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Showing 9 of 22 Publications by Alec Stapp
Presentations & Interviews TPRI Conference Slides on Killer Acquisitions & Kill Zones
ICLE’s Geoffrey Manne, Dirk Auer, and Alec Stapp presented at the Technology and Declining Economic Dynamism conference, hosted by Boston University’s Technology and Policy Research Initiative, on the topic of acquisitions by dominant firms. Full video of the panel can be found here, while the the presentation slides are here.
ICLE Issue Brief PPI Director of Technology Policy, Alec Stapp reviews the antitrust cases against IBM, AT&T, and Microsoft and discusses what we can learn from them today. He explains the relevant concepts necessary for understanding the history of market competition in the tech industry.
Alec Stapp, current Director of Technology Policy at Progressive Policy Institute, and former Research Fellow, Law & Economics at International Center for Law & Economics (ICLE), reviews the antitrust cases against IBM, AT&T, and Microsoft and discusses what we can learn from them today. He explains the relevant concepts necessary for understanding the history of market competition in the tech industry.
Big Tech continues to be mired in “a very antitrust situation,” as President Trump so eloquently put it in 2018. Advocates for more aggressive antitrust enforcement in the tech industry often justify their proposals by pointing to the cases against IBM, AT&T, and Microsoft. In announcing her plan to break up the tech giants, Elizabeth Warren highlighted the case against Microsoft in particular:
The government’s antitrust case against Microsoft helped clear a path for Internet companies like Google and Facebook to emerge. The story demonstrates why promoting competition is so important: it allows new, groundbreaking companies to grow and thrive — which pushes everyone in the marketplace to offer better products.
Tim Wu, a law professor at Columbia University, summarized the overarching narrative recently (emphasis added):
If there is one thing I’d like the tech world to understand better, it is that the trilogy of antitrust suits against IBM, AT&T, and Microsoft played a major role in making the United States the world’s preeminent tech economy. The IBM-AT&T-Microsoft trilogy of antitrust cases each helped prevent major monopolists from killing small firms and asserting control of the future (of the 80s, 90s, and 00s, respectively). A list of products and firms that owe at least something to the IBM-AT&T-Microsoft trilogy. (1) IBM: software as product, Apple, Microsoft, Intel, Seagate, Sun, Dell, Compaq (2) AT&T: Modems, ISPs, AOL, the Internet and Web industries (3) Microsoft: Google, Facebook, Amazon
If there is one thing I’d like the tech world to understand better, it is that the trilogy of antitrust suits against IBM, AT&T, and Microsoft played a major role in making the United States the world’s preeminent tech economy.
The IBM-AT&T-Microsoft trilogy of antitrust cases each helped prevent major monopolists from killing small firms and asserting control of the future (of the 80s, 90s, and 00s, respectively).
A list of products and firms that owe at least something to the IBM-AT&T-Microsoft trilogy.
(1) IBM: software as product, Apple, Microsoft, Intel, Seagate, Sun, Dell, Compaq (2) AT&T: Modems, ISPs, AOL, the Internet and Web industries (3) Microsoft: Google, Facebook, Amazon
In other words, by breaking up the current crop of dominant tech companies, we can sow the seeds for the next one. But this reasoning depends on an incorrect — albeit increasingly popular — reading of the history of the tech industry.
Click here to read the full issue brief.
Regulatory Comments We begin our analysis of the California Consumer Privacy Act (“CCPA”) with a discussion of the standardized regulatory impact assessment (SRIA) prepared for the AG’s Office by Berkeley Economic Advising and Research, LLC.
We begin our analysis of the California Consumer Privacy Act (“CCPA”) with a discussion of the standardized regulatory impact assessment (SRIA) prepared for the AG’s Office by Berkeley Economic Advising and Research, LLC. The bottom-line cost figures from this report are staggering: $55 billion in upfront costs and $16.5 billion in additional costs over the next decade. The analysis includes large benefits as well, but as we show in the full comments, the actual costs are even higher than the SRIA estimates and the benefits fall far short of making up for those costs.
We also draw on the the early evidence coming out of the EU related to GDPR enforcement and compliance to highlight some potential pitfalls that California is facing. In particular, after its first twelve month period in force, the compliance costs were astronomical; enforcement of individual “data rights” led to unintended con- sequences; “privacy protection” seems to have undermined market competition; and there have been large unseen — but not unmeasurable — costs in forgone startup investment.
Finally, we note that, despite the DC Circuit trimming the FCC’s 2018 Restoring Internet Freedom Order, the fact remains that the FCC still retains a conflict-preemption authority to specifically preempt state laws that are incompatible with its regulations. The DC Circuit only limited the FCC’s ability to generally preempt all potentially conflicting state laws, requiring that each preemption be challenged in a fact-intensive inquiry. Similarly, it is also possible that the broad extent of the CCPA’s rules, and their impositions on firms outside of California’s borders could lead to Dormant Commerce Clause challenges. Activities that “inherently require a uniform system of regulation” or that “impair the free flow of materials and products across state borders” violate the Dormant Commerce Clause. As the FCC noted in its RIF Order, Internet-based communications is such a type of activity.
We therefore offered the following suggestions:
Continue reading the full comments
Popular Media There is an infamous chart in media circles. It shows newspaper advertising revenue steadily rising until about the year 2000. A few years later, it . . .
There is an infamous chart in media circles. It shows newspaper advertising revenue steadily rising until about the year 2000. A few years later, it drops off a cliff. Superimposed on this chart is the exponential growth of Google and Facebook…
Read the full piece here.
TOTM “Data is the new oil,” said Jaron Lanier in a recent op-ed for The New York Times. Lanier’s use of this metaphor is only the latest instance of what has become the dumbest meme in tech policy.
“Data is the new oil,” said Jaron Lanier in a recent op-ed for The New York Times. Lanier’s use of this metaphor is only the latest instance of what has become the dumbest meme in tech policy. As the digital economy becomes more prominent in our lives, it is not unreasonable to seek to understand one of its most important inputs. But this analogy to the physical economy is fundamentally flawed. Worse, introducing regulations premised upon faulty assumptions like this will likely do far more harm than good.
TOTM Seeing internet traffic is not the same thing as “account[ing] for” — or controlling or even directly influencing — internet traffic.
When she rolled out her plan to break up Big Tech, Elizabeth Warren paid for ads (like the one shown above) claiming that “Facebook and Google account for 70% of all internet traffic.” This statistic has since been repeated in various forms by Rolling Stone, Vox, National Review, and Washingtonian. In my last post, I fact checked this claim and found it wanting.
Regulatory Comments ICLE filed a letter summarizing its analysis of the relevant empirical literature on mobile carrier mergers as part of the Tunney Act review process.
The central question of a merger review is the likely effect that the transaction will have on consumers. The DOJ’s complaint against the Sprint-T-Mobile merger is built upon the allegation that the proposed transaction represents a reduction from four to three national facilities-based mobile network operators (a so-called “4-to-3 merger”), and that such a transaction would reduce competition and result in “higher prices, reduced innovation, reduced quality and fewer choices” in the marketplace. This is an empirical question that has been studied by numerous scholars in recent years.
The upshot of the empirical literature is that, in fact, such mergers appear to increase, not decrease, innovation. Moreover, the research is, at best, inconclusive with respect to the price effects of such mergers. Based on these findings, we believe that the DOJ was correct to approve the transaction, and that this is so regardless of the expected competitive effects of the Final Judgment’s Divestiture Package, which is likely unnecessary to ensure that the market remains competitive.
ICLE filed a letter summarizing its analysis of the relevant empirical literature on mobile carrier mergers as part of the Tunney Act review process.
The letter and attached analysis can be read here.
TOTM Less than 20 percent of all Internet traffic goes through sites owned or operated by Google or Facebook. While this statistic may be less eye-popping than the one trumpeted by Warren and other antitrust activists, it does have the virtue of being true.
In March of this year, Elizabeth Warren announced her proposal to break up Big Tech in a blog post on Medium. She tried to paint the tech giants as dominant players crushing their smaller competitors and strangling the open internet. This line in particular stood out: “More than 70% of all Internet traffic goes through sites owned or operated by Google or Facebook.”
ICLE White Paper The merger between T-Mobile and Sprint has been characterized as a “4-to-3 merger” because after the merger there will be 3 national mobile network operators. . . .
The merger between T-Mobile and Sprint has been characterized as a “4-to-3 merger” because after the merger there will be 3 national mobile network operators. Concerns have been raised regarding the effects of such mergers on competition and consumer welfare. Seeking to understand and evaluate the basis for these concerns, the International Center for Law and Economics (ICLE) undertook a comprehensive review of the economic effects of mergers and other factors affecting market concentration in the wireless telecommunications industry. The review found:
When evaluating the merits of a merger, authorities are charged with identifying the effects on the welfare of consumers. On the basis of the studies that we review, “4-to-3 mergers” appear to generate net benefits to consumer welfare in the form of increased investment, while the effects on price are inconclusive.
Click here to download the report.
Click here to download the appendices.