls. And a failure of AT&T to bring to market technology it knew could be used for such beneficial purposes represented a negligent failure to market (or innovate) in line with the Court of Appeal’s holding. But the determination of whether safety or universal service (and the avoidance of privacy invasion) was a “better” basis for deciding whether to pursue the innovation is not within the ambit of tort law (nor the capability of a products-liability jury). And yet, it would necessarily become so if the Court of Appeal’s decision were to stand. 

 B. Public Policy Considerations 

Even if California law did not clearly require proof of a product defect to advance the suit in question, the weight of public policy considerations is strongly against the holding below. As this Court has observed, “[F]oreseeability alone is not sufficient to create an independent tort duty. ‘“ . . . [The] existence [of a duty] depends upon the foreseeability of the risk and a weighing of policy considerations for and against imposition of liability.”’” (Erlich v. Menezes (1999) 21 Cal.4th 543, 552.)  It is appropriate, therefore, to avoid assigning liability where the undesirable consequences of assigning liability outweigh the perceived benefits. (Cabral v. Ralphs Grocery Co. (2011) 51 Cal.4th 764, 781; see also Merrill, supra, 26 Cal.4th at 502.) Even if this Court were inclined to accept Respondents’ arguments on whether a manufacturer may be held liable for injury from a non-defective product, the downstream chilling effects on innovation of finding liability here would be disastrous to pharmaceutical development in particular, and product development in general.  

Although our purpose here is not to engage in a full discussion of the Rowland factors for analyzing a duty of care under Civil Code section 1714, (Rowland v. Christian (1968) 69 Cal.2d 108, 113-16), here, three of the factors directly bear on a main argument of this amicus brief: public policy strongly cautions against extending a capacious duty of care to pharmaceutical manufacturers contemplating alternative drug development. In particular, the aim of preventing future harm, the extent of burden to the defendant, and the consequences of the decision to the community.  (Kesner v. Superior Court (2016) 1 Cal.5th 1132, 1145). 

The Court of Appeal notes that “a duty that placed manufacturers ‘under an endless obligation to pursue ever-better new products or improvements to existing products’ would be unworkable and unwarranted,” (Op. 10), yet avers that “plaintiffs are not asking us to recognize such a duty” because “their negligence claim is premised on Gilead’s possession of such an alternative in TAF; they complain of Gilead’s knowing and intentionally withholding such a treatment….” (Id).  

From an economic standpoint, this is a distinction without a difference.  

Both a “duty to invent” and a “duty to market” what is already invented would increase the cost of bringing any innovative product to market by saddling the developer with an expected additional (and unavoidable) obligation as a function of introducing the initial product. In both cases, it disincentives investigations into developing products.2 

This Court in Brown v. Superior Court, (44 Cal. 3d 1049 (1988)), worried explicitly about the “[p]ublic policy” implications of excessive liability rules for the provision of lifesaving drugs. (Id. at 1063-65). As the Court in Brown explained, drug manufacturers “might be reluctant to undertake research programs to develop some pharmaceuticals that would prove beneficial or to distribute others that are available to be marketed, because of the fear of large adverse monetary judgments.” (Id. at 1063). The Court of Appeal agreed, noting that “the court’s decision [in Brown] was grounded in public policy concerns. Subjecting prescription drug manufacturers to strict liability for design defects, the court worried, might discourage drug development or inflate the cost of otherwise affordable drugs.” (Op. 29). 

In rejecting the relevance of the argument here, however, the Court of Appeal (very briefly) argued a) that Brown espoused only a policy against burdening pharmaceutical companies with a duty stemming from unforeseeable harms, (Op. 49-50), and b) that the relevant cost here might be “some failed or wasted efforts,” but not a reduction in safety. (Op. 51). Related, the Court of Appeal also makes the mistaken justification that the new duty will be unlikely to have negative effects, because it will be difficult to establish breach.  (Op. at 52-3).  

All of these claims are erroneous.  

On the first, the legalistic distinction between foreseeable and unforeseeable harm was not, in fact, the determinative distinction in Brown. Rather, that distinction was relevant only because it maps onto the issue of incentives. In the face of unforeseeable, and thus unavoidable, harms, the risk of liability would be so great that pharmaceutical companies would have severely diminished incentives to develop and market beneficial new drugs.  For that reason, Brown disapproved of imposing strict liability for injuries arising from prescription medicines.  As for foreseeable harms, the Court in Brown determined that incentives to innovate would be best furthered by constraining liability for pharmaceutical manufacturers to (1) negligent design defect claims; (2) manufacturing defect claims; and (3) failure to warn claims. (Brown, 44 Cal.3d at 1069 fn.12.)  To be sure, the Court wanted to ensure that the beneficial, risk-reduction effects of the tort system were not entirely removed from pharmaceutical companies. But the Court in Brown made clear that the pharmaceutical industry presents significant countervailing considerations that warranted a more limited scope of liability:  

“Perhaps a drug might be made safer if it was withheld from the market until scientific skill and knowledge advanced to the point at which additional dangerous side effects would be revealed. But in most cases such a delay in marketing new drugs — added to the delay required to obtain approval for release of the product from the Food and Drug Administration — would not serve the public welfare. Public policy favors the development and marketing of beneficial new drugs, even though some risks, perhaps serious ones, might accompany their introduction, because drugs can save lives and reduce pain and suffering.” (Id. at 1063). 

That same calculus applies here, and it is this consideration, not a superficial question of foreseeability, that animated the Court in Brown. 

On the second, the Court of Appeal inexplicably fails to acknowledge that the true cost of the imposition of excessive liability risk from a “duty to market” (or “duty to innovate”) is not limited to the expenditure of wasted resources, but the non-expenditure of any resources. The court’s contention appears to contemplate that such a duty would not remove a firm’s incentive to innovate entirely, although it might deter it slightly by increasing its expected cost. But economic incentives operate at the margin. Even if there remains some profit incentive to continue to innovate, the imposition of liability risk simply for the act of doing so would necessarily reduce the amount of innovation (in some cases, and especially for some smaller companies less able to bear the additional cost, to the point of deterring innovation entirely). But even this reduction in incentive is a harm. The fact that some innovation may still occur despite the imposition of considerable liability risk is not a defense of the imposition of that risk; rather, it is a reason to question its desirability, exactly as this Court did in Brown.   

This fact is particularly relevant in light of the public policy of California to not extend a duty of care where the costs of imposing a duty outstrip the benefits and where the consequences to the community would be detrimental. (Cabral, supra, 51 Cal.4th at p. 781-82). In considering this point the Court of Appeal assumed away the impacts of judicial second guessing on the incentives to innovate in the pharmaceutical industry, in part by crediting Respondents’ argument that drug makers have an incentive to forego larger profits on potential blockbuster drugs by extending the patent term on inferior medicines. (Op. 49-50). But, as noted above, there is no serious evidence that suggests that firms forego greater profit opportunities when a superior product is available.  (Alchian & Allen, supra, at 292). Because there is no harm to be mitigated by the new duty, all it does is disincentivize innovation, resulting in net negative policy consequences 

1. The Court of Appeal’s Decision Would Create Perverse Incentives that Stifle Pharmaceutical Innovation 

Innovation is a long-term, iterative process fraught with uncertainty. During the research and development process, it is impossible to know whether a potential new drug will ultimately prove superior to existing drugs. Most attempts at innovation fail to yield a marketable product, let alone one that is safer or more effective than its predecessors. Deciding whether to pursue a particular line of research depends on weighing myriad factors, including the anticipated benefits of the new drug, the time and expense required to develop it, and its financial viability relative to existing products. Sometimes, potentially promising drug candidates are not pursued fully, even if theoretically “better” than existing drugs to some degree, because the expected benefits are not sufficient to justify the substantial costs and risks of development and commercialization. And all of this occurs against the backdrop of the clock running down on the length of available patent protection.   

If left to stand, the Court of Appeal’s decision would mean that whenever this stage of development is reached for a drug that may offer any safety improvement, the manufacturer will face potential liability for failing to bring that drug to market, regardless of the costs and risks involved in its development or the extent of the potential benefit. Such a rule would have severe unintended consequences that would stifle innovation. 

First, by exposing manufacturers to liability on the basis of early-stage research that has not yet established a drug candidate’s safety and efficacy, the Court of Appeal’s rule would deter manufacturers from pursuing innovations in the first place. Drug research involves constant iteration, with most efforts failing and the potential benefits of success highly uncertain until late in the process. If any improvement, no matter how small or tentative, could trigger liability for failing to develop the new drug, manufacturers will be deterred from trying to innovate at all. 

Second, such a rule would force manufacturers to direct scarce resources to developing and commercializing drugs that offer only small or incremental benefits because failing to do so would invite litigation. This would necessarily divert funds away from research into other potential drugs that could yield greater advancements. Further, as each small improvement is made, it reduces the relative potential benefit from, and therefore the incentive to undertake, further improvements. Rather than promoting innovation, the Court of Appeal’s decision would create incentives that favor small, incremental changes over larger, riskier leaps with the greatest potential to significantly advance patient welfare. 

Third, and conversely, the Court of Appeal’s decision would set an unrealistic and dangerous standard of perfection for drug development. Requiring pharmaceutical companies to market only the theoretically “safest” version of a drug would create an impossible standard, as it would force them to exhaustively test every potential alternative compound before release. This would not only drastically delay patient access to effective treatments, but it also ignores the reality that drug safety varies from person to person. Instead, companies should be permitted to market drugs that meet established safety thresholds, even if safer versions might hypothetically be developed in the future. 

Fourth, the threat of liability would lead to inefficient and costly distortions in how businesses organize their research and development efforts. To minimize the risk of liability, manufacturers may avoid integrating ongoing research into existing product lines, instead keeping the processes separate unless and until a potential new technology is developed that offers benefits so substantial as to clearly warrant the costs and liability exposure of its development in the context of an existing drug line. Such an incentive would prevent potentially beneficial innovations from being pursued and would increase the costs of drug development. 

Finally, the ruling would create perverse incentives that could actually discourage drug companies from developing and introducing safer alternative drugs. If bringing a safer drug to market later could be used as evidence that the first-generation drug was not safe enough, companies may choose not to invest in developing improved versions at all in order to avoid exposing themselves to liability. This would, of course, directly undermine the goal of increasing drug safety overall. 

2. The Court of Appeal’s Decision Would Delay Initial Drug Releases 

The Court of Appeal’s ruling would create an additional, potentially deadly consequence: delaying the initial release of life-saving medications. Pharmaceutical companies often discover multiple promising formulations simultaneously during drug development. Under the Court of Appeal’s new liability framework, when a company identifies multiple potential formulations, it would face strong incentives to delay releasing any formulation until all variants complete FDA trials. This is because once a company has knowledge of multiple formulations, it could face liability for releasing anything but the safest version—even if that “safest” version is years away from FDA approval. 

The HIV treatment context illustrates the potentially devastating human cost of such delays. When Petitioner initially brought TDF to market, it had already identified TAF as another promising formulation. Under the Court of Appeal’s ruling, Petitioner would have faced pressure to delay releasing TDF until TAF completed FDA trials to avoid potential liability. This would have meant years of delay before any effective HIV treatment reached patients. 

The empirical evidence suggests such delays would have had devastating consequences. Before TDF’s introduction, HIV mortality rates were significantly higher.  For example, World Health Organization data shows the U.S. HIV mortality rate standing at 5.38 per 100,000 people in 2000, the year before TDF was introduced. In 2021, that rate had fallen to 1.51 per 100,000.?(Death rate from HIV/AIDS, Our World In Data, available at https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-from-hivaids-who?tab=table (last visited Nov. 4, 2024) ). A 2017 report detailed the importance of the introduction to TDF in combatting AIDS, noting that it “showed superior viral load suppression and tolerability as compared to [other ART regimens].” (Tegene Legese Dadi, et al., Efficacy and Tolerability of Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate Based Regimen as Compared to Zidovudine Based Regimens: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, AIDS Research and Treatment (2017), https://doi.org/10.1155/2017/5792925). 

By bringing TDF to market when it did, rather than waiting for TAF’s development, Petitioner provided earlier access to life-saving treatment for HIV patients. The Court of Appeal’s ruling would create incentives that work against such prompt deployment of beneficial treatments. For patients suffering from life-threatening conditions, such delays could prove fatal. This Court should not adopt a rule that would incentivize pharmaceutical companies to withhold beneficial treatments while pursuing perfect ones. 

3. The Court of Appeal Assumed a Very Superficial Level of Evidence Was Required for a Manufacturer to “Know” that a Drug Candidate is Superior 

The Court of Appeal gave insufficient consideration to these severe policy consequences of the duty it recognized. Indeed, the Court of Appeal came very close to understanding these public policy arguments but ultimately missed them when it noted that “[b]ecause plaintiffs assert that Gilead knew TAF was safer than TDF, we also conduct the Rowland analysis under the assumption that the drug manufacturer knows that the alternative drug is safer than (and at least as effective as) the current drug.” (Op. 39.) (emphasis added). One more step of analysis reveals how unworkable this superficially reasonable statement becomes. What does it mean to “know” that a drug is at least as effective and has less side effects than a current medicine that has been through rigorous testing and FDA approval and is actually a known quantity? When looking at its drug development pipeline, the most that could be said is that Petitioner hoped that TAF would ultimately be a more successful drug, but that given TAF’s equivocal early testing results, the long approval process, and the need for much more extensive testing there was no way it could know such information.  

The Court of Appeal merely glosses over this epistemic uncertainty and asserts there would not be net harm to the community because the duty it created “does not apply generally to “improved” products, but only to products that the manufacturer knows will avoid significant side effects of a manufacturer’s existing product.” (Op. 52) (emphasis added). Again, the Court of Appeal assumes away the fact that demonstrating what a manufacturer knows with a relatively undeveloped product in comparison to one that is ready to market is an extremely complicated question. Every alternative drug of any promise will be able to form the basis of expensive litigation that distracts drug makers away from the task of discovering, testing, and marketing pharmaceuticals. This is why the extensive process the FDA oversees is so critical in this context. In an imperfect world of uncertainty, it gives us a pathway upon which to depend that pharmaceuticals will be net beneficial. The notion that a jury without any expert training and operating with hindsight bias could determine that a manufacturer knew (or even “should have known”) that a developmental drug was safer than an existing one is absurd. Second guessing that process will only chill incentives for research and development.  

Indeed, as Petitioner notes in its brief, the undisputed facts around drug development demonstrate that “knowing” a drug is safer and more effective is extraordinarily difficult to determine, particularly early on in the process. (Petitioner’s Opening Brief at 60-61) (Noting the exorbitant cost of developing drugs, the high failure rate of drug candidates overall, and the high failure rate of drugs that make it to Phase III clinical trials). In short, in a legal and economic sense, to “know” something about the efficacy and safety of a drug candidate is only possible once the regulatory process is all-but-completed before the FDA—and potentially not until after FDA approval, once there have been large-scale head-to-head comparative studies. The Court of Appeal’s position on Petitioner’s “knowing” that TAF was safer or more effective puts drug developers in a bind. On the one hand the Court of Appeal wants the law to presume some hidden knowledge with which to create a binding obligation on drug developers. But on the other, the FDA itself treats claims about safety and efficacy of unapproved drugs as false or misleading advertisements. (21 U.S.C. §§ 331, 352; 21 C.F.R. § 202.1(e)(6)(i)-(ii), (xvi)). Petitioner is eminently reasonable in pointing to the necessity of completing Phase III and head-to-head clinical trials before we can say there is anything approaching “knowing” that a drug is superior.   

And this is the very core of problem: The Court of Appeal believes that courts and attorneys can more readily second guess the expensive and uncertain drug R&D process. The Court of Appeal expects that this second-guessing will not end up with pharmaceutical firms becoming much more conservative in exactly how much they put into researching new treatments. This completely misunderstands the drug development process. In short, a manufacturer’s decision when to bring a potentially safer and more effective drug to market involves complex trade-offs that courts and juries are ill-equipped to second-guess—particularly in the limited context of a products liability determination. 

III. CONCLUSION 

The Court of Appeal’s novel duty to develop and market any potentially less-harmful alternative to an existing non-defective product would deter innovation to the detriment of consumers. The Court of Appeal failed to adequately consider how its decision would distort incentives in a way that harms the very patients the tort system is meant to protect. This Court should reverse the Court of Appeal’s decision to prevent this unprecedented expansion of tort liability from distorting manufacturers’ incentives to develop new and better products  

Amicus Brief

ICLE Highlights

Eric Fruits on Portland’s Economy

ICLE Senior Scholar Eric Fruits was a guest on NW Fresh to discuss the state of Portland, Oregon’s economy. Video of the full segment is embedded below.

Presentations & Interviews

The Cost of Payments: A Review

I. Introduction

Atlanta’s Mercedes-Benz Stadium in 2018 became the first major sports venue in the United States to switch to a fully cashless payment system. At the end of the new payment model’s first year of operations, the stadium reported that wait times had fallen by 20 to 30 seconds and per-capita food and beverage sales had risen by 16%, while saving more than $350,000 in operating expenses.[1]

Many other stadiums have since followed the Mercedes-Benz example,[2] and a growing number of restaurants and retail outlets are likewise going cashless. While some of these decisions were precipitated by COVID-19, the trend predated the pandemic and has continued in its wake, driven by a desire to reduce wait times and other costs associated with cash, such as counting and depositing it at the bank and mitigating the risk of robbery.[3]

Other merchants are keeping cash payments, for now, but many are no longer accepting personal checks. Target announced in early July that it would cease accepting checks July 15.[4] Several others—ranging from Whole Foods to Old Navy—recently have announced similar policies. The reasons for dropping checks are similar to those for cash: the cost of acceptance outweighs the benefits. Check transactions take much longer than cash, card, or mobile payments, and they come with a significant risk that the check will “bounce.” For Target, however, the final nail in the coffin was the “extremely low volumes” of check writing, which meant it no longer made sense to maintain check-acceptance facilities, which come with fixed costs.

Merchants are meeting their customers where they find them. In a 2022 Pew poll, 41% of Americans said they didn’t use cash in a typical week, while only 14% said they used cash for most or all their purchases—down from 24% in 2015.[5] These numbers are consistent with a Gallup poll the same year that found only 13% Americans stated that they used cash for most purchases.[6] It’s possible that the decline in cash use was exaggerated by the COVID-19 pandemic; a more recent Forbes poll found that 22% said they use cash most often for making purchases.[7] Nonetheless, the same Forbes poll found that 70% of Americans use cards most often, while 7% used digital wallets and 1% said they most often use buy-now-pay-later schemes.[8]

The Federal Reserve Board’s Diary of Consumer Payment Choice has also found a consistent decline in the proportion of payments made using cash. In volume terms, cash has largely been replaced by credit and debit cards (Figure 1).[9]

FIGURE 1: Share of Payment-Instrument Use for All US Payments (2016-2022)

SOURCE: Federal Reserve Board Diary of Consumer Payment Choice

Moreover, according to surveys by Pew (Figure 2), Americans at all income levels have reduced their use of cash and increased their use of cashless payments over the past decade.[10] In 2015, those with an annual income of $30,000 or less made substantially all their purchases using cash, while only 15% of that group made no purchases using cash. By 2022, the proportion only using cash had fallen to 30%, while the proportion not using cash at all had risen to 24%. In all other income groups, the proportion not using cash is now higher than the proportion only using cash.

FIGURE 2: Proportion of US Adults Who Use Cash for Their Purchases

SOURCE: Pew Research Center

Clearly, consumers have a strong and growing preference for electronic payments in general and cards in particular. But stories of the death of cash are premature. A recent YouGov poll found that, when asked to list all payment methods used in the past 30 days, cash was the one used by the largest proportion of respondents (67%).[11] This result does not necessarily contradict the other surveys: it is likely that most people who use cash do so only intermittently and for smaller purchases.

Despite this strong and growing preference for electronic payments by both merchants and consumers, there remains some confusion about the costs and benefits of different payment methods. The purpose of this white paper is to summarize the existing literature on the relative costs of cash, other paper-based payments (primarily checks), and electronic payments.[12]

In short, the evidence shows that, when all costs and all parties to a transaction are considered, electronic payments (debit cards, credit cards, and mobile payments) are more cost-effective than cash for most transactions. The main reason for this is that electronic payments enable consumers to spend more than they have in their wallet, which results in “ticket lift” for merchants. Card rewards, including cashback and merchant-specific loyalty programs, further increase this ticket lift.[13] In addition, “tap-and-pay” contactless payments can reduce the time it takes to tender payment relative to cash, especially when cash payments are eliminated altogether. This increases throughput, improving the customer experience and reducing labor costs. Finally, electronic payments enable merchants to sell online, including for in-store pickup.

It should be noted that this is not an argument for eliminating cash, which is likely to continue to play an important (if smaller) role in payments for many years to come. Rather, it is intended to offer a more balanced perspective on the role of cash and electronic payments in retail and other merchant settings—and to consider the implications for payments regulation.

A. Organization of the Review

Payments typically involve at least three parties: a seller, a buyer, and a bank. Where the buyer and seller use different banks, there will be at least four parties (unless one of those parties has chosen the self-custody option—also known as “cash under the mattress”). Depending on the payment method used, there may be other parties involved; for example, card payments may involve other processors, while cash payments may involve security companies moving physical cash to and from the merchant’s bank.

Each payment also typically involves a series of actions. For example, when making a purchase at a store, after items have been recorded at the register, the cashier tells the customer the total that is owed; the customer then proffers a means of payment (typically card, cash, or mobile); and the cashier processes the payment. In the case of cash, this will likely include calculating and returning change; for a chip-based card, it may involve dipping and either entering a PIN or rendering customer signature; or, if it is a contactless payment (card or phone) and the amount is below the floor limit, the customer may simply tap and go.

Most studies of the cost of payments use, in part at least, a version of “activity-based costing” (“ABC”) that seeks to account for all the costs associated with a particular payment type by assessing all of the associated activities.[14] There are, however, significant differences among the studies, both in what types of costs are included and how those costs are allocated. Broadly speaking, studies can be divided into those that focus exclusively on one party in the payment system (merchant, bank, or consumer) and those that seek to account for the costs to all (or, at least, most) parties—and hence to society. Reflecting these differences, the paper is organized as follows:

Section II reviews partial-cost studies, including those that focus exclusively on costs to merchants and costs to consumers.

Section III reviews social-cost studies that seek to evaluate the costs and benefits of different payment systems more broadly.

Section IV offers some conclusions.

II. Partial-Cost Studies

Many studies of the cost of payments focus primarily, if not exclusively, on the costs incurred by one part of the payment system—usually merchants. This section considers those studies, looking first at merchants, then consumers, then banks.

A. Merchant-Cost Studies

While merchant-cost studies are inherently narrow in scope and should not, by themselves, form the basis of public policy, they can offer valuable insights. For example, a 1983 study by the Federal Reserve noted that:

Many retailers tend to view the costs of handling cash transactions as equivalent to the cost of doing business—a sales clerk, for instance, must be on hand to conduct transactions of whatever type. Thus there is a tendency to regard the marginal cost of selling for cash as zero, but this view should not be adopted without critical examination.

There are many elements of cost associated with the handling of a sales transaction. Some costs may be higher for check or credit card transactions, but others may be higher for cash.[15]

The report went on to list many of the costs that should be considered, including the time to conclude the transaction, security costs, and counterparty risk.[16] Nonetheless, the study concluded that cash was generally less costly for merchants than other forms of payment, including cards, in part because it assumed that the use of payment cards does not result in a net increase in sales.

1. Robert M. Grant’s pioneering study

Another study published in 1983 (but undertaken prior to the Federal Reserve study) considered the costs of several different retail-payment methods in the United Kingdom: “Cash; Cheques; Bank credit cards (Access and Visa); Travel and entertainment (T&E) credit cards (American Express and Diners Club); and In-house credit accounts.”[17] The line items considered in this study can be seen in Table 1. Of note, in contrast to the Federal Reserve study, author Robert M. Grant concluded that, while the direct cost of credit cards and in-house credit were higher than the direct costs of cash and checks, these costs were more than offset by increases in sales, which the author accounted for as a reduction in the unit cost of overhead.[18] One reason Grant found such significant increases in sales associated with payment cards and store credit was that such payments represented 11% of sales in stores that took credit, compared with about 6% for all stores. Grant therefore reasonably assumed that between 20% and 30% of sales made using credit constituted “additional” sales.[19]

TABLE 1: Average Cost of Payment Methods as % of Retailer’s Revenue (1981)

SOURCE: Robert M. Grant

2. Accounting for ‘ticket lift’ and increased throughput: Layne Farrar (2011)

Many subsequent studies have sought to assess the relative costs to merchants of accepting different forms of payment. Unlike Grant’s original study, however, few of have attempted to account for the effect the method of payment might have on demand. One that did take such an approach was a 2011 study by Anne Layne-Farrar, who found that the use of payment cards were associated with higher per-transaction (“ticket”) amounts; this is known as “ticket lift.”[20]

Layne-Farrar looked at the costs and benefits of different payment methods at a range of different retail outlets: quick-serve restaurants (QSR), supermarkets, discount retailers, retail-gasoline outlets, and travel retailers (stores at train stations and airports). She begins her account of the QSR analysis with the following observation:

In 1998, Sonic Inc., an Oklahoma City based drive-in chain, became one of the first QSRs to accept cards at its 2,200 restaurant locations. According to an article published three years later, in 2001, the increasing relative costs of handling cash as compared to card payments was the primary motivation for Sonic. Technological advances over time have lowered the network and equipment costs of processing card transactions while the costs of handling cash appear to have remained flat. Sonic found that customer orders (tickets) paid by card were 80 percent higher than cash tickets. In other words, although Sonic decided to accept cards in order to lower its cash handling costs, it found direct benefits from card acceptance in the form of dramatically higher sales.

KFC began accepting cards in 2001, three years after Sonic. In contrast to Sonic, as its motivation KFC cited specific benefits expected from cards, rather than solely the savings derived from reduced cash handling. Specifically, KFC began accepting payment cards as a way to sell its higher priced group meals, such as large buckets of chicken with side dish containers and packages of biscuits.[21]

Following this prelude, Layne-Farrar provides a detailed analysis of the various costs associated with accepting different payment methods, the average sizes of transaction made with those methods, and the benefits of increased revenue resulting from the use of payment cards relative to cash.

Layne-Farrar found that, in addition to ticket lift, the use of payment cards reduced average transaction time, resulting in increased throughput of customers, which resulted in a further increase in revenue. Table 2 provides a summary of Layne-Farrar’s estimates of the costs and benefits from the use of different payment methods for an average transaction assuming ticket lift of 10%, which Layne-Farrar saw as a low amount (she also calculated the effects of 20% ticket lift).[22] While cash transactions were less costly to process at the average ticket size, when taking into account ticket lift and throughput improvements, the net benefits per-transaction were significantly higher for debit cards.

TABLE 2: Per-Transaction Costs and Benefits for QSRs (2011)

SOURCE: Layne-Farrar

Tables 3-7 are Layne-Farrar’s estimates of the net benefits of using different transaction methods at big-box discount retailers, supermarkets, gas-station retail, non-fuel convenience stores, and travel retail.[23] In each case, only the low-ticket-lift option is given (the net benefits of the high-ticket-lift option are always greater); nonetheless, the net benefits of debit cards exceed those of cash and, where checks are evaluated, those as well. The clear conclusion of this work is that, by the time Layne-Farrar undertook her analysis in 2011, acceptance of debit cards generated per-transaction net benefits for merchants that exceeded those of cash.

TABLE 3: Per-Transaction Costs and Benefits for Big-Box Discount Stores

SOURCE: Layne-Farrar (2011)

TABLE 4: Per-Transaction Costs and Benefits for Supermarkets

SOURCE: Layne-Farrar (2011)

TABLE 5: Net Benefit Per Fuel Transaction ($) for Gas-Station Retail

SOURCE: Layne-Farrar (2011)

TABLE 6: Net Benefit Per Non-Fuel Transaction ($) for Convenience Stores

SOURCE: Layne-Farrar (2011)

TABLE 7: Net Benefit Per Fuel Transaction ($) for Travel Retail

SOURCE: Layne-Farrar (2011)

3. Economists Inc.

In 2014, Economists Inc. carried out a study similar to Layne-Farrar’s, but went into even more granular detail regarding the merchants’ processes for accepting payments, focusing on five merchants: a fast-food restaurant, a full-serve restaurant, a gas station, a convenience store, and a small independent grocery store.[24] They also included both credit and debit cards in their analysis.

Table 8 shows tender times for cash and credit (including debit run as “credit”) at the five merchants.[25] It is noteworthy that both the mean and median tender times at the fast-food restaurant and grocery store were slightly lower than for cash, whereas the in-person tender times at other merchants were slightly higher for credit.

These differences may reflect different rates of throughput and associated investment in technology and training. At higher-throughput merchants, such as grocery stores and fast-food restaurants, there are likely greater returns on investments in technology that integrates checkouts with point-of-service (POS) machines, for example, such that the checkout operator does not need to re-input information to the POS machine.[26]

The tender time for self-service gas pumps is, perhaps unsurprisingly, considerably shorter than the time when paying in-store, as this avoids the shoe-leather time involved with walking to the store to pay and back.

TABLE 8: Tender Times at the Merchants Studied by Economists Inc

SOURCE: Economists Inc. (2014)

Like Layne-Farrar, Economists Inc. found that the use of payment cards resulted in significantly higher purchase amounts relative to cash. This ticket lift can be seen in Table 9, which shows that, for every establishment, the minimum, maximum, mean, and median payments are nearly all higher for payments made using credit cards (or debit run as “credit”) than for cash.[27] (The one exception is the minimum for in-store gas and joint sales at the gas station.)

Economists Inc. also reported that merchants themselves had indicated that, when they began accepting card payments, they noticed a significant increase in sales.[28]

TABLE 9: Amounts Spent When Using Cash or Credit

SOURCE: Economists Inc. (2014)

4.  Ticket lift and increased throughput from contactless

Contactless payments use RFID to transmit tokenized payment information from a card or from a smartphone. While the first contactless payment cards were introduced in the mid-1990s, and an EMV contactless standard was first developed in 1996, their uptake by both card issuers and merchants was initially low, especially in the United States.[29] However, the vast majority of U.S. debit and credit cards now support contactless payments, more than 150 million Americans have used contactless payment apps on their smartphones and, as of 2020, 58% of U.S. merchants accepted them.[30] Evidence from other jurisdictions suggest this switch to contactless is likely to result in both ticket lift and increased throughput.

A 2020 study by David Bounie and Youssouf Camara looked at the effects on 2018 sales of the shift to contactless payments at 275,580 merchants in France.[31] The researchers found that merchants who accepted contactless payments had card sales that were 15.3% higher, on average, than merchants who did not accept contactless payments.[32]

A 2022 study by Sumit Agarwal, Wenlan Qian, Yuan Ren, Hsin-Tien Tsai, and Bernard Yeung looked at the effect of the introduction of “quick-response” (QR) code mobile payments in Singapore in 2017.[33]  The researchers found that “monthly business creation among business-to-consumer industries increased by 8.9% more than among business-to-business industries.”[34] Meanwhile, use of mobile payments tripled, while use of automated-teller machines (ATMs) fell dramatically. Of particular note, consumers increased their credit-card spending by 3.3%, driving most of the increase in consumer spending that led to the increase in B2C business formation.[35]

5. Fumiko Hayashi’s comparison of debit and cash

In a 2021 study, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas economist Fumiko Hayashi compared the cost of merchant acceptance of cash and debit cards in different countries. Table 10 reproduces the summary table in her study.[36]

TABLE 10: Merchant Acceptance Costs in Selected Countries, Various Years

SOURCE: Hayashi

Hayashi’s data for the Unted States are based on two studies: the first is the Food Marketing Institute (FMI) study from 2000 that formed the basis of the GHL analysis discussed at-length in Section III of this white paper, and the second is a Bank of Canada study that Hayashi coauthored with Marie-Hélène Felt, Joanna Stavins, and Angelika Welte[37].

There are several problems with both of these studies: first, as GHL point out, the FMI study does not consider costs associated with either theft or counterfeit when calculating the costs of cash.[38] Second, the “2018” data from the United States is based on 2015 survey data on the cost of acceptance in Canada that has been adjusted by using certain U.S.-specific data.[39] This was done despite Hayashi herself arguing in a previous paper coauthored with William Keeton that such practices are inappropriate, especially where the United States is concerned, noting that:

The danger of relying on other countries’ cost studies is particularly apparent for the United States, where checks and credit cards are used on a larger scale and more parties are involved in the payments process.[40]

Among other things, these differences in the mix of payment type will have an effect on the optimal fees charged by parties to the system, due to the two-sided nature of payments.[41] For example, the “interchange” fees retained by issuing banks might be higher in the United States due to issuers seeking to increase their share of the payments market by offering incentives for consumers to switch from checks to cards (for example, in the form of cashback or other rewards).[42] (These fees and incentive payments are essentially transfers within the system, not a net cost. Indeed, to the extent that they result in a shift to more socially efficient modes of payment, they are, on net, beneficial.)

At a more general level, Hayashi’s survey suffers from inappropriate aggregation. That is to say, whereas it is likely true that debit-acceptance costs exceed those of cash for some proportion of payments, it is unlikely to be true for all merchants and all amounts. Indeed, the study of the Netherlands that Hayashi used notes that, although the average cost of acceptance for debit was notionally higher than for cash in 2002, the “breakeven point” (when taking into account costs for both retailers and banks) was €11.63, which was below the average ticket size for debit (€44).[43]  Meanwhile, in 2009, the merchant-acceptance cost for debit was on average lower than for cash; the breakeven point had, however, fallen to €3.06, not zero.[44]

Finally, and related to the problem of inappropriate aggregation, Hayashi fails to consider the ticket-lift effect identified by Grant and confirmed by Layne-Farrar, Economists Inc, Bounie & Camara, and others.

6. Problems with generalizing across jurisdictions

There is broad agreement that the cost of using different payment types for a transaction of a given amount varies significantly across jurisdictions and sectors. For example, in their 2003 study of the Norwegian payment system, using data from a 2001 survey, Olaf Gresvik and Grete Øwre found that Norwegian banks operated payments at a loss (although technological improvements had decreased the cost of the payment system over time).[45] By contrast, at least until 2010, debit payments in the United States were used to cross-subsidize checking accounts.[46]

Within the United States, costs can vary considerably from state to state. For example, a cashier in San Jose, California, might earn $20/hour, while a cashier in Louisville, Kentucky, might earn $10/hour. If both cashiers take the same amount of time to tender payments, the tender costs in San Jose could be twice what they are in Louisville. Even within a state, salaries can vary somewhat, with cashiers in Smyrna, Tennessee earning an average of $14.36, according to Indeed.com, while those in Jackson, Tennessee earn only $11.45.[47]

But that is far from the whole story. While salaries might be higher in, e.g., California, the average ticket is also likely to be higher. Thus, the number of sales required per-dollar of income will be lower. This means that the average time to tender any specific dollar amount will be lower in California. How this affects the net costs to tender per-dollar depends on the ratio of spending to salaries, which is not only location-specific, but also merchant-specific.

7. Tender-time studies

A subcategory of merchant-cost studies focuses more narrowly on the time taken to tender a payment. These are essentially “time and motion studies” of the parts of the retail-checkout process that involves payment. Table 11 provides some examples of such studies. (These studies also have implications for consumers for whom the time taken to process payments and, relatedly, the time spent queuing has an opportunity cost, as discussed in Section III.)

TABLE 11: Tender Time Studies (Time to Complete Tender in Seconds)

[48][49][50][51][52] SOURCE: Polasik et al., adapted by author

8. Studies of the cost of accepting cash

A final subcategory of merchant cost-of-acceptance studies looks in greater detail exclusively at the cost of accepting cash. A relatively recent example in the U.S. context was produced by IHL Group, which undertook a very detailed activity-based costing.[53] Specifically, IHL identified nine activities associated with the cost of cash:

  1. Start/Rebuild Drawer-Functions related to opening drawer from initial deposit to rebuild of for next cashier.

  2. Closing Drawer-This includes functions related to closing out a drawer. Time for cashiers, managers, or cash office personnel to count and reconcile the drawer with POS or cash register totals.

  3. Pickups-This is inclusive of pickups during a shift for too much cash in the drawer or bills that are large denominations.

  4. Change Orders-Cost associated with a cashier requiring change throughout the shift

  5. Audits/Discrepancies– These are costs of redoing counts, auditing tills, and time associated with recounts for any discrepancies.

  6. Prepare/Coordinate Deposits-Costs associated with preparing or coordinating deposits.

  7. CIT/Deposit Costs-These are costs of Cash In Transit companies (armored trucks) or cost for managers or other employees to go to bank to make the deposits.

  8. Bank Charges-These are charges surrounding bank fees. This includes statement fees, reconciliation, cash value fees and change orders among other things.

  9. Cash Shrink-This is the cost of theft, fraud or other cash loss activities. This is cash that just disappears in the process. For this study we used previous data from other studies as a value.[54]

IHL then undertook several hundred interviews and numerous modeling exercises to establish the amount of time associated with actions 1-6 and, using wage estimates for each relevant job in each relevant location, they calculated the total cost for each such activity. They then added costs 7-9 to arrive at a total for each business.

IHL found that the average cost of cash across all segments was 9.1% of the revenue of the businesses studied.[55] Of this, the largest component was “close drawer,” accounting for about 40% of the total, whereas bank charges were only 4.3%.[56]

Table 12 shows the range of costs incurred by different businesses for accepting cash.[57] Even the lowest of these (food/grocery) has a cost of cash (4.7%) that is higher than the highest merchant-discount rates charged by acquiring banks.

TABLE 12: Cost of Cash by Segment

SOURCE: IHL

B. Consumer-Cost Studies

While most partial-cost studies focus on merchants, some look at consumers. Several studies have shown that transaction value is a key determinant of the method of payment. One explanation is that consumers want to avoid receiving a significant amount of change in the form of coins. Thus, Heng Chen, Kim P. Huynh, and Oz Shy of the Bank of Canada found that “a significant number of cash users … switch to paying with debit or credit cards at transaction values marginally above $5 and $10.” [58] They attribute this to “the burden of receiving coins as change associated with the currency denomination structure.”[59] (The Bank of Canada withdrew the $1 note in 1989 and the $2 note in 1996, leaving $5 as the smallest denomination bill.[60])

C. Bank-Costs Studies

A third category of partial-cost studies considers the costs to banks. The most notable example of this is the study undertaken by Olaf Gresvik and Grete Øwre mentioned above, which formally introduced the concept of activity-based costing (ABC) to payments and applied it to the processing of payments by Norwegian banks, based on a 2001 survey.[61]

III. Social-Cost Studies

The second category of payment-cost studies seeks to evaluate not only the costs to merchants, but the costs to society as a whole. An early focus of such studies was checks, which at the time were the dominant form of noncash payment. A 1990 paper by David Humphrey and Allen Berger considered the divergence between the private and social costs of payments in the United States, with a particular focus on checks, which the authors argued were overused because payor businesses (in particular) benefitted from the float[62] associated with checks that had not yet cleared.[63]

A 1996 paper by Kirstin Wells, using data from 1993, compared the social cost of checks with that of automated-clearinghouse (ACH) payments and concluded that, in contrast to the 1987 data used by Humphrey and Berger, there was not a significant difference in float cost between using checks and ACH.[64] Indeed, Wells estimated that the value of float fell 91.3% from an average of $1.04 to $0.09, mainly due to increases in the efficiency of check processing.[65]

Starting in the early 2000s, the focus of social-cost-of-payments studies shifted to retail payments and, specifically, to the relative cost of cash and payment cards (although checks were also evaluated in some studies in the 2000s, as they were then still quite widely used). This section focuses on such studies.

A. Garcia-Swartz, Hahn, and Layne-Farrar

In a study originally published by the AEI Brookings Joint Center for Regulatory Studies in 2004, and subsequently updated and published in the Review of Network Economics in 2006, Daniel Garcia-Swartz, Robert Hahn, and Anne Layne-Farrar (“GHL”) undertook arguably the first and still one of the most comprehensive social-cost (or benefit-cost) assessments of retail payments.[66]

1.  Merchant costs

The starting point for GHL was a study undertaken by the Food Marketing Institute (FMI) in 1998 that sought to calculate the direct costs of accepting various payment types, namely: cash, checks (verified and nonverified), credit cards, and debit cards (signature and PIN). These direct costs (as categorized by the FMI) were:

  1. “Tender-time”: this is the cost of the time spent by cashiers processing a transaction after ringing up all the items (this was based on another FMI study, from 2000, at which time cash remained quicker than card, and wages from the 2002 Bureau of Labor Statistics survey);

  2. “Deposit preparation”: this is the cost of the time taken to prepare a cash deposit (e.g. counting cash, reconciling the register drawer, preparing a deposit slip, etc.);

  3. “Bank charges”: these are the explicit fees charged by banks, such as a deposit fee for cash and checks, or the merchant discount rate for cards;

  4. “Other direct costs”: these include costs such as using armored cars to transport cash, collection costs and losses on “bounced” checks, and credit card chargebacks.[67]

Table 13 reproduces GHL’s summary table showing these initial calculations.[68] As can be seen, based only on these costs, the per-transaction cost of cash is lower than that of other payment types. The amount tendered in the average cash transaction is, however, much lower than the amount tendered in other transaction types. When scaled to $100 of sales, cash is the second-most costly for the merchant, after credit cards, while verified checks are the least costly.

GHL then note that the FMI analysis omits two potentially significant costs: (1) theft and counterfeit losses for cash and (2) float loss for all payment types.

TABLE 13: Grocery Stores’ Per-Transaction Processing Costs for Various Payment Instruments, Modified ($), (2003)

SOURCE: Garcia-Swartz, et al.

2. Consumer costs

GHL identify the following payment-related consumer costs:

  1. Processing time: this is the opportunity cost of the consumer’s time while waiting for the transaction to be processed.

  2. Queue time: this is assumed to be equal to processing time

  3. Explicit price: this is the explicit bank service charge associated with withdrawing cash and processing cheques and debit transactions.

  4. Implicit price: this is the “shoe-leather” costs of obtaining cash (i.e. the opportunity cost of the time taken to travel to/from an ATM and withdraw cash).

  5. Seigniorage: the profit made by the central bank from printing money (basically the difference between the face value of the currency and the costs of production)

3. Bank costs

In addition to merchants and consumers, banks also incur costs in the form of ATM maintenance (applies to cash); production of cards (applies only to cards); transaction processing (applies to all payment methods); and card rewards (applies mainly to credit cards, but also to a lesser extent to debit cards).

4. Central bank costs

A fourth set of costs arise from the involvement of the central bank in producing and processing banknotes and coins, as well as in processing checks (approximately $0.0015 and $0.03, respectively, for a transaction of $11.52). The cost of check processing, however, is recovered from banks, is therefore included in banks’ processing costs.

TABLE 14: Grocery Stores’ Per-Transaction Processing Costs for Various Payment Instruments, Cash Transaction of $11.52 ($), (2003)

SOURCE: Garcia-Swartz, et al. (2006)

Putting these all together, GHL calculate the total marginal cost for transactions of $11.52 (the average size of a cash transaction) and $52.24 (the average size of a check transaction).[69] Table 14 replicates the figures for the $11.52 transaction.[70] Once double-counting is eliminated, the social cost of paying with cash and card are roughly the same.

Meanwhile, for grocery-store transactions of $54.24, debit cards have the lowest social cost ($0.94 for PIN-authorized transactions and $1.00 for signature-authorized transactions), followed by verified check ($1.08), credit card ($1.32), nonverified check ($1.40) and, finally, cash ($1.98).[71]

5. Accounting for (social) benefits

But the story does not end there. GHL note that there is a range of benefits arising from the use of certain payment methods that, at least partially, offsets these costs. For consumers these include:

  1. Float: while checks, credit and charge cards impose float costs on merchants, they provide consumers with some float (in the case of credit cards used purely transactionally this may be quite large).

  2. Credit option: the option to use the credit function of credit cards

  3. Record keeping: electronic transactions and even cancelled checks provide a record that is valuable to many consumers.

  4. Cashback at POS saves a trip to the ATM (but the amount is limited)

  5. Rewards cards (mainly credit) provide marginal benefits about twice their cost

  6. Discover cards provide marginal benefits equal to their marginal cost

  7. Privacy, the exclusive domain of cash, offers users significant benefits [albeit at a cost in terms of dramatically increased costs of recourse] [72]

For banks, the benefits include a small amount of float (this is basically the counterpart of the float costs incurred by consumers who use cards) and processing revenue, which is part of the amount earned by banks for processing transactions. Meanwhile, central banks earn seigniorage and a small amount for processing transactions (which, as noted earlier, is netted out).

The marginal benefits associated with a typical check-size transaction (for 2003, when such transactions were more common) of $52.24 are shown in Table 15. The payment methods providing the greatest marginal benefit are credit ($1.61 per transaction) and cash ($0.92 per transaction).

By adding the marginal benefits to the marginal costs, GHL are then able to calculate the net social marginal cost associated with the different payment types. For a transaction of this size, in 2003, the authors estimate that credit cards would have the lowest net social cost, followed by PIN debit, signature debit, verified check, cash, and nonverified check.

TABLE 15: Adding Benefits to Grocery-Store Transactions of $52.24

SOURCE: Garcia-Swartz, et al.

GHL use the same methodology to calculate the net social marginal cost for transactions at two other types of merchant: discount stores and specialty electronics stores.

TABLE 16: Net Social Marginal Cost for Transactions at Discount and Electronics Stores

SOURCE: Garcia-Swartz, et al.

In the case of discount stores, for purchase amounts of $15.49, the social cost of cash, bank credit, American Express, and debit are about equal. Meanwhile, for larger amounts, cash is more costly than all other payment methods except check.

6. Sensitivity analysis

GHL then undertake a “sensitivity analysis,” in which they adjust some of the parameters of their estimates. For example, increasing the number of people queueing for checkout increases the net social cost of checks relative to cash quite significantly and increases the net social cost of cards slightly. The result is that, for example, if there are three people queuing at GHL’s average grocery store spending the average cash amount at such a store ($11.52), cash becomes marginally socially beneficial.[73] Payment cards, however, remain superior at the amounts typical for those purposes ($33 for signature debit, $41.05 for PIN debit, and $44.59 for credit). In other words, the “break even” point for those payment types shifts to the right.

7. GHL’s conclusions

It is worth repeating the conclusions GHL drew from their research (in a separate study published alongside the detailed analysis described above):

First, transaction size assumptions are critical in analyzing payment-processing costs. At smaller transaction sizes, the net social marginal cost of all payment instruments – paper and electronic alike – are remarkably similar. No one instrument stands out as more socially efficient. At larger transaction sizes, however, significant differences emerge. For grocery store transactions, electronic payments are considerably less costly on net for society than paper methods. Yet another pattern emerges for the larger transactions conducted at electronics stores. Here credit cards with a large proportion of reward cardholders have the lowest net social marginal cost. This pattern is consistent with observed behavior: namely that cash use dominates smaller transaction sizes but drops precipitously as transaction size increases.

Second, retailer type influences the individual cost elements and thus affects private cost calculations. Since the distribution of transaction sizes differs across venues, this result follows naturally from our first finding.  Added to the transaction size effect are apparent differences in merchant costs, such as point of sale time and back-office processing costs.

Finally, and most importantly, the relative merits of different payment methods change significantly when all parties are counted and benefits are included. Merchant studies have found that paper methods are the cheapest for merchants. This is confirmed in our study of the distribution of private costs and benefits. But what is cheap for merchants is relatively expensive for other parties to a transaction. Certain parties, especially consumers, receive considerable benefits from payment cards, which tip their net private costs in favor of that method of payment.[74]

B. Shampine Critique of GHL and GHL’s Response

Allan Shampine undertook a critical review of GHL, questioning their assumptions regarding the amount of time taken to obtain cash from ATMs, the value of card rewards, the range of nonpecuniary benefits that consumers derive from different payment methods, and the appropriateness of some other cost categories, such as seigniorage.[75] He then applied his own sensitivity analysis—which, by making very different assumptions, found that, for certain payment sizes that GHL had identified as lower cost for cards, cash may be lower cost.

GHL responded by noting that, of course, if one makes different assumptions, it is possible to achieve different outcomes.[76] But where the assumptions that GHL made were at least supported as far as possible by empirical evidence, most of the adjustments Shampine made had no empirical basis and should therefore not be treated as reliable. Moreover, as they note, there are very significant individual differences among consumers, merchants, and banks regarding the costs and benefits of any particular payment type.

Ironically, one of the GHL assumptions that Shampine criticizes as insufficiently generous is the privacy benefits of cash. While it is no doubt true that some consumers benefit from the anonymity of cash payments, for most consumers, that is not the main priority. Moreover, there is a social cost to privacy when consumers use cash to engage in illegal activity. Indeed, security is typically more important, and since cards are far more secure than cash, it is possible that the relative benefits are tipped even more toward cards for most consumers.

C. Other Social-Cost-of-Payments Studies

Numerous researchers have undertaken studies to estimate the social cost of payments in other jurisdictions. While several of these studies seek to account for costs borne by consumers, none of those we identified has been as comprehensive or detailed as GHL.[77] Specifically, none adequately account for the social benefits of different payment modes. Also, to our knowledge, none of them focus on the United States. Nonetheless, the studies have introduced some valuable insights. Perhaps most notable is the importance of differentiating fixed and variable costs (although, as discussed below, these costs change over time).

1. Fixed v variable costs, and the ‘breakeven’ point

In their analysis of the Dutch payments system, Hans Brits and Carlo Winder show that payment cards have relatively high fixed costs and much lower variable costs. As a result, in 2002, the “breakeven” point for debit transactions occurred at €11.36.[78] Above that amount, it is more socially cost efficient to pay with debit than with cash. This can be seen in Figure 3, which shows the relative cost of making a payment with cash, debit card, or “e-purse” (this last is a rechargeable smart card that can be used to pay for a range of goods and services in the Netherlands).

FIGURE 3: Breakeven Points for Different Payment Types, Netherlands (2002)

SOURCE: Brits & Winder (2005)

In a study of the private and social costs of payments in Sweden in 2002, Mats Bergman, Gabriella Guibourg, and Björn Segendorf of Sweden’s central bank found that the unit transaction costs of cash (4.6 SEK) was higher than for either credit cards (4.4 SEK) or debit cards (3.1 SEK for PIN, 3.2 SEK for signature).[79] They then sought to identify the breakeven point for each payment method, and found that debit cards became more cost-effective than cash at about 72 SEK (U.S. $7), while credit cards became more cost-effective than cash at about 160 SEK (U.S. $16).[80]

Technological improvements have reduced both the fixed and variable costs associated with card-based payments. For example, the fixed cost associated with the time taken to process a card-based transaction has generally fallen.[81] Meanwhile, both the fixed and variable costs associated with card-based fraud has fallen by more than 75% as a result of the introduction of the Europay, Mastercard and Visa (EMV) Chip.[82]

FIGURE 4: Breakeven Points for Different Payment Types, Sweden (2002)

SOURCE: Bergman, Guibourg, & Segendorf (2007)

2. Technological change lowers the breakeven point

While technological improvements have also increased the efficiency of processing cash, there are some human aspects to cash processing that are almost impossible to eliminate, and that are inherently proportional to the transaction amount.

Increased use of a payment method can create a virtuous circle for that method, while having the opposite effect for other methods. So, for example, the shift from cash to debit in the Netherlands resulted in lower average debit-acceptance costs, but increased the average acceptance costs of cash. Thus, Nicole Jonker found the breakeven point for merchant acceptance of debit in the Netherlands had fallen from the €11.36 found by Brits & Winder in 2002 to €3.06 in 2009.[83]

A similar phenomenon appears to be happening with both cash and checks in the United States, as demonstrated by the examples given in the introduction. It is reasonable to ask why this shift seems to have happened later in the United States than in Europe. Aside from “culture,” one argument is that U.S. banks implemented more-efficient check processing in the early 1990s, thereby reducing the incentives for merchants to switch. Another is that the Durbin amendment in 2010 reduced consumers’ incentives to pay with debit, and resulted in their switching from debit to credit for lower-value payments, which increased the relative cost of acceptance for merchants.

D. Partial Social-Cost-of-Cash Studies

Many other studies advertised as assessing the social costs of payments have considered the effects on a somewhat narrower range of participants. For example, a study published by the European Central Bank titled “The Social and Private Costs of Retail Payment Instruments: A European Perspective” notes:

Due to the considerable effort necessary to collect viable data on the costs incurred by all of the parties in the payment chain, the analysis focuses on the most important parties issuing authorities, i.e.:

  • central banks and governments;

  • banks and interbank infrastructure providers (automated clearing houses, ATM networks, etc.);

  • retailers and companies; and

  • cash-in-transit companies.[84]

There would appear to be a rather significant omission from this study: consumers (indeed, the ECB acknowledges this deficit). The same omission is present in many other similar studies. This is both rather odd and rather troublesome, since consumers clearly are important participants in the payment system—indeed, without them, the system would be pointless. Moreover, if GHL are correct, consumers tend to benefit more from electronic payments than from cash—indeed, cash is typically a net cost for consumers—so omitting them from the analysis seems more than a mere oversight.

IV. Conclusion

This review shows that both the partial and social costs of different modes of payments vary considerably by location, type of merchant, and over time. Nonetheless, several broad conclusions emerge:

First, retailers that accept card payments tend to experience ticket lift; many also benefit from increased throughput. As a result, retailers such as quick-serve restaurants that sell low-ticket items and might be below the “breakeven” point for cards relative to cash (if considering only the direct transaction costs) but benefit on net from adding cards because of the significant ticket lift and increase in throughput.

Second, over time, there has generally been a reduction in the “breakeven” point for electronic payments. This has likely been driven by such innovations as the EMV Chip and contactless payments, which have reduced fraud and tender-time costs, and increased benefits to all parties.

Third, while innovations in cash management have also reduced the cost of accepting cash in general, the cost of multimodal payment acceptance means that the relative cost of continuing to accept cash has increased, especially in locations where throughput is of the essence, such as ballparks and quick-serve restaurants. This has led some such merchants to drop cash acceptance.

[1] Mercedes-Benz Stadium Achieves Success in First Year of Stadium-Wide Cashless Initiative, Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Mar. 9, 2020), https://www.mercedesbenzstadium.com/news/mercedes-benz-stadium-achieves-success-in-first-year-of-stadium-wide-cashless-initaitive (“MBS’s expected first-year results have been realized, once again locking in the No. 1 spot for food and beverage including speed of service across all NFL venues for the third consecutive year.  Due to the new cashless model, roughly 95 percent of fans noticed the same or an increase in speed at concession lines and at peak times a 20-30 second reduction in wait times. Results also include an increase in food and beverage per capita numbers for close to 50 events at MBS through 2019 including a combined 16 percent increase for Atlanta Falcons and Atlanta United all while saving more than $350,000 in operational expenses… Since going cashless, more than 2.5 million guests have attended events at MBS. Of those, only 1.2 percent have used the cash-to-cards kiosks, showing that fans are bringing their own credit cards or using mobile payment options.”).

[2] See Ben Gran, More Stadiums Are Going Cashless. What Does This Mean for Your Personal Finances?, the ascent (Feb. 13, 2024), https://www.fool.com/the-ascent/personal-finance/articles/more-stadiums-are-going-cashless-what-does-this-mean-for-your-personal-finances (“America is quickly becoming a more cashless society, and sports venues are leading the charge. As of 2022, nearly all Major League Baseball ballparks had gone cashless, along with most NFL stadiums and NBA/NHL arenas like the United Center in Chicago.”).

[3] See, e.g., Benjamin Gottlieb, Why Some Restaurants in LA Are Going Cash-Free, Marketplace (Aug. 19, 2019), https://www.marketplace.org/2019/08/19/why-some-restaurants-in-la-are-going-cash-free.

[4] Nate Delesline III, Target to Stop Accepting Personal Checks, Retail Dive (Jul. 9, 2024), https://www.retaildive.com/news/target-to-stop-accepting-personal-checks/720792.

[5] Michelle Faverio, More Americans Are Joining the ‘Cashless Economy’, Pew Research Center (Oct. 5, 2022), https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2022/10/05/more-americans-are-joining-the-cashless-economy.

[6] Jeffrey M. Jones, Americans Using Cash Less Often; Foresee Cashless Society, Gallup (Aug. 25, 2022), https://news.gallup.com/poll/397718/americans-using-cash-less-often-foresee-cashless-society.aspx.

[7] Ketherine Haan, People Are Twice as Likely to Spend More Money When Using Card than Cash in 2024, Forbes Advisor (May 16, 2024), https://www.forbes.com/advisor/business/software/people-twice-likely-spend-using-card-than-cash.

[8] Id.

[9] See Emily Cubides & Shaun O’Brien, 2023 Findings from the Diary of Consumer Payment Choice, The Fed. Res. Fin. Serv. (Jul. 2023), at 6, available at https://www.frbsf.org/cash/wp-content/uploads/sites/7/2023-Findings-from-the-Diary-of-Consumer-Payment-Choice.pdf (which notes that “The category ‘other’ includes payments made with pre-paid [debit], checks, mobile payment apps, money orders.”).

[10] Faverio, supra note 5.

[11] Kineree Shah, Cash Remains King – 67% of Americans Still Use Traditional In-Store Payment, YouGov (Feb. 12, 2024), https://business.yougov.com/content/48650-cash-remains-king-67-of-americans-still-prefer-traditional-in-store-payment.

[12] A survey of the available literature was conducted using EconLit, the Social Science Research Network (www.ssrn.com), the IDEAS database (ideas.repec.org), and Google Scholar. This enabled us to identify the primary methodologies used to evaluate the value, costs, and benefits of different payment technologies. Initially, we used search terms such as “cost of cash” and “cost of payments” (with and without the restrictive use of speech marks). As the research progressed, we expanded this to a range of other terms, including “speed of payments,” so as to capture a wider range of studies addressing the issues under consideration.

[13] Credit cards take this one step further, enabling consumers to spread their spending out, reducing temporary liquidity constraints without the need to arrange an overdraft or other loan, thereby further increasing ticket lift—especially for higher-value items.

[14] In a traditional activity-based costing study, the aim is to account for the costs of each activity undertaken by a business and thereby enable management to make better decisions on resource allocation, investments in innovation, and so on.

[15] Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Credit Cards in the U.S. Economy: Their Impact on Costs, Prices, and Retail Sales 36 (Jul. 27, 1983), available at https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/credit-cards-us-economy-5331.

[16] The study notes some of the costs: “Included among the relevant cost concepts, for example, would be the time required to complete a trans­ action, which may in turn influence the number of check-out stations and sales clerks that a store needs. Credit card transactions absorb time because credit slips must be written and frequently some sort of authorization procedure undertaken. Personal checks usually trigger certain time-consuming precautionary steps, such as inspecting and copying down identification data or summoning a manager from elsewhere in the store to approve acceptance of the check. Cash transactions most likely consume less time than check or credit card transactions, but the counting of cash received, the making of change, and the stocking and replenishment of cash registers with currency and coin are cash-related activities that occupy an employee’s time. Time consumed in reconciling sales records with cash, checks, and credit slips on hand may vary with the proportion of sales transacted by each means, and from one business to another. Security-related expenses comprise a large family of costs in which further variation may be found among the different means of payment. Included in such a concept would be both direct expenses of security precautions plus an allowance for any uncovered risk associated with each transaction medium. An obvious risk, for example, is the possibility of theft. This particular risk is likely to be more pronounced for cash because the full negotiability of cash makes it an attractive target. Acceptance of personal checks entails the risk that the check may be uncollectable, because the writer may not have sufficient funds on deposit or for some other reason.  Security risks borne by operators of in-house credit card plans include the costs associated with delinquent and uncollectable accounts.” Id. at 36-37.

[17] See Robert M. Grant, Transaction Costs to Retailers of Different Methods of Payment: Results of a Pilot Study, 4(2) Managerial & Decision Econ. 89-96 (Jun. 1983).

[18] Id. at 91. Grant is one of the most-cited social scientists, with nearly 100,000 citations and an H index of 58. See Google Scholar Profile of Robert M. Grant, Google Scholar (last accessed Aug. 22, 2024), https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=CQ8P0PcAAAAJ&hl=en.

[19] Grant, supra note 17, at 93, 95-96.

[20] Anne Layne-Farrar, Are Debit Cards Really More Costly for Merchants? Assessing Retailers’ Costs and Benefits of Payment Instrument Acceptance (SSRN Working Paper Sep. 9, 2011), available at https://ssrn.com/abstract=1924925.

[21] Id. at 6.

[22] Id. at 16-17.

[23] See id. at 23, 27, 34, 35, 39.

[24] Retailer Payment Systems: Relative Merits of Cash and Payment Cards, Economists Inc. (Nov. 19, 2014), available at https://ei.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Cost_of_Cash_Study.pdf.

[25] Id. at 52.

[26] Id. at 21.

[27] Id. at 5.

[28] Id. at 58-60.

[29] See Tom Akana & Wei Ke, Contactless Payment Cards: Trends and Barriers to Consumer Adoption in the U.S. (Discussion Paper 20-03, May 2020), available at https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/frbp/assets/consumer-finance/discussion-papers/dp20-03.pdf.

[30] See US Contactless Payment Statistics, Finical Holdings LLC (last accessed Aug. 22. 2024),  https://finicalholdings.com/us-contactless-payment-statistics.

[31] David Bounie & Youssouf Camara, Card-Sales Response to Merchant Contactless Payment Acceptance, 119 J. Banking & Fin. 105938 (Oct. 2020).

[32] Id.

[33] Sumit Agarwal, Wenlan Qian, Yuan Ren, Hsin-Tien Tsai, & Bernard Yeung, The Real Impact of FinTech: Evidence from Mobile Payment Technology (Working Paper, NUS Business School, National University of Singapore, September 2022), available at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3556340.

[34] Id. at 4.

[35] Id. at 5.

[36] Fumiko Hayashi, Cash or Debit Cards? Payment Acceptance Costs for Merchants, 106(3) Econ. Rev. Fed. Res. Bank of Kansas City 53 (Aug. 2021), available at https://www.kansascityfed.org/Economic%20Review/documents/8213/EconomicReviewV106N3Hayashi.pdf.

[37] See Fumiko Hayashi, Marie-Hélène Felt, Joanna Stavins, & Angelika Welte, Distributional Effects of Payment Card Pricing and Merchant Cost Passthrough in the United States and Canada (Fed. Res. Bank of Kansas City, Research Working Paper no. 20-18, Dec. 2020), available at https://www.kansascityfed.org/Research%20Working%20Papers/documents/7595/rwp20-18.pdf.

[38] See Daniel Garcia-Swartz, Robert Hahn, and Anne Layne-Farrar, The Move Toward a Cashless Society: Calculating the Costs and Benefits, 5(2) Rev. of Network Econ. 202 (2006) [hereinafter “GHL”] (“The FMI study omits… theft and counterfeit loss for cash…”).

[39] Specifically: “The total cost of accepting cash, debit card, and credit card payments is based on the Bank of Canada Retailer Survey, but by using United States–specific information as follows: merchant service charge, the average wage for cashiers and back-office workers (from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Retail Trade Earnings and Hours), cash theft and fraud as a percentage of cash sales (from the National Retail Security Survey), the fraud and chargeback rate for cards (derived from Hayashi et al. 2018 and FRPS), and the average terminal rental cost (using the low end of $30 to $100 per month listed on merchant acquirers’ websites). We then calculate the average fixed cost and proportional cost per transaction for each of the three payment methods.” Hayashi, et al., Distributional Effects, supra note 37, at 59.

[40] Fumiko Hayashi & William R. Keeton, Measuring the Costs of Retail Payment Methods, 97(2) Econ. Rev. Fed. Res. Bank of Kansas City 38 (2012).

[41] See Todd J. Zywicki, The Economics of Payment Card Interchange Fees and the Limits of Regulation, (ICLE Financial Regulatory Program White Paper Series, Jun. 2, 2010), at 36-38, available at https://laweconcenter.org/images/articles/zywicki_interchange.pdf.

[42] Id. at 16-18.

[43] See Hans Brits & Carlo Winder, Payments Are No Free Lunch, 3(2) DNB Occasional Studies 27 (2005).

[44] See Nicole Jonker, Social Costs of POS Payments in the Netherlands 2002-2012: Efficiency Gains from Increased Debit Card Usage, 11(2) DNB Occasional Studies 32 (2013).

[45] Olaf Gresvik & Grete Øwre, Costs and Income in the Norwegian Payment System 2001. An Application of the Activity Based Costing Framework, (Working Paper No. 2003/8, Norges Bank, Sep. 17, 2003), at 1, available at https://hdl.handle.net/11250/2498619.

[46] Todd J. Zywicki, Geoffrey A. Manne, & Julian Morris, Price Controls on Payment Card Interchange Fees: The U.S. Experience, (ICLE Financial Regulatory Research Program White Paper 2014-2), at 5-8, available at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2446080 (noting the loss of free banking accounts, higher monthly maintenance fees, and average minimum holdings required to avoid fees post-Durbin amendment).

[47] See, Cashier Salary in Tennessee, Indeed (last accessed Jul. 24, 2024), https://www.indeed.com/career/cashier/salaries/TN?from=top_sb (salaries based on averages posted on the website on Jul. 24, 2024).

[48] Contactless Payments: Delivering Merchants and Customer Benefits, A Smart Card Alliance Report (2004).

[49] Elizabeth Klee, Paper or Plastic? The Effect of Time on the use of Checks and Debit Cards at Grocery Stores (Finance and Economics Discussion Series, No. 2006-02, Washington Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System).

[50] Guy Quaden, Costs, Advantages And Disadvantages of Different Payment Methods, Report, Bank of Belgium (2005).

[51] Brits & Winder, supra note 43.

[52] See Michal Polasik et al., Time Efficiency of Point-of-Sale Payment Methods: Empirical Results for Cash, Cards and Mobile Payments, 141 Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing 312 (2013), (Figures given are the mean times for the merchant).

[53] See Greg Buzek, Cash Multipliers: How Reducing the Costs of Cash Handling Can Enable Retail Sales and Profit Growth, IHL Group (2018).

[54] Id. at 7.

[55] Id. at 10.

[56] Id. at 11.

[57] Id. at 10.

[58] Heng Chen, Kim P. Huynh, & Oz Shy, Cash Versus Card: Payment Discontinuities and the Burden of Holding Coins (Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper 2017-47), at ii, available at https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/197853/1/1011056011.pdf.

[59] Id.

[60] About Legal Tender, Bank of Canada (last accessed Aug. 22, 2024), https://www.bankofcanada.ca/banknotes/about-legal-tender.

[61] Gresvik & Øwre, supra note 45.

[62] Float is working capital; float loss is the cost associated with the time taken for transactions to clear and settle, which means that additional working capital is required to cover outgoings.

[63] David B. Humphrey & Allen N. Berger, Market Failure and Resource Use: Economic Incentives to Use Different Payment Instruments, in The US. Payment system: Efficiency, risk and the role of the Federal Reserve: Proceedings of a symposium on the U.S. payment system sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (1990), at 45-86.

[64] Kirstin E. Wells, Are Checks Overused?, 20(4) Quarterly Rev. Fed. Res. Bank of Minneapolis 2-12 (1996).

[65] See id. at 4.

[66] GHL, supra note 38.

[67] See id. at 200.

[68] See id. at 201. The authors make certain modifications to the data from FMI, including updating the processing time for transactions and the cost of armored cars.

[69] Id. at 202.

[70] Id. at 204.

[71] Id. at 208.

[72] See id. at 209-12.

[73] See id. at 225.

[74] Garcia-Swartz, et al., supra note 38 at 196.

[75] See Alan Shampine, Another Look at Payment Instrument Economics, Rev. of Network Econ., vol. 6(4), at 495-508 (2007).

[76] Daniel Garcia-Swartz, Robert Hahn, & Anne Layne-Farrar, Further Thoughts on the Cashless Society: A Reply to Dr. Shampine, 6(4) Rev. of Network Econ. 509-524 (2007).

[77] See, e.g., Kerstin Junius, et al., Costs of Retail Payments – An Overview of Recent National Studies in Europe (ECB Occasional Paper No. 294, May 2022), available at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpops/ecb.op294~8ac480631a.en.pdf.

[78] See Brits & Winder, supra note 43, at 27.

[79] Mats BergmanGabriela Guibourg, & Björn Segendorf, The Costs of Paying – Private and Social Costs of Cash and Card Payments, at 15 (Sverges Riksbank Working Paper No. 212, Sep. 2007),  available at https://archive.riksbank.se/Upload/Dokument_riksbank/Kat_publicerat/WorkingPapers/WP212.pdf.

[80] Id. at 2.

[81] Brits & Winder, supra note 43, at 27; Layne-Farrar, supra note 20, at 7; Smart Card Alliance, supra note 48; Polasik et al., supra note 52.

[82]  Visa EMV Chip Cards Help Reduce Counterfeit Fraud by 87 Percent, Visa (Sep. 3, 2019), https://usa.visa.com/visa-everywhere/blog/bdp/2019/09/03/visa-emv-chip-1567530138363.html.

[83] Jonker, supra note 44, at 32.

[84] Heiko Schmiedel, Gergana Kostova, & Wiebe Ruttenberg, The Social and Private Costs of Retail Payment Instruments: A European Perspective (ECB Occasional Paper Series No. 137, Sept. 2012), at 12, available at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpops/ecbocp137.pdf.

ICLE White Paper

A Decisão Dos EUA No Caso Antitruste Sobre a Ferramenta de Busca do Google

decisão do juiz Amit Mehta contra o Google no caso antitruste do Departamento de Justiça dos Estados Unidos (DOJ) sobre a sua ferramenta de busca foi recebida com grande alarde por muitos.

Embora acreditemos que a decisão seja errônea, alguns especialistas a consideram uma vitória histórica para o DOJ, especialmente seu líder, Jonathan Kanter, que a considera “o Monte Rushmore dos casos antitruste“. Mas essa perspectiva não compreende a história do antitruste em setores de tecnologia e a importância dessa decisão específica.

Read the full piece here.

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Ranking the Big Tech Monopolization Cases in the Wake of the Google Search Decision: Perspectives of Some Economists and Legal Scholars

In April, we published a short piece in Notice & Comment on 5 key monopolization cases in the tech sector. In it, we presented the results of an informal poll of economists with expertise in antitrust. The poll asked them to rate the strength of the government’s cases by providing both stand-alone ratings and relative ones. Here, we present the results of a follow-up poll in the wake of Judge Amit Mehta’s decision in the Google search case. Judge Mehta’s decision is that of a federal district court and, hence, a fact on the ground; it is also, in our view, a substantial and largely thoughtful one—which is not to say that we agree with its findings of liability. For those reasons, we thought it worth asking whether the decision had changed any minds about the cases.

The short story is this: plus ça change, plus pretty darn similar. Reported views vary across both respondents and cases but, on average, our respondents do not think that the government has brought very strong cases.

Read the full piece here.

Popular Media (ICLE)

How Trump Should Impose Tariffs

Donald Trump has promised a renewed push for tariffs when he returns to the White House. The stated goal is to protect American manufacturing jobs, but some approaches would achieve this far more effectively than others.

The historical record shows that, while tariffs can preserve specific manufacturing jobs in the short term, poorly designed trade barriers destroy more American factory jobs than they save. Understanding these trade-offs is crucial for policymakers determined to use tariffs. Trump has said he will impose tariffs of 25 per cent on all imports from Canada and Mexico, and an extra 10 per cent on Chinese goods. But implementation will be key.

Read the full piece here.

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Big Ideas Workshop: The Economics of Institutions: From Acemoglu to Before and Beyond

ICLE held a December session in the Big Ideas Workshop Series. Academic affiliates Eric Alston and Jeremy Kidd led discussions centered on foundational figures in the Institutionalist School and contemporary contributors.

Big Ideas Workshop: Utility Regulation through the Lens of Energy Regulation

ICLE’s September session in the Big Ideas Workshop series covered topics related to regulation, pricing, and monopolization in the energy sector, led by academic affiliate L. Lynne Kiesling.

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Corporate Practice of Medicine Roundtable, January 9 (by invitation)

ICLE will host a virtual roundtable discussion on policies surrounding the corporate practice of medicine in January. 

This roundtable will bring together a small group of academics and researchers to examine the implications, opportunities, and controversies surrounding the corporate practice of medicine.

Upcoming Big Ideas Workshops

The Fellows Advisors are hard at work planning Big Ideas Workshops for the upcoming year. Likely topics include the works of Elinor Ostrom, the economics of data governance, law & economics in family law, and economics, race, & neoliberalism. Be on the lookout for more details soon!